Week 9 · 2026

Utah at Cincinnati

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Utah

Window: 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Devon Dampier QB 3 games	49.0% 50 / 102 plays	61.3% 19 / 31 plays
Wayshawn Parker RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.0% 26 / 50 plays
Daniel Bray RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	45.5% 5 / 11 plays
Byrd Ficklin QB 3 games	100.0% 1 / 1 plays	42.9% 3 / 7 plays
Hunter Andrews TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Braden Pegan WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Semi Taulanga TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Braden Pegan · WR

CFBD athlete 4869422

interceptions · AVG: 5.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 5
receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 6
receiving · YDS: 459
receiving · YPR: 13.5
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Brandon Rose · QB

CFBD athlete 4804885

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Brock Fonoimoana · LB

CFBD athlete 5294264

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0

Byrd Ficklin · QB

CFBD athlete 5294263

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 18
passing · COMPLETIONS: 10
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.556
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 186
passing · YPA: 10.3
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 4.4
rushing · CAR: 23
rushing · LONG: 32
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 154
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Cedric Jefferson · OL

CFBD athlete 5172606

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Creed Whittemore · WR

CFBD athlete 4871040

puntReturns · AVG: 7.7
puntReturns · LONG: 15
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 23
receiving · LONG: 43
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 306
receiving · YPR: 16.1

Cyrus Polu · LB

CFBD athlete 5167189

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 26
kickReturns · AVG: 36.0
kickReturns · LONG: 36
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 36

Daniel Bray · RB

CFBD athlete 5203476

kickReturns · AVG: 20.3
kickReturns · LONG: 26
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 61
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 78
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 24
rushing · LONG: 63
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 162
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Davis Andrews · S

CFBD athlete 5122772

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Devon Dampier · QB

CFBD athlete 5105849

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 198
passing · COMPLETIONS: 136
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.687
passing · TD: 15
passing · YDS: 1616
passing · YPA: 8.2
rushing · CAR: 74
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 349
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Dillon Curtis · PK

CFBD athlete 5257815

kicking · FGA: 8
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 54
kicking · PCT: 0.750
kicking · PTS: 48
kicking · XPA: 31
kicking · XPM: 30

Dylan Waters · CB

CFBD athlete 5290770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Elijah Davis · CB

CFBD athlete 4808760

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Elijah Elliss · LB

CFBD athlete 5193707

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 24

Elijah Reed · CB

CFBD athlete 4903471

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Ethan Day · DE

CFBD athlete 5152199

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Hunter Andrews · TE

CFBD athlete 5148821

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 43
rushing · YPC: 8.6

JC Hart · CB

CFBD athlete 5088562

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jackson Bennee · S

CFBD athlete 5219991

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 32
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 4

James Chenault · CB

CFBD athlete 5147164

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12
interceptions · AVG: 15.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 30

Jeremiah Caldwell · CB

CFBD athlete 4713278

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jireh Moe · DT

CFBD athlete 5215636

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 23
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Johnathan Hall · LB

CFBD athlete 5078818

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 33

Karson Kaufusi · DT

CFBD athlete 5167750

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Kash Dillon · DE

CFBD athlete 5104280

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Kelvin Obot · OL

CFBD athlete 5245132

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kyri Shoels · WR

CFBD athlete 5220596

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

LaMarcus Bell · RB

CFBD athlete 5264742

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 93
rushing · YPC: 11.6

Lance Holtzclaw · DE

CFBD athlete 4816097

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Larry Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 4685704

receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 112
receiving · YPR: 18.7

Lucas Samsula · DT

CFBD athlete 5121725

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 2

Mana Carvalho · WR

CFBD athlete 5294259

puntReturns · AVG: 6.4
puntReturns · LONG: 25
puntReturns · NO: 12
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 77
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 38
receiving · YPR: 19.0

Manny Fuller · S

CFBD athlete 5294266

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Marcus Wimberly · S

CFBD athlete 5155562

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Mateaki Helu · RB

CFBD athlete 5294267

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 36
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Mike Tauteoli · DT

CFBD athlete 5229934

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nate Ritchie · S

CFBD athlete 4430691

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 28

Nate Tilmon · S

CFBD athlete 5196810

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 6
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Nicholas Brown · CB

CFBD athlete 5226164

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Noah Bennee · TE

CFBD athlete 4900351

receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 248
receiving · YPR: 13.8

