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Week 10 · 2026

Northern Illinois at San José State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Northern Illinois

Window: 2026-11-01 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T21:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Taron Dickens QB
3 games
33.0%
37 / 112 plays
71.4%
10 / 14 plays
Telly Johnson Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
18 / 36 plays
Elijah Porter RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
41.4%
12 / 29 plays
Jaidaun Cranford RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
DeAree Rogers WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 52 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Warren · DB

CFBD athlete 5388936

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
22
Afy Ibekwe · WR

CFBD athlete 5264660

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
13.0
Amari Washington · DT

CFBD athlete 5236381

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
Andruw Ellis · S

CFBD athlete 5236365

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
30.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
30
Avery Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5152660

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
42
Brady Davidson · QB

CFBD athlete 5210128

passing · ATT
6
passing · COMPLETIONS
4
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
27
passing · YPA
4.5
Brady Kerperin · LB

CFBD athlete 5388924

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
55
interceptions · AVG
21.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
21
Broderick Windham · LB

CFBD athlete 5296153

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cam Thompson · WR

CFBD athlete 5083748

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
32
receiving · LONG
52
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
164
receiving · YPR
10.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Champ Smith III · S

CFBD athlete 5291786

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Chevez Trask · OL

CFBD athlete 4566116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cooper Mau · LB

CFBD athlete 5388927

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
DeAree Rogers · WR

CFBD athlete 5296150

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.5
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
39
puntReturns · AVG
9.0
puntReturns · LONG
26
puntReturns · NO
9
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
81
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
64
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
633
receiving · YPR
9.9
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Dev'ion Reynolds · CB

CFBD athlete 5194699

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
kickReturns · AVG
14.5
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
58
Elijah Porter · RB

CFBD athlete 5219932

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
10.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
27
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
54
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
233
rushing · YPC
4.3
Fawzy Omotoso · DE

CFBD athlete 5209940

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
George Dimopoulos · WR

CFBD athlete 5193277

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
241
receiving · YPR
13.4
Glen Weber · TE

CFBD athlete 5388937

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
5.5
JJ Schlenhardt · PK

CFBD athlete 5265497

kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
0.545
kicking · PTS
32
kicking · XPA
14
kicking · XPM
14
JT King · DE

CFBD athlete 5327579

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Jack Murray · LB

CFBD athlete 5302861

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
59
Jacob McGhee · DT

CFBD athlete 5388928

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
Jaidaun Cranford · RB

CFBD athlete 5291180

rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
67
rushing · YPC
7.4
Jake Ference · P

CFBD athlete 5296147

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
55
punting · NO
36
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1525
punting · YPP
42.4
Jalen Macon · QB

CFBD athlete 4884086

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
5
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.385
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
20
passing · YPA
1.5
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-0.1
James Bradley · DE

CFBD athlete 5160693

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jason Fowler · TE

CFBD athlete 5219946

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
8.3
Jay'Shon Thomas · DE

CFBD athlete 5122070

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Joe Stein · TE

CFBD athlete 5193285

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
8.0
Jordan Bellamy · DT

CFBD athlete 5258463

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Kelan McInerney · WR

CFBD athlete 5388929

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
60
receiving · YPR
15.0
Kenji Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 5084310

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Kimar Nelson · LB

CFBD athlete 5248177

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
46
Kole Sneed · DE

CFBD athlete 5155315

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
18
Kyon Conyers · S

CFBD athlete 5230036

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
32
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
55
interceptions · AVG
41.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
41
La'Don Bryant · WR

CFBD athlete 5193292

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
324
receiving · YPR
12.5
Liam Lindo · CB

CFBD athlete 5229501

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
Liam Russo · TE

CFBD athlete 5215176

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
7.5
Malik Armstrong · S

CFBD athlete 4879806

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
Marshall Washington Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5230033

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
22
Matthew Scarlett · DT

CFBD athlete 5162566

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Micah Cook · DE

CFBD athlete 5236364

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Montrel Canion · DT

CFBD athlete 5258465

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Rickey Taylor Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5219936

