Week 10 · 2026
Oklahoma at Florida
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Oklahoma
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| John Mateer QB 3 games | 36.7% 44 / 120 plays | 47.8% 11 / 23 plays |
| Lloyd Avant RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 33.3% 9 / 27 plays |
| Tory Blaylock RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 28.0% 7 / 25 plays |
| Jonathan Hatton Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 33.3% 4 / 12 plays |
| Isaiah Sategna WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
Traditional season production · 59 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adepoju Adebawore · DL
CFBD athlete 4899363
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Andy Bass · RB
CFBD athlete 5147405
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -8
- rushing · YPC
- -4.0
Ben Anderson · LS
CFBD athlete 4914219
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Ben McCreary · RB
CFBD athlete 5302489
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 40
- rushing · YPC
- 6.7
Bishop Thomas · DL
CFBD athlete 4742092
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Bowe Bentley · QB
CFBD athlete 5245123
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Cole Sullivan · LB
CFBD athlete 5144965
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Courtland Guillory · DB
CFBD athlete 5207928
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Dakoda Fields · DB
CFBD athlete 5079447
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 0
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
Dane Bathurst · LB
CFBD athlete 5266700
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Danny Okoye · DL
CFBD athlete 5110453
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- puntReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 8
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 8
Danny Saili · DL
CFBD athlete 5218708
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
David Stone · DL
CFBD athlete 5079711
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 34
Eli Bowen · DB
CFBD athlete 5079337
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Elijah Thomas · WR
CFBD athlete 5141719
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 9.8
Fred Hinton · OL
CFBD athlete 5156434
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Grayson Miller · PK
CFBD athlete 5293830
- punting · In 20
- 4
- punting · LONG
- 62
- punting · NO
- 10
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 450
- punting · YPP
- 45.0
Hayden Hansen · TE
CFBD athlete 4878109
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Isaiah Sategna · WR
CFBD athlete 5080703
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 28
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 105
- puntReturns · AVG
- 14.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 88
- puntReturns · NO
- 11
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 157
- receiving · LONG
- 54
- receiving · REC
- 45
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 591
- receiving · YPR
- 13.1
- rushing · CAR
- 9
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 43
- rushing · YPC
- 4.8
Ivan Carreon · WR
CFBD athlete 5114593
- receiving · LONG
- 34
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 88
- receiving · YPR
- 17.6
Jack Van Dorselaer · TE
CFBD athlete 5141744
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 6.3
Jacob Jordan · WR
CFBD athlete 5218767
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 7.6
Jacob Ulrich · P
CFBD athlete 5154245
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- punting · In 20
- 7
- punting · LONG
- 56
- punting · NO
- 27
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1203
- punting · YPP
- 44.6
Jacobe Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 4870815
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jake Kreul · DL
CFBD athlete 5159099
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
James Carrington · DL
CFBD athlete 5158954
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 3
James Nesta · LB
CFBD athlete 5147151
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jayden Jackson · DL
CFBD athlete 5132635
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Jaydon Southard · LB
CFBD athlete 5091796
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jer'Michael Carter · WR
CFBD athlete 5155000
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
Jeremiah Newcombe · DB
CFBD athlete 5079633
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
John Mateer · QB
CFBD athlete 4915980
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 247
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 162
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.656
- passing · TD
- 13
- passing · YDS
- 1835
- passing · YPA
- 7.4
- rushing · CAR
- 86
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 145
- rushing · YPC
- 1.7
Jonathan Hatton Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5159029
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 69
- receiving · YPR
- 6.9
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 93
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Kip Lewis · LB
CFBD athlete 4711065
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- interceptions · AVG
- 30.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 30
Lebron Bauer · DB
CFBD athlete 5207639
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Liam Evans · PK
CFBD athlete 5192411
- kicking · FGA
- 1
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 34
- kicking · PCT
- 1.000
- kicking · PTS
- 4
- kicking · XPA
- 1
- kicking · XPM
- 1
Lloyd Avant · RB
CFBD athlete 5079298
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 18
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 55
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 79
- rushing · LONG
- 42
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 347
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Mackenzie Alleyne · WR
CFBD athlete 5228149
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 51
- receiving · YPR
- 10.2
Manny Choice · WR
CFBD athlete 5293827
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 34
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 144
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Markel Ford · DB
CFBD athlete 5160488
