Week 10 · 2026
BYU at Utah
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
BYU
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Bear Bachmeier QB 3 games | 45.5% 45 / 99 plays | 48.8% 20 / 41 plays |
| Sione I Moa RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 23.8% 5 / 21 plays |
| Preston Rex RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 35.7% 5 / 14 plays |
| Legend Glasker WR 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 3 / 6 plays |
| Journee Tonga RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 5 plays |
| Kyler Kasper WR 1 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
| Fuller Shurtz P 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 63 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Ace Kaufusi · LB
CFBD athlete 5150613
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Anisi Purcell · DT
CFBD athlete 5093757
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Bear Bachmeier · QB
CFBD athlete 5141367
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 214
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 135
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.631
- passing · TD
- 12
- passing · YDS
- 1750
- passing · YPA
- 8.2
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 15
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
- rushing · CAR
- 80
- rushing · LONG
- 39
- rushing · TD
- 7
- rushing · YDS
- 336
- rushing · YPC
- 4.2
Blake Lowe · LB
CFBD athlete 5147149
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Bodie Schoonover · DE
CFBD athlete 5092203
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Braxton Lindsey · LB
CFBD athlete 5271214
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Brody Laga · PK
CFBD athlete 5193545
- kicking · FGA
- 0
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0
- kicking · PTS
- 3
- kicking · XPA
- 3
- kicking · XPM
- 3
Cade Uluave · LB
CFBD athlete 4954453
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 30
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 52
- interceptions · AVG
- 17.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 17
Cannon DeVries · CB
CFBD athlete 5296270
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 41.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 100
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 1
- kickReturns · YDS
- 166
- puntReturns · AVG
- 13.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 46
- puntReturns · NO
- 14
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 182
Charles Miska · RB
CFBD athlete 5237159
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 9
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Crew Clark · S
CFBD athlete 5296276
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Devaughn Eka · RB
CFBD athlete 5282663
- rushing · CAR
- 15
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 101
- rushing · YPC
- 6.7
Evan Johnson · CB
CFBD athlete 4917351
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 16.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 16
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 16
Faletau Satuala · S
CFBD athlete 5147239
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 43
- interceptions · AVG
- 59.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 59
Fuller Shurtz · P
CFBD athlete 5296273
- punting · In 20
- 6
- punting · LONG
- 61
- punting · NO
- 25
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1119
- punting · YPP
- 44.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -4
- rushing · YPC
- -4.0
Gage Tanner · LB
CFBD athlete 5393166
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Hunter Clegg · DE
CFBD athlete 5261392
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 20.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 20
Isaiah Glasker · LB
CFBD athlete 5080697
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 31
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jake Clifton · LB
CFBD athlete 4870235
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Jared Esplin · WR
CFBD athlete 5393160
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 15
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Jarinn Kalama · S
CFBD athlete 5219648
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jayven Williams · CB
CFBD athlete 5083105
- defensive · PD
- 7
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jojo Phillips · WR
CFBD athlete 5160955
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 130
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Jordyn Criss · CB
CFBD athlete 5264726
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Joseph Douglas · S
CFBD athlete 5296274
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Journee Tonga · RB
CFBD athlete 5393157
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 12.5
- rushing · CAR
- 32
- rushing · LONG
- 38
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 184
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Justin Kirkland · DT
CFBD athlete 5088941
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Keanu Tanuvasa · DT
CFBD athlete 4912270
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Keayen Nead · TE
CFBD athlete 5085618
- kickReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 10
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 10
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Kendal Wall · DE
CFBD athlete 5215372
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Kennan Pula · S
CFBD athlete 5209417
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Kevin Doe · CB
CFBD athlete 5160957
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kini Fonohema · DE
CFBD athlete 5193692
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kyler Kasper · WR
CFBD athlete 4870876
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 15
- passing · YPA
- 15.0
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 30
- receiving · TD
- 5
- receiving · YDS
- 430
- receiving · YPR
- 14.3
LJ Martin · RB
CFBD athlete 4918126
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 41
- receiving · YPR
- 8.2
- rushing · CAR
- 44
- rushing · LONG
- 56
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 344
- rushing · YPC
- 7.8
Legend Glasker · WR
CFBD athlete 5279329
