Week 10 · 2026
Temple at Navy
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Temple
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Ajani Sheppard QB 3 games | 41.9% 31 / 74 plays | 60.0% 15 / 25 plays |
| Keveun Mason RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 44.1% 15 / 34 plays |
| Hunter Smith RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.4% 4 / 11 plays |
| Jaxon Smolik QB 1 games | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays |
| Colin Chase WR 3 games | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Samuel Brown V RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
| Ash Roberts WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| De'Carlos Young RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 57 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adrian Laing · CB
CFBD athlete 5135216
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Adriano McLean · DL
CFBD athlete 5265492
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ajani Sheppard · QB
CFBD athlete 5078166
- fumbles · FUM
- 5
- fumbles · LOST
- 3
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 140
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 85
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.607
- passing · TD
- 8
- passing · YDS
- 1245
- passing · YPA
- 8.9
- rushing · CAR
- 81
- rushing · LONG
- 44
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 400
- rushing · YPC
- 4.9
Asa Locks · CB
CFBD athlete 5225338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 18
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Ash Roberts · WR
CFBD athlete 5159173
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Avery Powell · S
CFBD athlete 5164597
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 34
Brian Adderley · LB
CFBD athlete 5296368
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Bryson Goodwin · CB
CFBD athlete 5147225
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Cameron Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 5194317
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Carl Hardin · PK
CFBD athlete 5151240
- kicking · FGA
- 16
- kicking · FGM
- 12
- kicking · LONG
- 48
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 55
- kicking · XPA
- 19
- kicking · XPM
- 19
Coen Logan · WR
CFBD athlete 5291772
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
Colin Chase · WR
CFBD athlete 5089003
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- passing · ATT
- 3
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.667
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 39
- passing · YPA
- 13.0
- receiving · LONG
- 69
- receiving · REC
- 20
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 330
- receiving · YPR
- 16.5
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 71
- rushing · YPC
- 11.8
Curly Ordonez · LB
CFBD athlete 5296366
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 45
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 75
Dante Atton · P
CFBD athlete 5121768
- punting · In 20
- 10
- punting · LONG
- 55
- punting · NO
- 25
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1059
- punting · YPP
- 42.4
Daron Harris · S
CFBD athlete 5290795
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Davier Bishop · DL
CFBD athlete 5388305
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 6
De'Carlos Young · RB
CFBD athlete 5296362
- rushing · CAR
- 12
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 42
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Demonte Greene · WR
CFBD athlete 5388300
- kickReturns · AVG
- 20.2
- kickReturns · LONG
- 27
- kickReturns · NO
- 13
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 262
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
Denzel Chavis · CB
CFBD athlete 5147680
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Earl Kulp · CB
CFBD athlete 5079545
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Eric Stuart · LB
CFBD athlete 5219862
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Hunter Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 4258419
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 18
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 34
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 119
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
JaMair Diaz · LB
CFBD athlete 5296819
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Jaeden Gould · S
CFBD athlete 4685353
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Jamarcus Pierre · S
CFBD athlete 5203589
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- interceptions · AVG
- 35.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 35
Jaxon Smolik · QB
CFBD athlete 5077787
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 27
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 16
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.593
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 129
- passing · YPA
- 4.8
- rushing · CAR
- 18
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 81
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Jayce Freeman · WR
CFBD athlete 5087747
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 254
- receiving · YPR
- 14.9
Jaylon Joseph · LB
CFBD athlete 5152685
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Jayvant Brown · LB
CFBD athlete 4870647
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Joey Schlaffer · TE
CFBD athlete 4898892
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 27
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Jordan Montgomery · LB
CFBD athlete 5121722
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Joseph Auzenne · DL
CFBD athlete 5092790
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Josh Nengite · LB
CFBD athlete 5291774
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Josiah Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 4976722
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jovanni Bermudez · WR
CFBD athlete 4726152
- puntReturns · AVG
- 14.6
- puntReturns · LONG
- 47
- puntReturns · NO
- 9
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 131
- receiving · LONG
- 79
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 243
- receiving · YPR
- 14.3
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 50
- rushing · YPC
- 10.0
Kaleb Artis · DL
CFBD athlete 4870278
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Keveun Mason · RB
CFBD athlete 5296364
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 68
- receiving · YPR
- 6.8
- rushing · CAR
- 102
- rushing · LONG
- 38
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 564
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Kevin Hornbeak Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5388304
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Kolin Dinkins · S
CFBD athlete 5097480
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Lamar Fairfax Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5215499
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Nakeel Lawrence · CB
CFBD athlete 5388301
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Orel Gray · S
