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Boise State at Colorado State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Boise State

Window: 2026-11-01 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T23:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Maddux Madsen QB
3 games
47.8%
44 / 92 plays
57.1%
8 / 14 plays
Dylan Riley RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
42.1%
24 / 57 plays
Sire Gaines RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
15 / 30 plays
Max Cutforth QB
1 games
53.8%
7 / 13 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Juelz Goff RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
14.3%
1 / 7 plays
Harry Stewart III RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Rasean Jones WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Terrious Favors WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5215338

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Akeem Wright · WR

CFBD athlete 5120669

receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
321
receiving · YPR
15.3
Arthur De Boachie · DB

CFBD athlete 5240766

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Austin Terry · TE

CFBD athlete 4832824

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Ben Ford · WR

CFBD athlete 4714341

receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
137
receiving · YPR
11.4
Boen Phelps · LB

CFBD athlete 5160733

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
49
interceptions · AVG
13.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
13
Bol Bol · LB

CFBD athlete 5243947

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
Caden Kellow · LS

CFBD athlete 5082621

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron Bates · WR

CFBD athlete 5157187

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
14.8
puntReturns · LONG
72
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
59
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
101
receiving · YPR
7.2
Canaan Moore · PK

CFBD athlete 5305874

kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.909
kicking · PTS
61
kicking · XPA
31
kicking · XPM
31
Carter Kuchenbuch · TE

CFBD athlete 5218647

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
13.0
Cole Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 5160732

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Colton Boomer · PK

CFBD athlete 5085396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Darren Morris · WR

CFBD athlete 5084429

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
David Latu · DL

CFBD athlete 5160965

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Demetrius Freeney · DB

CFBD athlete 5159949

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Derek Ganter Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5152111

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
32
Deshawn Toilolo · LB

CFBD athlete 5216507

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Deuce Alailefaleula · DL

CFBD athlete 5290678

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Dylan Riley · RB

CFBD athlete 5146712

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
22.7
kickReturns · LONG
30
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
68
receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
130
receiving · YPR
8.7
rushing · CAR
165
rushing · LONG
83
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
1049
rushing · YPC
6.4
Harry Stewart III · RB

CFBD athlete 5126514

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
rushing · CAR
18
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
58
rushing · YPC
3.2
Jaden Mickey · DB

CFBD athlete 4685474

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
26
Jake Ripp · LB

CFBD athlete 4878545

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
21.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
21
Jayden Virgin · LB

CFBD athlete 5091748

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
23
JeRico Washington Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5154222

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
Jeremyah Lane · WR

CFBD athlete 5382285

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
1.0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
5
Josiah Alanis · DB

CFBD athlete 5210484

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Juelz Goff · RB

CFBD athlete 5124975

rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
3.2
Keawe Browne · TE

CFBD athlete 5382290

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
62
receiving · YPR
12.4
Kyle Hall · DB

CFBD athlete 5382283

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Logan Brantley · LB

CFBD athlete 4923038

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
18
Lopez Sanusi · DL

CFBD athlete 5186905

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
14
Madden Soliai · DB

CFBD athlete 5382282

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
27
Maddux Madsen · QB

CFBD athlete 4870513

passing · ATT
222
passing · COMPLETIONS
148
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
15
passing · YDS
1681
passing · YPA
7.6
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
40
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
142
rushing · YPC
3.6
Mana Tuioti · LB

CFBD athlete 5239145

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
Matt Wagner · TE

CFBD athlete 5080888

receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
29
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
328
receiving · YPR
11.3
Max Cutforth · QB

CFBD athlete 5160730

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.615
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
131
passing · YPA
10.1
Max Stege · LB

CFBD athlete 5102758

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
16
Michael Madrie · DL

CFBD athlete 5085877

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Mikaio Edward · DL

CFBD athlete 5165052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
14
Oscar Doyle · P

CFBD athlete 5229955

punting · In 20
7
punting · LONG
58
punting · NO
24
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1053
punting · YPP
43.9
Quinton Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5209425

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5
Qumonte Williams Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5252200

kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
36
receiving · YPR
9.0
Rasean Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5290573

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
37
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
545
receiving · YPR
14.7
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
39
rushing · YPC
6.5
Roman Caywood · LB

CFBD athlete 5149074

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5
Roman Tillmon · DB

CFBD athlete 5155049

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
interceptions · AVG
22.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
22
Romeo Carter · WR

