Record
4-5 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
SP+ workbook recordSan José State
2026 season
Mountain West
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
San José State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 103.5 across 8 systems; best 74, worst 114, so they disagree by 40 places.
- Lab EPA
- #74
- Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #111
- up 82026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #114
- no change2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #96
- up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #111
- up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #92
- up 4 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #112
- up 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #75
- up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #109 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #98 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #97 of 138
- Game control
- #108 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #113 of 138
- Offense
- #129 of 138
- Defense
- #79 of 138
- Special teams
- #87 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
San José State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.022 net EPA/play
#74
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-7.54 points
#111 · Up 8 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 9 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -2.00 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -5.83, schedule #105 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -3.71. That is worth -7.83 on its own; the preseason prior of -6.40 still carries 21% of the weight, giving -7.54.
How each game enters this SRS rating
San José State · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · USC away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401864494 | -16.00 → -16.00 | +2.50 | 0.7349 | 7.60% | +9.64 | -1.027 | 0.733 | -0.294 |
| Week 1 · Eastern Michigan away · 2026-09-04 · ID 401864495 | +6.00 → +6.00 | +2.50 | 0.7349 | 7.60% | -9.23 | 0.646 | -0.702 | -0.056 |
| Week 2 · Cal Poly home · 2026-09-13 · ID 401864504 | +10.00 → +10.00 | -2.50 | 0.7637 | 7.90% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 0.593 | -1.976 | -1.383 |
| Week 3 · Fresno State home · 2026-09-20 · ID 401860888 | -16.00 → -16.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.21% | +3.43 | -1.519 | 0.281 | -1.238 |
| Week 5 · Hawai'i away · 2026-10-04 · ID 401864513 | +4.00 → +4.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 8.87% | -7.49 | 0.577 | -0.665 | -0.088 |
| Week 6 · Wyoming home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401864519 | -3.00 → -1.00 (OT) | -2.50 | 0.8909 | 9.22% | -7.98 | -0.323 | -0.736 | -1.059 |
| Week 7 · UTEP away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401864523 | +13.00 → +13.00 | +2.50 | 0.9259 | 9.58% | -17.24 | 1.485 | -1.652 | -0.167 |
| Week 8 · Nevada away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401864528 | -15.00 → -15.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 9.96% | -5.87 | -1.245 | -0.584 | -1.829 |
| Week 9 · New Mexico home · 2026-10-31 · ID 401864529 | -5.00 → -5.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 10.35% | +6.53 | -0.776 | 0.676 | -0.101 |
Game terms -6.21 points; prior term -1.32 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -7.54 points. The preseason prior is -6.40 with 20.70% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.5 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 9 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-11.3 SP+ points
#114 · Rank unchanged
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-7.12 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#92 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -9.38 on 475 plays; defense -2.26 on 541 plays.