Orion Phillips · P

CFBD athlete 5166220

punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 20
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 851
punting · YPP: 42.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

PJ Takitaki · DE

CFBD athlete 5215359

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Paul Fitzgerald · DE

CFBD athlete 4878108

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Pupu Sepulona · DT

CFBD athlete 5258445

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Rabbit Evans · S

CFBD athlete 5219993

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 30
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Ricky Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5132652

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 233
receiving · YPR: 14.6

Semi Taulanga · TE

CFBD athlete 5221211

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Sione Motuapuaka · TE

CFBD athlete 5141570

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Steve Chavez-Soto · RB

CFBD athlete 5296612

rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 63
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Tanner Cragun · PK

CFBD athlete 4695604

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 2
kicking · XPA: 2
kicking · XPM: 2

Tayson Reid · LB

CFBD athlete 5384865

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Trey Reynolds · LB

CFBD athlete 4597311

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 44
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Wayshawn Parker · RB

CFBD athlete 5173431

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 247
receiving · YPR: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 102
rushing · LONG: 90
rushing · TD: 8
rushing · YDS: 644
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Will Monney · TE

CFBD athlete 5114312

receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 0
receiving · YPR: 0.0

Cincinnati

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-04 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
JC French QB 3 games	45.8% 44 / 96 plays	45.8% 11 / 24 plays
Cole Tabb RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 18 / 36 plays
Gi'Bran Payne RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	22.2% 4 / 18 plays
Zylan Perry RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 7 / 14 plays
Samaj Jones QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Malachi Henry WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Antwan Peek Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5091774

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 54
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Brian Simms III · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4950554

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

CJ Crite · S

CFBD athlete 5214495

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

CJ Jones · S

CFBD athlete 5296156

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Cade Wolford · WR

CFBD athlete 5193274

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 7.2
puntReturns · LONG: 12
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 43
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 4.5

Cameron Roetherford · DL

CFBD athlete 5084332

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Chidera Otutu · DL

CFBD athlete 5149057

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Cole Tabb · RB

CFBD athlete 5107875

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 139
receiving · YPR: 9.9
rushing · CAR: 65
rushing · LONG: 58
rushing · TD: 9
rushing · YDS: 621
rushing · YPC: 9.6

D'Angelo Hutchinson · S

CFBD athlete 4812358

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Damaine Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 5147692

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 37

Daniel James · CB

CFBD athlete 5079527

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Devyn Zahursky · TE

CFBD athlete 5146995

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Drew Logan · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4833027

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Elijah Gunn · DL

CFBD athlete 5154786

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Elijah Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5079474

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Evan Weinberg · LB

CFBD athlete 5290985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Filip Maciorowski · LB

CFBD athlete 5151511

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Gavin Grover · TE

CFBD athlete 5079429

kickReturns · AVG: 6.5
kickReturns · LONG: 11
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 13
receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 106
receiving · YPR: 10.6

Gi'Bran Payne · RB

CFBD athlete 4685509

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 3.2
rushing · CAR: 69
rushing · LONG: 53
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 418
rushing · YPC: 6.1

Giyahni Kontosis · WR

CFBD athlete 5296155

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 7.8

Isaiah Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5225509

receiving · LONG: 51
receiving · REC: 26
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 245
receiving · YPR: 9.4

JC French · QB

CFBD athlete 4685345

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 183
passing · COMPLETIONS: 127
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.694
passing · TD: 13
passing · YDS: 1510
passing · YPA: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 75
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 291
rushing · YPC: 3.9

JaVonnie Gibson · WR

CFBD athlete 5229489

receiving · LONG: 64
receiving · REC: 29
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 385
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Jacob Finley · CB

CFBD athlete 4912182

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 35
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jamari Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5222664

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

James Lewis · RB

CFBD athlete 5381523

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Jasper Beeler · S

CFBD athlete 5296144

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 53

Jaylon White-McClain · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5082428

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Jayzon Thompson · RB

CFBD athlete 5161913

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Jonathan Rulo · DL

CFBD athlete 5281460

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Jonathan Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 4880275

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 57

Josh Hough · DL

CFBD athlete 4612214

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 15

KK Meier · CB

CFBD athlete 5084961

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Ka'Maurri Smith · TE

CFBD athlete 5222568

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 3.5

Keegan Horn · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5315798

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Kellen Davis · TE

CFBD athlete 5296159

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Kenny Worthy III · CB

CFBD athlete 5170076

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 23
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Larenzo Fenner · WR

