Week 9 · 2026
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Georgia Tech
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Mendoza QB 3 games | 50.0% 47 / 94 plays | 42.9% 3 / 7 plays |
| Justice Haynes RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 39.3% 11 / 28 plays |
| Trelain Maddox RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 39.3% 11 / 28 plays |
| Grady Adamson QB 1 games | 30.0% 3 / 10 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| Chad Alexander RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 33.3% 1 / 3 plays |
Traditional season production · 56 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
A.J. Hoffler · DE
CFBD athlete 4870781
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Aidan Birr · PK
CFBD athlete 4876720
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 33
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 49
- kicking · XPA
- 23
- kicking · XPM
- 22
Alberto Mendoza · QB
CFBD athlete 5191162
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 215
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 153
- passing · INT
- 6
- passing · PCT
- 0.712
- passing · TD
- 10
- passing · YDS
- 1714
- passing · YPA
- 8.0
- rushing · CAR
- 32
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -26
- rushing · YPC
- -0.8
Alex Bacchetta · P
CFBD athlete 4862220
- punting · In 20
- 8
- punting · LONG
- 65
- punting · NO
- 25
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1066
- punting · YPP
- 42.6
Amier Clarke · DT
CFBD athlete 5271139
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Amontrae Bradford · DE
CFBD athlete 5146880
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Andre Fuller Jr. · DE
CFBD athlete 5199947
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Brayden Manley · DE
CFBD athlete 5153412
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Braylon Outlaw · LB
CFBD athlete 5217189
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 15
C.J. Gamble · LB
CFBD athlete 5222695
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- interceptions · AVG
- 1.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 1
Cayman Spaulding · LB
CFBD athlete 5153762
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.0
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Chad Alexander · RB
CFBD athlete 5125580
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 26.2
- kickReturns · LONG
- 41
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 131
- receiving · LONG
- 3
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 2.0
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 34
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 42
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Chris Corbo · TE
CFBD athlete 5085509
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 121
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
Chris Hewitt Jr. · S
CFBD athlete 5159174
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Christian Garrett · DT
CFBD athlete 5147846
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Christian Speakman · DT
CFBD athlete 5292052
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Daiquan White · CB
CFBD athlete 4921457
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Dalen Penson · WR
CFBD athlete 5199859
- receiving · LONG
- 46
- receiving · REC
- 27
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 428
- receiving · YPR
- 15.9
Debron Gatling · WR
CFBD athlete 5079441
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 54
- receiving · YPR
- 27.0
Derry Norris Jr. · DT
CFBD athlete 5167754
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
E.J. Lightsey · LB
CFBD athlete 4837472
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 33
Elgin Sessions · CB
CFBD athlete 5215237
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 3
- puntReturns · NO
- 0
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 3
Gavin Harris · TE
CFBD athlete 5154262
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 36
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Grady Adamson · QB
CFBD athlete 5207610
- passing · ATT
- 10
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 7
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.700
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 73
- passing · YPA
- 7.3
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 5
- rushing · YPC
- 1.7
Graham Knowles · QB
CFBD athlete 5146575
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Isaiah Fuhrmann · WR
CFBD athlete 5224790
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 83
- receiving · YPR
- 13.8
J.P. Powell · RB
CFBD athlete 5215011
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaedyn Terry · CB
CFBD athlete 5266701
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaiven Plummer · WR
CFBD athlete 4703030
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 94
- receiving · YPR
- 15.7
Jayden Barr · RB
CFBD athlete 5215624
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaylen Mbakwe · CB
CFBD athlete 5079515
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Jon Mitchell · CB
CFBD athlete 5079598
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Jonas Duclona · CB
CFBD athlete 4923251
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Jordan Allen · WR
CFBD athlete 5141362
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 14.2
- puntReturns · LONG
- 33
- puntReturns · NO
- 5
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 71
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 42
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 517
- receiving · YPR
- 12.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Jordan Boyd · DE
CFBD athlete 5127028
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Jordan Walker · DE
CFBD athlete 5092443
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Justice Haynes · RB
CFBD athlete 4870760
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 47
- receiving · YPR
- 4.3
- rushing · CAR
- 101
- rushing · LONG
- 46
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 515
- rushing · YPC
- 5.1
Kelvin Hill · CB
CFBD athlete 5155744
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Kevin Roche Jr. · TE
CFBD athlete 5215629
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 29
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 273
- receiving · YPR
- 9.4
Kyle Efford · LB
CFBD athlete 4838514
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 27
L.J. Crumity · CB
CFBD athlete 5277201
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Landen Marshall · DT
CFBD athlete 5146808
