Record
4-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
SP+ workbook recordUCF
2026 season
Big 12
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
UCF's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 67 across 8 systems; best 43, worst 86, so they disagree by 43 places.
- Lab EPA
- #67
- Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #73
- down 212026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #65
- down 92026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #86
- down 142026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #57
- down 122026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #77
- down 24 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #43
- down 152026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #67
- down 262026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #56 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #33 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #71 of 138
- Game control
- #48 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #54 of 138
- Offense
- #74 of 138
- Defense
- #44 of 138
- Special teams
- #47 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
UCF · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
0.002 net EPA/play
#67
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-0.26 points
#73 · Down 21 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -2.49 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging +2.61, schedule #21 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +5.94. That is worth +0.12 on its own; the preseason prior of -1.53 still carries 23% of the weight, giving -0.26.
How each game enters this SRS rating
UCF · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Bethune-Cookman home · 2026-09-03 · ID 401856767 | +67.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7349 | 8.32% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 2.706 | -2.081 | 0.624 |
| Week 2 · Pittsburgh away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401856790 | -5.00 → -5.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.65% | +4.62 | -0.216 | 0.400 | 0.184 |
| Week 3 · Georgia State home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856800 | +14.00 → +14.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.99% | -4.15 | 1.034 | -0.373 | 0.661 |
| Week 4 · TCU home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401856815 | +8.00 → +8.00 | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 9.34% | +4.42 | 0.514 | 0.413 | 0.927 |
| Week 5 · Houston away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401856819 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 9.71% | +9.51 | -0.728 | 0.923 | 0.195 |
| Week 6 · Oklahoma State away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401856824 | -14.00 → -14.00 | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 10.09% | +6.28 | -1.161 | 0.633 | -0.527 |
| Week 8 · BYU home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401856835 | +8.00 → +1.00 (OT) | -2.50 | 0.9622 | 10.90% | +9.65 | -0.164 | 1.052 | 0.889 |
| Week 9 · Baylor home · 2026-10-30 · ID 401856844 | -32.00 → -32.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 11.33% | +9.26 | -3.908 | 1.049 | -2.859 |
Game terms +0.09 points; prior term -0.35 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -0.26 points. The preseason prior is -1.53 with 22.66% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
1.2 SP+ points
#65 · Down 9 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-2.66 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#77 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -7.18 on 420 plays; defense -4.52 on 472 plays.
2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks UCF 6 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 4-4 · conf 2-3 · home 4-1 · away 0-3 · expected wins 3.6
- Polls (Week 10)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 5-3 ATS (+1.9 avg) · 2025: 4-8 ATS (-1.0 avg)
- Head coach
- Scott Frost · hired 2024-12-07 · 5-7 over 2 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #35 (213 pts) · 2025 #79 (171 pts) · 2026 #66 (194 pts)
- Returning
- 25% of production · 20% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 4% 1% Receiving 58% 53% Rushing -17% 9% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 10 | 3.30 | 0.8809 | 8.81 |
| Defensive Line | 10 | 3.20 | 0.8860 | 8.86 |
| Linebacker | 7 | 3.29 | 0.8766 | 6.14 |
| Offensive Line | 9 | 3.11 | 0.8611 | 7.75 |
| Quarterback | 5 | 3.20 | 0.8819 | 4.41 |
| Receiver | 12 | 3.25 | 0.8794 | 10.55 |
| Running Back | 3 | 3.33 | 0.8844 | 2.65 |
| Special Teams | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8544 | 2.56 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keyone Jenkins · QBCFBD athlete 5085337. UCF (2026–2026); Florida International (2023–2025) | Passing WEPA | 0.352 | 192 | 43.0% | Pass 71.8% · Rush 14.1%1st 41.9% · 2nd 39.4% · 3rd 49.5% Standard downs 40.1% · Passing downs 49.4% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8508 |
Duke Watson · RBCFBD athlete 5136049. Louisville (2024–2025); UCF (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.227 | 82 | 18.8% | Pass 4.6% · Rush 34.7%1st 21.4% · 2nd 22.4% · 3rd 9.5% Standard downs 20.6% · Passing downs 14.8% | 2024: 4★ · 0.8983 |
Alonza Barnett · QBCFBD athlete 4911929. James Madison (2022–2025); UCF (2026–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.192 | 53 | 47.8% | Pass 71.0% · Rush 21.8%1st 43.5% · 2nd 42.1% · 3rd 61.1% Standard downs 43.8% · Passing downs 55.6% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8000 |