CFBD athlete 5155062

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 157
receiving · YPR: 13.1

Liam O'Brien · QB

CFBD athlete 5084404

passing · ATT: 5
passing · COMPLETIONS: 5
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 18
passing · YPA: 3.6
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Lyviel Waters · TE

CFBD athlete 5219190

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 6.7

Malachi Henry · WR

CFBD athlete 5152045

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 8
passing · YPA: 8.0
puntReturns · AVG: 18.5
puntReturns · LONG: 36
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 37
receiving · LONG: 69
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 271
receiving · YPR: 30.1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Mark Cannon Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5087223

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 37
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Marqavious Saboor · LB

CFBD athlete 5147238

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Marquaze Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 5149912

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

Max Fletcher · P

CFBD athlete 4899342

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 70
punting · NO: 25
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1147
punting · YPP: 45.9
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Max Lemasters · PK

CFBD athlete 5219191

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 0
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 0

Montay Weedon · LB

CFBD athlete 5135203

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 7

Nathan Nunn · DL

CFBD athlete 5219186

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Patrick Bauer · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5168724

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Patrick Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5193833

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Samaj Jones · QB

CFBD athlete 5089327

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 9
passing · YPA: 4.5
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 60
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Simeon Coleman · LB

CFBD athlete 5101127

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 48

Stephen Rusnak · PK

CFBD athlete 4880207

kicking · FGA: 6
kicking · FGM: 4
kicking · LONG: 54
kicking · PCT: 0.667
kicking · PTS: 44
kicking · XPA: 32
kicking · XPM: 32

Thomas Johnson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5102177

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Zay Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 5219179

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zion Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5141488

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 15
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 49
rushing · YPC: 3.3

Zylan Perry · RB

CFBD athlete 4917310

kickReturns · AVG: 21.1
kickReturns · LONG: 32
kickReturns · NO: 8
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 169
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 168
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Utah -7

DraftKings snapshot: Cincinnati +7

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Utah by 5.21

1.79 points toward Cincinnati versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Cincinnati.

Net EPA rating difference: -9.15
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -5.21 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 78c7988e1255057996398d56c9cdb9f74f1b7a01c883027603a9aee40e99499b · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast c717666b7e8e4ac586dbadbfec4ade54c23a49e318897237be6c9cd2a5a555b0 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Cincinnati · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	+6.5	+7.0	+0.5
Model spread	+5.21	+5.21	0.0
Model gap	+1.29	+1.79	+0.5

Negative spreads favor Cincinnati; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 78c7988e1255057996398d56c9cdb9f74f1b7a01c883027603a9aee40e99499b. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +1.8 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Cincinnati win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 32%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Cincinnati +7
Stacked ensemble: 28%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Cincinnati.

away adjusted success: -17.55 (path difference 0.03)
away elo: -9.60 (path difference 0.60)
away adjusted rushing epa: +6.87 (path difference 2.00)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.81 (path difference 3.70)
away adjusted epa allowed: -6.71 (path difference 3.24)
away adjusted success allowed: -5.89 (path difference 0.19)
home adjusted explosiveness: +4.72 (path difference 0.99)
away adjusted epa: -4.53 (path difference 2.05)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.60 (path difference 0.99)
away adjusted standard down success: +3.51 (path difference 2.00)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.50 (path difference 2.27)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.44 (path difference 2.94)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.07 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted success: +3.04 (path difference 0.59)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.88 (path difference 1.29)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.86 (path difference 1.08)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -2.78 (path difference 3.05)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.27 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted line yards: -2.13 (path difference 0.47)
away talent: -1.93 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.86 (path difference 0.75)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.81 (path difference 2.25)
home adjusted line yards: +1.69 (path difference 0.30)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.54 (path difference 0.55)
home adjusted passing epa: +1.46 (path difference 0.11)
home talent: +1.40 (path difference 0.77)
home elo: +1.40 (path difference 0.10)
home adjusted success allowed: -1.38 (path difference 0.54)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.21 (path difference 0.17)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.19 (path difference 1.45)
home adjusted rushing epa: +1.15 (path difference 0.72)
home adjusted open field yards: +1.11 (path difference 0.29)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.94 (path difference 1.08)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.91 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.77 (path difference 2.66)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.76 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted second level yards: +0.56 (path difference 0.27)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.54 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.49 (path difference 0.29)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.48 (path difference 0.36)
home conference: -0.46 (path difference 0.25)
away conference: -0.45 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.33 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.31 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted passing down success: +0.28 (path difference 0.11)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.25 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted epa allowed: -0.25 (path difference 1.44)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.19 (path difference 1.23)
home adjusted epa: -0.18 (path difference 2.45)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.18 (path difference 0.76)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.11 (path difference 0.46)
week: -0.07 (path difference 1.08)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.05 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.02 (path difference 0.43)

