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Stanford at Louisville

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Stanford

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:15:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Davis Warren QB
3 games
43.0%
43 / 100 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Micah Ford RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.3%
24 / 53 plays
Caleb Hampton RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
44.4%
4 / 9 plays
Sedrick Irvin RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
2 / 8 plays
Chris Davis Jr. RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Charlie Mirer QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Mike Mitchell Jr. QB
1 games
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Jacob Butler WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Shovlin · DE

CFBD athlete 5141680

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Aidan Flintoft · P

CFBD athlete 5092214

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
53
punting · NO
43
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1847
punting · YPP
43.0
Atticus Joseph · WR

CFBD athlete 5294219

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
83
receiving · YPR
10.4
Benedict Umeh · DL

CFBD athlete 5139059

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Benjamin Blackburn · TE

CFBD athlete 5146764

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
244
receiving · YPR
8.7
Bo Tate · LB

CFBD athlete 5149255

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Braden Marceau-Olayinka · DL

CFBD athlete 5125732

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
14
Brandon Nicholson · CB

CFBD athlete 5084299

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Caden High · WR

CFBD athlete 5231354

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
52
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
410
receiving · YPR
13.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Caleb Hampton · RB

CFBD athlete 5156056

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
2.5
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
70
rushing · YPC
4.7
Cam Richardson · CB

CFBD athlete 5148423

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Charlie Eckhardt · S

CFBD athlete 5219244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
puntReturns · AVG
0.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
0
Charlie Mirer · QB

CFBD athlete 4914482

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Chico Holt · TE

CFBD athlete 5077804

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
42
receiving · YPR
8.4
Chris Davis Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079371

kickReturns · AVG
20.5
kickReturns · LONG
37
kickReturns · NO
21
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
431
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
2.9
Connor Bachhuber · DL

CFBD athlete 5144020

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
9
Darrius Davis · S

CFBD athlete 5147109

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Davis Warren · QB

CFBD athlete 4878681

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
271
passing · COMPLETIONS
163
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.601
passing · TD
11
passing · YDS
1933
passing · YPA
7.1
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-30
rushing · YPC
-1.3
Dre Pollard · WR

CFBD athlete 5276660

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Drew Cunningham · LB

CFBD athlete 5219245

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Emmet Kenney · PK

CFBD athlete 4875315

kicking · FGA
9
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
43
kicking · PCT
0.667
kicking · PTS
37
kicking · XPA
20
kicking · XPM
19
Ernest Cooper · LB

CFBD athlete 4685308

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
14
Fisher Anderson · OL

CFBD athlete 4685251

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Gabe Kaminski · LB

CFBD athlete 5141551

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
Gavin Geweniger · LB

CFBD athlete 5031156

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jacob Butler · WR

CFBD athlete 5279420

kickReturns · AVG
13.0
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
puntReturns · AVG
8.0
puntReturns · LONG
8
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Jahsiah Galvan · LB

CFBD athlete 5085761

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
35
Jaivion Green · S

CFBD athlete 4917046

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
48
Javion Randall · CB

CFBD athlete 5152986

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaylen'Dai Sumlin · S

CFBD athlete 5127807

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jonanthony Hall · WR

CFBD athlete 5208218

receiving · LONG
57
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
277
receiving · YPR
17.3
Jordan Onovughe · WR

CFBD athlete 5114313

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
156
receiving · YPR
9.8
Kole Briehler · DT

CFBD athlete 5141383

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
12
Landon McComber · LB

CFBD athlete 5148649

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Langdon Horace · WR

CFBD athlete 5209298

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
Lasiah Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5199857

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
puntReturns · AVG
0.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
0
Leroy Bryant · CB

CFBD athlete 5078420

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
26
Liam Thorpe · WR

CFBD athlete 5212732

puntReturns · AVG
12.1
puntReturns · LONG
33
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
97
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
56
receiving · YPR
11.2
Lonnie McAllister III · DB

CFBD athlete 5209788

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
14
Marcus Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5219242

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
10
receiving · YPR
10.0
Matt Rose · LB

CFBD athlete 4819256

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
38
Micah Ford · RB

CFBD athlete 5143191

receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
176
receiving · YPR
8.8
rushing · CAR
136
rushing · LONG
81
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
679
rushing · YPC
5.0
Mike Mitchell Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5211073

passing · ATT
10
passing · COMPLETIONS
7
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.700
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
46
passing · YPA
4.6
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-6
rushing · YPC
-3.0
Nico Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5094032