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 75
- receiving · REC
- 32
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 585
- receiving · YPR
- 18.3
- rushing · CAR
- 17
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 109
- rushing · YPC
- 6.4
Logan Payne · RB
CFBD athlete 5296275
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 30
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Maika Kaufusi · LB
CFBD athlete 5150620
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Matthias Dunn · PK
CFBD athlete 5150638
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 7
- kicking · LONG
- 49
- kicking · PCT
- 0.875
- kicking · PTS
- 52
- kicking · XPA
- 31
- kicking · XPM
- 31
Matthias Leach · S
CFBD athlete 5186445
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- interceptions · AVG
- 18.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 18
Miles Hall · LB
CFBD athlete 5078822
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Nusi Taumoepeau · DE
CFBD athlete 5167712
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Orion Maile-Kaufusi · DE
CFBD athlete 5219654
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Payton VanSteenkiste · S
CFBD athlete 5219650
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Pierson Watson · LB
CFBD athlete 5296272
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Preston Rex · RB
CFBD athlete 5092200
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 47
- receiving · YPR
- 5.9
- rushing · CAR
- 39
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 223
- rushing · YPC
- 5.7
Raider Damuni · S
CFBD athlete 5150619
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Reggie Frischknecht · WR
CFBD athlete 5296269
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 72
- receiving · YPR
- 18.0
Roger Saleapaga · TE
CFBD athlete 5130407
- receiving · LONG
- 63
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 146
- receiving · YPR
- 12.2
Siale Esera · LB
CFBD athlete 4899346
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Sione I Moa · RB
CFBD athlete 5219689
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 27
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 78
- rushing · YPC
- 2.9
Siosefa Brown · DE
CFBD athlete 5296281
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
Tausili Akana · DE
CFBD athlete 4870593
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Terrance Saryon · WR
CFBD athlete 5245511
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -6
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Therrian Alexander · CB
CFBD athlete 5147161
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Tiger Bachmeier · WR
CFBD athlete 4918421
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 6
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 48
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
Tommy Prassas · S
CFBD athlete 5147386
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Treyson Bourguet · QB
CFBD athlete 4688540
- passing · ATT
- 3
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.333
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 15
- passing · YPA
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 17
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 17
- rushing · YPC
- 17.0
Ulavai Fetuli · DT
CFBD athlete 5216565
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Viliami Po'uha · DT
CFBD athlete 5219651
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Vincent Tautua · DE
CFBD athlete 5238342
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Walker Lyons · TE
CFBD athlete 5221043
- receiving · LONG
- 26
- receiving · REC
- 24
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 255
- receiving · YPR
- 10.6
Will Zundel · TE
CFBD athlete 5219646
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Utah
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier QB 3 games | 51.0% 50 / 98 plays | 61.5% 16 / 26 plays |
| Wayshawn Parker RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 48.8% 21 / 43 plays |
| Daniel Bray RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 53.3% 8 / 15 plays |
| Byrd Ficklin QB 3 games | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays | 42.9% 3 / 7 plays |
| Mateaki Helu RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 57.1% 4 / 7 plays |
| Hunter Andrews TE 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| LaMarcus Bell RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Steve Chavez-Soto RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 54 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Braden Pegan · WR
CFBD athlete 4869422
- interceptions · AVG
- 5.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 5
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 39
- receiving · TD
- 6
- receiving · YDS
- 505
- receiving · YPR
- 12.9
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 12
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Brandon Rose · QB
CFBD athlete 4804885
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 8
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Brock Fonoimoana · LB
CFBD athlete 5294264
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 0
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 0
Byrd Ficklin · QB
CFBD athlete 5294263
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 20
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 11
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.550
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 192
- passing · YPA
- 9.6
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 22
- receiving · YPR
- 4.4
- rushing · CAR
- 28
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 174
- rushing · YPC
- 6.2
Cedric Jefferson · OL
CFBD athlete 5172606
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Creed Whittemore · WR
CFBD athlete 4871040
- puntReturns · AVG
- 7.7
- puntReturns · LONG
- 15
- puntReturns · NO
- 3
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 23
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 21
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 347
- receiving · YPR
- 16.5
Cyrus Polu · LB
CFBD athlete 5167189
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- kickReturns · AVG
- 36.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 36