Keyone Jenkins · QBCFBD athlete 5085337. UCF (2026–2026); Florida International (2023–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.128 | 39 | 43.0% | Pass 71.8% · Rush 14.1%1st 41.9% · 2nd 39.4% · 3rd 49.5% Standard downs 40.1% · Passing downs 49.4% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8508 |
Landen Chambers · RBCFBD athlete 5078144. Central Arkansas (2024–2025); UCF (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.199 | 38 | 9.2% | Pass 2.3% · Rush 16.9%1st 7.4% · 2nd 7.6% · 3rd 15.2% Standard downs 10.6% · Passing downs 6.2% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8361 |
Will Stone · PCFBD athlete 4868929. Texas (2022–2025); UCF (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 2.470 | 11 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | 2022: 3★ · 0.8300 |
Agyeman Addae · RBCFBD athlete 5296077. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.8% | Pass 1.1% · Rush 6.5%1st 4.5% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 4.6% · Passing downs 1.8% | Not linked |
Arthur Lewis IV · RBCFBD athlete 5271370. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.6% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.7%1st 2.9% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Caden Piening · TECFBD athlete 5148656. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.4% | Pass 8.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.5% · 2nd 4.1% · 3rd 5.7% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 6.8% | Not linked |
Caleb Rollerson · WRCFBD athlete 5221393. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.8% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 2.1% Standard downs 2.6% · Passing downs 2.6% | Not linked |
Duane Thomas Jr. · WRCFBD athlete 5151048. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.9% | Pass 10.5% · Rush 4.8%1st 9.5% · 2nd 11.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.7% · Passing downs 10.6% | Not linked |
Dylan Wade · TECFBD athlete 4922996. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.3% | Pass 11.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.9% · 2nd 6.4% · 3rd 2.7% Standard downs 4.5% · Passing downs 7.0% | Not linked |
Grayson Brousseau · TECFBD athlete 5168802. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 3.4% Standard downs 1.5% · Passing downs 1.2% | Not linked |
Jonathan Bibbs · WRCFBD athlete 5193217. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.4% | Pass 6.2% · Rush 0.9%1st 3.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 4.2% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 2.6% | Not linked |
Jordyn Bridgewater · WRCFBD athlete 5161780. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.1% | Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.4% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 3.2% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 2.1% | Not linked |
Joshua Derry · WRCFBD athlete 5153889. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 10.2% | Pass 19.8% · Rush 0.4%1st 9.6% · 2nd 10.0% · 3rd 11.4% Standard downs 9.5% · Passing downs 11.7% | Not linked |
Kaj Baker · RBCFBD athlete 5172096. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.7% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 16.2%1st 5.7% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 25.0% Standard downs 6.4% · Passing downs 20.0% | Not linked |
Kaleb Annett · QBCFBD athlete 5154248. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.1% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 3.6%1st 1.7% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 8.7% Standard downs 1.2% · Passing downs 10.3% | Not linked |
Ric'Darious Farmer · WRCFBD athlete 5079386. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.7% | Pass 11.4% · Rush 0.5%1st 6.6% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 6.8% Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 7.0% | Not linked |
Rocco Marriott · QBCFBD athlete 5209923. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.9% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.6% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Taevion Swint · RBCFBD athlete 5141668. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.5% | Pass 2.3% · Rush 16.7%1st 9.6% · 2nd 14.5% · 3rd 2.7% Standard downs 9.8% · Passing downs 8.7% | Not linked |
Tyren Hornes · WRCFBD athlete 5385726. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.3% | Pass 11.5% · Rush 1.2%1st 8.3% · 2nd 4.1% · 3rd 5.7% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 6.8% | Not linked |
Waden Charles · WRCFBD athlete 5142600. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.0% | Pass 13.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 7.7% · 2nd 4.0% · 3rd 8.2% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 8.8% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 32 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonza Barnett III · QB | James Madison | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Artavius Jones · DL | Miami | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Atticus Bertrams · P | Wisconsin | 2026-01-08 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Brad Gurley Jr. · DL | Eastern Kentucky | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Brady Wayburn · OT | UConn | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Bruno Dall · EDGE | Akron | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Caleb Flagg · S | Missouri | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Cooper Terpstra · IOL | Michigan State | 2026-01-04 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Dean