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Week 10 · 2026

New Mexico at Nevada

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

New Mexico

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T02:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Toa Faavae QB
3 games
39.5%
17 / 43 plays
33.3%
10 / 30 plays
Scottre Humphrey RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.5%
19 / 40 plays
Kiefer Sibley RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
35.9%
14 / 39 plays
Deshaun Buchanan RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Massiah Mingo WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
James Laubstein QB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Dorian Patterson WR
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Bailen George WR
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 65 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahahvea Robinson · DT

CFBD athlete 5151515

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Albert Tuakalau · DE

CFBD athlete 5388845

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
7
Austin Brawley · S

CFBD athlete 5083308

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
33.0
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
2
interceptions · YDS
132
puntReturns · AVG
28.0
puntReturns · LONG
28
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
28
Azariah Levells · CB

CFBD athlete 5231749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bailen George · WR

CFBD athlete 5326947

kickReturns · AVG
2.0
kickReturns · LONG
2
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
2
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
35
passing · YPA
35.0
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
262
receiving · YPR
20.2
Brett Karhu · DE

CFBD athlete 5220449

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
Brian Booker · DT

CFBD athlete 5096990

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
15
C.J. Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5121532

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
CJ McBean · S

CFBD athlete 5265515

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
27
interceptions · AVG
20.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
Cade Keith · TE

CFBD athlete 5219572

receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
295
receiving · YPR
13.4
Caden Beck · LS

CFBD athlete 5296592

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron Mathews · RB

CFBD athlete 5295363

kickReturns · AVG
22.5
kickReturns · LONG
30
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
45
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
54
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
149
rushing · YPC
7.5
Charles Steinkamp · P

CFBD athlete 5092308

punting · In 20
3
punting · LONG
76
punting · NO
6
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
276
punting · YPP
46.0
Clay Martineau · LB

CFBD athlete 5149176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
18
Cole Millward · OL

CFBD athlete 5153704

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
DJ Darling · WR

CFBD athlete 5282659

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
132
receiving · YPR
22.0
Darren Agu · DE

CFBD athlete 4807124

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
6
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
12.5
defensive · TOT
32
Darrion Bowers · RB

CFBD athlete 5265474

rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
74
rushing · YPC
3.9
Deshaun Buchanan · RB

CFBD athlete 5165109

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
10
receiving · YPR
10.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
80
rushing · YPC
7.3
Deven Dyer · DT

CFBD athlete 5084196

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Dorian Patterson · WR

CFBD athlete 5323149

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
10
passing · YPA
10.0
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Drew Speech · S

CFBD athlete 5228812

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
23
Elijah Brody · DE

CFBD athlete 5228794

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Eric McClain · CB

CFBD athlete 5194657

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Frankie Edwards · CB

CFBD athlete 5229948

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Grant Glasgow · PK

CFBD athlete 5122287

kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.545
kicking · PTS
50
kicking · XPA
32
kicking · XPM
32
Hayes Baum · LB

CFBD athlete 5327575

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Jack Burzynski · DE

CFBD athlete 5296607

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jahmir Torres · CB

CFBD athlete 5209307

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
21.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
42
Jake Devos · DT

CFBD athlete 5265649

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Jalen Charles · DE

CFBD athlete 5149264

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
Jalen McIver · DT

CFBD athlete 5296604

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
13
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
James Laubstein · QB

CFBD athlete 5228804

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
88
rushing · YPC
4.4
Jaxton Eck · LB

CFBD athlete 5165108

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Jayden Flaker · LB

CFBD athlete 5095820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Jayden Sheridan · CB

CFBD athlete 4879407

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jerod Terry Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5271114

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
38
rushing · YPC
7.6
John Sierra · DE

CFBD athlete 5193662

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Barnes · CB

CFBD athlete 5223945

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kader Diop · WR

CFBD athlete 5228799

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
Kevin Longstreet · S

CFBD athlete 5151022

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
21
Kiefer Sibley · RB

CFBD athlete 5146726

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
61
receiving · YPR
8.7
rushing · CAR
80
rushing · LONG
43
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
485
rushing · YPC
6.1
Luke Moga · QB

CFBD athlete 5122887

passing · ATT
38
passing · COMPLETIONS
23
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.605
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
248
passing · YPA
6.5
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
-11
rushing · YPC
-1.8
Marco Beltran Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5327582

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
96
puntReturns · AVG
15.6
puntReturns · LONG
44
puntReturns · NO
17
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
265
Marcus Stevens · DE