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Michael Boganowski · DB
CFBD athlete 5147138
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- interceptions · AVG
- 9.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 9
Nigel Smith II · DL
CFBD athlete 5079597
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Niko Jandreau · DB
CFBD athlete 5282143
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Noah Best · OL
CFBD athlete 5205091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Omarion Robinson · DB
CFBD athlete 5141654
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 33
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Owen Heinecke · LB
CFBD athlete 5081928
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 31
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 8.5
- defensive · TOT
- 65
Parker Livingstone · WR
CFBD athlete 5079556
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 51
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
Peyton Bowen · DB
CFBD athlete 4870625
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 41
- interceptions · AVG
- 33.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 66
Reggie Powers III · DB
CFBD athlete 5143274
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Rocky Beers · TE
CFBD athlete 4907786
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 34
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 446
- receiving · YPR
- 13.1
Tate Sandell · PK
CFBD athlete 4900756
- kicking · FGA
- 18
- kicking · FGM
- 12
- kicking · LONG
- 53
- kicking · PCT
- 0.667
- kicking · PTS
- 52
- kicking · XPA
- 16
- kicking · XPM
- 16
Taylor Wein · DL
CFBD athlete 5114314
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Tory Blaylock · RB
CFBD athlete 5141386
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 4.7
- rushing · CAR
- 35
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 148
- rushing · YPC
- 4.2
Trell Harris · WR
CFBD athlete 4912130
- receiving · LONG
- 48
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 104
- receiving · YPR
- 17.3
Trent Wilson · DL
CFBD athlete 5141720
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Trystan Haynes · DB
CFBD athlete 5293826
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Whitt Newbauer · QB
CFBD athlete 5224237
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 6
- passing · YPA
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 1.5
Wyatt Gilmore · DL
CFBD athlete 5149215
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Xavier Robinson · RB
CFBD athlete 5122554
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 50
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Florida
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Tramell Jones Jr. QB 3 games | 39.4% 28 / 71 plays | 50.0% 8 / 16 plays |
| Jadan Baugh RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 26.8% 15 / 56 plays |
| Aaron Philo QB 2 games | 45.9% 17 / 37 plays | 44.4% 4 / 9 plays |
| Evan Pryor RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 33.3% 2 / 6 plays |
| London Montgomery RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Eric Singleton Jr. WR 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 2 / 4 plays |
| Duke Clark RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
Traditional season production · 57 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aaron Chiles · LB
CFBD athlete 5079340
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 43
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Aaron Philo · QB
CFBD athlete 5132812
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 156
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 110
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.705
- passing · TD
- 9
- passing · YDS
- 1367
- passing · YPA
- 8.8
- rushing · CAR
- 44
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 104
- rushing · YPC
- 2.4
Alec Clark · P
CFBD athlete 5172403
- punting · In 20
- 11
- punting · LONG
- 75
- punting · NO
- 26
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1248
- punting · YPP
- 48.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 13.0
Alfonzo Allen · S
CFBD athlete 4685238
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Amir Jackson · TE
CFBD athlete 5139093
- receiving · LONG
- 48
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 133
- receiving · YPR
- 19.0
Anthony Rubio · RB
CFBD athlete 5151893
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 16
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Bailey Stockton · WR
CFBD athlete 5125593
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- puntReturns · AVG
- 15.7
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 3
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 47
- receiving · LONG
- 59
- receiving · REC
- 35
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 365
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Ben Hanks III · CB
CFBD athlete 5295813
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Brendan Bett · DL
CFBD athlete 5086808
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Brian Case · RB
CFBD athlete 5295817
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Bryce Lovett · OL
CFBD athlete 4921261
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Bryce Thornton · S
CFBD athlete 4870995
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Byron Louis · RB
CFBD athlete 5141565
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 32
- receiving · YPR
- 32.0
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 15
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 34
- rushing · YPC
- 5.7
Cam Dooley · S
CFBD athlete 5149513
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Cormani Mcclain · CB
CFBD athlete 4870920
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
D.K. Kalu · DL
CFBD athlete 4870873
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
DJ Coleman · S
CFBD athlete 5159672
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 32
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 1
Dallas Wilson · WR
CFBD athlete 5141723
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 417
- receiving · YPR
- 13.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Dijon Johnson · CB
CFBD athlete 4899671
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
- interceptions · AVG
- 1.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 1