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Landon Shaffer · PK
CFBD athlete 5296224
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Malachi Hosley · RB
CFBD athlete 5155366
- rushing · CAR
- 16
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 61
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Melvin Jordan IV · LB
CFBD athlete 4685429
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Noah Carter · DE
CFBD athlete 5139096
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Rahkeem Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 5085830
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 28.1
- kickReturns · LONG
- 100
- kickReturns · NO
- 19
- kickReturns · TD
- 1
- kickReturns · YDS
- 534
- puntReturns · AVG
- -10.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 1
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -10
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Savion Riley · S
CFBD athlete 4871101
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Shymeik Jones · DT
CFBD athlete 5075806
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Tae Harris · S
CFBD athlete 5147934
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 45
Taje Mccoy · DE
CFBD athlete 5105677
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Tawfiq Thomas · DT
CFBD athlete 4812383
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.5
- defensive · TOT
- 37
Trae Stevenson Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5276054
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- puntReturns · AVG
- 21.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 21
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 21
Trelain Maddox · RB
CFBD athlete 5103639
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 118
- receiving · YPR
- 7.4
- rushing · CAR
- 44
- rushing · LONG
- 60
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 279
- rushing · YPC
- 6.3
Vincent Carroll-Jackson · DT
CFBD athlete 5120453
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Zachary Tobe · CB
CFBD athlete 4954446
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Pittsburgh
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Holden Geriner QB 2 games | 40.3% 31 / 77 plays | 22.2% 2 / 9 plays |
| Damon Ferguson Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 20 / 40 plays |
| Corey Dailey QB 2 games | 37.9% 11 / 29 plays | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays |
| La'Vell Wright RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 51.9% 14 / 27 plays |
| Justin Cook RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 28.6% 2 / 7 plays |
| Ja'Kyrian Turner RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 60.0% 3 / 5 plays |
| Jaylin Brown RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Tony Kinsler WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 62 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Abe Ibrahim · LB
CFBD athlete 5122404
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Alex Sanford · LB
CFBD athlete 4917983
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.0
- defensive · TOT
- 35
Allen Bryant · DB
CFBD athlete 5146366
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Antonio Chadha · PK
CFBD athlete 5092428
- kicking · FGA
- 11
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 58
- kicking · PCT
- 0.909
- kicking · PTS
- 59
- kicking · XPA
- 29
- kicking · XPM
- 29
BJ Williams · OL
CFBD athlete 5083030
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Braylan Lovelace · LB
CFBD athlete 5077248
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 34
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Bryan Hamilton · WR
CFBD athlete 5271365
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 36
- receiving · YPR
- 36.0
Bryce Yates · WR
CFBD athlete 5210164
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 30
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 255
- receiving · YPR
- 14.2
Cam Sapp · WR
CFBD athlete 5141640
- puntReturns · AVG
- 9.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 13
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 49
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 49.0
Cameron Lindsey · LB
CFBD athlete 5079579
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Carson Kent · TE
CFBD athlete 5083135
- kickReturns · AVG
- 7.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 7
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 7
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 26
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 276
- receiving · YPR
- 10.6
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Cataurus Hicks · WR
CFBD athlete 5102556
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 8.2
- puntReturns · LONG
- 25
- puntReturns · NO
- 15
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 123
- receiving · LONG
- 75
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 5
- receiving · YDS
- 649
- receiving · YPR
- 20.9
Censere Lee · WR
CFBD athlete 5089539
- receiving · LONG
- 35
- receiving · REC
- 21
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 214
- receiving · YPR
- 10.2
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Cole Woodson · DB
CFBD athlete 5214524
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- interceptions · AVG
- 9.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 9
Corey Dailey · QB
CFBD athlete 5207640
- passing · ATT
- 33
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 17
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.515
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 316
- passing · YPA
- 9.6
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 9
- rushing · YPC
- 2.3
Cruce Brookins · DB
CFBD athlete 5154305
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 33
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 55
Damon Ferguson Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5158978
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 102
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 92
- rushing · LONG
- 33
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 477
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Davin Brewton · LB
CFBD athlete 5144083
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Demarco Ward · LB
CFBD athlete 5078256
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Demetrice McCray · WR
CFBD athlete 5281153
- receiving · LONG
- 48
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 97
- receiving · YPR
- 19.4
Denim Cook · DL
CFBD athlete 5167176
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Dylan Wester · WR