CFBD athlete 5154382
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Peter Clarke · TE
CFBD athlete 5080547
- receiving · LONG
- 46
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 273
- receiving · YPR
- 15.2
R.J. Blount · RB
CFBD athlete 5290496
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Reggie Jones · LB
CFBD athlete 5151239
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Reis Stocksdale · WR
CFBD athlete 4875583
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- -4.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -4
Russell Sykes · DL
CFBD athlete 5196486
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Ryder Kusch · TE
CFBD athlete 5222551
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 64
- receiving · YPR
- 10.7
Saboor Karriem · S
CFBD athlete 4924137
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 39
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 53
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Samuel Brown V · RB
CFBD athlete 4685695
- receiving · LONG
- 78
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 129
- receiving · YPR
- 18.4
- rushing · CAR
- 28
- rushing · LONG
- 50
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 206
- rushing · YPC
- 7.4
Troy Cunningham · DL
CFBD athlete 5265254
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Tyree Alualu · LB
CFBD athlete 5195282
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 63.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 63
Wesley Brown · LB
CFBD athlete 5172091
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Willy Love · LB
CFBD athlete 5226674
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zach Aamland · OL
CFBD athlete 4921396
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zander Baptiste · WR
CFBD athlete 5296367
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zyil Powell · S
CFBD athlete 4950403
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Navy
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Gutierrez QB 3 games | 41.7% 10 / 24 plays | 46.7% 35 / 75 plays |
| Michael Barrow WR 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.5% 20 / 44 plays |
| Braxton Woodson QB 3 games | 60.0% 3 / 5 plays | 63.6% 7 / 11 plays |
| Vic Listorti RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 63.6% 7 / 11 plays |
| Charles Robinson WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 2 / 4 plays |
| Jaydn Jones RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Stefan Egbe RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Luke Hutchison WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 55 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aaron Rose · S
CFBD athlete 5220477
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 32
Aiden Lyczek · DE
CFBD athlete 5220521
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 8.0
- defensive · TOT
- 42
Andre Gilbert Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5220471
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Braxton Woodson · QB
CFBD athlete 5158343
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 25
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 10
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.400
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 152
- passing · YPA
- 6.1
- rushing · CAR
- 49
- rushing · LONG
- 48
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 384
- rushing · YPC
- 7.8
Cam Robinson · CB
CFBD athlete 5295399
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Charles Robinson · WR
CFBD athlete 5220476
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- puntReturns · AVG
- 5.2
- puntReturns · LONG
- 23
- puntReturns · NO
- 10
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 52
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 85
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
- rushing · CAR
- 11
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 72
- rushing · YPC
- 6.5
Chris Herock · DL
CFBD athlete 5220520
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Christian Cromer · RB
CFBD athlete 5295391
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 2.6
Christian Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5295398
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Coleman Cauley · LB
CFBD athlete 5158382
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 35
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 63
Collin Seals · CB
CFBD athlete 5295378
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Connor Young · DL
CFBD athlete 5295419
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
E.J. Walker · LB
CFBD athlete 5391334
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Evan Blouir · QB
CFBD athlete 5391331
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 45
- rushing · YPC
- 6.4
Gage Leonard · WR
CFBD athlete 5158365
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 5
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Garrison Edwards · CB
CFBD athlete 5391336
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Gavin Noe · TE
CFBD athlete 5158372
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Giuseppe Sessi · S
CFBD athlete 5158359
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 50
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 2
Griffen Willis · DT
CFBD athlete 5158387
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Harry Beacham III · LB
CFBD athlete 5220498
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ikenna Ozurumba · DE
CFBD athlete 5158386
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Ira Oniha · CB
CFBD athlete 5158366
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Isaiah Bryant · WR
CFBD athlete 5158374
- kickReturns · AVG
- 32.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 37
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 65
- puntReturns · AVG
- 3.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 3
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Jackson Gutierrez · QB
CFBD athlete 5220473
- fumbles · FUM
- 6
- fumbles · LOST
- 3
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 71
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 36
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.507
- passing · TD
- 7
- passing · YDS
- 717
- passing · YPA
- 10.1
- receiving · LONG
- 63
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 71
- receiving · YPR
- 35.5
- rushing · CAR
- 177
- rushing · LONG
- 56
- rushing · TD
- 13
- rushing · YDS
- 982
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Jacob Asbeck · LB
CFBD athlete 5220533
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jacob Carlson · P
CFBD athlete 5220485
- punting · In 20
- 3
- punting · LONG
- 52
- punting · NO
- 18
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 739
- punting · YPP
- 41.1
Jacob Williams · RB
CFBD athlete 5391358
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 34
- rushing · YPC
- 6.8
Jaydn Jones · RB
CFBD athlete 5220492
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 19
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Job Grant · LB
CFBD athlete 5158367