2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks San José State 37 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 4-5 · conf 2-3 · home 1-3 · away 3-2 · expected wins 5.0
- Polls (Week 10)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 5-4 ATS (+1.3 avg) · 2025: 4-8 ATS (-10.6 avg)
- Head coach
- Ken Niumatalolo · hired 2024-01-21 · 10-15 over 3 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #104 (145 pts) · 2025 #117 (124 pts) · 2026 #129 (159 pts)
- Returning
- 4% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing -8% 13% Receiving 3% 6% Rushing 36% 26% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8207 | 4.10 |
| Defensive Line | 11 | 2.73 | 0.8214 | 9.03 |
| Linebacker | 5 | 2.80 | 0.8194 | 4.10 |
| Offensive Line | 14 | 2.79 | 0.8229 | 11.52 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 2.75 | 0.8203 | 3.28 |
| Receiver | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8391 | 7.55 |
| Running Back | 4 | 2.75 | 0.8110 | 3.24 |
| Special Teams | 6 | 2.83 | 0.8309 | 4.99 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luke Weaver · QBCFBD athlete 5295238. San José State (2026–2026); Hawai'i (2025–2025) | Passing WEPA | 0.272 | 223 | 57.0% | Pass 92.3% · Rush 19.0%1st 51.1% · 2nd 54.4% · 3rd 70.9% Standard downs 53.4% · Passing downs 63.2% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8200 |
Jabari Bates · RBCFBD athlete 4685254. San José State (2022–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.028 | 125 | 31.2% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 62.0%1st 37.6% · 2nd 32.4% · 3rd 18.2% Standard downs 34.3% · Passing downs 25.8% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8528 |
Viliami Teu · RBCFBD athlete 5151338. San José State (2023–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.265 | 49 | 9.7% | Pass 0.4% · Rush 19.7%1st 12.3% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 6.5% Standard downs 11.7% · Passing downs 6.0% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8006 |
Luke Weaver · QBCFBD athlete 5295238. San José State (2026–2026); Hawai'i (2025–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.146 | 37 | 57.0% | Pass 92.3% · Rush 19.0%1st 51.1% · 2nd 54.4% · 3rd 70.9% Standard downs 53.4% · Passing downs 63.2% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8200 |
Trajan Sinatra · PKCFBD athlete 5298628. San José State (2026–2026); Idaho State (2025–2025) | Kicker PAAR | 3.050 | 21 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Anthony Ivey · WRCFBD athlete 4685396. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.7% | Pass 9.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.4% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 5.5% Standard downs 4.9% · Passing downs 4.4% | Not linked |
Carson Clark · WRCFBD athlete 5161012. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 13.5% | Pass 26.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 11.0% · 2nd 12.8% · 3rd 18.5% Standard downs 12.9% · Passing downs 14.6% | Not linked |
Cooper Hoch · WRCFBD athlete 5151342. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.0% | Pass 15.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 8.5% · 2nd 6.3% · 3rd 9.6% Standard downs 8.2% · Passing downs 7.7% | Not linked |
Daniel Rolovich · QBCFBD athlete 5215357. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 30.8% | Pass 51.9% · Rush 13.3%1st 21.3% · 2nd 38.1% · 3rd 35.7% Standard downs 26.9% · Passing downs 38.5% | Not linked |
Dominique McKenzie · WRCFBD athlete 5219662. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.6% | Pass 6.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.8% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 6.0% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Isaiah Carlson · RBCFBD athlete 4870662. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.8% | Pass 0.6% · Rush 9.9%1st 6.3% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 2.0% | Not linked |
Jase Nix · WRCFBD athlete 5214408. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.3% | Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.5% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 6.4% Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 7.6% | Not linked |
Jerry Mcclure · WRCFBD athlete 4920229. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.7% | Pass 17.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 8.1% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 9.7% Standard downs 8.4% · Passing downs 9.3% | Not linked |
Jordan Anderson · WRCFBD athlete 5079299. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.1% | Pass 7.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.4% · 2nd 6.3% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 4.1% · Passing downs 4.2% | Not linked |
Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TECFBD athlete 5151350. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.1% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 1.4% | Not linked |