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
236
receiving · YPR
10.7
Omar Staples · DL

CFBD athlete 5121883

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
21
Preston Jernegan · LB

CFBD athlete 5219246

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Sam Mattingly · LB

CFBD athlete 5147183

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
49
Sam Neely · CB

CFBD athlete 5140699

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Sarrel Howard · LB

CFBD athlete 5281563

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Scotty Edwards · S

CFBD athlete 5081694

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Sedrick Irvin · RB

CFBD athlete 4870802

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
90
receiving · YPR
10.0
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
168
rushing · YPC
3.8
Tevarua Tafiti · LB

CFBD athlete 4685544

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
9
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
26
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Tre Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 4954505

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
Tuna Altahir · RB

CFBD athlete 4876144

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
Tyler Kuo · WR

CFBD athlete 5125795

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Wassie Lugolobi · LB

CFBD athlete 5159105

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Harmon · CB

CFBD athlete 5276979

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Zach Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5165113

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
Zach Rowell · DL

CFBD athlete 4804886

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
15
Zion Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5217152

receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
155
receiving · YPR
22.1

Louisville

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-09 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:15:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Lincoln Kienholz QB
3 games
47.4%
37 / 78 plays
66.7%
12 / 18 plays
Isaac Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
39.4%
13 / 33 plays
Keyjuan Brown RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
10 / 20 plays
Marquise Davis RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
6 / 9 plays
Braxton Jennings RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Lekhy Thompkins RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Tre Richardson WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adonijah Green · DL

CFBD athlete 4899477

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
15
Antonio Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5214562

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Antonio Watts · DB

CFBD athlete 4838276

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Bailey Abercrombie · DL

CFBD athlete 5258299

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Benjamin Perry · LB

CFBD athlete 4683149

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
34
Blake Ruffin · DB

CFBD athlete 4877252

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Braxton Jennings · RB

CFBD athlete 5296136

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
38
receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
44
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
80
rushing · YPC
11.4
Briggs Cherry · QB

CFBD athlete 5158996

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
24
passing · YPA
12.0
Brody Foley · TE

CFBD athlete 4819226

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5
Brycen Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 5224791

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Cameron White · LB

CFBD athlete 5217872

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Carson Hilbert · PK

CFBD athlete 5296134

kicking · FGA
9
kicking · FGM
7
kicking · LONG
54
kicking · PCT
0.778
kicking · PTS
50
kicking · XPA
32
kicking · XPM
29
Clev Lubin · DL

CFBD athlete 5082149

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
34
DJ Waller Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5092262

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
Davin Wydner · QB

CFBD athlete 4836476

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
19
passing · YPA
4.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Daylen Russell · DL

CFBD athlete 5146111

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
16
Demeco Kennedy · DL

CFBD athlete 5147384

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
20
Dillon Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5209261

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Drew Kegebein · LS

CFBD athlete 5375082

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Elizjah Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 4893702

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Eric Hazzard · DL

CFBD athlete 5209935

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Garth White · PK

CFBD athlete 5085035

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
3
kicking · XPA
3
kicking · XPM
3
Isaac Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5079349

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.2
kickReturns · LONG
71
kickReturns · NO
6
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
163
receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
108
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
83
rushing · LONG
97
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
568
rushing · YPC
6.8
Jabari Mack · DB

CFBD athlete 4917353

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
15
kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
Jackson Voth · WR

CFBD athlete 5144023

puntReturns · AVG
8.2
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
41
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
13.7
Jacob Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5079695

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaleel Skinner · TE

CFBD athlete 4685560

receiving · LONG
69
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
275
receiving · YPR
17.2
James Glover-Tyson · OL

CFBD athlete 5151026

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jerod Smith II · DL

CFBD athlete 5079697

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Vann · S

CFBD athlete 5265176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Donald · DL

CFBD athlete 5084455

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
Justyn Reid · TE

CFBD athlete 5077877

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
17.5
Kaleb Beasley · DB

CFBD athlete 5079321

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
49
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
5
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kalib Perry · LB

CFBD athlete 5081395

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Keon Webb · DL

CFBD athlete 5226790

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Keyjuan Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 4923046

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
40
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
96
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
51
rushing · LONG
58
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
417
rushing · YPC
8.2
Koen Entringer · DB