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
11.4
Romelo Walker · CB

CFBD athlete 5219939

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Ross Odgen · LB

CFBD athlete 5388933

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Taron Dickens · QB

CFBD athlete 4881032

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
247
passing · COMPLETIONS
157
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.636
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1617
passing · YPA
6.5
rushing · CAR
55
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
1.2
Telly Johnson Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5193302

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
45
receiving · YPR
3.8
rushing · CAR
103
rushing · LONG
28
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
574
rushing · YPC
5.6
Trey Porter · LB

CFBD athlete 4808720

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Triston White · RB

CFBD athlete 5214939

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
1.0
Yassine Falke · CB

CFBD athlete 5388918

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
8.8
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
35
Zaire McKinney · WR

CFBD athlete 5302862

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
8.7

San José State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T21:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Luke Weaver QB
2 games
45.7%
16 / 35 plays
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
Daniel Rolovich QB
2 games
32.1%
9 / 28 plays
50.0%
4 / 8 plays
Viliami Teu RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
10 / 35 plays
Jabari Bates RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
15.2%
5 / 33 plays
Robert McDaniel QB
1 games
12.5%
2 / 16 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Isaiah Carlson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
80.0%
4 / 5 plays
Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aizik Mahuka · LB

CFBD athlete 5229951

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4.0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
25
Anthony Ivey · WR

CFBD athlete 4685396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
5.5
puntReturns · LONG
33
puntReturns · NO
13
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
72
receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
279
receiving · YPR
19.9
Auma Jennings · DL

CFBD athlete 5388997

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
Brady Van Bennekum · LB

CFBD athlete 5151346

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Brian Dukes · S

CFBD athlete 5083138

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
40
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Bronx Letuligasenoa · DL

CFBD athlete 5162992

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Caleb Womack · CB

CFBD athlete 5113022

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
40
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
57
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Carson Clark · WR

CFBD athlete 5161012

receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
55
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
642
receiving · YPR
11.7
Cayden Woolwine · LB

CFBD athlete 5225443

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Champ Kapanui · LB

CFBD athlete 5167315

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Charles Cox III · S

CFBD athlete 5296615

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Cody Hall · WR

CFBD athlete 5161386

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cooper Hoch · WR

CFBD athlete 5151342

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
338
receiving · YPR
14.7
Daniel Rolovich · QB

CFBD athlete 5215357

passing · ATT
26
passing · COMPLETIONS
12
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.462
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
193
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
3.7
Dejon Roney · DL

CFBD athlete 4685536

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
10
Dominique McKenzie · WR

CFBD athlete 5219662

kickReturns · AVG
21.5
kickReturns · LONG
54
kickReturns · NO
11
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
236
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
132
receiving · YPR
18.9
Dylan Aguilera · LS

CFBD athlete 5083860

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Dylan Lee · LB

CFBD athlete 5125470

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
41
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
78
interceptions · AVG
3.7
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Ethan Powell · LB

CFBD athlete 5082592

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
38
Etu Finau · DL

CFBD athlete 5231018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Greco Carrillo · CB

CFBD athlete 5220597

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
7.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
7
Ian Shewell · DL

CFBD athlete 4612402

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Isaiah Buxton · CB

CFBD athlete 5127723

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Isaiah Carlson · RB

CFBD athlete 4870662

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
62
rushing · YPC
3.9
Jabari Bates · RB

CFBD athlete 4685254

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
86
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
153
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
649
rushing · YPC
4.2
Jackson Barton · S

CFBD athlete 5147723

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jase Nix · WR

CFBD athlete 5214408

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
10.4
Jayden Robertson · CB

CFBD athlete 5224389

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
12.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
25
Jayland McGlothen · DL

CFBD athlete 5225861

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
6.0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
29
Jeremiah Tuiileila · DL

CFBD athlete 5238038

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
9
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
23
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jerry Mcclure · WR

CFBD athlete 4920229

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
32
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
308
receiving · YPR
9.6
John Norwood · LB

CFBD athlete 5113020

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Jordan Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5079299

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
130
receiving · YPR
10.0
Joseph Harbert · OL

CFBD athlete 5082598

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Justin Stearns · DL

CFBD athlete 4875542

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
31
Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TE