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 36
Daniel Bray · RB
CFBD athlete 5203476
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.8
- kickReturns · LONG
- 26
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 63
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 94
- receiving · YPR
- 6.3
- rushing · CAR
- 32
- rushing · LONG
- 63
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 237
- rushing · YPC
- 7.4
Davis Andrews · S
CFBD athlete 5122772
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Devon Dampier · QB
CFBD athlete 5105849
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 227
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 158
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.696
- passing · TD
- 18
- passing · YDS
- 1876
- passing · YPA
- 8.3
- rushing · CAR
- 83
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 394
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Dillon Curtis · PK
CFBD athlete 5257815
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 6
- kicking · LONG
- 54
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 55
- kicking · XPA
- 38
- kicking · XPM
- 37
Dylan Waters · CB
CFBD athlete 5290770
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Elijah Davis · CB
CFBD athlete 4808760
- defensive · PD
- 7
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- interceptions · AVG
- 39.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 39
Elijah Elliss · LB
CFBD athlete 5193707
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Elijah Reed · CB
CFBD athlete 4903471
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Ethan Day · DE
CFBD athlete 5152199
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Hunter Andrews · TE
CFBD athlete 5148821
- receiving · LONG
- 59
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 159
- receiving · YPR
- 13.3
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 44
- rushing · YPC
- 7.3
JC Hart · CB
CFBD athlete 5088562
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jackson Bennee · S
CFBD athlete 5219991
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 4
James Chenault · CB
CFBD athlete 5147164
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- interceptions · AVG
- 15.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 30
Jeremiah Caldwell · CB
CFBD athlete 4713278
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jireh Moe · DT
CFBD athlete 5215636
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 26
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Johnathan Hall · LB
CFBD athlete 5078818
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Karson Kaufusi · DT
CFBD athlete 5167750
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Kash Dillon · DE
CFBD athlete 5104280
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Kelvin Obot · OL
CFBD athlete 5245132
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kyri Shoels · WR
CFBD athlete 5220596
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 11.0
LaMarcus Bell · RB
CFBD athlete 5264742
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 34
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 109
- rushing · YPC
- 10.9
Lance Holtzclaw · DE
CFBD athlete 4816097
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Larry Simmons · WR
CFBD athlete 4685704
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 22
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 31
- receiving · LONG
- 26
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 120
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Lucas Samsula · DT
CFBD athlete 5121725
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Mana Carvalho · WR
CFBD athlete 5294259
- puntReturns · AVG
- 6.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 25
- puntReturns · NO
- 13
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 78
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 19.0
Manny Fuller · S
CFBD athlete 5294266
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Marcus Wimberly · S
CFBD athlete 5155562
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Mateaki Helu · RB
CFBD athlete 5294267
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- rushing · CAR
- 14
- rushing · LONG
- 14
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 63
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Mike Tauteoli · DT
CFBD athlete 5229934
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Nate Ritchie · S
CFBD athlete 4430691
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 35
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 5
- kickReturns · NO
- 0
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 5
Nate Tilmon · S
CFBD athlete 5196810
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Nicholas Brown · CB
CFBD athlete 5226164
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Noah Bennee · TE
CFBD athlete 4900351
- receiving · LONG
- 57
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 248
- receiving · YPR
- 13.8
Orion Phillips · P
CFBD athlete 5166220
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 60
- punting · NO
- 22
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 954
- punting · YPP
- 43.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
PJ Takitaki · DE
CFBD athlete 5215359
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Paul Fitzgerald · DE
CFBD athlete 4878108
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Pupu Sepulona · DT
CFBD athlete 5258445
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Rabbit Evans · S
CFBD athlete 5219993
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 32
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Ricky Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 5132652
- receiving · LONG
- 45
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 248
- receiving · YPR
- 14.6
Semi Taulanga · TE
CFBD athlete 5221211
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 1
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 1
- receiving · YPR
- 1.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 1
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 1
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Sione Motuapuaka · TE
CFBD athlete 5141570
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Steve Chavez-Soto · RB