CFBD athlete 5296596

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Massiah Mingo · WR

CFBD athlete 5181311

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
100
receiving · YPR
11.1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Mercury Swaim · LB

CFBD athlete 5088352

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
50
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Michael Kern · P

CFBD athlete 5089328

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
66
punting · NO
24
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
986
punting · YPP
41.1
Miles Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5084027

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
52
receiving · YPR
10.4
Nicholas Romero · PK

CFBD athlete 5302600

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
4
kicking · XPA
4
kicking · XPM
4
Nick Barber · DT

CFBD athlete 5388854

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Wheeler · S

CFBD athlete 5265505

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Ormanie Arnold · CB

CFBD athlete 5083172

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
21
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Ricklan Holmes II · LB

CFBD athlete 5209409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Scottre Humphrey · RB

CFBD athlete 5166161

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
111
rushing · LONG
49
rushing · TD
11
rushing · YDS
540
rushing · YPC
4.9
Tavian Combs · S

CFBD athlete 4612991

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
10.8
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
43
Toa Faavae · QB

CFBD athlete 5261479

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
101
passing · COMPLETIONS
58
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.574
passing · TD
5
passing · YDS
888
passing · YPA
8.8
receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
35.0
rushing · CAR
76
rushing · LONG
41
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
285
rushing · YPC
3.8
Trent Rocker · DE

CFBD athlete 5388843

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Trey Moore · TE

CFBD athlete 5388850

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
13.0
Tripp Walsh · TE

CFBD athlete 5150694

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
27
receiving · YPR
9.0
Troy Omeire · WR

CFBD athlete 4430827

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
64
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
112
receiving · YPR
18.7
Will Hicks · S

CFBD athlete 5226456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Rivera-Rogers · S

CFBD athlete 5326950

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Xavier Slayton · DT

CFBD athlete 5083183

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Zhaiel Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5296587

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
14.3

Nevada

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T02:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
AJ Bianco QB
2 games
28.0%
14 / 50 plays
33.3%
3 / 9 plays
Luke Duncan QB
3 games
36.6%
15 / 41 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Dominic Kelley RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
41.5%
17 / 41 plays
Reeve Slone QB
2 games
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Ky Woods RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
Herschel Turner RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Janerious Jackson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Donnie Cheers WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 52 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Bianco · QB

CFBD athlete 4819250

passing · ATT
71
passing · COMPLETIONS
37
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.521
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
397
passing · YPA
5.6
punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
32
punting · NO
1
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
32
punting · YPP
32.0
rushing · CAR
21
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
76
rushing · YPC
3.6
Aiden Walker · DB

CFBD athlete 5258484

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
42
Alosio Maluia · LB

CFBD athlete 5388807

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Benjamin Wheeler · TE

CFBD athlete 5388810

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Bishop Turner · DB

CFBD athlete 5121729

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Brandon Amaniampong · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5155324

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Brock Wattenbarger · DB

CFBD athlete 5388801

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Bryson Snelling · DB

CFBD athlete 5296360

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Carter Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5148658

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
2.7
Carter Jones · QB

CFBD athlete 5205097

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
89
passing · COMPLETIONS
53
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.596
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
654
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
2.0
DJ Asiasi · TE

CFBD athlete 5216506

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
42
receiving · YPR
7.0
Damien Moun · WR

CFBD athlete 5158756

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
179
receiving · YPR
5.8
David Paine Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5219603

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
24
Dominic Kelley · RB

CFBD athlete 5265178

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
124
receiving · YPR
8.3
rushing · CAR
118
rushing · LONG
72
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
588
rushing · YPC
5.0
Don Henry · WR

CFBD athlete 5388802

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
28.0
Donnie Cheers · WR

CFBD athlete 5153499

receiving · LONG
50
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
162
receiving · YPR
20.3
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
2.1
Dylan Labarbera · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5219590

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
33
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
60
EJ Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5296359

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
47
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
86
Ewan Baulch · P

CFBD athlete 5388812

punting · In 20
7
punting · LONG
61
punting · NO
31
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1345
punting · YPP
43.4
Gary Givens III · WR

CFBD athlete 5226511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
73
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
305
receiving · YPR
16.1
Gerick Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 4683297

puntReturns · AVG
12.1
puntReturns · LONG
43
puntReturns · NO
18
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
218
Herschel Turner · RB

