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Week 9 · 2026

Kent State at Sacramento State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Kent State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T02:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Dru Deshields QB
3 games
40.0%
42 / 105 plays
36.8%
7 / 19 plays
Brandon White RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
8 / 28 plays
Jakorion Caffey RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
35.7%
5 / 14 plays
Mason Blakemore RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
3 / 12 plays
Nolan Good QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Hunter Hopperton FB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Wayne Harris WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Donovan Delaney RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aiden Burgess · DL

CFBD athlete 5222390

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
14
Angelo Stockstill · DB

CFBD athlete 5086981

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Antonio Bottiggi · DL

CFBD athlete 5222389

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
10
Ardell Banks · WR

CFBD athlete 5027432

receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
224
receiving · YPR
18.7
Atiq Muhammad · DB

CFBD athlete 5082292

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
29
Ayden Harris · RB

CFBD athlete 5146972

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
14
rushing · YPC
2.8
Ben Midea · OL

CFBD athlete 5227269

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brandon White · RB

CFBD athlete 5327601

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
2.0
kickReturns · LONG
2
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
2
receiving · LONG
52
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
92
receiving · YPR
8.4
rushing · CAR
68
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
235
rushing · YPC
3.5
Brendyn Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5291801

kickReturns · AVG
13.5
kickReturns · LONG
16
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
27
receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
136
receiving · YPR
17.0
Brodyn Bishop · LB

CFBD athlete 5189754

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Bryce Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 5222598

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Buddyrow Garrer · DB

CFBD athlete 5215186

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cade Romanini · RB

CFBD athlete 5388314

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Camdon Wilborn · DL

CFBD athlete 5227192

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Clinton Robinson · DB

CFBD athlete 5222396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
DJ Barnes · DB

CFBD athlete 5165755

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Da'Realyst Clark · WR

CFBD athlete 5295590

kickReturns · AVG
16.3
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
15
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
244
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
29
passing · YPA
29.0
receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
274
receiving · YPR
11.4
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
0.3
Darian Blachewicz · DL

CFBD athlete 5243578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Davion Pritchard · DB

CFBD athlete 5146577

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Deante Ruffin · QB

CFBD athlete 5141625

passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.333
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
-1
passing · YPA
-0.3
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Derrick Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5295594

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
24
Dion'Dre Taylor · DL

CFBD athlete 5302817

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
3
Donovan Delaney · RB

CFBD athlete 5150825

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
1.8
Dru Deshields · QB

CFBD athlete 5119841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
218
passing · COMPLETIONS
124
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.569
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1434
passing · YPA
6.6
rushing · CAR
66
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
217
rushing · YPC
3.3
Ethan Thanthanavong · QB

CFBD athlete 5388310

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
16
passing · YPA
8.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-14
rushing · YPC
-14.0
Ezekiel Castex · DB

CFBD athlete 5295589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Garrett Long · DL

CFBD athlete 5258332

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Hayden Dawahare · LB

CFBD athlete 5160198

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7
defensive · TOT
41
Hunter Hopperton · FB

CFBD athlete 5083407

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
5.6
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
1.1
Jackson Farley · RB

CFBD athlete 5310072

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaihien Roy · DL

CFBD athlete 5222397

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
18
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jake Stoeckel · P

CFBD athlete 5295596

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
punting · In 20
12
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
32
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1368
punting · YPP
42.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-32
rushing · YPC
-16.0
Jakorion Caffey · RB

CFBD athlete 5126524

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
1.0
rushing · CAR
35
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
86
rushing · YPC
2.5
Jared Kelley · WR

CFBD athlete 5122047

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Jay Jay Etheridge · WR

CFBD athlete 5222386

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
16.0
Joel Cordoba · DB

CFBD athlete 5211905

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
36
Josue Cordoba · DL

CFBD athlete 5147050

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
25
Kolten Ford · P

CFBD athlete 5388317

punting · In 20
0
punting · LONG
48
punting · NO
3
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
78
punting · YPP
26.0
Lennox Lemon · DB

CFBD athlete 5287857

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Lionel Burns III · DB

CFBD athlete 5302915

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Martell Buchanan · DB

CFBD athlete 5193532

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
23
Mason Blakemore · RB

CFBD athlete 4875755

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
52
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
202
rushing · YPC
3.9
Matthew Maxey · WR

CFBD athlete 5263587

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-1
receiving · YPR
-1.0
Matthew Sollberger · LB

CFBD athlete 5312159

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Mohammed Hazime · DL

CFBD athlete 4912559

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Nolan Good · QB

CFBD athlete 5222633

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
9
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.222
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
0.6
rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
5.3
Norey Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5089863

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
18.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
37
Quan Rhodes-McKee · LB

CFBD athlete 5227117

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
11
Rafael Terrero Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5215184

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
63.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
63
Rocco Nicholl · LB

CFBD athlete 5082969

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
36
Sayed Abuhamdeh · LB

CFBD athlete 5151679

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
Sean Leonard · PK

CFBD athlete 5258331

kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
3
kicking · LONG
53
kicking · PCT
0.375
kicking · PTS
18
kicking · XPA
9
kicking · XPM
9
Semaj Bridgeman · LB

CFBD athlete 4870641

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
7
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tanner Mintz · LB

CFBD athlete 5258022

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
48.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
48
Terik Mulder · TE

CFBD athlete 5088143

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
61
receiving · YPR
10.2
Thomas Aden · DL