CFBD athlete 5296612
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 2.5
- rushing · CAR
- 14
- rushing · LONG
- 15
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 65
- rushing · YPC
- 4.6
Tanner Cragun · PK
CFBD athlete 4695604
- kicking · FGA
- 0
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0
- kicking · PTS
- 2
- kicking · XPA
- 2
- kicking · XPM
- 2
Tayson Reid · LB
CFBD athlete 5384865
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Trey Reynolds · LB
CFBD athlete 4597311
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 46
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 2
Wayshawn Parker · RB
CFBD athlete 5173431
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 26
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 264
- receiving · YPR
- 10.2
- rushing · CAR
- 109
- rushing · LONG
- 90
- rushing · TD
- 9
- rushing · YDS
- 726
- rushing · YPC
- 6.7
Will Monney · TE
CFBD athlete 5114312
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 0
- receiving · YPR
- 0.0
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Utah -4.5
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches
Utah by 8.92
4.42 points toward Utah versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Utah.
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Net EPA rating difference: +4.92
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 8.92 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs e9ccf675f4e2ba3ad9eced5f844365b48d43dc90de1b57010463278a3ef3d346 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 0ff986e32c0a31cfbaadd1788ac5eb7f114ae49fca33d31816908b36ba16eb26 · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.25 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -4.75 | -4.5 | +0.25 |
| Model spread | -8.92 | -8.92 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +4.17 | +4.42 | +0.25 |
Negative spreads favor Utah; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: e9ccf675f4e2ba3ad9eced5f844365b48d43dc90de1b57010463278a3ef3d346. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Utah -4.5
Model gap +4.4 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Utah.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Utah win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 62%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Utah -4.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 76%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Utah.
- home elo: +21.78 (path difference 10.34)
- home adjusted success: +10.54 (path difference 4.31)
- home adjusted success allowed: +9.64 (path difference 6.79)
- away adjusted success: -7.10 (path difference 4.22)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.65 (path difference 4.50)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -6.27 (path difference 2.84)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.99 (path difference 5.09)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.25 (path difference 3.07)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.48 (path difference 4.72)
- away elo: -3.18 (path difference 1.99)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +3.05 (path difference 4.98)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.87 (path difference 1.32)
- away talent: -2.56 (path difference 0.71)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.35 (path difference 0.42)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.30 (path difference 0.85)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +1.99 (path difference 0.63)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.89 (path difference 0.55)
- home talent: +1.85 (path difference 0.12)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.74 (path difference 0.23)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -1.74 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.72 (path difference 0.50)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.61 (path difference 0.58)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -1.52 (path difference 0.80)
- away adjusted success allowed: -1.50 (path difference 0.49)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.49 (path difference 0.56)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.34 (path difference 0.85)
- away adjusted epa: -1.34 (path difference 0.57)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.26 (path difference 1.56)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.12 (path difference 0.46)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.07 (path difference 0.24)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.02 (path difference 0.85)
- home adjusted line yards: +1.01 (path difference 0.88)
- week: -0.96 (path difference 0.71)
- home adjusted standard down success: +0.86 (path difference 0.59)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.86 (path difference 0.17)
- home conference: -0.67 (path difference 0.66)
- home adjusted open field yards: +0.61 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted passing epa: +0.60 (path difference 0.74)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.54 (path difference 0.39)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.53 (path difference 1.45)
- away conference: -0.52 (path difference 0.37)
- home adjusted second level yards: -0.44 (path difference 0.36)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.44 (path difference 0.39)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.43 (path difference 1.26)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.42 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted epa: +0.41 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.36 (path difference 0.45)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.30 (path difference 1.34)
- home adjusted rushing epa: +0.25 (path difference 0.29)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.84)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.16 (path difference 0.10)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.11 (path difference 0.36)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.11 (path difference 1.46)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.11 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 75.96 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs aa66347b1a49dc2893b284fb30a52ed708d65ea9c4a23a565106fddfdec1db8b · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ee90deda7d9db9ec520e8bc1c9a29591a496183bfb882c574ae4b8387fd9fbb9 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
