Navy

2026 season

American Athletic

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Navy's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 75.5 across 8 systems; best 59, worst 91, so they disagree by 32 places.

Lab EPA: #65; Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #85; no change2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #88; down 82026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #64; up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #91; up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #59; up 1 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #88; up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #66; up 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #122 of 138
Schedule strength: #69 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #96 of 138
Game control: #114 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #99 of 138
Offense: #66 of 138
Defense: #125 of 138
Special teams: #86 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Navy · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

2-6 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.003 net EPA/play

#65

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-2.43 points

#85 · Rank unchanged since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -2.89 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -0.72, schedule #53 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +2.15. That is worth -3.61 on its own; the preseason prior of +1.63 still carries 22% of the weight, giving -2.43.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Navy · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · Towson home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401862696	+27.00 → +27.00	-2.50	0.7349	8.20%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	2.009	-2.050	-0.041
Week 2 · Florida Atlantic away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401862703	-8.00 → -8.00	+2.50	0.7637	8.52%	-5.43	-0.469	-0.463	-0.932
Week 4 · UAB away · 2026-09-25 · ID 401862778	-4.00 → -4.00	+2.50	0.8249	9.21%	-8.93	-0.138	-0.822	-0.960
Week 5 · Air Force away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401862791	-5.00 → -5.00	+2.50	0.8572	9.57%	-0.93	-0.239	-0.089	-0.328
Week 6 · Tulsa home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401862799	+8.00 → +8.00	-2.50	0.8909	9.94%	-2.04	0.547	-0.203	0.344
Week 7 · UTSA away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401862804	-4.00 → -4.00	+2.50	0.9259	10.33%	+3.63	-0.155	0.375	0.220
Week 8 · North Texas home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401862810	-10.00 → -10.00	-2.50	0.9622	10.74%	+4.90	-1.342	0.526	-0.817
Week 9 · Notre Dame neutral · 2026-10-31 · ID 401859185	-22.00 → -22.00	0.00	1.0000	11.16%	+19.45	-2.455	2.171	-0.284

Game terms -2.80 points; prior term +0.36 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -2.43 points. The preseason prior is +1.63 with 22.32% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-4.0 SP+ points

#88 · Down 8 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

1.40 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#59 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 4.00 on 422 plays; defense 2.59 on 439 plays.

2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Navy 20 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 2-6 · conf 1-4 · home 2-1 · away 0-4 · expected wins 3.6
Polls (Week 10): unranked
CFP latest: unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 3-5 ATS (-2.4 avg) · 2025: 5-8 ATS (-0.5 avg)
Head coach: Brian Newberry · hired 2022-12-19 · 26-12 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #153 (38 pts) · 2025 #132 (65 pts) · 2026 #144 (99 pts)
Returning: 14% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing -3% 13%
Receiving 15% 13%
Rushing 19% 14%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	-3%	13%
Receiving	15%	13%
Rushing	19%	14%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	7	2.86	0.8185	5.73
Defensive Line	6	2.83	0.8168	4.90
Linebacker	2	2.50	0.7842	1.57
Offensive Line	4	3.00	0.8361	3.34
Quarterback	7	3.00	0.8235	5.76
Receiver	7	2.71	0.8219	5.75
Running Back	2	3.00	0.8200	1.64
Special Teams	3	2.33	0.8039	2.41