Miller · EDGE | Kansas | 2026-06-22 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Duke Watson · RB | Louisville | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Grayson Brousseau · TE | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Henry Tabansi · OT | Buffalo | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jahleel Culbreath · LB | Old Dominion | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jailen Duffie · CB | North Dakota State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jonathan Bibbs · WR | UL Monroe | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Josh Derry · WR | Monmouth | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Josh Schell · DL | Tennessee | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Kahmel Johnson · S | Not reported | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kaleb Annett · QB | Boise State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Ken Talley · EDGE | Arkansas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Keyone Jenkins · QB | Florida International | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kyle Hicks · LS | Tennessee State | 2026-01-19 | — / — | Immediate |
| L A Jessie Harrold · EDGE | Florida State | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Landen Chambers · RB | Central Arkansas | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Matt Irwin · S | Idaho | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Rashad Henry · LB | Massachusetts | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| TJ Branch · S | Colorado | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Tackett Curtis · LB | Wisconsin | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Thomas Collins · DL | Oregon State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ty Bartrum · S | Harvard | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Tyler Gibson · OT | Charlotte | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Will Stone · K | Texas | 2026-01-10 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
Outgoing · 35 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rumph · DL | Jacksonville State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Bredell Richardson · WR | Tulane | 2026-01-27 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Cam Fancher · QB | Michigan State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Carl Jenkins Jr. · WR | Not reported | 2026-01-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Carter Miller · IOL | South Carolina | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Christian Peterson · S | East Carolina | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| DJ Black · WR | South Carolina | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Dalton Riggs · LS | Ohio State | 2026-01-06 | — / — | Immediate |
| Davi Belfort · QB | James Madison | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Derrick LeBlanc · DL | Maryland | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Horace Lockett · DL | Not reported | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Withdrawn |
| Isaiah Reed · CB | Massachusetts | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Ja'Cari Henderson · CB | App State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jacurri Brown · QB | Rice | 2026-01-06 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Jaeden Gould · S | Temple | 2026-01-08 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Jakob Gude · S | App State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jamaal Johnson · EDGE | Northwestern | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Jaquez Joiner · IOL | Marshall | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jaylen Heyward · S | Arkansas State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| John Walker · DL | Ohio State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Josh Dorsainvil · EDGE | Not reported | 2026-01-08 | — / — | TBD |
| Jyaire Brown · CB | Southern Miss | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kam Moore · LB | Arkansas State | 2026-01-29 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Keshaun Hudson · DL | Not reported | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Kylan Fox · TE | Purdue | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Malakhi Boone · LB | Bethune-Cookman | 2026-02-05 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Max Drag · TE | South Carolina | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Patrick Barnett · IOL | Fresno State | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Rodney Lora · DL | Purdue | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Stacy Gage · RB | LSU | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| TJ Bullard · LB | Florida | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Tayven Jackson · QB | North Texas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tony Williams · S | Kennesaw State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Troy Ford · LB | Not reported | 2026-01-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Tyreek'e Robinson · DL | East Tennessee State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at UCF. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Scott Frost · career 40–45 across 9 seasons and 2 schools
Tenure timeline · 8 appointments
2025–present · Scott Frost · active at capture
5–7 · 12 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2024-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2021–2024 · Gus Malzahn
28–24 · 52 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2021-02-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2018–2020 · Josh Heupel