BYU
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 90 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear BachmeierCFBD athlete 5141367 Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 13 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.279 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UCF: 15 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.327 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona State: 15 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 35.7% success · -0.062 raw PPA. | 43 | 2.3 | 2 | 47.8% | 79 / 4.3 |
Sione I MoaCFBD athlete 5219689 Week 8 vs UCF: 13 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.144 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona State: 8 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.135 raw PPA. | 21 | 2.6 | 0 | 23.3% | 27 / 2.9 |
Preston RexCFBD athlete 5092200 Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 9 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.031 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UCF: 5 attempts · 8.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.276 raw PPA. | 14 | 6.9 | 0 | 15.6% | 38 / 5.6 |
Legend GlaskerCFBD athlete 5279329 Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.375 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UCF: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.635 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona State: 2 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.444 raw PPA. | 6 | 4.3 | 0 | 6.7% | 17 / 6.4 |
Journee TongaCFBD athlete 5393157 Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.464 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona State: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.637 raw PPA. | 5 | 1.6 | 0 | 5.6% | 32 / 5.8 |
Utah
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wayshawn ParkerCFBD athlete 5173431 Week 7 vs Colorado: 23 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 52.2% success · 0.154 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 13 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.020 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Cincinnati: 7 attempts · 11.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.529 raw PPA. | 43 | 5.3 | 0 | 38.7% | 106 / 6.7 |
Devon DampierCFBD athlete 5105849 Week 7 vs Colorado: 7 attempts · -1.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.552 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 15 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.909 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Cincinnati: 9 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.292 raw PPA. | 31 | 6.0 | 4 | 27.9% | 79 / 4.9 |
Daniel BrayCFBD athlete 5203476 Week 7 vs Colorado: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.244 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 3 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.629 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Cincinnati: 8 attempts · 9.4 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.537 raw PPA. | 15 | 8.1 | 0 | 13.5% | 31 / 7.6 |
Byrd FicklinCFBD athlete 5294263 Week 7 vs Colorado: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.381 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Houston: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.300 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Cincinnati: 5 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.733 raw PPA. | 7 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.3% | 28 / 5.8 |
Mateaki HeluCFBD athlete 5294267 Week 9 vs Cincinnati: 7 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 57.1% success · -0.027 raw PPA. | 7 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.3% | 13 / 4.6 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | UtahOffense | BYUDefense | BYUOffense | UtahDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.25 90th | +0.03 72nd | +0.23 81st | -0.03 84th |
| Success rate | 50.4% 96th | 39.2% 66th | 47.4% 80th | 35.5% 88th |
| Explosiveness | 1.27 64th | 1.14 82nd | 1.21 40th | 1.38 6th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.18 80th | -0.05 77th | +0.22 90th | -0.19 99th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.47 93rd | +0.18 55th | +0.26 54th | +0.22 39th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 14.6% 53rd | 18.3% 80th | 10.4% 95th | 18.0% 77th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:58 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:58 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Matthias Dunn · BYU · PAAR 4.58 · 8 attempts
- Dillon Curtis · Utah · PAAR -1.57 · 7 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Utah spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -3 · Snapshot spread: -4.5
First locally observed: -3 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5
Total · First locally observed: 51.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -192 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -142 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +160 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +120 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -5 · Snapshot spread: -4.5
First locally observed: -5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 47.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5
Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -200 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +170 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +170 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Utah
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12
BYU
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12
Travel
BYU travels 36 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Utah leads 59–34, 4 ties in 97 meetings since 1922.
- 2025Utah at BYU21–24 · BYU
- 2024BYU at Utah22–21 · BYU
- 2021Utah at BYU17–26 · BYU
- 2019Utah at BYU30–12 · Utah
- 2018BYU at Utah27–35 · Utah
- 2017Utah at BYU19–13 · Utah
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.