Week 10 · 2026

UCF at Kansas

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

UCF

Window: 2026-10-30 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Keyone Jenkins QB 3 games	42.2% 46 / 109 plays	47.4% 9 / 19 plays
Duke Watson RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.5% 19 / 40 plays
Alonza Barnett QB 1 games	25.0% 5 / 20 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Landen Chambers RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 9 / 18 plays
Taevion Swint RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	42.9% 3 / 7 plays
Duane Thomas Jr. WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Tyren Hornes WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Rocco Marriott QB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 65 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Agyeman Addae · RB

CFBD athlete 5296077

kickReturns · AVG: 18.0
kickReturns · LONG: 18
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 18
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 74
rushing · YPC: 12.3

Alonza Barnett · QB

CFBD athlete 4911929

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 65
passing · COMPLETIONS: 39
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.600
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 477
passing · YPA: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 24
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Amarion Queen · DB

CFBD athlete 5279122

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Anthony Coaxum · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5101237

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Antoine Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5160072

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 19.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 19
puntReturns · AVG: 13.6
puntReturns · LONG: 55
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 122

Artavius Jones · DT

CFBD athlete 5139099

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Arthur Lewis IV · RB

CFBD athlete 5271370

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Atticus Bertrams · P

CFBD athlete 5160651

punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 59
punting · NO: 33
punting · TB: 4
punting · YDS: 1521
punting · YPP: 46.1

Aymeric Koumba · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5080968

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Brad Gurley · DT

CFBD athlete 5086117

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Braeden Marshall · DB

CFBD athlete 4918127

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Caden Piening · TE

CFBD athlete 5148656

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 159
receiving · YPR: 10.6

Caleb Flagg · DB

CFBD athlete 5084793

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 5.8

Caleb Rollerson · WR

CFBD athlete 5221393

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 38
receiving · YPR: 9.5

Chase Hinshaw · WR

CFBD athlete 5296084

puntReturns · AVG: 28.0
puntReturns · LONG: 46
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 84

Cole Kozlowski · LB

CFBD athlete 5085950

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

DJ Bell · DB

CFBD athlete 5092994

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Demari Henderson · DB

CFBD athlete 4808748

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 35
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Duane Thomas Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5151048

puntReturns · AVG: -2.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -2
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 44
receiving · YPR: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Duke Watson · RB

CFBD athlete 5136049

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 1.9
rushing · CAR: 92
rushing · LONG: 64
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 597
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Dylan Wade · TE

CFBD athlete 4922996

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 87
receiving · YPR: 7.3

Elijah Keys · DB

CFBD athlete 5277347

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Grayson Brousseau · TE

CFBD athlete 5168802

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 2.5

Horace Lockett · DT

CFBD athlete 4875126

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Isaiah Nixon · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4941009

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 27
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jahleel Culbreath · LB

CFBD athlete 5092328

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 41
puntReturns · AVG: 12.0
puntReturns · LONG: 12
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 12

Jailen Duffie · DB

CFBD athlete 5156996

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jayden Bellamy · DB

CFBD athlete 4832028

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 19
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Jayden Burnett · LB

CFBD athlete 5385727

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jayden McDonald · LB

CFBD athlete 4708164

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Jayden Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 4709684

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 38
interceptions · AVG: 47.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 47

Jeffson Lafontant · DT

CFBD athlete 5163560

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 28

Jonathan Bibbs · WR

CFBD athlete 5193217

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 14.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: -1.0

Jordyn Bridgewater · WR

CFBD athlete 5161780

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Josh Schell · DT

CFBD athlete 5293964

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Joshua Derry · WR

CFBD athlete 5153889

kickReturns · AVG: 21.3
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 64
receiving · LONG: 67
receiving · REC: 37
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 428
receiving · YPR: 11.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Kahmel Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5331180

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Kaj Baker · RB

CFBD athlete 5172096

rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 30
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Kaleb Annett · QB

CFBD athlete 5154248

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.667
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 6
passing · YPA: 2.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Ken Talley · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5103176

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 18
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0

Keyone Jenkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5085337

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 180
passing · COMPLETIONS: 122
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.678
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1181
passing · YPA: 6.6
rushing · CAR: 46
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 61
rushing · YPC: 1.3

Kyle Hicks · LS

CFBD athlete 5225963

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Landen Chambers · RB

CFBD athlete 5078144

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 43
receiving · YPR: 10.8
rushing · CAR: 42
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 185
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Lewis Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 4870654

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 24

Matt Irwin · DB

CFBD athlete 5223957

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Matthew Occhipinti · LB

CFBD athlete 5290701

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Patrick Ryan · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5385731