28–8 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2017-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2017 · Scott Frost
19–7 · 26 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2015-01-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2004–2015 · George O'Leary
81–68 · 149 attributed games · 12 seasons
Hired 2003-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2003–2003 · Alan Gooch
0–2 · 2 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2003-11-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1998–2003 · Mike Kruczek
36–30 · 66 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1996–1997 · Gene McDowell
10–12 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Scott Frost · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | 4 | 10.9 | 66 | — |
| 2025 · Scott Frost | 5–7 | 2–7 | 0–0 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 79 | — |
| 2024 · Gus Malzahn | 4–8 | 2–7 | 0–0 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 35 | — |
| 2023 · Gus Malzahn | 6–7 | 3–6 | 0–1 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 50 | — |
| 2022 · Gus Malzahn | 9–5 | 6–3 | 0–1 | 10.3 | 4.7 | 53 | — |
| 2021 · Gus Malzahn | 9–4 | 5–3 | 1–0 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 55 | — |
| 2020 · Josh Heupel | 6–4 | 5–3 | 0–1 | 13.6 | — | 71 | — |
| 2019 · Josh Heupel | 10–3 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 19.1 | 13.3 | 59 | 24 |
| 2018 · Josh Heupel | 12–1 | 9–0 | 0–1 | 16.5 | 14.9 | 62 | — |
| 2017 · Scott Frost | 13–0 | 9–0 | 1–0 | 14.1 | 20.7 | 55 | 6 |
| 2016 · Scott Frost | 6–7 | 4–4 | 0–1 | -2.2 | -1.2 | 65 | — |
| 2015 · George O'Leary · incomplete attribution | 0–8 | — | — | -15.5 | -21 | 71 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:08:50 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 93 / 138 | 32.8 | 65 / 138 | 53.3 |
| Success rate | T82 / 138 | 40.5 | 68 / 138 | 51.1 |
| Explosiveness | 77 / 138 | 44.5 | 35 / 138 | 75.2 |
| Standard-down success | 91 / 138 | 34.3 | 78 / 138 | 43.8 |
| Passing-down success | 70 / 138 | 49.6 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Pass PPA | 96 / 138 | 30.7 | 94 / 138 | 32.1 |
| Rush PPA | 74 / 138 | 46.7 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Pass explosiveness | 92 / 138 | 33.6 | 113 / 138 | 18.2 |
| Rush explosiveness | 57 / 138 | 59.1 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| Line yards | 111 / 138 | 19.7 | 28 / 138 | 80.3 |
| Second-level yards | 65 / 138 | 53.3 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| Open-field yards | 20 / 138 | 86.1 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Stuff rate | 107 / 138 | 22.6 | 80 / 138 | 42.3 |
| Power success | 136 / 138 | 1.5 | 63 / 138 | 54.7 |
| Havoc | T90 / 138 | 34.3 | T100 / 138 | 27.4 |
| Front-seven havoc | T108 / 138 | 21.5 | T107 / 138 | 22.3 |
| DB havoc | T56 / 138 | 58.0 | T61 / 138 | 54.7 |
| Points / opportunity | 25 / 138 | 82.5 | 47 / 138 | 66.4 |
| Average field position | 32 / 138 | 77.4 | 109 / 138 | 21.2 |
| Field-position expected points | 33 / 138 | 76.6 | 111 / 138 | 19.7 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Alonza Barnett · QBUsage 47.8% · Avg PPA -0.177 · Total -15.618
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.177 | -15.618 | 47.8% |
| Pass | -0.142 | -10.082 | 71.0% |
| Rush | -0.326 | -5.536 | 21.8% |
| 1st down | 0.115 | 4.254 | 43.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.410 | -9.848 | 42.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.439 | 9.653 | 61.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.344 | -18.235 | 43.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.075 | 2.617 | 55.6% |
Keyone Jenkins · QBUsage 43.0% · Avg PPA 0.138 · Total 30.882
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.138 | 30.882 | 43.0% |
| Pass | 0.228 | 42.902 | 71.8% |
| Rush | -0.257 | -9.012 | 14.1% |
| 1st down | 0.099 | 9.477 | 41.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.234 | 15.705 | 39.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.324 | 16.872 | 49.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.056 | -8.107 | 40.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.487 | 38.989 | 49.4% |
Duke Watson · RBUsage 18.8% · Avg PPA 0.114 · Total 11.134
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.114 | 11.134 | 18.8% |
| Pass | -0.473 | -5.677 | 4.6% |
| Rush | 0.195 | 16.811 | 34.7% |
| 1st down | 0.073 | 3.563 | 21.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.142 | 5.401 | 22.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.011 | 0.109 | 9.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.093 | 6.901 | 20.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.176 | 4.233 | 14.8% |
Joshua Derry · WRUsage 10.2% · Avg PPA 0.453 · Total 24.016
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.453 | 24.016 | 10.2% |
| Pass | 0.459 | 23.860 | 19.8% |
| Rush | 0.157 | 0.157 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | 0.321 | 7.053 | 9.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.547 | 9.302 | 10.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.772 | 9.258 | 11.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.310 | 10.556 | 9.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.708 | 13.460 | 11.7% |
Kaj Baker · RBUsage 9.7% · Avg PPA 0.135 · Total 0.812
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.135 | 0.812 | 9.7% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.135 | 0.812 | 16.2% |
| 1st down | -0.417 | -0.834 | 5.7% |