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
Jackson Gutierrez · QB CFBD athlete 5220473. Navy (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.402	174	47.6%	Pass 79.0% · Rush 41.0% 1st 42.1% · 2nd 48.5% · 3rd 53.7% Standard downs 45.3% · Passing downs 54.0%	2024: stars unavailable
Jackson Gutierrez · QB CFBD athlete 5220473. Navy (2024–2026)	Passing WEPA	0.541	86	47.6%	Pass 79.0% · Rush 41.0% 1st 42.1% · 2nd 48.5% · 3rd 53.7% Standard downs 45.3% · Passing downs 54.0%	2024: stars unavailable
Michael Barrow · WR CFBD athlete 5220469. Navy (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.156	82	18.7%	Pass 11.0% · Rush 21.1% 1st 25.1% · 2nd 18.1% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 21.1% · Passing downs 12.2%	Not linked
Vic Listorti · RB CFBD athlete 5158373. Navy (2023–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.118	35	10.1%	Pass 8.0% · Rush 10.9% 1st 8.5% · 2nd 11.7% · 3rd 12.6% Standard downs 10.7% · Passing downs 8.6%	Not linked
Nolan Bartley · PK CFBD athlete 5391330. Navy (2026–2026)	Kicker PAAR	-1.590	9	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	Not linked
Andre Gilbert Jr. · WR CFBD athlete 5220471. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.5%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.7% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Braxton Woodson · QB CFBD athlete 5158343. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	19.2%	Pass 32.5% · Rush 16.3% 1st 17.0% · 2nd 19.2% · 3rd 27.5% Standard downs 15.7% · Passing downs 28.0%	Not linked
Charles Robinson · WR CFBD athlete 5220476. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	7.2%	Pass 22.3% · Rush 3.2% 1st 8.1% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 13.3% Standard downs 5.3% · Passing downs 12.3%	Not linked
Chris Daley II · RB CFBD athlete 5391355. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.0%	Pass 5.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 9.1% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.3%	Not linked
Christian Cromer · RB CFBD athlete 5295391. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.4%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 3.1% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 3.0% · 3rd 2.6% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 1.7%	Not linked
Evan Blouir · QB CFBD athlete 5391331. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.1%	Pass 1.4% · Rush 2.4% 1st 2.1% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 1.7% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 2.2%	Not linked
Gage Leonard · WR CFBD athlete 5158365. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 1.4% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Isaiah Bryant · WR CFBD athlete 5158374. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.3%	Pass 4.3% · Rush 4.3% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 6.0% · 3rd 7.9% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 6.8%	Not linked
Jacob Williams · RB CFBD athlete 5391358. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 6.8% 1st 8.1% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked
Jake Norris · TE CFBD athlete 5158398. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 16.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jaydn Jones · RB CFBD athlete 5220492. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.9%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 3.6% 1st 3.3% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 4.0% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jordan Collins · TE CFBD athlete 5212655. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.9%	Pass 14.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.2% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 4.4% Standard downs 1.5% · Passing downs 6.9%	Not linked
Joshua Guerin · WR CFBD athlete 5158395. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.2%	Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.2% · 2nd 1.6% · 3rd 5.9% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 3.4%	Not linked
Landon Walker · WR CFBD athlete 5222710. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.1%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 5.5% 1st 8.1% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Luke Hutchison · WR CFBD athlete 5158341. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.3%	Pass 11.1% · Rush 0.6% 1st 1.9% · 2nd 5.1% · 3rd 2.1% Standard downs 3.0% · Passing downs 4.0%	Not linked
Merrick Barlow · TE CFBD athlete 5211746. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.7%	Pass 12.8% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 1.7% · 3rd 3.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 3.8%	Not linked
Ryan Brass · QB CFBD athlete 5295377. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 1.4% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Stefan Egbe · RB CFBD athlete 5158369. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.6%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.1% 1st 3.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 3.1%	Not linked
Theo Elwell · TE CFBD athlete 5220496. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 16.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked
Tre Jones · WR CFBD athlete 5220472. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.5%	Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.9% 1st 1.6% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 2.6%	Not linked
Truman Brasfield · WR CFBD athlete 5391321. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.0%	Pass 20.6% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.4% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 6.5% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 9.4%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 0 reported

No incoming transfers in this capture.

Outgoing · 3 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Brady McDonough · QB	Georgetown	2026-01-10	2★ / —	Immediate
Jaylin Acevedo · OT	South Florida	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Justin Ross · CB	Virginia	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Navy. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Brian Newberry · career 26–12 across 4 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 30 appointments