CFBD athlete 5302868

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Sherrod Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5295048

defensive · PD
8
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
25
Sire Gaines · RB

CFBD athlete 5147379

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
77
receiving · YPR
7.7
rushing · CAR
75
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
418
rushing · YPC
5.6
Syncere Brackett-Lambey · LB

CFBD athlete 5295051

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Tahj Crutchfield · DB

CFBD athlete 5215383

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Terrious Favors · WR

CFBD athlete 5263666

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
27
receiving · YPR
13.5
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
29
rushing · YPC
14.5
Travis Anderson · DB

CFBD athlete 5147509

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
35
interceptions · AVG
0.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Zyhaire Lewis · LB

CFBD athlete 5331484

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

Colorado State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-16 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T23:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Hauss Hejny QB
2 games
49.2%
31 / 63 plays
66.7%
10 / 15 plays
Ksaan Farrar QB
1 games
32.5%
13 / 40 plays
40.0%
2 / 5 plays
Durell Robinson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
51.2%
21 / 41 plays
Jayden Brown RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
54.5%
6 / 11 plays
Cedric Ross RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Malichi Greaves RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Ryan McConnell TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Terrence Smith Jr. WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 64 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alton Tarber · DL

CFBD athlete 4685589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Antarron Turner · LB

CFBD athlete 5089561

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
35
Atticus Tillman · S

CFBD athlete 5282608

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
8.0
Brandon Kelly · DL

CFBD athlete 5077224

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
C.J. Blocker · CB

CFBD athlete 5078214

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
27
interceptions · AVG
8.7
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
26
Caleb Otlewski · LB

CFBD athlete 5078280

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Caleb Presley · CB

CFBD athlete 4870905

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Cavan Craig · P

CFBD athlete 5225622

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
42
punting · NO
3
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
111
punting · YPP
37.0
Cedric Ross · RB

CFBD athlete 5290862

kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
221
receiving · YPR
17.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
33
rushing · YPC
3.7
Cleto Chol · DL

CFBD athlete 5077340

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5250657

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
29
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
D'Mon Brinson · S

CFBD athlete 4837204

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
49.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
49
kickReturns · AVG
25.0
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
25
Darius Curry · QB

CFBD athlete 5122401

passing · ATT
8
passing · COMPLETIONS
6
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
70
passing · YPA
8.8
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
1.3
Daven Amos · WR

CFBD athlete 5446708

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Desman Manuel · DL

CFBD athlete 5302887

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Dominic Toy · TE

CFBD athlete 5146769

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
12.6
Durell Robinson · RB

CFBD athlete 4894661

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
7.8
rushing · CAR
104
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
449
rushing · YPC
4.3
Dylan Phelps · S

CFBD athlete 5122042

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Elijah Brown · CB

CFBD athlete 5295193

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
26
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Elijah Mc-Cantos · S

CFBD athlete 4809893

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Gabe Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 5122160

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Hauss Hejny · QB

CFBD athlete 5079443

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
134
passing · COMPLETIONS
90
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.672
passing · TD
14
passing · YDS
1138
passing · YPA
8.5
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
28.0
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
75
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
208
rushing · YPC
6.9
Isaiah Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5327618

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Jace Bellah · S

CFBD athlete 5082256

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Jack Moran · DL

CFBD athlete 5143024

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
26
Jackson Harper · WR

CFBD athlete 5077803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
12.9
puntReturns · LONG
30
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
90
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
344
receiving · YPR
13.2
Jaden Hernandez · LB

CFBD athlete 5264723

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaivyn Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5446698

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
56
receiving · YPR
9.3
Jaseim Mitchell · LB

CFBD athlete 5082258

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
32
Javonte Vereen · TE

CFBD athlete 4899418

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
6.9
Jayden Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5095078

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
kickReturns · AVG
46.0
kickReturns · LONG
94
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
230
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
88
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
52
rushing · LONG
80
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
454
rushing · YPC
8.7
Jayden Fox · RB

CFBD athlete 5289653

kickReturns · AVG
25.2
kickReturns · LONG
46
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
126
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Jaylen King · LB

CFBD athlete 5327239

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Jordan Lessard · CB

CFBD athlete 5446696

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
23
Kali Nguma · PK

CFBD athlete 5150789

kicking · FGA
5
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
51
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
44
kicking · XPA
32
kicking · XPM
32
Keegan Shank · DL

CFBD athlete 5148996

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
4
Kenyon Agurs · LB

CFBD athlete 5122052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Khamani Potts · LB