CFBD athlete 5220671

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
124
receiving · YPR
13.8
rushing · CAR
82
rushing · LONG
72
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
508
rushing · YPC
6.2
Isaiah Jordan · DB

CFBD athlete 5255015

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
31
Jaceon Doss · WR

CFBD athlete 5151405

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
76
receiving · YPR
19.0
Jack MacKinnon · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5156346

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jake Silverman · LB

CFBD athlete 5215324

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jakobus Seth · DL

CFBD athlete 4832820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Gillespie · DT

CFBD athlete 5082503

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Janerious Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5388800

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
2.2
Jason Hemphill II · DL

CFBD athlete 5265480

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jaylen Webb · DB

CFBD athlete 5295049

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jeremy Naborne · LB

CFBD athlete 5295194

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
32
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
58
Joe McFadden · PK

CFBD athlete 4690467

kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
45
kicking · PCT
0.769
kicking · PTS
50
kicking · XPA
20
kicking · XPM
20
Joey Thomas III · DB

CFBD athlete 5162999

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Joshua Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 5083200

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
Justin Wyatt Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5265408

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Kameron Brown · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5209142

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Kola Babalola · TE

CFBD athlete 5084959

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ky Woods · RB

CFBD athlete 4833591

kickReturns · AVG
32.3
kickReturns · LONG
90
kickReturns · NO
9
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
291
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
10
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
3.8
Larry Turner-Gooden · DB

CFBD athlete 4685591

defensive · PD
8
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
33
Logologo Va'a · DL

CFBD athlete 4917358

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
18
Luke Duncan · QB

CFBD athlete 5077500

passing · ATT
55
passing · COMPLETIONS
26
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.473
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
265
passing · YPA
4.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-10
rushing · YPC
-5.0
Marshaun Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5103836

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
32
passing · YPA
16.0
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
199
receiving · YPR
12.4
Myles Williams · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4687184

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
30
Perrion Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5290783

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Poasa Utu · LB

CFBD athlete 5077311

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Reeve Slone · QB

CFBD athlete 5265060

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.250
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
4
passing · YPA
1.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
6.0
Tajean Stallworth · DB

CFBD athlete 5217702

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tanner Vaughan · DL

CFBD athlete 5151792

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Trace Estes · TE

CFBD athlete 5219598

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
90
receiving · YPR
18.0
Zavien Abercrombie · DB

CFBD athlete 5229945

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Zion Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5152112

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Nevada +10

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

New Mexico -10

DraftKings snapshot: Nevada +10

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

New Mexico by 6.30

3.70 points toward Nevada versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Nevada.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -10.30
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -6.30 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs e4aa7f7fce9fd81e26daed4088fb17077d6f856f0f946927cde48549dec9f821 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast e73ba7f039a0ed5e2fc3ecca9d9d92ff99b6ed15da60ae3d788d7818f9b113f3 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Nevada · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+10.0+10.00.0
Model spread+6.3+6.30.0
Model gap+3.7+3.70.0

Negative spreads favor Nevada; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: e4aa7f7fce9fd81e26daed4088fb17077d6f856f0f946927cde48549dec9f821. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Nevada +10

Model gap +3.7 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Nevada.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Nevada win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
24%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Nevada +10
Stacked ensemble
36%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Nevada.

  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +10.02 (path difference 2.70)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -9.30 (path difference 1.94)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +6.82 (path difference 4.49)
  • home adjusted epa: +6.40 (path difference 4.63)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -6.12 (path difference 0.33)
  • home elo: -5.70 (path difference 1.76)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -4.99 (path difference 5.35)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -4.91 (path difference 2.21)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.64 (path difference 2.98)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.43 (path difference 1.63)
  • home adjusted success: -4.26 (path difference 1.14)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +4.16 (path difference 1.75)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +4.05 (path difference 2.66)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.79 (path difference 0.08)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.73 (path difference 0.04)
  • away elo: -3.71 (path difference 1.48)
  • home adjusted line yards: -3.69 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +3.26 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +3.08 (path difference 0.64)
  • away adjusted epa: +3.04 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +2.87 (path difference 1.19)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.84 (path difference 1.06)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.55 (path difference 0.79)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.39 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.34 (path difference 1.70)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.21 (path difference 1.75)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -2.07 (path difference 0.44)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.86 (path difference 0.08)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.81 (path difference 1.25)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.67 (path difference 0.42)
  • week: -1.49 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.34 (path difference 0.71)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.22 (path difference 1.82)
  • home conference: -0.98 (path difference 0.31)
  • away adjusted success: -0.90 (path difference 0.20)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.77 (path difference 0.35)
  • home talent: +0.69 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.60 (path difference 0.69)
  • away talent: +0.55 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.51 (path difference 0.75)
  • away conference: -0.50 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.45 (path difference 0.49)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.44 (path difference 0.11)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.37 (path difference 0.48)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.33 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.26 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.24 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.24 (path difference 0.63)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.17 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.12 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.10 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.06)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.08 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 36.09 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs ee9505d3867bed0407ab7b91ea4f60b537e59d0b49077b9b037ff44dd2c19c67 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 6182d42d22f5d7e35f9381ade805c68904a4ff2d92f6bc47302fbe40951eb4b2 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