Reconciles to 27.73 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 6462727c07dc04bb550f3d57676686e87ecd915daf18e0f95fa17cfe1e464a02 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 476ba17360ef8fa34e4e1c571944f6d84b093e05828100ed5e84dbb556ef25af · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Utah

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Wayshawn Parker CFBD athlete 5173431 Week 6 vs Kansas: 14 attempts · 11.7 YPC · 64.3% success · 0.832 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Colorado: 23 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 52.2% success · 0.154 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 13 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.020 raw PPA.	50	6.2	0	45.5%	99 / 6.3
Devon Dampier CFBD athlete 5105849 Week 6 vs Kansas: 15 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.412 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Colorado: 7 attempts · -1.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.552 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 15 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.909 raw PPA.	37	5.8	6	33.6%	70 / 4.9
Daniel Bray CFBD athlete 5203476 Week 6 vs Kansas: 4 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.014 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Colorado: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.244 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 3 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.629 raw PPA.	11	5.6	0	10.0%	23 / 7.0
Byrd Ficklin CFBD athlete 5294263 Week 6 vs Kansas: 5 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.501 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Colorado: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.381 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.300 raw PPA.	7	5.0	0	6.4%	23 / 6.2
Hunter Andrews CFBD athlete 5148821 Week 7 vs Colorado: 3 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.238 raw PPA.	3	8.7	0	2.7%	5 / 8.6

Cincinnati

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 102 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Cole Tabb CFBD athlete 5107875 Week 5 vs Arizona: 6 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.005 raw PPA. Week 7 vs West Virginia: 14 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.203 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 16 attempts · 10.8 YPC · 56.3% success · 0.590 raw PPA.	36	7.8	0	35.3%	63 / 9.4
JC French CFBD athlete 4685345 Week 5 vs Arizona: 8 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.600 raw PPA. Week 7 vs West Virginia: 13 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.015 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 11 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.398 raw PPA.	32	4.1	8	31.4%	71 / 4.0
Gi'Bran Payne CFBD athlete 4685509 Week 5 vs Arizona: 11 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.322 raw PPA. Week 7 vs West Virginia: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.388 raw PPA.	18	2.8	0	17.6%	67 / 6.2
Zylan Perry CFBD athlete 4917310 Week 7 vs West Virginia: 5 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.441 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 9 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.337 raw PPA.	14	5.1	0	13.7%	26 / 6.5
Samaj Jones CFBD athlete 5089327 Week 5 vs Arizona: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.155 raw PPA.	1	2.0	0	1.0%	9 / 6.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	CincinnatiOffense	UtahDefense	UtahOffense	CincinnatiDefense
PPA/play	+0.29 91st	-0.03 85th	+0.28 90th	+0.15 23rd
Success rate	46.9% 74th	34.6% 91st	49.9% 93rd	43.0% 28th
Explosiveness	1.38 94th	1.35 12th	1.27 70th	1.22 51st
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.27 94th	-0.17 96th	+0.22 89th	+0.09 29th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.35 73rd	+0.19 46th	+0.43 88th	+0.30 21st
Havoc allowed / created	11.3% 91st	18.0% 79th	14.7% 48th	16.8% 65th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:20 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:20 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Stephen Rusnak · Cincinnati · PAAR 2.82 · 6 attempts
Dillon Curtis · Utah · PAAR -1.57 · 7 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Cincinnati spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +9.5 · Snapshot spread: +7

First locally observed: +9.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 56.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +220 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +270 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -270 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -340 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +7

First locally observed: +6.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 58 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 58 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +210 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -250 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Cincinnati

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12

62nd FBS percentile

Utah

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

91st FBS percentile

Travel

Utah travels 1,446 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 2 time zones crossed · down 3,876 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Utah leads 1–0 in 1 meetings since 2025.

2025Cincinnati at Utah14–45 · Utah

CFBD matchup data Last 1 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.