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jordan Collins · TE
CFBD athlete 5212655
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 92
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 212
- receiving · YPR
- 35.3
Joshua Guerin · WR
CFBD athlete 5158395
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 10
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Kush'i Abraham · S
CFBD athlete 5158364
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Lance Gossett · PK
CFBD athlete 5158399
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 62
- punting · NO
- 7
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 345
- punting · YPP
- 49.3
Landon Walker · WR
CFBD athlete 5222710
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 49
- rushing · YPC
- 12.3
Luke Hutchison · WR
CFBD athlete 5158341
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 92
- receiving · YPR
- 18.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -10
- rushing · YPC
- -10.0
MarcAnthony Parker · LB
CFBD athlete 5220511
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 4
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7
- defensive · TOT
- 57
Marcus Bleazard · LB
CFBD athlete 4880685
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Matt Reyes · DT
CFBD athlete 5158390
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Matthew Seliga · S
CFBD athlete 5158371
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 12
Maxwell Williams · S
CFBD athlete 5220483
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Merrick Barlow · TE
CFBD athlete 5211746
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 64
- receiving · YPR
- 32.0
Michael Barrow · WR
CFBD athlete 5220469
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 16.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 16
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 16
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 63
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
- rushing · CAR
- 91
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 504
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Nick Bell · CB
CFBD athlete 5220488
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.8
- kickReturns · LONG
- 31
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 79
Nolan Bartley · PK
CFBD athlete 5391330
- kicking · FGA
- 9
- kicking · FGM
- 6
- kicking · LONG
- 38
- kicking · PCT
- 0.667
- kicking · PTS
- 41
- kicking · XPA
- 25
- kicking · XPM
- 23
Nolan McCamy · LB
CFBD athlete 5158362
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Phillip Hamilton · CB
CFBD athlete 5220499
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 23
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Ryan Brass · QB
CFBD athlete 5295377
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Sean Martin · CB
CFBD athlete 5391335
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Stefan Egbe · RB
CFBD athlete 5158369
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 3.7
Tre Jones · WR
CFBD athlete 5220472
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Trent Gillis · LB
CFBD athlete 5295393
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Truman Brasfield · WR
CFBD athlete 5391321
- receiving · LONG
- 68
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 174
- receiving · YPR
- 43.5
Vic Listorti · RB
CFBD athlete 5158373
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 75
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
- rushing · CAR
- 46
- rushing · LONG
- 35
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 251
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Will Miller · LB
CFBD athlete 5295423
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Xavyer Arrington · DL
CFBD athlete 5220518
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
Navy -7.25
DraftKings snapshot: Navy -7.5
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
Navy by 7.17
0.08 points toward Temple versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Navy.
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Net EPA rating difference: +3.17
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 7.17 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs de953be4589065f056d261ec1b7fd988c0fbbedab86a767d65c745e6f0c5caef · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f5b589f970365d3a8c477c52aa555a5bd50639f3959001e3e4fe15c749c4c078 · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -7.25 | -7.25 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -7.17 | -7.17 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Navy; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: de953be4589065f056d261ec1b7fd988c0fbbedab86a767d65c745e6f0c5caef. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.1 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
Navy win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 69%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Navy -7
- Stacked ensemble
- 79%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Navy.
- away elo: +12.82 (path difference 11.78)
- away adjusted success allowed: +5.20 (path difference 1.11)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.10 (path difference 4.15)
- home adjusted success: +4.50 (path difference 1.57)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +4.45 (path difference 4.34)
- away adjusted success: -3.95 (path difference 0.60)
- home adjusted success allowed: +3.25 (path difference 1.82)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.11 (path difference 2.92)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +2.83 (path difference 0.33)
- home talent: -2.83 (path difference 0.36)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +2.41 (path difference 4.04)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.13 (path difference 1.87)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.92 (path difference 1.56)
- home adjusted passing down success: -1.83 (path difference 1.26)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.82 (path difference 2.20)
- away adjusted second level yards: -1.81 (path difference 1.30)
- home adjusted epa: +1.80 (path difference 2.89)
- home adjusted standard down success: +1.79 (path difference 0.85)
- away adjusted line yards: -1.76 (path difference 0.81)
- home adjusted passing epa: +1.76 (path difference 1.32)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.45 (path difference 1.15)
- away adjusted passing epa: +1.31 (path difference 1.82)
- home adjusted line yards: +1.31 (path difference 2.80)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.30 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.27 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted epa: -1.20 (path difference 0.08)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.13 (path difference 0.22)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.05 (path difference 0.25)
- week: -0.92 (path difference 0.79)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.88 (path difference 0.06)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.88 (path difference 3.89)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -0.88 (path difference 0.91)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.81 (path difference 0.37)