CFBD athlete 5271371
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 19
- receiving · YPR
- 9.5
Elijah Lagg · TE
CFBD athlete 5296040
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 76
- receiving · YPR
- 10.9
Eliyt Nairne · DL
CFBD athlete 5122153
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Gabriel Russo · P
CFBD athlete 5092216
- punting · In 20
- 10
- punting · LONG
- 59
- punting · NO
- 30
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1322
- punting · YPP
- 44.1
Holden Geriner · QB
CFBD athlete 4714300
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 102
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 64
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.627
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 706
- passing · YPA
- 6.9
- rushing · CAR
- 18
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 1.2
Isaiah Neal · DL
CFBD athlete 4870865
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Ja'Kyrian Turner · RB
CFBD athlete 5141677
- receiving · LONG
- 45
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 104
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
- rushing · CAR
- 30
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 131
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Jaeden Moore · DL
CFBD athlete 4921442
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 4
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Jayden Bonsu · LB
CFBD athlete 4918122
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jaylin Brown · RB
CFBD athlete 5198312
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 16
- receiving · YPR
- 5.3
- rushing · CAR
- 9
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 49
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Jeremiah Marcelin · LB
CFBD athlete 5079595
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 47
Jeremiah Warren · DL
CFBD athlete 5121617
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jimmy Scott · DL
CFBD athlete 4688840
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Josh Guerrier · DB
CFBD athlete 5214561
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 31
Josh Pittman · DL
CFBD athlete 5278685
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Justin Cook · RB
CFBD athlete 5296232
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 21
- kickReturns · NO
- 6
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 108
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 5.5
- rushing · CAR
- 9
- rushing · LONG
- 50
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 99
- rushing · YPC
- 11.0
Justin Thompson · LB
CFBD athlete 5213307
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Kanye Thompson · DB
CFBD athlete 5328487
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- puntReturns · AVG
- 20.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 20
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 20
Kentrail McRae Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5290349
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
La'Vell Wright · RB
CFBD athlete 4683234
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 63
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 253
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Lincoln Hoke · DL
CFBD athlete 5290338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Malik Knight · WR
CFBD athlete 5089549
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 204
- receiving · YPR
- 13.6
Marcus Jennings · LB
CFBD athlete 5276558
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
Mason Heintschel · QB
CFBD athlete 5208095
- passing · ATT
- 148
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 98
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.662
- passing · TD
- 14
- passing · YDS
- 1304
- passing · YPA
- 8.8
- rushing · CAR
- 30
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 112
- rushing · YPC
- 3.7
Nick James · DL
CFBD athlete 5081328
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.0
- defensive · TOT
- 18
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Raion Strader · DB
CFBD athlete 5075797
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- interceptions · AVG
- 5.3
- interceptions · INT
- 3
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 16
Rashan Murray · DB
CFBD athlete 5265269
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Reston Lehman · DL
CFBD athlete 5244503
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Samuel Hunsaker · PK
CFBD athlete 5225460
- kicking · FGA
- 0
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0
- kicking · PTS
- 2
- kicking · XPA
- 2
- kicking · XPM
- 2
Sean FitzSimmons · DL
CFBD athlete 4806851
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Shadarian Harrison · DB
CFBD athlete 5075536
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- interceptions · AVG
- 22.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 22
Shawn Lee Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5216307
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 23
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Shep Turk · OL
CFBD athlete 5212612
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Synkwan Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 5216547
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 47
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Tony Forney · DB
CFBD athlete 5264758
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Tony Kinsler · WR
CFBD athlete 5212611
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 69
- receiving · YPR
- 11.5
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 29
- rushing · YPC
- 9.7
Ty Yuhas · DL
CFBD athlete 5126921
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tyreek Robinson · WR
CFBD athlete 5196024
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 39
- kickReturns · NO
- 6
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 116
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 78
- receiving · YPR
- 15.6
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Zach Crothers · DL
CFBD athlete 5138653
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Zaky Roberts · RB
CFBD athlete 5437995
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zion Ferguson · DB
CFBD athlete 5079445
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Pittsburgh -7.75
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median
DraftKings snapshot: Pittsburgh -7.5
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
Pittsburgh by 14.66
6.91 points toward Pittsburgh versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Pittsburgh.