CFBD athlete 4869698

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
29
kickReturns · AVG
13.0
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
Lance Robinson · OL

CFBD athlete 4576120

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Lawayne McCoy · WR

CFBD athlete 5086096

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
3.0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
3
receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
25
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
513
receiving · YPR
20.5
Lekhy Thompkins · RB

CFBD athlete 5209960

rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
4.6
Lincoln Kienholz · QB

CFBD athlete 5078278

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
180
passing · COMPLETIONS
121
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.672
passing · TD
10
passing · YDS
1844
passing · YPA
10.2
rushing · CAR
71
rushing · LONG
82
rushing · TD
10
rushing · YDS
251
rushing · YPC
3.5
Marlon Harbin · WR

CFBD athlete 5210046

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
12.0
Marquise Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5141420

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
14.0
kickReturns · LONG
14
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
14
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
144
rushing · YPC
8.5
Maurice Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5146867

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Micah Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 4870657

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Micah Rice · DB

CFBD athlete 5214535

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Myles Norwood · DB

CFBD athlete 5081861

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Niall Hayes · P

CFBD athlete 5447125

punting · In 20
4
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1001
punting · YPP
40.0
Nick Keller · PK

CFBD athlete 5081159

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
0
kicking · XPA
0
kicking · XPM
0
Stanquan Clark · LB

CFBD athlete 4870664

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
48
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
T.J. Capers · LB

CFBD athlete 5079330

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
53
T.J. McWilliams · WR

CFBD athlete 5078049

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
8.0
Tayon Holloway · DB

CFBD athlete 4685387

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Tommy Ziesmer · DL

CFBD athlete 4918459

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Travaris Banks · DB

CFBD athlete 5079312

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
32
Tre Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5294063

kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
13.0
puntReturns · LONG
13
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
13
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
493
receiving · YPR
16.4
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
68
rushing · YPC
11.3
Trent Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5145593

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Treyshun Hurry · WR

CFBD athlete 5085609

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
337
receiving · YPR
12.0
Tyler Thompson · DL

CFBD athlete 4921271

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Louisville -22.5

DraftKings snapshot: Louisville -22.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Louisville by 24.94

2.44 points toward Louisville versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Louisville.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +21.00
  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 24.94 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 2c619ca8cf1ced9f73a257a4c378caa76cd78db23372bdc1d39d6b16a0fc8c29 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 113e1a9bf9d6ed955a5bceae89d41114687913d7a462cdd2b57b56b38264ac06 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Louisville · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-22.5-22.50.0
Model spread-24.94-24.940.0
Model gap+2.44+2.440.0

Negative spreads favor Louisville; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 2c619ca8cf1ced9f73a257a4c378caa76cd78db23372bdc1d39d6b16a0fc8c29. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.4 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Louisville win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
94%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Louisville -22.5
Stacked ensemble
87%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Louisville.

  • away elo: +14.28 (path difference 20.15)
  • home elo: +7.67 (path difference 5.55)
  • home adjusted success: +4.69 (path difference 7.48)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.53 (path difference 8.13)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +4.28 (path difference 6.93)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.17 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -4.02 (path difference 4.15)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +3.34 (path difference 3.85)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +3.24 (path difference 4.27)
  • home adjusted line yards: -3.00 (path difference 1.05)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +2.74 (path difference 4.16)
  • away adjusted epa: +2.74 (path difference 4.42)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -2.51 (path difference 2.62)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -2.33 (path difference 1.33)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.28 (path difference 4.08)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.10 (path difference 1.45)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.02 (path difference 0.67)
  • away talent: -2.02 (path difference 0.30)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.00 (path difference 3.64)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.88 (path difference 1.81)
  • home adjusted open field yards: +1.84 (path difference 0.06)
  • home talent: +1.79 (path difference 0.22)
  • away adjusted success: +1.63 (path difference 2.08)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -1.40 (path difference 2.15)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.30 (path difference 1.79)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.19 (path difference 0.78)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.10 (path difference 0.54)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.05 (path difference 1.95)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.91 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.91 (path difference 0.99)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.89 (path difference 0.17)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.79 (path difference 1.28)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.77 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.75 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.69 (path difference 0.56)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.60 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.58 (path difference 0.58)
  • home adjusted epa: +0.58 (path difference 1.23)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.43 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.38 (path difference 0.08)
  • home conference: -0.38 (path difference 0.94)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +0.38 (path difference 0.69)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.35 (path difference 1.43)
  • away conference: -0.28 (path difference 0.33)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.27 (path difference 2.20)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.22 (path difference 0.62)
  • week: +0.18 (path difference 0.56)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.16 (path difference 0.54)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.15 (path difference 0.19)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.15 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.13 (path difference 0.11)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.13 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.03 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 87.14 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 76b39faffb30f62d56d7de55b2b5f9587d7299c4fdd75dc5a258a9447bd0b409 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast f12f798cdad5cd4939c10f56bf860458db85337bbc9c5b76fb0b33e1cbcbebd8 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Stanford