Drake Stubbs · S
CFBD athlete 5295812
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Duke Clark · RB
CFBD athlete 5295815
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 23
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 23
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 26
- receiving · YPR
- 5.2
- rushing · CAR
- 36
- rushing · LONG
- 45
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 265
- rushing · YPC
- 7.4
Emmanuel Oybadejo · DL
CFBD athlete 5226569
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Eric Singleton Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5095360
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 112
- receiving · YPR
- 8.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Evan Chieca · TE
CFBD athlete 5303826
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 11.0
Evan Pryor · RB
CFBD athlete 4432757
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 28
- receiving · YPR
- 4.7
- rushing · CAR
- 19
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 41
- rushing · YPC
- 2.2
J'Vari Flowers · CB
CFBD athlete 5161809
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 23
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 23
Jadan Baugh · RB
CFBD athlete 5079322
- puntReturns · AVG
- 4.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 4
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 4
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 59
- receiving · YPR
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 152
- rushing · LONG
- 75
- rushing · TD
- 13
- rushing · YDS
- 801
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Jaden Robinson · LB
CFBD athlete 4870978
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Jalen Wiggins · DL
CFBD athlete 5141747
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jamari Lyons · DL
CFBD athlete 4685452
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jayden Woods · LB
CFBD athlete 5141766
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 8.0
- defensive · TOT
- 31
Jeramiah Mccloud · DL
CFBD athlete 5195951
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Jordy Lowery · CB
CFBD athlete 4812379
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Joseph Mbatchou · DL
CFBD athlete 5221980
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Justin Williams · WR
CFBD athlete 5271234
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 7.5
KJ Ford · LB
CFBD athlete 5158984
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kahleil Jackson · WR
CFBD athlete 4693740
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 48
- passing · YPA
- 48.0
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Kamran James · DL
CFBD athlete 5083314
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Kanye Clark · DB
CFBD athlete 5153615
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Kofi Asare · LB
CFBD athlete 4912316
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
L.J. McCray · DL
CFBD athlete 5079521
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Lagonza Hayward · S
CFBD athlete 5195292
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Lakota Dippre · TE
CFBD athlete 5121998
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 16
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 30
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 8.2
Liam Padron · PK
CFBD athlete 5228136
- kicking · FGA
- 0
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0
- kicking · PTS
- 1
- kicking · XPA
- 1
- kicking · XPM
- 1
London Montgomery · RB
CFBD athlete 4941012
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.7
- kickReturns · LONG
- 74
- kickReturns · NO
- 15
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 356
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 17
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 56
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Luke Harpring · TE
CFBD athlete 5218907
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 165
- receiving · YPR
- 11.8
Micah Jones · TE
CFBD athlete 5195483
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Micah Mays Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 4870826
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 8.1
Myles Graham · LB
CFBD athlete 5079480
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 30
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 56
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Myles Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5149469
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Patrick Durkin · PK
CFBD athlete 5219725
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 11
- kicking · LONG
- 53
- kicking · PCT
- 0.917
- kicking · PTS
- 66
- kicking · XPA
- 33
- kicking · XPM
- 33
Stive-Bentley Keumajou-Yondui · DL
CFBD athlete 5391549
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
TJ Shanahan · OL
CFBD athlete 4871033
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tawaski Abrams · WR
CFBD athlete 5079289
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 63
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 189
- receiving · YPR
- 17.2
Tramell Jones Jr. · QB
CFBD athlete 5295814
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 89
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 63
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.708
- passing · TD
- 4
- passing · YDS
- 579
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 24
- rushing · LONG
- 14
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 83
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Ty Jackson · LB
CFBD athlete 5167180
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Vernell Brown III · WR
CFBD athlete 5295811
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 2
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 37.8
- puntReturns · LONG
- 70
- puntReturns · NO
- 5
- puntReturns · TD
- 2
- puntReturns · YDS
- 189
- receiving · LONG
- 49
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 271
- receiving · YPR
- 15.9
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 14
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 16
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
Florida -6.5
DraftKings snapshot: Florida -6.5
Florida by 6.25
0.25 points toward Oklahoma versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Florida.