New Mexico

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 121 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Scottre Humphrey

CFBD athlete 5166161

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 15 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.236 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 10 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.134 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs San José State: 15 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.383 raw PPA.

405.1033.1%109 / 4.9
Kiefer Sibley

CFBD athlete 5146726

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 15 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 20.0% success · 0.008 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 13 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.396 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs San José State: 11 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.380 raw PPA.

396.6032.2%75 / 6.1
Toa Faavae

CFBD athlete 5261479

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 9 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.180 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 14 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.137 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs San José State: 13 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.614 raw PPA.

363.8629.8%74 / 3.5
Deshaun Buchanan

CFBD athlete 5165109

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 3 attempts · 13.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 1.303 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs San José State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.296 raw PPA.

410.503.3%11 / 7.3
Massiah Mingo

CFBD athlete 5181311

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.079 raw PPA.

14.000.8%1 / 4.0

Nevada

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 75 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Dominic Kelley

CFBD athlete 5265178

Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 10 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.008 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San José State: 24 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.111 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UCLA: 7 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.390 raw PPA.

413.5054.7%117 / 5.0
AJ Bianco

CFBD athlete 4819250

Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 4 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.942 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UCLA: 8 attempts · 0.1 YPC · 20.0% success · 0.002 raw PPA.

122.0316.0%21 / 3.6
Ky Woods

CFBD athlete 4833591

Week 8 vs San José State: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.357 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UCLA: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.416 raw PPA.

62.008.0%15 / 3.8
Herschel Turner

CFBD athlete 5220671

Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 5 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.372 raw PPA.

52.006.7%61 / 7.0
Janerious Jackson

CFBD athlete 5388800

Week 9 vs UCLA: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.048 raw PPA.

43.305.3%5 / 2.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureNevadaOffenseNew MexicoDefenseNew MexicoOffenseNevadaDefense
PPA/play
+0.02
15th
-0.16
99th
+0.11
42nd
+0.10
39th
Success rate
38.7%
16th
30.9%
100th
41.8%
42nd
37.9%
73rd
Explosiveness
1.26
62nd
1.42
3rd
1.24
50th
1.16
77th
Standard-down PPA/play
-0.01
20th
-0.26
100th
+0.10
55th
+0.06
38th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.08
17th
-0.01
92nd
+0.12
23rd
+0.18
52nd
Havoc allowed / created
15.8%
36th
25.5%
100th
12.9%
75th
15.3%
44th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:49 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:49 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Joe McFadden · Nevada · PAAR 3.85 · 12 attempts
  • Grant Glasgow · New Mexico · PAAR -2.84 · 11 attempts
  • Nicholas Romero · New Mexico · PAAR -2.78 · 1 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Nevada spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +12.5 · Snapshot spread: +10

First locally observed: +12.5 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 43.5 · Snapshot total: 38.5

Total · First locally observed: 43.5 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +350 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -395 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -455 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +9.5 · Snapshot spread: +10

First locally observed: +9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 38.5 · Snapshot total: 38.5

Total · First locally observed: 38.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -400 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Nevada

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Mountain West

34th FBS percentile

New Mexico

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Mountain West

78th FBS percentile

Travel

New Mexico travels 787 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Nevada leads 6–4, 1 tie in 11 meetings since 1941.

  • 2025Nevada at New Mexico22–24 · New Mexico
  • 2023New Mexico at Nevada24–34 · Nevada
  • 2020Nevada at New Mexico27–20 · Nevada
  • 2019New Mexico at Nevada10–21 · Nevada
  • 2016Nevada at New Mexico26–35 · New Mexico
  • 2015New Mexico at Nevada17–35 · Nevada

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.