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 2

Phil Picciotti · LB

CFBD athlete 4899481

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Preston Cushman · OL

CFBD athlete 4837207

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Quentin Hatch · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5163493

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

R.J. Jackson · DT

CFBD athlete 5125729

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Rashad Henry · LB

CFBD athlete 5159158

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Ric'Darious Farmer · WR

CFBD athlete 5079386

receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 147
receiving · YPR: 11.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Rocco Marriott · QB

CFBD athlete 5209923

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 56
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 72
rushing · YPC: 14.4

Rukeem Stroud · DB

CFBD athlete 5142612

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Sincere Edwards · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5079427

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 18

Tackett Curtis · LB

CFBD athlete 4870659

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 48
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 19.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 39

Taevion Swint · RB

CFBD athlete 5141668

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 29.9
kickReturns · LONG: 57
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 209
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 4.5
rushing · CAR: 32
rushing · LONG: 27
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 162
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Thomas Collins · DT

CFBD athlete 5157309

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Trenton Turner · DT

CFBD athlete 5265522

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Ty Bartrum · DB

CFBD athlete 5083572

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 29

Tyce Porcher · DB

CFBD athlete 5385728

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tyren Hornes · WR

CFBD athlete 5385726

receiving · LONG: 56
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 282
receiving · YPR: 12.8
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Waden Charles · WR

CFBD athlete 5142600

receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 262
receiving · YPR: 11.4

Will Stone · P

CFBD athlete 4868929

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 57
kicking · PCT: 0.818
kicking · PTS: 56
kicking · XPA: 29
kicking · XPM: 29

Kansas

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Isaiah Marshall QB 2 games	35.0% 21 / 60 plays	57.1% 12 / 21 plays
Dylan Edwards RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	26.2% 17 / 65 plays
Cole Ballard QB 2 games	45.9% 17 / 37 plays	16.7% 2 / 12 plays
Chase Belcher RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	15.4% 2 / 13 plays
Keaton Kubecka WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman S 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Chase Jenkins QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Jalen Dupree RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 66 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adrian Holley · DE

CFBD athlete 5211202

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Alex Bray · DE

CFBD athlete 5109813

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Austin Alexander · CB

CFBD athlete 5110531

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Blake Herold · DT

CFBD athlete 5084890

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Brandon Schmelzle · S

CFBD athlete 5215566

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -9.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -9

Bryson Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5151868

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 50.0
kickReturns · LONG: 95
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 150
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 18.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Cam Pickett · WR

CFBD athlete 4869603

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 31
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 323
receiving · YPR: 10.4
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Carson Bruhn · TE

CFBD athlete 5142704

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 157
receiving · YPR: 11.2

Carter Moses · TE

CFBD athlete 5098591

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chase Belcher · RB

CFBD athlete 4840113

rushing · CAR: 13
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 42
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Chase Jenkins · QB

CFBD athlete 4986096

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 65
passing · YPA: 21.7
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 58
rushing · YPC: 11.6

Chris McCorkle · CB

CFBD athlete 5195296

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Christian Pritchett · S

CFBD athlete 5150133

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Clifton Thompson · DT

CFBD athlete 5152261

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Cole Ballard · QB

CFBD athlete 5151060

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 43
passing · COMPLETIONS: 25
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.581
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 381
passing · YPA: 8.9
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 50
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Colter McDaniel · S

CFBD athlete 5219489

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Corey Gordon · S

CFBD athlete 4870279

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 42

Dakyus Brinkley · DE

CFBD athlete 5079346

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Dane Efird · PK

CFBD athlete 5294286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Daveon Crouch · LB

CFBD athlete 4837267

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 33

David Santiago · DE

CFBD athlete 5223133

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 35
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 3

Donald Collier · WR

CFBD athlete 5219496

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 38
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 68
rushing · YPC: 8.5

Dylan Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 4918414

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 38
receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 178
receiving · YPR: 9.4
rushing · CAR: 125
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 574
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Eamon Smalls · DT

CFBD athlete 4921452

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Elijah Cannon · CB

CFBD athlete 5148413

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Ezra Vedral · LB

CFBD athlete 5151066

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Garrett Martin · DE

CFBD athlete 5167709

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 3

Hunter Higgins · DE

CFBD athlete 5263878

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Isaiah Marshall · QB

CFBD athlete 5079604

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 196
passing · COMPLETIONS: 105
passing · INT: 7
passing · PCT: 0.536
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1506
passing · YPA: 7.7
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 89
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 403
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Jack Reeves · RB