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Net EPA rating difference: +2.25
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 6.25 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs faf2c3f8330f7f4b8d1c3de32f39fa0f98e9ae5387c048dfe5e43d90c6004c30 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f85efadbdc2b391ad38d87e67aafc3f7fa4c14baf11be4e94875cee55dd1da9f · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -6.5 | -6.5 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -6.25 | -6.25 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | -0.25 | -0.25 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Florida; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: faf2c3f8330f7f4b8d1c3de32f39fa0f98e9ae5387c048dfe5e43d90c6004c30. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.3 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
Florida win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 66%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Florida -6
- Stacked ensemble
- 58%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Florida.
- away adjusted epa allowed: -9.56 (path difference 1.42)
- away adjusted success allowed: -9.13 (path difference 1.07)
- home elo: +8.36 (path difference 3.85)
- home adjusted success: +8.35 (path difference 1.24)
- away talent: -7.28 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +7.28 (path difference 1.45)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.52 (path difference 1.70)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.21 (path difference 6.02)
- home talent: +5.93 (path difference 2.88)
- away adjusted epa: +5.77 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.51 (path difference 1.95)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -5.48 (path difference 2.80)
- home adjusted passing epa: +4.73 (path difference 4.09)
- home adjusted second level yards: +4.54 (path difference 1.92)
- away elo: -4.05 (path difference 0.95)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.55 (path difference 1.06)
- home adjusted line yards: -3.36 (path difference 0.85)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.34 (path difference 3.07)
- away conference: +3.10 (path difference 1.26)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -2.97 (path difference 0.65)
- home conference: +2.74 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted second level yards: +2.52 (path difference 1.87)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.23 (path difference 0.68)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -2.01 (path difference 0.33)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.79 (path difference 2.05)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +1.77 (path difference 0.65)
- away adjusted success: -1.74 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.57 (path difference 0.93)
- home adjusted open field yards: -1.49 (path difference 0.38)
- week: -1.38 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.36 (path difference 0.40)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.34 (path difference 0.91)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.29 (path difference 0.57)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.08 (path difference 0.15)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.08 (path difference 0.20)
- home adjusted epa: +1.01 (path difference 0.63)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.90 (path difference 0.92)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.89 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.72 (path difference 0.87)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.70 (path difference 1.63)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.52 (path difference 0.63)
- home adjusted standard down success: +0.46 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.40 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted standard down success: -0.40 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.29 (path difference 0.37)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.47)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.00)
- away adjusted passing epa: -0.18 (path difference 0.89)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.17 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted explosiveness: -0.12 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted success allowed: -0.08 (path difference 0.82)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.06 (path difference 0.14)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 58.25 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 5bbcbac8944ec24ac65865739211e0e1918fd8c19af2c8975da5da250c9017b3 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 605c7fdad2eef1b72c864347c7ab25ecee87abbfd7a3d14547c8b6e593842911 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
Oklahoma
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 100 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John MateerCFBD athlete 4915980 Week 7 vs Kentucky: 12 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.068 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.800 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Carolina: 11 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.518 raw PPA. | 32 | 2.2 | 9 | 32.0% | 83 / 2.0 |