CFBD athlete 5446697

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Ksaan Farrar · QB

CFBD athlete 5212610

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
143
passing · COMPLETIONS
89
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.622
passing · TD
5
passing · YDS
943
passing · YPA
6.6
rushing · CAR
14
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
43
rushing · YPC
3.1
Lavon Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 4920896

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
36
receiving · YPR
12.0
Malichi Greaves · RB

CFBD athlete 5296864

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
28
rushing · YPC
4.7
Marc Pretto · LB

CFBD athlete 5086188

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
22
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji · DL

CFBD athlete 4709974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Nader Chirchi · TE

CFBD athlete 5121898

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
46
receiving · YPR
7.7
Nathan Sutcliffe · P

CFBD athlete 5258482

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
56
punting · NO
26
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1122
punting · YPP
43.2
Nykobi Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5222533

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5193222

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
3.4
Oumar Diomande · LB

CFBD athlete 5121899

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
76
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
2.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Pearce Spurlin III · TE

CFBD athlete 4871061

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
29.0
Peyton Garrett · DL

CFBD athlete 5230017

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Reginald Vick Jr · WR

CFBD athlete 5232343

receiving · LONG
57
receiving · REC
29
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
425
receiving · YPR
14.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
18.0
Robby Harrison · DL

CFBD athlete 4894437

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
32
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Ryan McConnell · TE

CFBD athlete 5151385

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Stephon Wright · DL

CFBD athlete 4430782

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
TaVeon Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5446709

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Terrence Smith Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5193168

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
28
passing · YPA
14.0
receiving · LONG
74
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
374
receiving · YPR
13.4
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
10.0
Thomas Cook Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5302883

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Tommy Maher · WR

CFBD athlete 5219136

receiving · LONG
57
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
257
receiving · YPR
13.5
TreShawn Moore · S

CFBD athlete 5224718

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
61
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
38.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
38
Trey Vincent · S

CFBD athlete 5151384

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ty Staples · CB

CFBD athlete 5446701

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Tyrone Fitten · DL

CFBD athlete 5291021

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Walker Himebauch · LS

CFBD athlete 5092244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Xavier Wimbush · CB

CFBD athlete 5327240

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Boise State -17.5

DraftKings snapshot: Colorado State +17.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Boise State by 16.30

1.20 points toward Colorado State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Colorado State.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -20.30
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -16.30 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 0ce0cfb312365e2999b7f92965c2b78c8093753b826c82608a0bc2b68d11b9a2 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 758ae16563279eb3decda35f6a8064b0fd8a7eceed12ce712c85e2c021bc4901 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Colorado State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+17.5+17.50.0
Model spread+16.3+16.30.0
Model gap+1.2+1.20.0

Negative spreads favor Colorado State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 0ce0cfb312365e2999b7f92965c2b78c8093753b826c82608a0bc2b68d11b9a2. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +1.2 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Colorado State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
11%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Colorado State +17.5
Stacked ensemble
17%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Colorado State.

  • home adjusted success allowed: -13.36 (path difference 1.68)
  • home elo: -12.51 (path difference 4.49)
  • away adjusted success: -9.94 (path difference 6.90)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -6.82 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted epa: -6.12 (path difference 5.64)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +5.60 (path difference 5.06)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +4.72 (path difference 2.40)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: +4.49 (path difference 6.15)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.04 (path difference 2.65)
  • home adjusted success: +3.57 (path difference 1.71)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +3.18 (path difference 1.46)
  • away elo: -2.89 (path difference 2.94)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.86 (path difference 1.48)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.73 (path difference 2.97)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +2.72 (path difference 1.02)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.48 (path difference 1.48)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: +2.47 (path difference 2.31)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.23 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.00 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -1.86 (path difference 0.99)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -1.81 (path difference 0.36)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.66)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.46 (path difference 1.22)
  • home talent: +1.44 (path difference 0.19)
  • home conference: +1.43 (path difference 2.40)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.42 (path difference 0.58)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.39 (path difference 0.21)
  • away conference: +1.35 (path difference 1.64)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +1.32 (path difference 0.57)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.32 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.19 (path difference 0.62)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.14 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.12 (path difference 1.24)
  • week: -1.12 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.05 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.02 (path difference 1.17)
  • home adjusted line yards: -1.01 (path difference 0.86)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.81 (path difference 0.92)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.78 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.73 (path difference 0.30)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.72 (path difference 1.42)
  • away talent: -0.58 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.26 (path difference 0.47)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.25 (path difference 0.37)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.75)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +0.10 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.91)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.09 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted epa: +0.08 (path difference 0.08)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.07 (path difference 0.35)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.03 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 17.19 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 6b37b19bba963d400b6964bd014bddc180e729a6b9c0527f4c2369b1bbe33d66 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast f3e234a69d9dbd875d6a4b73be8dbf9c449ba28d573ee47624a9fa05c2300a48 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Boise State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 116 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Dylan Riley