- home adjusted second level yards: +0.80 (path difference 0.91)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.77 (path difference 0.17)
- away talent: -0.72 (path difference 0.78)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.63 (path difference 0.54)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.63 (path difference 1.33)
- home elo: -0.56 (path difference 0.71)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.55 (path difference 1.00)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.52 (path difference 0.31)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.44 (path difference 0.47)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.43 (path difference 0.16)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.39 (path difference 0.19)
- home adjusted open field yards: +0.38 (path difference 0.55)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.31 (path difference 0.96)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.30 (path difference 1.69)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.27 (path difference 0.58)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.26 (path difference 0.43)
- home conference: -0.24 (path difference 0.20)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.19 (path difference 0.05)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted rushing epa: +0.15 (path difference 0.38)
- away conference: +0.12 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.31)
Reconciles to 79.24 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs d47afaf53bcae8f88a1031475a31f082241c0f43131fc80ccd240a4dda0f3a14 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast d7a072e71a4f21d76541ae807a8c53f02c12eb146dff03731461d6493eefff9f · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
Temple
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 91 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keveun MasonCFBD athlete 5296364 Week 6 vs UConn: 13 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 61.5% success · -0.083 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 13 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.202 raw PPA. Week 9 vs East Carolina: 8 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.201 raw PPA. | 34 | 6.0 | 0 | 37.4% | 101 / 5.5 |
Ajani SheppardCFBD athlete 5078166 Week 6 vs UConn: 10 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.199 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 7 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.091 raw PPA. Week 9 vs East Carolina: 14 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.430 raw PPA. | 31 | 4.9 | 6 | 34.1% | 78 / 4.9 |
Hunter SmithCFBD athlete 4258419 Week 6 vs UConn: 8 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.046 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 3 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.157 raw PPA. | 11 | 3.4 | 0 | 12.1% | 31 / 3.8 |
Jaxon SmolikCFBD athlete 5077787 Week 7 vs Charlotte: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.119 raw PPA. | 6 | 2.0 | 1 | 6.6% | 18 / 4.5 |
Colin ChaseCFBD athlete 5089003 Week 6 vs UConn: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.202 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 3 attempts · 13.7 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.115 raw PPA. | 4 | 12.0 | 0 | 4.4% | 6 / 11.8 |
Navy
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 152 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson GutierrezCFBD athlete 5220473 Week 7 vs UTSA: 21 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.480 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Texas: 26 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.576 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Notre Dame: 28 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.092 raw PPA. | 75 | 6.3 | 0 | 49.3% | 176 / 5.6 |
Michael BarrowCFBD athlete 5220469 Week 7 vs UTSA: 13 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.121 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Texas: 20 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 35.0% success · 0.060 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Notre Dame: 11 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.071 raw PPA. | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | 28.9% | 88 / 5.6 |
Braxton WoodsonCFBD athlete 5158343 Week 7 vs UTSA: 5 attempts · 14.6 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.571 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Texas: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.194 raw PPA. | 11 | 7.7 | 0 | 7.2% | 49 / 7.8 |
Vic ListortiCFBD athlete 5158373 Week 7 vs UTSA: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.063 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Texas: 3 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.133 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Notre Dame: 4 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.339 raw PPA. | 11 | 3.9 | 0 | 7.2% | 46 / 5.5 |
Charles RobinsonCFBD athlete 5220476 Week 8 vs North Texas: 4 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.212 raw PPA. | 4 | 8.5 | 0 | 2.6% | 11 / 6.5 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | NavyOffense | TempleDefense | TempleOffense | NavyDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.20 72nd | +0.18 14th | +0.17 63rd | +0.19 12th |
| Success rate | 47.6% 83rd | 46.2% 9th | 42.9% 53rd | 42.1% 38th |
| Explosiveness | 1.19 29th | 1.16 77th | 1.24 53rd | 1.37 9th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.18 81st | +0.07 34th | +0.10 55th | +0.11 18th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.27 56th | +0.43 5th | +0.34 72nd | +0.37 10th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 12.8% 78th | 9.4% 0th | 12.6% 82nd | 12.3% 10th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:19 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:19 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Carl Hardin · Temple · PAAR 1.20 · 16 attempts
- Nolan Bartley · Navy · PAAR -1.59 · 9 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Navy spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -270 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -298 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +220 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +240 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -7
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +255 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +255 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Navy
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Temple
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Travel
Temple travels 95 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Navy leads 11–9 in 20 meetings since 1988.
- 2025Navy at Temple32–31 · Navy
- 2024Temple at Navy11–38 · Navy
- 2023Navy at Temple18–32 · Temple
- 2022Temple at Navy20–27 · Navy
- 2021Navy at Temple38–14 · Navy
- 2020Temple at Navy29–31 · Navy
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.