Lloyd AvantCFBD athlete 5079298 Week 7 vs Kentucky: 8 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.037 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 13 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 23.1% success · -0.175 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Carolina: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.392 raw PPA. | 27 | 4.1 | 0 | 27.0% | 78 / 4.4 |
Tory BlaylockCFBD athlete 5141386 Week 7 vs Kentucky: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.359 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 12 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.028 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Carolina: 6 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.039 raw PPA. | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 25.0% | 35 / 4.2 |
Jonathan Hatton Jr.CFBD athlete 5159029 Week 7 vs Kentucky: 3 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.538 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 2 attempts · -0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.558 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Carolina: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.122 raw PPA. | 12 | 3.2 | 0 | 12.0% | 31 / 3.0 |
Isaiah SategnaCFBD athlete 5080703 Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 3 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.339 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Carolina: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.296 raw PPA. | 4 | 6.8 | 0 | 4.0% | 9 / 4.8 |
Florida
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 105 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadan BaughCFBD athlete 5079322 Week 6 vs South Carolina: 15 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.103 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 24 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.002 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia: 17 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 17.6% success · -0.392 raw PPA. | 56 | 3.3 | 0 | 53.3% | 146 / 5.3 |
Tramell Jones Jr.CFBD athlete 5295814 Week 6 vs South Carolina: 2 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.652 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 10 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.127 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia: 8 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.549 raw PPA. | 20 | 3.6 | 4 | 19.0% | 23 / 3.5 |
Aaron PhiloCFBD athlete 5132812 Week 6 vs South Carolina: 12 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.180 raw PPA. | 12 | 2.3 | 3 | 11.4% | 42 / 2.3 |
Evan PryorCFBD athlete 4432757 Week 6 vs South Carolina: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.809 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.075 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.357 raw PPA. | 6 | 0.3 | 0 | 5.7% | 18 / 2.3 |
London MontgomeryCFBD athlete 4941012 Week 7 vs Texas: 4 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.008 raw PPA. | 4 | 5.0 | 0 | 3.8% | 13 / 4.3 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | FloridaOffense | OklahomaDefense | OklahomaOffense | FloridaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.22 76th | -0.07 94th | +0.00 11th | +0.05 61st |
| Success rate | 44.5% 64th | 34.3% 91st | 37.6% 9th | 42.7% 30th |
| Explosiveness | 1.23 49th | 1.31 19th | 1.12 10th | 1.14 87th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.17 79th | -0.10 85th | -0.10 3rd | -0.02 66th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.32 65th | -0.01 93rd | +0.21 41st | +0.23 36th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 14.4% 56th | 17.8% 74th | 15.9% 34th | 18.9% 85th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:51 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:51 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Tate Sandell · Oklahoma · PAAR 0.07 · 18 attempts
- Liam Evans · Oklahoma · PAAR 0.61 · 1 attempts
- Patrick Durkin · Florida · PAAR 6.22 · 12 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Florida spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -4 · Snapshot spread: -6.5
First locally observed: -4 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 45.5
Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -238 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -170 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +195 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +142 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -6.5 · Snapshot spread: -6.5
First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 45.5 · Snapshot total: 45
Total · First locally observed: 45.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -260 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -260 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +215 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +215 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Florida
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · SEC
Oklahoma
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · SEC
Travel
Oklahoma travels 959 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · down 1,017 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Series tied 1–1 in 2 meetings since 2008.
- 2020 · NFlorida at Oklahoma20–55 · Oklahoma
- 2008 · NFlorida at Oklahoma24–14 · Florida
CFBD matchup data Last 2 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.