| 2nd down | -0.771 | -1.543 | 10.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.594 | 3.188 | 25.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.681 | -2.042 | 6.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.951 | 2.854 | 20.0% |
Taevion Swint · RBUsage 9.5% · Avg PPA 0.011 · Total 0.392
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.011 | 0.392 | 9.5% |
| Pass | -0.348 | -1.393 | 2.3% |
| Rush | 0.058 | 1.785 | 16.7% |
| 1st down | -0.038 | -0.612 | 9.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.004 | 0.066 | 14.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.469 | 0.938 | 2.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.094 | -2.350 | 9.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.274 | 2.742 | 8.7% |
Landen Chambers · RBUsage 9.2% · Avg PPA 0.302 · Total 14.512
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.302 | 14.512 | 9.2% |
| Pass | 0.729 | 4.377 | 2.3% |
| Rush | 0.241 | 10.135 | 16.9% |
| 1st down | 0.142 | 2.417 | 7.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.306 | 3.980 | 7.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.678 | 10.845 | 15.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.256 | 9.737 | 10.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.477 | 4.775 | 6.2% |
Duane Thomas Jr. · WRUsage 7.9% · Avg PPA 0.202 · Total 2.430
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.202 | 2.430 | 7.9% |
| Pass | 0.290 | 2.606 | 10.5% |
| Rush | -0.059 | -0.176 | 4.8% |
| 1st down | 0.233 | 1.400 | 9.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.172 | 1.030 | 11.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.333 | 2.333 | 6.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.019 | 0.097 | 10.6% |
Waden Charles · WRUsage 7.0% · Avg PPA 0.306 · Total 9.792
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.306 | 9.792 | 7.0% |
| Pass | 0.306 | 9.792 | 13.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.379 | 5.684 | 7.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.420 | 2.518 | 4.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.038 | 8.301 | 8.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.121 | -2.305 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.931 | 12.097 | 8.8% |
Tyren Hornes · WRUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA 0.291 · Total 9.609
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.291 | 9.609 | 6.3% |
| Pass | 0.392 | 11.749 | 11.5% |
| Rush | -0.713 | -2.140 | 1.2% |
| 1st down | 0.280 | 5.326 | 8.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.753 | 5.273 | 4.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.489 | 2.933 | 5.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.229 | 5.040 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.415 | 4.569 | 6.8% |
Ric'Darious Farmer · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.342 · Total 7.187
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.342 | 7.187 | 5.7% |
| Pass | 0.340 | 6.791 | 11.4% |
| Rush | 0.396 | 0.396 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | -0.064 | -0.707 | 6.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.756 | 3.780 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.823 | 4.113 | 6.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.078 | -1.015 | 5.1% |
| Passing downs | 1.025 | 8.202 | 7.0% |
Dylan Wade · TEUsage 5.3% · Avg PPA 0.133 · Total 2.657
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.133 | 2.657 | 5.3% |
| Pass | 0.133 | 2.657 | 11.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.440 | -4.395 | 5.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.520 | 4.162 | 6.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.445 | 2.891 | 2.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.384 | -4.612 | 4.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.909 | 7.269 | 7.0% |
Caden Piening · TEUsage 4.4% · Avg PPA 0.465 · Total 10.698
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.465 | 10.698 | 4.4% |
| Pass | 0.465 | 10.698 | 8.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.026 | 8.208 | 3.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.098 | 0.683 | 4.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.512 | 3.073 | 5.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.694 | 8.324 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.216 | 2.373 | 6.8% |
Kaleb Annett · QBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA -0.048 · Total -0.240
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.048 | -0.240 | 4.1% |
| Pass | -0.324 | -0.972 | 4.8% |
| Rush | 0.366 | 0.733 | 3.6% |
| 1st down | -0.703 | -0.703 | 1.7% |
| 2nd down | -0.420 | -0.841 | 5.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.652 | 1.304 | 8.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.703 | -0.703 | 1.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.116 | 0.463 | 10.3% |
Agyeman Addae · RBUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA 0.768 · Total 5.373
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.768 | 5.373 | 3.8% |
| Pass | 2.245 | 2.245 | 1.1% |
| Rush | 0.521 | 3.128 | 6.5% |
| 1st down | 0.023 | 0.093 | 4.5% |
| 2nd down | 1.760 | 5.280 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.521 | 3.128 | 4.6% |
| Passing downs | 2.245 | 2.245 | 1.8% |
Jonathan Bibbs · WRUsage 3.4% · Avg PPA 0.317 · Total 2.533
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.317 | 2.533 | 3.4% |
| Pass | 0.437 | 3.060 | 6.2% |
| Rush | -0.527 | -0.527 | 0.9% |
| 1st down | 0.123 | 0.490 | 3.8% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.350 | 2.699 | 4.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.681 | -4.088 | 3.8% |
| Passing downs | 3.311 | 6.621 | 2.6% |
Caleb Rollerson · WRUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.657 · Total 3.939
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.657 | 3.939 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.657 | 3.939 | 5.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.813 | 3.251 | 3.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.746 | 0.746 | 1.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.057 | -0.057 | 2.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.813 | 3.251 | 2.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.344 | 0.689 | 2.6% |
Jordyn Bridgewater · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.471 · Total -1.412
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.471 | -1.412 | 2.1% |
| Pass | -0.471 | -1.412 | 3.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.869 | -1.738 | 3.4% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.326 | 0.326 | 3.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.869 | -1.738 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.326 | 0.326 | 2.1% |
Rocco Marriott · QBUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA 1.524 · Total 6.097
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.524 | 6.097 | 1.9% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 1.524 | 6.097 | 4.0% |
| 1st down | 1.524 | 6.097 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 1.524 | 6.097 | 2.6% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Arthur Lewis IV · RBUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -0.471 · Total -0.471
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.471 | -0.471 | 1.6% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.471 | -0.471 | 2.7% |
| 1st down | -0.471 | -0.471 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.471 | -0.471 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Grayson Brousseau · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.962 · Total 3.849
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.962 | 3.849 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 0.962 | 3.849 | 2.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 1.067 | 2.134 | 2.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.858 | 1.715 | 3.4% |
| Standard downs | 1.529 | 4.588 | 1.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.739 | -0.739 | 1.2% |
2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.089 | 33rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.415 | 41st138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.219 | 45th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.122 | 31st138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.084 | 47th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.064 | 53rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.406 | 51st138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.162 | 75th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.143 | 27th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-11-06. Offense: 99% of 249 attempts charted. Average depth of target 7.0 yards (9th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.4 per completion. Completion 65.5%, 6.7 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.19.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 65.2% | 65.0% | +0.2 | 224 / 249 |
| Defense allowed | 60.3% | 58.9% | +1.3 | 234 / 256 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is UCF.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 249 | 99% | 7.0 | 5.4 | 65.5% | 0.19 | +0.2 pp | 224 |
| Passing defense | 256 | 99% | 9.1 | 4.9 | 59.4% | 0.27 | +1.3 pp | 234 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 266 | 4.5 | 45.0% | 0.12 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 19.7% | 53.8% |
| Defense allowed | 299 | 3.4 | 39.2% | -0.02 | 2.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 16.5% | 69.4% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 259 / 266 | 258 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 248 / 249 · 99.6% |
| Defense allowed | 295 / 299 | 289 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 277 / 278 · 99.6% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +0.2 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Bethune-Cookman | 22 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.8 | 0.05 | 38 | 9.2 | 0.79 |
| W2 | Pittsburgh | 31 | 30 | 63.3% | 66.6% | -3.2 pp | 5.7 | 0.09 | 21 | 1.3 | -0.40 |
| W3 | Georgia State | 17 | 16 | 37.5% | 56.8% | -19.3 pp | 11.3 | -0.25 | 41 | 7.4 | 0.43 |
| W4 | TCU | 20 | 20 | 95.0% | 69.4% | +25.6 pp | 4.1 | 0.67 | 33 | 2.8 | -0.33 |
| W5 | Houston | 38 | 38 | 65.8% | 64.8% | +0.9 pp | 7.7 | 0.05 | 21 | 3.5 | 0.13 |
| W6 | Oklahoma State | 42 | 42 | 71.4% | 62.6% | +8.8 pp | 8.9 | 0.50 | 41 | 2.8 | -0.15 |
| W8 | BYU | 42 | 41 | 61.0% | 66.2% | -5.2 pp | 4.9 | 0.40 | 41 | 4.1 | 0.15 |
| W9 | Baylor | 37 | 37 | 59.5% | 66.1% | -6.7 pp | 6.3 | -0.13 | 30 | 2.2 | -0.11 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
34 punts · 46.0 gross yards/punt · 40.3 net yards/punt
7 inside the 20 · 4 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 34/34 punts. Known net yards: 32/34 punts.
Our punt returns
13 returns · 12.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 13/13 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · Baylor | 7 | 44.4 | 42.0 | 7/7 |
| Week 8 · BYU | 4 | 48.0 | 47.7 | 3/4 |
| Week 6 · Oklahoma State | 3 | 40.3 | 32.5 | 2/3 |
| Week 5 · Houston | 5 | 43.0 | 34.0 | 5/5 |
| Week 4 · TCU | 4 | 53.0 | 45.3 | 4/4 |