Malachi Riley · WRCFBD athlete 4870994. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.4% | Pass 4.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.0% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 3.3% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 2.1% | Not linked |
Robert McDaniel · QBCFBD athlete 5205684. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 33.3% | Pass 53.3% · Rush 11.5%1st 22.7% · 2nd 28.6% · 3rd 57.1% Standard downs 21.2% · Passing downs 50.0% | Not linked |
Tama Amisone · WRCFBD athlete 5296610. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.8% | Pass 7.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 6.3% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 5.9% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 17 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agenhart Ellis IV · S | Cal Lutheran | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Aizik Mahuka · LB | Weber State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Anthony Ivey · WR | Penn State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Brian Dukes Jr. · S | Cal Poly | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Brian Tapu · OT | Nebraska | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Dominique McKenzie · WR | BYU | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Dylan Aguilera · LS | Lafayette | 2026-02-03 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ian Shewell · DL | Arizona State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Ikinasio Tupou · OT | BYU | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Isaiah Buxton · CB | San Diego State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jackson Barton · S | Nevada | 2026-02-01 | 3★ / 0.8100 | Immediate |
| Jayland McGlothen · DL | Sacramento State | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jerry McClure · WR | San Diego State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jonathan Watts · S | Idaho State | 2026-02-02 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Lavaka Taukeiaho · IOL | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Luke Weaver · QB | Hawai'i | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Tyler Jacklich · RB | West Virginia | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 16 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Presley · CB | Colorado State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Danny Scudero · WR | Colorado | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Denaris DeRosa · IOL | Not reported | 2026-01-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Isiah Revis · S | Not reported | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| JT Taylor · CB | Eastern Washington | 2026-01-30 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jaylen Thomas · CB | Washington State | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jireh Moe · DL | Utah | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Joseph Bey · S | Not reported | 2025-12-31 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kyri Shoels · WR | Utah | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Leland Smith · WR | UCLA | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Matthew Coleman · WR | Sacramento State | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Nate Hale · OT | Arizona | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Noah McNeal-Franklin · LB | Not reported | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Steve Chavez-Soto · RB | Utah | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
| Vili Taufatofua · EDGE | Colorado | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Walker Eget · QB | Duke | 2026-01-26 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at San José State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Ken Niumatalolo · career 119–98 across 19 seasons and 2 schools
Tenure timeline · 19 appointments
2024–present · Ken Niumatalolo · active at capture
10–15 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2024-01-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2023 · Brent Brennan
34–48 · 82 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 2016-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2013–2016 · Ron Caragher
19–30 · 49 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2012-12-17. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2012 · Mike MacIntyre
16–21 · 37 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2009-12-16. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2005–2009 · Dick Tomey
25–35 · 60 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2004-12-28. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2001–2004 · Fitz Hill
14–33 · 47 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2000-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1997–2000 · Dave Baldwin
18–27 · 45 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1993–1996 · John Ralston
11–34 · 45 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1992–1992 · Ron Turner
7–4 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1990–1991 · Terry Shea
15–6–2 · 23 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1984–1989 · Claude Gilbert
38–30–1 · 69 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1979–1983 · Jack Elway
35–20–1 · 56 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1976–1978 · Lynn Stiles
18–16 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1975 · Darryl Rogers
22–9–3 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1970–1972 · DeWayne King
10–20–1 · 31 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1969–1970 · Joe McMullen
3–10 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1968 · Harry Anderson
13–26 · 39 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1957–1964 · Robert Titchenal
33–45–1 · 79 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1950–1956 · Robert Bronzan
32–30–5 · 67 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Ken Niumatalolo · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -9.3 | -13.7 | 129 | — |
| 2025 · Ken Niumatalolo | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -14.3 | -14.4 | 117 | — |
| 2024 · Ken Niumatalolo | 7–6 | 3–4 | 0–1 | -5.5 | -7.1 | 104 | — |
| 2023 · Brent Brennan | 7–6 | 6–2 | 0–1 | -3.4 | 2.8 | 112 | — |
| 2022 · Brent Brennan | 7–5 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -4.3 | -6.5 | 75 | — |
| 2021 · Brent Brennan | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -1.9 | -9.9 | 120 | — |
| 2020 · Brent Brennan | 7–1 | 7–0 | 0–1 | 0.1 | 8.6 | 114 | 24 |
| 2019 · Brent Brennan | 5–7 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -7.2 | -7.5 | 118 | — |
| 2018 · Brent Brennan | 1–11 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -17.1 | -14.1 | 94 | — |
| 2017 · Brent Brennan | 2–11 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -20 | -26.7 | 98 | — |
| 2016 · Ron Caragher | 4–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -13.6 | -17.2 | 84 | — |
| 2015 · Ron Caragher | 6–7 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -4.5 | -6.9 | 62 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:06:34 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 100 / 138 | 27.7 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Success rate | 126 / 138 | 8.8 | 110 / 138 | 20.4 |
| Explosiveness | 93 / 138 | 32.8 | 11 / 138 | 92.7 |
| Standard-down success | 102 / 138 | 26.3 | 121 / 138 | 12.4 |
| Passing-down success | 133 / 138 | 3.6 | 64 / 138 | 54.0 |
| Pass PPA | 74 / 138 | 46.7 | 31 / 138 | 78.1 |
| Rush PPA | 121 / 138 | 12.4 | 94 / 138 | 32.1 |
| Pass explosiveness | 116 / 138 | 16.1 | 26 / 138 | 81.8 |
| Rush explosiveness | 78 / 138 | 43.8 | 30 / 138 | 78.8 |
| Line yards | 93 / 138 | 32.8 | 50 / 138 | 64.2 |
| Second-level yards | 96 / 138 | 30.7 | 128 / 138 | 7.3 |
| Open-field yards | 123 / 138 | 10.9 | 44 / 138 | 68.6 |
| Stuff rate | 109 / 138 | 21.2 | 101 / 138 | 27.0 |
| Power success | T111 / 138 | 19.3 | T81 / 138 | 40.9 |
| Havoc | T111 / 138 | 19.3 | T76 / 138 | 43.8 |
| Front-seven havoc | T100 / 138 | 26.6 | T69 / 138 | 49.6 |
| DB havoc | T101 / 138 | 25.9 | T74 / 138 | 45.6 |
| Points / opportunity | 120 / 138 | 13.1 | 24 / 138 | 83.2 |
| Average field position | T71 / 138 | 47.1 | T84 / 138 | 39.1 |
| Field-position expected points | 72 / 138 | 48.2 | 79 / 138 | 43.1 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Luke Weaver · QBUsage 57.0% · Avg PPA 0.181 · Total 54.252
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.181 | 54.252 | 57.0% |
| Pass | 0.250 | 62.822 | 92.3% |
| Rush | -0.054 | -2.487 | 19.0% |
| 1st down | 0.135 | 15.245 | 51.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.114 | 11.256 | 54.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.416 | 32.461 | 70.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.260 | 46.520 | 53.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.064 | 7.732 | 63.2% |
Robert McDaniel · QBUsage 33.3% · Avg PPA -0.458 · Total -8.701
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.458 | -8.701 | 33.3% |
| Pass | -0.512 | -8.192 | 53.3% |
| Rush | -0.170 | -0.509 | 11.5% |
| 1st down | -0.807 | -4.036 | 22.7% |
| 2nd down | -0.014 | -0.084 | 28.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.573 | -4.580 | 57.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.191 | -1.336 | 21.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.614 | -7.365 | 50.0% |
Jabari Bates · RBUsage 31.2% · Avg PPA -0.033 · Total -5.456
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.033 | -5.456 | 31.2% |
| Pass | 0.245 | 3.430 | 5.1% |
| Rush | -0.059 | -8.886 | 62.0% |
| 1st down | -0.185 | -15.393 | 37.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.049 | 2.870 | 32.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.543 | 10.851 | 18.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.088 | -10.140 | 34.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.096 | 4.684 | 25.8% |