CFBD athlete 5151350

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
4.5
Kejuan Bullard · CB

CFBD athlete 4906882

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Lavaka Taukeiaho · OL

CFBD athlete 5085627

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Luke Weaver · QB

CFBD athlete 5295238

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
242
passing · COMPLETIONS
154
passing · INT
8
passing · PCT
0.636
passing · TD
11
passing · YDS
1810
passing · YPA
7.5
rushing · CAR
62
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
58
rushing · YPC
0.9
Malachi Riley · WR

CFBD athlete 4870994

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
7.3
Malakai Hoeft · LB

CFBD athlete 5220602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Mathias Brown · PK

CFBD athlete 5220616

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Naseri Danielson · LB

CFBD athlete 5160961

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
63
interceptions · AVG
6.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
6
Nassir Pitters · S

CFBD athlete 5220606

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Nate Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 4701313

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Noa Siaosi · DL

CFBD athlete 5155561

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Pierce Walker · S

CFBD athlete 5225589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Robert McDaniel · QB

CFBD athlete 5205684

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
6
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.462
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
48
passing · YPA
3.7
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-2.2
Runye Norton · CB

CFBD athlete 5296609

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Solomone Langi · DL

CFBD athlete 5296617

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
21
Tama Amisone · WR

CFBD athlete 5296610

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-2.0
Trajan Sinatra · PK

CFBD athlete 5298628

kicking · FGA
21
kicking · FGM
17
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.810
kicking · PTS
67
kicking · XPA
16
kicking · XPM
16
Trent Carrizosa · P

CFBD athlete 5085193

punting · In 20
17
punting · LONG
70
punting · NO
49
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
2124
punting · YPP
43.3
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa · S

CFBD athlete 5296616

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
33
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
51
interceptions · AVG
89.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
89
Tyler Jacklich · RB

CFBD athlete 5125784

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Viliami Teu · RB

CFBD athlete 5151338

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
49
rushing · LONG
67
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
293
rushing · YPC
6.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

San José State -10

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

San José State by 15.46

5.46 points toward San José State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward San José State.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +11.45
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 15.46 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs ffe796a67b02a6335c973c9889d2b5218c27a845c717df3ca3e0ecf756b74a00 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast e81bad9ef30e747dfc062683ee635b632ba0f2c15a103a7d9a4d17f072378a08 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: San José State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-10.0-10.00.0
Model spread-15.46-15.460.0
Model gap+5.46+5.460.0

Negative spreads favor San José State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: ffe796a67b02a6335c973c9889d2b5218c27a845c717df3ca3e0ecf756b74a00. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

San José State -10

Model gap +5.5 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor San José State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

San José State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
76%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: San José State -10
Stacked ensemble
80%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward San José State.

  • away elo: +20.58 (path difference 15.41)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +8.13 (path difference 3.85)
  • home elo: -7.42 (path difference 4.61)
  • home adjusted epa: +7.36 (path difference 6.19)
  • away adjusted epa: +7.24 (path difference 2.17)
  • home adjusted success: -6.88 (path difference 0.92)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +6.21 (path difference 2.84)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.96 (path difference 5.60)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +4.88 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +4.79 (path difference 0.99)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -4.19 (path difference 3.03)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.00 (path difference 0.23)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.68 (path difference 1.81)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.47 (path difference 1.98)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.09 (path difference 1.20)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -2.52 (path difference 2.28)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.22 (path difference 1.89)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -2.22 (path difference 0.39)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.05 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -2.05 (path difference 2.37)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.85 (path difference 1.30)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.71 (path difference 1.64)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.68 (path difference 0.33)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.61 (path difference 1.82)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.47 (path difference 1.84)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.38 (path difference 1.64)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.23 (path difference 1.04)
  • away talent: +1.17 (path difference 1.25)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.13 (path difference 1.59)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -1.10 (path difference 2.89)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +1.09 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.07 (path difference 2.15)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.03 (path difference 0.88)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.98 (path difference 0.67)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.96 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.91 (path difference 0.29)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.90 (path difference 0.47)
  • away conference: -0.86 (path difference 0.27)
  • home talent: +0.83 (path difference 1.15)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.76 (path difference 0.70)
  • week: -0.73 (path difference 1.12)
  • home conference: -0.64 (path difference 0.98)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.53 (path difference 1.16)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.45 (path difference 0.68)
  • away adjusted success: +0.41 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.40 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.30 (path difference 1.16)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.15 (path difference 2.17)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.12 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.08 (path difference 0.38)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.07 (path difference 0.49)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.07 (path difference 1.67)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -0.03 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 80.46 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs e21656ec1558b63d0cc5aa0d3ca303140d4839ccb62e7bea3ba713926d70ac45 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 1aabd0d9f434d6e3261f058479aee69e2942f7e41f4a4c65844b344aaecd88d6 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Northern Illinois