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 82 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Micah Ford

CFBD athlete 5143191

Week 6 vs Notre Dame: 13 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 15.4% success · -0.218 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Elon: 19 attempts · 9.4 YPC · 63.2% success · 0.921 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs NC State: 22 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.363 raw PPA.

547.0065.9%136 / 5.0
Caleb Hampton

CFBD athlete 5156056

Week 6 vs Notre Dame: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.994 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Elon: 3 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.406 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs NC State: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.191 raw PPA.

94.8011.0%15 / 4.7
Sedrick Irvin

CFBD athlete 4870802

Week 6 vs Notre Dame: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.453 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Elon: 6 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.172 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs NC State: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.558 raw PPA.

82.609.8%43 / 3.9
Davis Warren

CFBD athlete 4878681

Week 6 vs Notre Dame: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.031 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Elon: 1 attempts · -4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs NC State: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.891 raw PPA.

50.836.1%22 / -0.0
Chris Davis Jr.

CFBD athlete 5079371

Week 6 vs Notre Dame: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.338 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Elon: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.282 raw PPA.

42.804.9%8 / 2.9

Louisville

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 95 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Isaac Brown

CFBD athlete 5079349

Week 5 vs NC State: 8 attempts · 14.6 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.916 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Florida State: 16 attempts · 14.8 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.625 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 9 attempts · 1.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.503 raw PPA.

3311.0034.7%81 / 6.9
Lincoln Kienholz

CFBD athlete 5078278

Week 5 vs NC State: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.084 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 87.5% success · 0.874 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 10 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.788 raw PPA.

254.3726.3%69 / 3.6
Keyjuan Brown

CFBD athlete 4923046

Week 5 vs NC State: 9 attempts · 14.7 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.115 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 13 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 38.5% success · 0.310 raw PPA.

228.3023.2%52 / 8.9
Marquise Davis

CFBD athlete 5141420

Week 6 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.285 raw PPA.

96.209.5%17 / 8.5
Braxton Jennings

CFBD athlete 5296136

Week 6 vs Florida State: 3 attempts · 16.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.375 raw PPA.

316.303.2%7 / 11.4

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureLouisvilleOffenseStanfordDefenseStanfordOffenseLouisvilleDefense
PPA/play
+0.32
95th
+0.32
0th
+0.13
46th
+0.09
42nd
Success rate
48.9%
86th
47.9%
5th
39.5%
19th
41.0%
48th
Explosiveness
1.42
99th
1.34
13th
1.24
53rd
1.22
50th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.27
93rd
+0.22
4th
+0.15
70th
-0.04
73rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.45
90th
+0.55
1st
+0.08
15th
+0.39
10th
Havoc allowed / created
17.5%
14th
11.1%
3rd
12.7%
78th
15.3%
43rd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:07 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:06 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Emmet Kenney · Stanford · PAAR -4.10 · 8 attempts
  • Nick Keller · Louisville · PAAR -0.82 · 1 attempts
  • Carson Hilbert · Louisville · PAAR 3.94 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Louisville spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -21 · Snapshot spread: -22.5

First locally observed: -22.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 61.5 · Snapshot total: 60.5

Total · First locally observed: 61.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -2100 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -2100 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +1100 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +1100 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -23 · Snapshot spread: -22.5

First locally observed: -23 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 61.5 · Snapshot total: 60.5

Total · First locally observed: 61.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -2000 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -2000 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +950 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +950 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Louisville

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

85th FBS percentile

Stanford

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

6th FBS percentile

Travel

Stanford travels 1,975 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 3 time zones crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Stanford leads 1–0 in 1 meetings since 2024.

  • 2024Louisville at Stanford35–38 · Stanford

CFBD matchup data Last 1 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.