2023–present · Brian Newberry · active at capture
26–12 · 38 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2022-12-19. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2022 · Ken Niumatalolo
109–83 · 192 attributed games · 16 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2007-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2002–2007 · Paul Johnson
45–29 · 74 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2001-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1995–2001 · Charlie Weatherbie
30–45 · 75 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1990–1994 · George Chaump
14–41 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1987–1989 · Elliot Uzelac
8–25 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1982–1986 · Gary Tranquill
20–34–1 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1981 · George Welsh
55–46–1 · 102 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1969–1972 · Rick Forzano
10–33 · 43 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1968 · William Elias
15–22–3 · 40 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1959–1964 · Wayne Hardin
38–22–2 · 62 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1950–1958 · Eddie Erdelatz
50–26–8 · 84 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1948–1949 · George Sauer
3–13–2 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1946–1947 · Thomas Hamilton
2–15–1 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1944–1945 · Oscar Hagberg
13–4–1 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1942–1943 · John Whelchel
13–5 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1939–1941 · Swede Larson
16–8–3 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1937–1938 · Hank Hardwick
8–7–3 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1934–1936 · Thomas Hamilton
19–8 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1931–1933 · Rip Miller
12–15–2 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1926–1930 · William Ingram
32–13–4 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1925–1925 · Jack Owsley
5–2–1 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1917–1919 · Gilmour Dobie
17–3 · 20 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1915–1916 · Jonas Ingram
9–8–2 · 19 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1911–1914 · Douglas Legate Howard
25–7–4 · 36 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1908–1910 · Frank Berrien
21–5–3 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1907–1907 · Joe Reeves
9–2–1 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1904–1906 · Paul Dashiell
25–5–4 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1900–1900 · Garrett Cochran
6–3 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1896–1896 · Johnny Poe
5–3 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Brian Newberry · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	0.2	-7	144	—
2025 · Brian Newberry	11–2	7–1	1–0	6.2	2.1	132	23
2024 · Brian Newberry	10–3	6–2	1–0	3.5	5.7	153	—
2023 · Brian Newberry	5–7	4–4	0–0	-13.7	-11.4	131	—
2022 · Ken Niumatalolo	4–8	4–4	0–0	-7.2	-1.9	138	—
2021 · Ken Niumatalolo	4–8	3–5	0–0	-8.5	-5.5	107	—
2020 · Ken Niumatalolo	3–7	3–4	0–0	-9.3	—	126	—
2019 · Ken Niumatalolo	11–2	7–1	1–0	9.9	12.9	124	20
2018 · Ken Niumatalolo	3–10	2–6	0–0	-10.2	-9.7	106	—
2017 · Ken Niumatalolo	7–6	4–4	1–0	-0.7	6.1	88	—
2016 · Ken Niumatalolo	9–5	7–2	0–1	6.8	2.5	91	—
2015 · Ken Niumatalolo	11–2	7–1	1–0	12.1	13.5	112	18

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:07:15 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	39 / 138	72.3	122 / 138	11.7
Success rate	24 / 138	83.2	86 / 138	38.0
Explosiveness	98 / 138	29.2	125 / 138	9.5
Standard-down success	7 / 138	95.6	90 / 138	35.0
Passing-down success	117 / 138	15.3	81 / 138	41.6
Pass PPA	47 / 138	66.4	128 / 138	7.3
Rush PPA	15 / 138	89.8	81 / 138	41.6
Pass explosiveness	1 / 138	100.0	123 / 138	10.9
Rush explosiveness	38 / 138	73.0	90 / 138	35.0
Line yards	6 / 138	96.4	55 / 138	60.6
Second-level yards	28 / 138	80.3	13 / 138	91.2
Open-field yards	19 / 138	86.9	52 / 138	62.8
Stuff rate	5 / 138	97.1	66 / 138	52.6
Power success	11 / 138	92.7	T115 / 138	16.4
Havoc	T29 / 138	78.1	T124 / 138	9.9
Front-seven havoc	T81 / 138	40.9	T99 / 138	26.6
DB havoc	10 / 138	93.4	T131 / 138	4.4
Points / opportunity	65 / 138	53.3	T115 / 138	16.4
Average field position	131 / 138	5.1	T110 / 138	20.1
Field-position expected points	132 / 138	4.4	113 / 138	18.2

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Jackson Gutierrez · QBUsage 47.6% · Avg PPA 0.339 · Total 84.376

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.339	84.376	47.6%
Pass	0.439	34.675	79.0%
Rush	0.317	53.629	41.0%
1st down	0.119	11.763	42.1%
2nd down	0.458	38.021	48.5%
3rd down	0.707	36.061	53.7%
Standard downs	0.285	49.524	45.3%
Passing downs	0.465	34.852	54.0%

Braxton Woodson · QBUsage 19.2% · Avg PPA 0.410 · Total 29.903

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.410	29.903	19.2%
Pass	-0.038	-0.939	32.5%
Rush	0.643	30.842	16.3%
1st down	0.022	0.652	17.0%
2nd down	0.542	13.010	19.2%
3rd down	0.705	13.401	27.5%
Standard downs	0.540	23.219	15.7%
Passing downs	0.223	6.684	28.0%

Michael Barrow · WRUsage 18.7% · Avg PPA 0.173 · Total 16.965

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.173	16.965	18.7%
Pass	0.448	4.926	11.0%
Rush	0.138	12.039	21.1%
1st down	0.031	1.805	25.1%
2nd down	0.467	14.465	18.1%
3rd down	-0.372	-2.604	7.4%
Standard downs	0.134	10.823	21.1%
Passing downs	0.361	6.142	12.2%

Vic Listorti · RBUsage 10.1% · Avg PPA 0.106 · Total 5.626

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.106	5.626	10.1%
Pass	0.143	1.147	8.0%
Rush	0.100	4.480	10.9%
1st down	-0.437	-8.742	8.5%
2nd down	0.203	4.060	11.7%
3rd down	0.638	7.657	12.6%
Standard downs	0.124	5.084	10.7%
Passing downs	0.045	0.542	8.6%

Charles Robinson · WRUsage 7.2% · Avg PPA 0.124 · Total 3.979

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.124	3.979	7.2%
Pass	-0.058	-1.215	22.3%
Rush	0.472	5.194	3.2%
1st down	0.239	3.829	8.1%
2nd down	0.286	1.145	2.8%
3rd down	0.258	2.833	13.3%
Standard downs	0.322	5.467	5.3%
Passing downs	-0.099	-1.488	12.3%

Jacob Williams · RBUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA 0.540 · Total 2.699

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.540	2.699	6.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.540	2.699	6.8%
1st down	0.255	0.766	8.1%
2nd down	-0.393	-0.393	3.7%
3rd down	2.326	2.326	8.3%
Standard downs	0.093	0.373	6.5%
Passing downs	2.326	2.326	5.9%

Landon Walker · WRUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.622 · Total 2.489

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.622	2.489	5.1%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.622	2.489	5.5%
1st down	0.876	2.628	8.1%
2nd down	-0.139	-0.139	3.7%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.622	2.489	6.5%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Isaiah Bryant · WRUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA -0.290 · Total -2.606

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.290	-2.606	4.3%
Pass	0.416	0.831	4.3%
Rush	-0.491	-3.438	4.3%
1st down	-1.056	-2.112	2.2%
2nd down	-0.284	-1.136	6.0%
3rd down	0.214	0.641	7.9%
Standard downs	-0.596	-2.980	3.4%
Passing downs	0.093	0.374	6.8%

Truman Brasfield · WRUsage 4.0% · Avg PPA 0.881 · Total 11.453

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.881	11.453	4.0%
Pass	0.881	11.453	20.6%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.373	6.863	3.4%
2nd down	-0.228	-0.914	3.8%
3rd down	1.376	5.504	6.5%
Standard downs	1.373	6.863	2.1%
Passing downs	0.574	4.590	9.4%

Stefan Egbe · RBUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.121 · Total 0.604

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.121	0.604	3.6%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.121	0.604	4.1%
1st down	0.133	0.266	3.0%
2nd down	-0.143	-0.285	4.3%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.162	0.649	3.8%
Passing downs	-0.045	-0.045	3.1%

Luke Hutchison · WRUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.355 · Total 2.841

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.355	2.841	3.3%
Pass	0.910	6.370	11.1%
Rush	-3.528	-3.528	0.6%
1st down	0.516	1.031	1.9%
2nd down	0.906	3.623	5.1%
3rd down	1.715	1.715	2.1%
Standard downs	-0.431	-2.154	3.0%
Passing downs	1.665	4.995	4.0%

Jaydn Jones · RBUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.109 · Total 0.436

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.109	0.436	2.9%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.109	0.436	3.6%
1st down	0.460	0.920	3.3%
2nd down	-0.712	-0.712	2.2%
3rd down	0.227	0.227	4.0%
Standard downs	0.109	0.436	3.9%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jordan Collins · TEUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 1.551 · Total 17.066

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.551	17.066	2.9%
Pass	1.551	17.066	14.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	3.924	7.847	1.2%
2nd down	1.371	5.482	3.3%
3rd down	1.428	4.285	4.4%
Standard downs	2.517	10.067	1.5%
Passing downs	1.000	6.999	6.9%

Merrick Barlow · TEUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA -0.192 · Total -0.961

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.192	-0.961	2.7%
Pass	-0.192	-0.961	12.8%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	2.121	4.241	2.2%
2nd down	-1.161	-1.161	1.7%
3rd down	-0.014	-0.014	3.0%
Standard downs	1.027	3.080	2.2%
Passing downs	-2.021	-4.041	3.8%

Andre Gilbert Jr. · WRUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA -0.607 · Total -1.214

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.607	-1.214	2.5%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.607	-1.214	2.7%
1st down	-0.425	-0.425	2.7%
2nd down	-0.789	-0.789	3.7%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.607	-1.214	3.2%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Christian Cromer · RBUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA -0.283 · Total -1.414

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.283	-1.414	2.4%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.283	-1.414	3.1%
1st down	-0.442	-0.883	2.2%
2nd down	-0.002	-0.003	3.0%
3rd down	-0.528	-0.528	2.6%
Standard downs	-0.287	-1.147	2.7%
Passing downs	-0.267	-0.267	1.7%

Joshua Guerin · WRUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA -0.604 · Total -2.416

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.604	-2.416	2.2%
Pass	-0.604	-2.416	8.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-1.139	-1.139	1.2%
2nd down	0.346	0.346	1.6%
3rd down	-0.811	-1.623	5.9%
Standard downs	-0.396	-0.793	1.6%
Passing downs	-0.811	-1.623	3.4%

Evan Blouir · QBUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA 0.110 · Total 0.769

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.110	0.769	2.1%
Pass	0.736	0.736	1.4%
Rush	0.005	0.032	2.4%
1st down	0.536	1.608	2.1%
2nd down	-0.525	-1.575	2.8%
3rd down	0.736	0.736	1.7%
Standard downs	0.366	1.831	2.1%
Passing downs	-0.531	-1.063	2.2%

Chris Daley II · RBUsage 2.0% · Avg PPA -0.097 · Total -0.097

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.097	-0.097	2.0%
Pass	-0.097	-0.097	5.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-0.097	-0.097	9.1%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-0.097	-0.097	5.3%

Tre Jones · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.353 · Total -0.706

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.353	-0.706	1.5%
Pass	-0.692	-0.692	3.4%
Rush	-0.014	-0.014	0.9%
1st down	-0.014	-0.014	1.6%
2nd down	-0.692	-0.692	2.2%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.014	-0.014	1.0%
Passing downs	-0.692	-0.692	2.6%

Gage Leonard · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 1.081 · Total 1.081

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.081	1.081	1.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	1.081	1.081	1.4%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	1.081	1.081	8.3%
Standard downs	1.081	1.081	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jake Norris · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -1.150 · Total -1.150

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-1.150	-1.150	1.3%
Pass	-1.150	-1.150	16.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-1.150	-1.150	2.7%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-1.150	-1.150	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Ryan Brass · QBUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.284 · Total -0.284

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.284	-0.284	1.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.284	-0.284	1.4%
1st down	-0.284	-0.284	2.7%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.284	-0.284	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Theo Elwell · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -1.062 · Total -1.062

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-1.062	-1.062	1.3%
Pass	-1.062	-1.062	16.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-1.062	-1.062	8.3%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-1.062	-1.062	5.9%

Where Navy sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

Navy metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.202	72nd138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.476	83rd138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.186	29th138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.282	66th138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.212	90th138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	0.195	12th138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.421	38th138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.366	9th138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.123	10th138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-11-06. Offense: 97% of 96 attempts charted. Average depth of target 13.8 yards (99th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 8.0 per completion. Completion 47.9%, 9.1 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.32.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	44.4%	52.9%	-8.4	81 / 96
Defense allowed	70.8%	60.4%	+10.4	154 / 213

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Navy.

Target mix by zone, Navy offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

Navy passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	96	97%	13.8	8.0	47.9%	0.32	-8.4 pp	81
Passing defense	213	98%	9.9	5.0	70.0%	0.53	+10.4 pp	154

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	424	5.6	51.1%	0.27	3.50	1.20	1.50	12.2%	82.4%
Defense allowed	274	3.7	40.3%	0.10	2.90	0.80	0.90	17.0%	80.0%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	418 / 424	413	11	9	1	4	1	409 / 411 · 99.5%
Defense allowed	273 / 274	267	7	15	6	6	0	253 / 253 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -8.4 pp. 6 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	Towson	6	0	—	—	—	8.8	-0.38	73	7.0	0.55
W2	Florida Atlantic	23	21	33.3%	58.8%	-25.5 pp	10.0	-0.10	36	6.8	0.28
W4	UAB	13	13	30.8%	48.2%	-17.4 pp	20.2	-0.15	58	4.4	0.23
W5	Air Force	18	18	44.4%	53.9%	-9.5 pp	14.7	0.41	30	3.7	-0.23
W6	Tulsa	7	0	—	—	—	10.0	0.52	67	5.8	0.29
W7	UTSA	8	8	50.0%	43.8%	+6.2 pp	22.4	0.98	48	6.2	0.40
W8	North Texas	12	12	66.7%	51.3%	+15.3 pp	13.8	0.83	64	5.7	0.17
W9	Notre Dame	9	9	55.6%	53.8%	+1.8 pp	9.7	0.85	48	4.5	0.11

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

25 punts · 43.4 gross yards/punt · 34.5 net yards/punt

3 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 25/25 punts. Known net yards: 21/25 punts.

Our punt returns

10 returns · 5.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 10/10 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 9 · Notre Dame	3	45.3	51.5	2/3
Week 8 · North Texas	3	42.7	17.3	3/3
Week 7 · UTSA	3	44.3	35.7	3/3
Week 6 · Tulsa	0	—	—	0/0
Week 5 · Air Force	7	49.3	42.6	5/7

Team style

Rating history