- Net EPA rating difference: +10.72
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 14.66 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 0228a05af780f11f975b3972432b5f0b801a8a7dac4ab58d4e7a197f95b465ce · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast d109e7c2e93fe1edb594da92704e5c4f42a566e99b92873dda1b94a7b2975782 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -7.5 | -7.75 | -0.25 |
| Model spread | -14.66 | -14.66 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +7.16 | +6.91 | -0.25 |
Negative spreads favor Pittsburgh; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 0228a05af780f11f975b3972432b5f0b801a8a7dac4ab58d4e7a197f95b465ce. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Pittsburgh -7.75
Model gap +6.9 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Pittsburgh.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Pittsburgh win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 71%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Pittsburgh -8
- Stacked ensemble
- 81%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Pittsburgh.
- home adjusted success allowed: +10.66 (path difference 5.12)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +9.00 (path difference 8.76)
- away elo: +7.36 (path difference 9.53)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +5.26 (path difference 4.79)
- home elo: +4.74 (path difference 3.70)
- away adjusted success: -4.57 (path difference 0.54)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -4.27 (path difference 3.75)
- away talent: -3.88 (path difference 1.90)
- home adjusted epa: +3.76 (path difference 4.76)
- away adjusted success allowed: +3.64 (path difference 2.64)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +3.63 (path difference 4.60)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.51 (path difference 2.61)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.31 (path difference 1.32)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.65 (path difference 0.12)
- home adjusted second level yards: +2.53 (path difference 2.04)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.51 (path difference 0.43)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.44 (path difference 1.50)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -2.14 (path difference 0.44)
- home adjusted open field yards: -1.64 (path difference 0.74)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.52 (path difference 0.94)
- home adjusted success: +1.49 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.40 (path difference 1.17)
- home talent: +1.40 (path difference 1.15)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.38 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.21 (path difference 0.22)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.18 (path difference 0.50)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.15 (path difference 0.61)
- home adjusted line yards: +1.09 (path difference 0.21)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.09 (path difference 1.20)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -1.06 (path difference 0.93)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +0.98 (path difference 0.19)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.89 (path difference 0.31)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.86 (path difference 0.31)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.84 (path difference 1.99)
- away adjusted epa: +0.81 (path difference 1.43)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.73 (path difference 0.09)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.71 (path difference 1.54)
- home adjusted passing epa: -0.66 (path difference 1.07)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.53 (path difference 0.17)
- away adjusted second level yards: -0.50 (path difference 0.49)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.44 (path difference 0.46)
- home adjusted standard down success: +0.43 (path difference 1.50)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.40 (path difference 0.27)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.39 (path difference 1.49)
- week: +0.37 (path difference 0.19)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.37 (path difference 0.47)
- home conference: -0.31 (path difference 1.09)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.29 (path difference 1.53)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.53)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.26 (path difference 0.01)
- away conference: -0.25 (path difference 0.39)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.38)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.16 (path difference 0.06)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.13 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.11 (path difference 1.09)
Reconciles to 81.04 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 038747e2b1d089c3a84fef799cc25326e374d4d5d008cfc6995e8033c23a8945 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast f20c2ea2d645b0553f44ba285f82dd799603465950ac5849b1da7b262b22aae0 · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Georgia Tech
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 71 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Justice HaynesCFBD athlete 4870760 Week 6 vs Duke: 14 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.176 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Boston College: 14 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.086 raw PPA. | 28 | 4.4 | 0 | 39.4% | 97 / 5.1 |