CFBD athlete 5146712

Week 6 vs Fresno State: 19 attempts · 7.9 YPC · 47.4% success · 0.351 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Washington State: 13 attempts · 9.8 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.470 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Texas State: 25 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 44.0% success · 0.087 raw PPA.

576.4049.1%164 / 6.3
Sire Gaines

CFBD athlete 5147379

Week 6 vs Fresno State: 20 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 55.0% success · 0.381 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Washington State: 10 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.436 raw PPA.

306.1025.9%75 / 5.6
Maddux Madsen

CFBD athlete 4870513

Week 6 vs Fresno State: 4 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.075 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Washington State: 4 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 75.0% success · 1.081 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Texas State: 7 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.241 raw PPA.

152.3112.9%37 / 3.4
Juelz Goff

CFBD athlete 5124975

Week 8 vs Washington State: 4 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.124 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Texas State: 3 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.215 raw PPA.

73.306.0%20 / 3.2
Harry Stewart III

CFBD athlete 5126514

Week 8 vs Washington State: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.193 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Texas State: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.880 raw PPA.

44.303.4%18 / 3.2

Colorado State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 87 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Durell Robinson

CFBD athlete 4894661

Week 7 vs Texas State: 7 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.361 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 19 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 57.9% success · 0.330 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Utah State: 16 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.415 raw PPA.

424.4048.3%107 / 4.6
Hauss Hejny

CFBD athlete 5079443

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 11 attempts · 7.7 YPC · 72.7% success · 0.440 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Utah State: 6 attempts · -0.8 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.246 raw PPA.

174.7219.5%29 / 7.0
Jayden Brown

CFBD athlete 5095078

Week 7 vs Texas State: 6 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.696 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 5 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.151 raw PPA.

114.1012.6%52 / 8.7
Ksaan Farrar

CFBD athlete 5212610

Week 7 vs Texas State: 6 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.849 raw PPA.

64.316.9%14 / 3.1
Cedric Ross

CFBD athlete 5290862

Week 7 vs Texas State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.152 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.058 raw PPA.

43.804.6%9 / 3.7

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureColorado StateOffenseBoise StateDefenseBoise StateOffenseColorado StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.23
80th
+0.05
62nd
+0.30
94th
+0.31
1st
Success rate
45.6%
70th
36.5%
84th
47.4%
81st
52.4%
0th
Explosiveness
1.40
99th
1.58
0th
1.27
64th
1.26
36th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.16
74th
+0.01
58th
+0.21
89th
+0.25
1st
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.40
87th
+0.11
72nd
+0.53
96th
+0.49
1st
Havoc allowed / created
14.9%
48th
17.9%
76th
9.5%
98th
12.6%
13th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:38 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:38 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Kali Nguma · Colorado State · PAAR 3.13 · 5 attempts
  • Canaan Moore · Boise State · PAAR 5.01 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Colorado State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +19.5 · Snapshot spread: +17.5

First locally observed: +17.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 68.5 · Snapshot total: 68.5

Total · First locally observed: 68.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +625 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +650 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -950 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -1000 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +18.5 · Snapshot spread: +17.5

First locally observed: +18.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 68.5 · Snapshot total: 69

Total · First locally observed: 68.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +650 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +650 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -1000 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -1000 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Colorado State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Pac-12

17th FBS percentile

Boise State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Pac-12

93rd FBS percentile

Travel

Boise State travels 606 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · up 2,314 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Boise State leads 13–1 in 14 meetings since 2011.

  • 2025Colorado State at Boise State21–49 · Boise State
  • 2023Boise State at Colorado State30–31 · Colorado State
  • 2022Colorado State at Boise State10–49 · Boise State
  • 2021Boise State at Colorado State28–19 · Boise State
  • 2020Colorado State at Boise State21–52 · Boise State
  • 2019Boise State at Colorado State31–24 · Boise State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.