CFBD athlete 5384625

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Jackson Cook · WR

CFBD athlete 5199852

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaden Harris · S

CFBD athlete 4901380

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jahlil Hurley · CB

CFBD athlete 4870796

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Jalen Butler · TE

CFBD athlete 5151966

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 14.5

Jalen Dupree · RB

CFBD athlete 5193112

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 15
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 111
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Jalen Todd · CB

CFBD athlete 5147201

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaron Willis · LB

CFBD athlete 4685595

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jibreel Al-Amin · LB

CFBD athlete 4916954

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Jibriel Conde · DT

CFBD athlete 5327914

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 4

John Kelly · RB

CFBD athlete 5211057

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Joseph Credit · LB

CFBD athlete 5282063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Keaton Kubecka · WR

CFBD athlete 4924150

puntReturns · AVG: 24.0
puntReturns · LONG: 35
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 48
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 67
receiving · YPR: 11.2
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 74
rushing · YPC: 14.8

Kevin Oatis · DT

CFBD athlete 5141579

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman · S

CFBD athlete 5146742

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 19.0
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 61
rushing · YPC: 8.7

Leroy Harris III · DE

CFBD athlete 5223986

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 11.0
defensive · TOT: 30
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Leyton Cure · TE

CFBD athlete 5219497

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 24.7

Malachi Curvey · LB

CFBD athlete 5141416

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Marcus Calvin · DT

CFBD athlete 5085746

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Martin Connington · PK

CFBD athlete 5157627

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 15
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 46
kicking · PCT: 0.733
kicking · PTS: 59
kicking · XPA: 26
kicking · XPM: 26

Mason Ellis · S

CFBD athlete 4912139

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Matthew Gill · P

CFBD athlete 5331884

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
punting · In 20: 4
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 26
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1063
punting · YPP: 40.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -11
rushing · YPC: -11.0

Micah Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5219487

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 17.5
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 35
rushing · CAR: 13
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 55
rushing · YPC: 4.2

Nahzae Cox · WR

CFBD athlete 5296407

receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 404
receiving · YPR: 26.9

Nakwaine Carter · DT

CFBD athlete 5290670

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Nik McMillan · WR

CFBD athlete 4869730

receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 25
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 466
receiving · YPR: 18.6

Quincy Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5120485

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 29

Robert Reddick · CB

CFBD athlete 5291157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Roman Pearson · CB

CFBD athlete 5083804

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Syeed Gibbs · CB

CFBD athlete 5083396

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tate Nagy · WR

CFBD athlete 5216559

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 14.4
puntReturns · LONG: 72
puntReturns · NO: 10
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 144
receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 106
receiving · YPR: 15.1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Tavake Tuikolovatu · OL

CFBD athlete 5121418

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Taylor Davis · S

CFBD athlete 5075623

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 35
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Trey Brown · CB

CFBD athlete 5384621

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Trey Lathan · LB

CFBD athlete 5082001

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 55
interceptions · AVG: 6.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 6

Wyatt Brungardt · DE

CFBD athlete 5384628

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Yasin Willis · RB

CFBD athlete 5079749

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 27
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 125
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Kansas -3

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Kansas by 7.17

4.17 points toward Kansas versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Kansas.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: +3.17
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 7.17 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 451e0d339c019fa4412dcd768431d6e51e64cf885aeddfde7a80ef69ee9cfa71 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 9dbf44a18bc3dddd66b13e8deeb97df33326ac4f7ad5716ede7a47d868e87fdb · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Kansas · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-2.5	-3.0	-0.5
Model spread	-7.17	-7.17	0.0
Model gap	+4.67	+4.17	-0.5

Negative spreads favor Kansas; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 451e0d339c019fa4412dcd768431d6e51e64cf885aeddfde7a80ef69ee9cfa71. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Kansas -3

Model gap +4.2 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Kansas.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Kansas win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 58%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Kansas -3
Stacked ensemble: 69%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Kansas.