Trelain MaddoxCFBD athlete 5103639 Week 6 vs Duke: 10 attempts · 8.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.745 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 11 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.316 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Boston College: 7 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.058 raw PPA. | 28 | 6.8 | 0 | 39.4% | 42 / 6.3 |
Alberto MendozaCFBD athlete 5191162 Week 6 vs Duke: 2 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.126 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 3 attempts · -5.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.277 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Boston College: 5 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.154 raw PPA. | 10 | 2.2 | 3 | 14.1% | 27 / 0.9 |
Chad AlexanderCFBD athlete 5125580 Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 3 attempts · 11.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.422 raw PPA. | 3 | 11.3 | 0 | 4.2% | 7 / 6.0 |
Grady AdamsonCFBD athlete 5207610 Week 8 vs Boston College: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.743 raw PPA. | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.8% | 3 / 1.7 |
Pittsburgh
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 102 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Damon Ferguson Jr.CFBD athlete 5158978 Week 6 vs North Carolina: 15 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 26.7% success · -0.228 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Boston College: 16 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 68.8% success · 0.080 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Miami: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.275 raw PPA. | 40 | 5.0 | 0 | 39.2% | 89 / 5.3 |
La'Vell WrightCFBD athlete 4683234 Week 6 vs North Carolina: 9 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 77.8% success · 0.157 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Boston College: 15 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 46.7% success · -0.075 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Miami: 3 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.330 raw PPA. | 27 | 3.9 | 0 | 26.5% | 62 / 4.0 |
Holden GerinerCFBD athlete 4714300 Week 6 vs North Carolina: 7 attempts · -0.1 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.482 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Miami: 6 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.175 raw PPA. | 13 | 0.6 | 3 | 12.7% | 17 / 1.8 |
Justin CookCFBD athlete 5296232 Week 6 vs North Carolina: 3 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.110 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Miami: 4 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.315 raw PPA. | 7 | 3.7 | 0 | 6.9% | 9 / 11.0 |
Ja'Kyrian TurnerCFBD athlete 5141677 Week 6 vs North Carolina: 5 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.230 raw PPA. | 5 | 5.4 | 0 | 4.9% | 30 / 4.4 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | PittsburghOffense | Georgia TechDefense | Georgia TechOffense | PittsburghDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.17 61st | +0.22 12th | +0.15 55th | +0.02 69th |
| Success rate | 44.9% 65th | 43.6% 20th | 44.1% 58th | 34.2% 95th |
| Explosiveness | 1.20 36th | 1.26 32nd | 1.26 64th | 1.49 1st |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.11 60th | +0.11 19th | +0.15 69th | -0.08 82nd |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.29 62nd | +0.46 1st | +0.17 30th | +0.19 44th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 12.2% 85th | 14.0% 25th | 16.6% 27th | 16.8% 65th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:34 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:34 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Aidan Birr · Georgia Tech · PAAR -3.43 · 12 attempts
- Antonio Chadha · Pittsburgh · PAAR 6.54 · 11 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Pittsburgh spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -7 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -305 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -305 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +245 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +245 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -8
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -300 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +250 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Pittsburgh
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · ACC
Georgia Tech
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · ACC
Travel
Georgia Tech travels 520 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Pittsburgh leads 12–6 in 18 meetings since 1918.
- 2025Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech42–28 · Pittsburgh
- 2022Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh26–21 · Georgia Tech
- 2021Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech52–21 · Pittsburgh
- 2020Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech34–20 · Pittsburgh
- 2019Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech20–10 · Pittsburgh
- 2018Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh19–24 · Pittsburgh
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.