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 87 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Telly Johnson Jr.

CFBD athlete 5193302

Week 7 vs Wyoming: 15 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.582 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 13 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.316 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UNLV: 8 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.635 raw PPA.

367.1041.4%98 / 5.4
Elijah Porter

CFBD athlete 5219932

Week 7 vs Wyoming: 3 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.244 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 5 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.176 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UNLV: 21 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.144 raw PPA.

294.9033.3%53 / 4.4
Taron Dickens

CFBD athlete 4881032

Week 7 vs Wyoming: 8 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.361 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.018 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs UNLV: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.637 raw PPA.

203.6623.0%54 / 1.0
Jaidaun Cranford

CFBD athlete 5291180

Week 7 vs Wyoming: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.910 raw PPA.

18.001.1%9 / 7.4
DeAree Rogers

CFBD athlete 5296150

Week 9 vs UNLV: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.074 raw PPA.

15.001.1%1 / 5.0

San José State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 98 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Viliami Teu

CFBD athlete 5151338

Week 7 vs UTEP: 20 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 35.0% success · 0.499 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 10 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 30.0% success · 0.084 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico: 5 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.628 raw PPA.

355.9035.7%49 / 6.0
Jabari Bates

CFBD athlete 4685254

Week 8 vs Nevada: 11 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.383 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico: 22 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 18.2% success · -0.162 raw PPA.

332.8033.7%150 / 4.2
Daniel Rolovich

CFBD athlete 5215357

Week 7 vs UTEP: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.163 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

103.7210.2%10 / 3.7
Luke Weaver

CFBD athlete 5295238

Week 8 vs Nevada: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.349 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico: 7 attempts · -2.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -1.051 raw PPA.

9-1.139.2%61 / 1.0
Robert McDaniel

CFBD athlete 5205684

Week 8 vs Nevada: 6 attempts · -2.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.170 raw PPA.

6-2.236.1%6 / -2.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureSan José StateOffenseNorthern IllinoisDefenseNorthern IllinoisOffenseSan José StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.07
28th
+0.25
3rd
-0.02
6th
+0.04
63rd
Success rate
37.4%
9th
50.4%
1st
38.9%
19th
43.9%
20th
Explosiveness
1.20
33rd
1.22
54th
1.22
47th
1.09
93rd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.11
61st
+0.18
7th
-0.09
5th
+0.04
46th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.01
7th
+0.43
4th
+0.10
20th
+0.04
83rd
Havoc allowed / created
17.1%
19th
9.7%
1st
16.4%
29th
15.3%
44th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:29 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:29 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • JJ Schlenhardt · Northern Illinois · PAAR -3.66 · 11 attempts
  • Trajan Sinatra · San José State · PAAR 3.05 · 21 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

San José State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -11.5 · Snapshot spread: -10

First locally observed: -10 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50.5 · Snapshot total: 52.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -380 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -395 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -10 · Snapshot spread: -10

First locally observed: -10 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52 · Snapshot total: 52

Total · First locally observed: 52 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -400 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

San José State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 9 rated weeks · Mountain West

46th FBS percentile

Northern Illinois

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Mountain West

5th FBS percentile

Travel

Northern Illinois travels 1,778 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 2 time zones crossed · down 785 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Northern Illinois leads 1–0 in 1 meetings since 1995.

  • 1995Northern Illinois at San José State18–17 · Northern Illinois

CFBD matchup data Last 1 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.