Daniel Rolovich · QBUsage 30.8% · Avg PPA 0.143 · Total 5.161
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.143 | 5.161 | 30.8% |
| Pass | 0.138 | 3.858 | 51.9% |
| Rush | 0.163 | 1.303 | 13.3% |
| 1st down | -0.196 | -1.957 | 21.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.478 | 7.656 | 38.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.054 | -0.538 | 35.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.338 | 7.106 | 26.9% |
| Passing downs | -0.130 | -1.945 | 38.5% |
Carson Clark · WRUsage 13.5% · Avg PPA 0.359 · Total 28.343
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.359 | 28.343 | 13.5% |
| Pass | 0.359 | 28.343 | 26.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.300 | 8.110 | 11.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.357 | 9.277 | 12.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.686 | 15.776 | 18.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.565 | 27.667 | 12.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.023 | 0.676 | 14.6% |
Viliami Teu · RBUsage 9.7% · Avg PPA 0.212 · Total 10.599
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.212 | 10.599 | 9.7% |
| Pass | -0.585 | -0.585 | 0.4% |
| Rush | 0.228 | 11.183 | 19.7% |
| 1st down | 0.004 | 0.103 | 12.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.080 | -1.277 | 8.9% |
| 3rd down | 1.682 | 11.773 | 6.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.267 | 10.400 | 11.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.018 | 0.198 | 6.0% |
Jerry Mcclure · WRUsage 8.7% · Avg PPA 0.239 · Total 12.193
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.239 | 12.193 | 8.7% |
| Pass | 0.239 | 12.193 | 17.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.076 | -1.512 | 8.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.464 | 8.355 | 8.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.267 | 3.203 | 9.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.216 | 6.897 | 8.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.279 | 5.296 | 9.3% |
Cooper Hoch · WRUsage 8.0% · Avg PPA 0.804 · Total 26.547
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.804 | 26.547 | 8.0% |
| Pass | 0.804 | 26.547 | 15.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.407 | 6.110 | 8.5% |
| 2nd down | 1.416 | 12.745 | 6.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.717 | 5.739 | 9.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.880 | 19.361 | 8.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.653 | 7.186 | 7.7% |
Isaiah Carlson · RBUsage 4.8% · Avg PPA -0.232 · Total -3.713
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.232 | -3.713 | 4.8% |
| Pass | -0.276 | -0.276 | 0.6% |
| Rush | -0.229 | -3.437 | 9.9% |
| 1st down | -0.119 | -1.067 | 6.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.189 | 0.566 | 2.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.357 | 1.070 | 4.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.280 | -3.927 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.107 | 0.214 | 2.0% |
Anthony Ivey · WRUsage 4.7% · Avg PPA 0.350 · Total 8.750
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.350 | 8.750 | 4.7% |
| Pass | 0.350 | 8.750 | 9.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.282 | 3.381 | 5.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.905 | 5.428 | 3.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.607 | 3.641 | 5.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.345 | 5.869 | 4.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.360 | 2.881 | 4.4% |
Jordan Anderson · WRUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 0.387 · Total 6.579
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.387 | 6.579 | 4.1% |
| Pass | 0.387 | 6.579 | 7.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.445 | 2.671 | 3.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.124 | 1.117 | 6.3% |
| 3rd down | 1.395 | 2.790 | 2.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.381 | 4.189 | 4.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.398 | 2.390 | 4.2% |
Tama Amisone · WRUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA -0.739 · Total -2.216
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.739 | -2.216 | 3.8% |
| Pass | -0.739 | -2.216 | 7.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.983 | -1.965 | 7.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.251 | -0.251 | 6.3% |
| Standard downs | -1.127 | -1.127 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | -0.545 | -1.089 | 5.9% |
Dominique McKenzie · WRUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.548 · Total 7.671
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.548 | 7.671 | 3.6% |
| Pass | 0.548 | 7.671 | 6.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.928 | 5.569 | 3.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.486 | -1.457 | 2.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.712 | 3.559 | 6.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.640 | 5.118 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.426 | 2.553 | 4.1% |