away elo: +9.72 (path difference 6.06)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -9.68 (path difference 1.41)
home adjusted success allowed: +7.61 (path difference 1.81)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.47 (path difference 5.93)
home elo: +6.12 (path difference 0.95)
home adjusted epa allowed: -5.69 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.18 (path difference 2.24)
home adjusted passing epa: -4.38 (path difference 1.60)
home adjusted success: +4.28 (path difference 1.13)
away adjusted success: -4.25 (path difference 2.47)
home adjusted explosiveness: +4.20 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.13 (path difference 0.69)
home adjusted epa: +3.94 (path difference 2.65)
away adjusted epa allowed: -3.79 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted epa: +3.35 (path difference 2.90)
home talent: +3.00 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.64 (path difference 1.52)
home adjusted second level yards: +2.60 (path difference 2.06)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.53 (path difference 0.59)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.47 (path difference 0.84)
away talent: -2.45 (path difference 0.81)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.00 (path difference 1.60)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.66 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.44 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted rushing epa: -1.34 (path difference 0.90)
away adjusted passing down success: -1.31 (path difference 1.54)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.15 (path difference 0.83)
week: -1.14 (path difference 0.34)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.01 (path difference 0.79)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.99 (path difference 2.91)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.97 (path difference 1.13)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.84 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted line yards: +0.83 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.78 (path difference 0.73)
away conference: -0.66 (path difference 0.65)
home conference: -0.65 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.57 (path difference 1.10)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.57 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted success allowed: +0.54 (path difference 0.87)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.53 (path difference 0.08)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.48 (path difference 1.27)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.43 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.41 (path difference 1.10)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.32 (path difference 0.44)
away adjusted line yards: +0.31 (path difference 1.07)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.24 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.09)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.17 (path difference 0.04)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.15 (path difference 0.61)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.10 (path difference 0.38)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.05 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.75)

Reconciles to 68.80 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs da2826691abff241668ef2bf9205981c51a2d7a0e35e7aa268ca1c8b1e5f1a60 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ca8eb64b3e321d5f9622bde92bb3c5e8dfbb49647aa45a4b18bd5b6831b3fc3b · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

UCF

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 108 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Duke Watson CFBD athlete 5136049 Week 6 vs Oklahoma State: 20 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 45.0% success · 0.067 raw PPA. Week 8 vs BYU: 13 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.205 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Baylor: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.138 raw PPA.	40	4.5	0	37.0%	87 / 6.3
Keyone Jenkins CFBD athlete 5085337 Week 6 vs Oklahoma State: 10 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.038 raw PPA. Week 8 vs BYU: 11 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.061 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Baylor: 4 attempts · -3.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.165 raw PPA.	25	1.3	5	23.1%	45 / 1.2
Landen Chambers CFBD athlete 5078144 Week 6 vs Oklahoma State: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.324 raw PPA. Week 8 vs BYU: 9 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.206 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Baylor: 7 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.223 raw PPA.	18	2.6	0	16.7%	42 / 4.4
Taevion Swint CFBD athlete 5141668 Week 6 vs Oklahoma State: 7 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.031 raw PPA.	7	3.9	0	6.5%	32 / 5.0
Alonza Barnett CFBD athlete 4911929 Week 9 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · -3.8 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.423 raw PPA.	6	-3.8	4	5.6%	23 / 0.3

Kansas

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 129 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Dylan Edwards CFBD athlete 4918414 Week 7 vs Kansas State: 16 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.112 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Baylor: 29 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 37.9% success · 0.138 raw PPA. Week 9 vs TCU: 20 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.334 raw PPA.	65	3.8	0	50.4%	122 / 4.5
Isaiah Marshall CFBD athlete 5079604 Week 7 vs Kansas State: 12 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.504 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Baylor: 15 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.825 raw PPA.	27	4.6	6	20.9%	86 / 4.3
Chase Belcher CFBD athlete 4840113 Week 8 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.101 raw PPA. Week 9 vs TCU: 7 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.290 raw PPA.	13	3.2	0	10.1%	13 / 3.2
Cole Ballard CFBD athlete 5151060 Week 9 vs TCU: 13 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.191 raw PPA.	13	2.8	1	10.1%	14 / 3.6
Keaton Kubecka CFBD athlete 4924150 Week 9 vs TCU: 3 attempts · 19.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.274 raw PPA.	3	19.3	0	2.3%	5 / 14.8

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	KansasOffense	UCFDefense	UCFOffense	KansasDefense
PPA/play	+0.14 54th	+0.06 53rd	+0.09 33rd	+0.04 66th
Success rate	42.8% 52nd	40.6% 51st	41.5% 41st	37.3% 80th
Explosiveness	1.35 91st	1.16 75th	1.22 45th	1.29 26th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.14 72nd	-0.04 73rd	-0.02 16th	+0.06 40th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.14 28th	+0.28 23rd	+0.34 71st	-0.00 91st
Havoc allowed / created	15.9% 34th	14.3% 27th	15.9% 34th	17.0% 68th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:27 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:27 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Will Stone · UCF · PAAR 2.47 · 11 attempts
Martin Connington · Kansas · PAAR 0.57 · 15 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Kansas spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -2.5 · Snapshot spread: -3

First locally observed: -3 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence