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Week 9 · 2026

Clemson at Florida State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Clemson

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Tait Reynolds QB
3 games
40.0%
42 / 105 plays
42.9%
12 / 28 plays
Gideon Davidson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.1%
16 / 34 plays
Trent Pearman QB
2 games
41.7%
5 / 12 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Chris Johnson Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.2%
6 / 13 plays
Jay Haynes RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
3 / 9 plays
Max Wilson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
42.9%
3 / 7 plays
Jarvis Green RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Tyler Brown WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 65 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Amare Adams · DT

CFBD athlete 5141349

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
13
Andy Burburija · DT

CFBD athlete 5371966

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
11
Ari Watford · DE

CFBD athlete 5141750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Ashton Hampton · CB

CFBD athlete 5127738

defensive · PD
9
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
2
Branden Strozier · CB

CFBD athlete 4950559

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Brayden Reilly · LB

CFBD athlete 5276965

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brock Bradley · QB

CFBD athlete 5200187

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
Bryant Wesco Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5112674

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
puntReturns · AVG
13.6
puntReturns · LONG
65
puntReturns · NO
13
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
177
receiving · LONG
55
receiving · REC
34
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
378
receiving · YPR
11.1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-7.0
C.J. Kubah-Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5193390

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
CJ Wesley · DE

CFBD athlete 5087303

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Caden Story · DL

CFBD athlete 4685569

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
11
Cam Blivens · WR

CFBD athlete 5371968

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
Champ Thompson · DT

CFBD athlete 5079608

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
Chris Denson · QB

CFBD athlete 5210003

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Chris Johnson Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5159948

kickReturns · AVG
24.6
kickReturns · LONG
43
kickReturns · NO
13
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
320
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
133
rushing · YPC
4.4
Christian Bentancur · TE

CFBD athlete 5079324

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
133
receiving · YPR
12.1
Christopher Vizzina · QB

CFBD athlete 4899369

passing · ATT
23
passing · COMPLETIONS
14
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.609
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
102
passing · YPA
4.4
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
0.8
Clark Sanderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5218756

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
Connor McFadden · DE

CFBD athlete 5371964

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Corey Myrick · S

CFBD athlete 5193354

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
52
Corian Gipson · CB

CFBD athlete 5079415

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
Darien Mayo · DE

CFBD athlete 5127019

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
David Eziomume · RB

CFBD athlete 5079438

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
11.0
Devarrick Woods · DT

CFBD athlete 5295888

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Dietrick Pennington · OL

CFBD athlete 4569925

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Donovan Starr · CB

CFBD athlete 5214386

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Drew Woodaz · LB

CFBD athlete 5127045

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Elliot Washington II · CB

CFBD athlete 4871026

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
2.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
7
Fletcher Cothran · LB

CFBD athlete 5081438

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Gideon Davidson · RB

CFBD athlete 5141422

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
2.3
rushing · CAR
93
rushing · LONG
75
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
492
rushing · YPC
5.3
Gordon Sellars III · WR

CFBD athlete 5371961

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
2.7
Jack Smith · P

CFBD athlete 5081453

punting · In 20
14
punting · LONG
54
punting · NO
33
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1270
punting · YPP
38.5
Jackson Reach · LS

CFBD athlete 5327243

fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jaheim Lawson · DE

CFBD athlete 4832060

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
18
Jakarrion Kenan · S

CFBD athlete 5215547

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jarvis Green · RB

CFBD athlete 5093141

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
rushing · CAR
23
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
88
rushing · YPC
3.8
Jay Haynes · RB

CFBD athlete 5150556

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
25
rushing · YPC
2.8
Jeremiah Alexander · LB

CFBD athlete 4685243

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
45
Jerome Carter · S

CFBD athlete 5194806

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
40
Joe Wilkinson · S

CFBD athlete 5218758

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Juju Preston · WR

CFBD athlete 5156116

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
7.7
puntReturns · LONG
14
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
23
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
51
receiving · YPR
8.5
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
9
rushing · YPC
4.5
Kam Cody · DT

CFBD athlete 5209349

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Kobe McCloud · LB

CFBD athlete 4812339

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Kourtney Kelly · DT

CFBD athlete 5224756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kylon Griffin · S

CFBD athlete 4794150

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Logan Anderson · LB

CFBD athlete 5214985

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Logan Brooking · TE

CFBD athlete 5148628

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
13.0
London Merritt · DE

CFBD athlete 5141592

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
12
Marcell Gipson Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5217187

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Markus Strong · DT

CFBD athlete 5121586

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Max Wilson · RB

CFBD athlete 5294145

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
52
rushing · YPC
7.4
Misun Kelley · DB

CFBD athlete 4924141

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Naeem Burroughs · WR

CFBD athlete 5158940

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Nolan Hauser · PK

CFBD athlete 5119662

kicking · FGA
19
kicking · FGM
18
kicking · LONG
59
kicking · PCT
0.947
kicking · PTS
66
kicking · XPA
12
kicking · XPM
12
punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
63
punting · NO
2
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
99
punting · YPP
49.5
Olsen Patt-Henry · TE

CFBD athlete 5150561

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
85
receiving · YPR
8.5
Robert Gunn III · PK

CFBD athlete 5081441

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ronan Hanafin · S

CFBD athlete 4917980

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
32
Sammy Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5079342

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
47
T.J. Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5218753

receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
269
receiving · YPR
9.0
Tait Reynolds · QB

CFBD athlete 5159078

fumbles · FUM
4
fumbles · LOST
3
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
179
passing · COMPLETIONS
119
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.665
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
1098
passing · YPA
6.1
rushing · CAR
80
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
164
rushing · YPC
2.1
Trent Pearman · QB

CFBD athlete 5081434

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.615
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
80
passing · YPA
6.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Tristan Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5225740

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
Tyler Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 4379471

kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
258
receiving · YPR
8.3
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
34
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
77
rushing · YPC
19.3
Vic Burley · DT

CFBD athlete 4870643

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Will Heldt · DE

CFBD athlete 5077977

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
6
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.5
defensive · TOT
22

Florida State

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-09 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Ashton Daniels QB
3 games
38.0%
35 / 92 plays
77.8%
21 / 27 plays
Ousmane Kromah RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
16 / 48 plays
Tre Wisner RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
48.0%
12 / 25 plays
Kevin Sperry QB
2 games
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Micahi Danzy WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Jasen Lopez WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 52 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Cottrill · LB

CFBD athlete 4837206

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Amari Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5372196

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
18.5
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
37
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
3.7
Antonio Cromartie Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5222701

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ashlynd Barker · DB

CFBD athlete 5150837

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
38
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ashton Daniels · QB

CFBD athlete 4838679

passing · ATT
181
passing · COMPLETIONS
106
passing · INT
8
passing · PCT
0.586
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
1618
passing · YPA
8.9
rushing · CAR
79
rushing · LONG
81
rushing · TD
11
rushing · YDS
354
rushing · YPC
4.5
Blake Nichelson · LB

CFBD athlete 4899480

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
CJ Richard Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5227705

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
40
Caleb Lavallee · LB

CFBD athlete 4921255

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Charles Lester III · DB

CFBD athlete 5079566

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Chase Loftin · TE

CFBD athlete 5164345

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
8.0
Chris Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 5228122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
46
Daniel Hughes · P

CFBD athlete 5296606

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
65
punting · NO
21
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
925
punting · YPP
44.0
Daniel Lyons · DL

CFBD athlete 4685447

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Darryll Desir · DL

CFBD athlete 5167701

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Deamontae Diggs · DL

CFBD athlete 4694352

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
6
Deante McCray · DL

CFBD athlete 4837247

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
11
Desirrio Riles · TE

CFBD athlete 5160086

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
52
receiving · YPR
8.7
Donny Hiebert · DB

CFBD athlete 5150841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Duce Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 4870922

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
407
receiving · YPR
18.5
rushing · CAR
0
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-12
rushing · YPC
0
Ethan Post · P

CFBD athlete 5294073

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
48
punting · NO
4
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
173
punting · YPP
43.3
Franklin Whitley · DL

CFBD athlete 5310760

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Gabe Panikowski · PK

CFBD athlete 5083549

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
45
kicking · XPA
27
kicking · XPM
27
Ja'Bril Rawls · DB

CFBD athlete 5085388

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
33
Jalen Anderson · DL

CFBD athlete 5372197

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
9
Jarvis Boatwright Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5083703

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jasen Lopez · WR

CFBD athlete 5222974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
9.8
puntReturns · LONG
31
puntReturns · NO
11
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
108
receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
56
receiving · YPR
14.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
12
rushing · YPC
12.0
Jayvan Boggs · WR

CFBD athlete 5164350

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
351
receiving · YPR
18.5
Jordan Crutchfield · DB

CFBD athlete 5203605

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jordan Sanders · DL

CFBD athlete 5083164

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
K.J. Kirkland · DB

CFBD athlete 4899348

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Karon Maycock · LB

CFBD athlete 5172098

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Kevin Sperry · QB

CFBD athlete 5141661

passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
21
passing · YPA
4.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-8
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Kevin Wynn · DL

CFBD athlete 5155173

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Landen Thomas · TE

CFBD athlete 5079738

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
10.3
Ma'Khi Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5144685

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
30
Mandrell Desir · DL

CFBD athlete 5167703

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
17
Max Redmon · DB

CFBD athlete 5141642

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Micahi Danzy · WR

CFBD athlete 5088153

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
46
receiving · LONG
56
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
293
receiving · YPR
15.4
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
28
rushing · YPC
9.3
Mikai Gbayor · LB

CFBD athlete 4683154

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
31
Nehemiah Chandler · DB

CFBD athlete 5147679

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
3
Noah LaVallee · LB

CFBD athlete 5291010

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Omar Graham Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4808743

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
35
Ousmane Kromah · RB

CFBD athlete 5141560

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
97
receiving · YPR
8.8
rushing · CAR
114
rushing · LONG
54
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
609
rushing · YPC
5.3
Quindarrius Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5075960

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ricky Knight III · DB

CFBD athlete 5128063

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Rylan Kennedy · DL

CFBD athlete 5116973

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
6
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.5
defensive · TOT
17
Samuel Singleton · RB

CFBD athlete 4870955

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
32.0
kickReturns · LONG
46
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
128
receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
162
receiving · YPR
20.3
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
73
rushing · YPC
3.7
Sean Poret · OL

CFBD athlete 5216568

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Tre Wisner · RB

CFBD athlete 4871076

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
151
receiving · YPR
12.6
rushing · CAR
38
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
204
rushing · YPC
5.4
Xavier Chaplin · OL

CFBD athlete 4870517

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Zae Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5294071

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Zay Parks · RB

CFBD athlete 5218242

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
11.3
kickReturns · LONG
16
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
34

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Florida State -6

DraftKings snapshot: Florida State -6

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Florida State by 8.60

2.60 points toward Florida State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Florida State.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: +4.66
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 8.60 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs ea7d26b5f2341b71cc9beed88398a7f91f4de34f3f6b217b97d247ada21812c1 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast bcd74fbbeb9f2120f3ede6bd2ba48121c5f2ad1a0b161c1c8d91b5b806a90011 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Florida State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-5.75-6.0-0.25
Model spread-8.6-8.60.0
Model gap+2.85+2.6-0.25

Negative spreads favor Florida State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: ea7d26b5f2341b71cc9beed88398a7f91f4de34f3f6b217b97d247ada21812c1. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.6 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Florida State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
66%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Florida State -6
Stacked ensemble
76%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Florida State.

  • away adjusted epa: +7.85 (path difference 5.12)
  • away talent: -6.57 (path difference 4.16)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.22 (path difference 3.42)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +6.13 (path difference 3.33)
  • home adjusted success: +5.97 (path difference 1.37)
  • home elo: +5.85 (path difference 5.13)
  • home talent: +4.86 (path difference 4.49)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -3.99 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +3.99 (path difference 0.04)
  • away elo: +2.68 (path difference 2.83)
  • home adjusted line yards: +2.44 (path difference 1.07)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.39 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted success: +2.27 (path difference 0.37)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.91 (path difference 0.80)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.84 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.81 (path difference 1.65)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.60 (path difference 0.93)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +1.47 (path difference 0.68)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -1.36 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.29 (path difference 2.48)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.26 (path difference 1.77)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.22 (path difference 0.06)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.21 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.07 (path difference 1.89)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.02 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.02 (path difference 1.70)
  • home adjusted epa: +1.00 (path difference 0.40)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.93 (path difference 0.17)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.84 (path difference 0.13)
  • home conference: -0.81 (path difference 0.09)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.80 (path difference 0.16)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.62 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.51 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.51 (path difference 1.24)
  • away conference: -0.45 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.43 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.39 (path difference 0.19)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.39 (path difference 0.34)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.35 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.33 (path difference 3.21)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.33 (path difference 0.11)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +0.31 (path difference 0.19)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.29 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.83)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.26 (path difference 3.12)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.22 (path difference 0.15)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.18 (path difference 1.00)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.18 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.15 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +0.11 (path difference 0.06)
  • week: -0.10 (path difference 1.13)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.06 (path difference 0.05)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -0.05 (path difference 1.77)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 76.23 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 48965a9384bec6c7c6acbf53fe2fee7f4c828d0446d55fd26d429ebde4e93a14 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast d4205224030dda53139f38dd15644ab099e33b4aa49aa3bb361fe5b47a9cf0d4 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Clemson

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Tait Reynolds

CFBD athlete 5159078

Week 5 vs Miami: 13 attempts · -1.3 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.476 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.260 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 18 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.411 raw PPA.

382.3934.2%76 / 2.2
Gideon Davidson

CFBD athlete 5141422

Week 5 vs Miami: 7 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.296 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 13 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 61.5% success · 0.339 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 14 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 35.7% success · -0.212 raw PPA.

344.3030.6%92 / 5.2
Chris Johnson Jr.

CFBD athlete 5159948

Week 5 vs Miami: 5 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.170 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 7 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.798 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.417 raw PPA.

134.9011.7%28 / 4.0
Jay Haynes

CFBD athlete 5150556

Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 9 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.463 raw PPA.

92.808.1%9 / 2.8
Max Wilson

CFBD athlete 5294145

Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 7 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.500 raw PPA.

77.406.3%7 / 7.4

Florida State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 112 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Ousmane Kromah

CFBD athlete 5141560

Week 5 vs Virginia: 16 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.113 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Louisville: 19 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 52.6% success · 0.112 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 13 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 15.4% success · -0.779 raw PPA.

484.3042.9%111 / 5.0
Ashton Daniels

CFBD athlete 4838679

Week 5 vs Virginia: 16 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 91.7% success · 1.380 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Louisville: 12 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 77.8% success · 0.682 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 8 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.492 raw PPA.

365.4932.1%74 / 4.1
Tre Wisner

CFBD athlete 4871076

Week 5 vs Virginia: 9 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.148 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Louisville: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.031 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 9 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.614 raw PPA.

255.2022.3%38 / 5.4
Micahi Danzy

CFBD athlete 5088153

Week 5 vs Virginia: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.306 raw PPA.

18.000.9%3 / 9.3
Kevin Sperry

CFBD athlete 5141661

Week 7 vs Miami: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.161 raw PPA.

12.000.9%2 / -4.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureFlorida StateOffenseClemsonDefenseClemsonOffenseFlorida StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.20
69th
+0.03
69th
-0.03
7th
+0.18
16th
Success rate
43.3%
53rd
39.8%
59th
37.5%
9th
42.3%
34th
Explosiveness
1.39
96th
1.16
74th
1.15
17th
1.34
12th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.02
25th
-0.04
70th
-0.06
11th
+0.15
16th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.64
100th
+0.16
56th
+0.02
8th
+0.22
39th
Havoc allowed / created
13.8%
64th
18.5%
84th
17.9%
9th
14.5%
31st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:32 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:32 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Gabe Panikowski · Florida State · PAAR 4.92 · 6 attempts
  • Nolan Hauser · Clemson · PAAR 15.00 · 19 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Florida State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +1.5 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: +1.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Review unusual change: at least 7 points from the CFBD-reported opening and from the first local observation. This flag does not verify sportsbook movement or indicate model confidence.

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 50.5

Total · First locally observed: 51.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -218 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -108 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +180 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -112 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: -6 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 50

Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -225 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +185 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +185 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Florida State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

54th FBS percentile

Clemson

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

38th FBS percentile

Travel

Clemson travels 305 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · down 611 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Florida State leads 21–17 in 38 meetings since 1970.

  • 2025Florida State at Clemson10–24 · Clemson
  • 2024Clemson at Florida State29–13 · Clemson
  • 2023Florida State at Clemson31–24 · Florida State
  • 2022Clemson at Florida State34–28 · Clemson
  • 2021Florida State at Clemson20–30 · Clemson
  • 2019Florida State at Clemson14–45 · Clemson

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.