Jase Nix · WRUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.408 · Total 6.121
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.408 | 6.121 | 3.3% |
| Pass | 0.408 | 6.121 | 6.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.742 | 2.226 | 1.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.598 | 3.590 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.051 | 0.304 | 6.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.742 | 2.226 | 1.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.325 | 3.894 | 7.6% |
Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.091 · Total 0.909
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.091 | 0.909 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.091 | 0.909 | 5.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.079 | -0.396 | 3.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.202 | -0.605 | 2.3% |
| 3rd down | -0.325 | -0.325 | 1.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.172 | 1.378 | 3.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.234 | -0.469 | 1.4% |
Malachi Riley · WRUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA 1.431 · Total 4.293
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.431 | 4.293 | 2.4% |
| Pass | 1.431 | 4.293 | 4.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.776 | 0.776 | 2.0% |
| 2nd down | 1.352 | 1.352 | 2.4% |
| 3rd down | 2.165 | 2.165 | 3.3% |
| Standard downs | 1.064 | 2.128 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | 2.165 | 2.165 | 2.1% |
2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.071 | 28th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.374 | 9th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.199 | 33rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.197 | 47th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | -0.013 | 12th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.043 | 63rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.439 | 20th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.093 | 93rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.153 | 44th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-11-06. Offense: 100% of 283 attempts charted. Average depth of target 10.0 yards (83rd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 3.7 per completion. Completion 60.8%, 7.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.28.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 60.5% | 59.4% | +1.1 | 248 / 283 |
| Defense allowed | 65.7% | 62.6% | +3.1 | 245 / 290 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is San José State.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 283 | 100% | 10.0 | 3.7 | 60.8% | 0.28 | +1.1 pp | 248 |
| Passing defense | 290 | 98% | 8.1 | 5.1 | 64.1% | 0.15 | +3.1 pp | 245 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 298 | 3.6 | 33.1% | -0.01 | 2.90 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 19.6% | 65.5% |
| Defense allowed | 346 | 3.9 | 50.5% | 0.15 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 13.7% | 72.7% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 293 / 298 | 291 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 274 / 275 · 99.6% |
| Defense allowed | 340 / 346 | 322 | 24 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 307 / 307 · 100.0% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +1.1 pp. 8 of 9 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | USC | 32 | 32 | 65.6% | 58.9% | +6.7 pp | 9.9 | 0.38 | 24 | 4.3 | 0.06 |
| W1 | Eastern Michigan | 41 | 40 | 57.5% | 61.1% | -3.6 pp | 8.8 | 0.39 | 36 | 3.7 | -0.06 |
| W2 | Cal Poly | 34 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.7 | 0.42 | 44 | 5.7 | 0.06 |
| W3 | Fresno State | 38 | 38 | 55.3% | 59.2% | -3.9 pp | 11.0 | -0.21 | 32 | 2.8 | -0.05 |
| W5 | Hawai'i | 28 | 28 | 67.9% | 60.1% | +7.7 pp | 8.9 | 0.55 | 34 | 2.3 | -0.10 |
| W6 | Wyoming | 38 | 38 | 68.4% | 60.2% | +8.2 pp | 8.8 | 0.33 | 28 | 2.7 | 0.13 |
| W7 | UTEP | 23 | 23 | 52.2% | 59.5% | -7.3 pp | 9.5 | 0.30 | 35 | 6.6 | 0.40 |
| W8 | Nevada | 26 | 26 | 46.2% | 56.5% | -10.3 pp | 12.5 | 0.07 | 30 | 2.2 | -0.18 |
| W9 | New Mexico | 23 | 23 | 69.6% | 58.4% | +11.2 pp | 10.4 | 0.33 | 35 | 1.6 | -0.37 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
49 punts · 44.1 gross yards/punt · 37.7 net yards/punt
16 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 49/49 punts. Known net yards: 43/49 punts.
Our punt returns
12 returns · 7.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
3 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 11/12 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · New Mexico | 3 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 3/3 |
| Week 8 · Nevada | 11 | 46.4 | 43.3 | 9/11 |
| Week 7 · UTEP | 6 | 42.3 | 37.7 | 6/6 |
| Week 6 · Wyoming | 3 | 45.3 | 34.0 | 3/3 |
| Week 5 · Hawai'i | 6 | 49.8 | 49.8 | 4/6 |