CFBD athlete 5154316

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Tommy Arnold · TE

CFBD athlete 5295588

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Tommy Newcomb · PK

CFBD athlete 5194691

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
5
kicking · XPA
5
kicking · XPM
5
Trey Rubinstein · LB

CFBD athlete 5215187

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tyler Bivens · DB

CFBD athlete 4877642

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Wayne Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5147053

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
puntReturns · AVG
6.0
puntReturns · LONG
25
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
24
receiving · LONG
58
receiving · REC
38
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
539
receiving · YPR
14.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-3
rushing · YPC
-1.5
Zy'Aire Fletcher · TE

CFBD athlete 5211188

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5

Sacramento State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T02:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Jackson Sharman QB
3 games
30.9%
25 / 81 plays
44.4%
4 / 9 plays
Isaiah Ene RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
44.8%
13 / 29 plays
Daniel Swinney RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.7%
7 / 15 plays
Brian Salazar QB
2 games
40.0%
4 / 10 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Cincere Rhaney RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
1 / 6 plays
Jamar Curtis RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 5 plays
Davion Godley RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Jaylen Patterson QB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 69 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Taylor · CB

CFBD athlete 5225847

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
kickReturns · AVG
17.6
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
141
Alex Rocha · LB

CFBD athlete 5083536

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
31
Amari Wallace · S

CFBD athlete 5141685

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
37
Austin Aten · DL

CFBD athlete 5401483

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Austin Chambers · DL

CFBD athlete 5219037

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Boogsie Silvera · S

CFBD athlete 4701591

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
61
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
24
Brian Salazar · QB

CFBD athlete 5401458

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
10
passing · COMPLETIONS
7
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.700
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
99
passing · YPA
9.9
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-5
rushing · YPC
-0.7
Brodie Tagaloa · DL

CFBD athlete 4894450

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Caleb Reese · CB

CFBD athlete 5301038

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
29
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
3.0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
3
Carson Conklin · QB

CFBD athlete 4920192

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
46
passing · COMPLETIONS
25
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.543
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
222
passing · YPA
4.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-6.5
Cedric Anton · TE

CFBD athlete 5080786

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
Chakai Scott · S

CFBD athlete 5294085

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
puntReturns · AVG
11.0
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
22
Cincere Rhaney · RB

CFBD athlete 5084459

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
36
rushing · LONG
40
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
174
rushing · YPC
4.8
Collin Kallhoff · DL

CFBD athlete 5401485

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Daniel Swinney · RB

CFBD athlete 5310132

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
222
rushing · YPC
5.0
Dante Antonini · LB

CFBD athlete 5401456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Darson Jeanty · LB

CFBD athlete 5152672

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Davion Godley · RB

CFBD athlete 5229947

rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
1.5
Derek Houston · LB

CFBD athlete 5152803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
Devyn Blake · DL

CFBD athlete 5294212

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Diego Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5086897

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
Diesel Gordon · S

CFBD athlete 5077669

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Dionte Thornton · CB

CFBD athlete 4868409

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
20
Donovan Turner · S

CFBD athlete 4916957

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Dylan Gooden · LB

CFBD athlete 4870766

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Elias Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5301029

rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
34
rushing · YPC
4.3
Elias Mullican · CB

CFBD athlete 5083532

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
Elijah Huddle · TE

CFBD athlete 5301047

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
Ellijah Washington · WR

CFBD athlete 5166880

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-7.0
Fata Puloka · LB

CFBD athlete 5152799

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
25
Federico Cobarubio · DL

CFBD athlete 5294213

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Grant Meadors · PK

CFBD athlete 5158467

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
8
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.667
kicking · PTS
37
kicking · XPA
13
kicking · XPM
13
Hamish Adams · P

CFBD athlete 5301051

punting · In 20
18
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
41
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1712
punting · YPP
41.8
Isaiah Ene · RB

CFBD athlete 5161820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
74
receiving · YPR
6.7
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
37
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
303
rushing · YPC
5.2
Isiah Chala Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5120904

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
Ivan Moore Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5179117

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
11
puntReturns · AVG
4.0
puntReturns · LONG
4
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
4
Jace Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 4833629

receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
141
receiving · YPR
20.1
Jackson Cahoon · LB

CFBD athlete 5301035

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jackson Sharman · QB

CFBD athlete 5158748

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
219
passing · COMPLETIONS
123
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.562
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1257
passing · YPA
5.7
rushing · CAR
32
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-50
rushing · YPC
-1.6
Jamar Curtis · RB

CFBD athlete 5083848

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
51
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
4.6
rushing · CAR
33
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
99
rushing · YPC
3.0
Jamel Howard · DL

CFBD athlete 5160656

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Jaylen Patterson · QB

CFBD athlete 5148654

rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
43
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
56
rushing · YPC
9.3
Jiah Walls · LB

CFBD athlete 5271226

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jordan Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 4912040

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
122
receiving · YPR
8.1
Joshua Holani · S

CFBD athlete 5401461

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
KJ Jefferson · LB

CFBD athlete 5301033

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kaden Briggs · DL

CFBD athlete 5401459

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kenyon Shabazz · WR

CFBD athlete 5401457

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
79
receiving · YPR
15.8
Khai Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5077407

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
4.7
Kyle Gurganious · CB

CFBD athlete 5401465

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kyle Koontz · TE

CFBD athlete 5225846

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
40
receiving · YPR
6.7
Leki Holani · LB

CFBD athlete 5290761

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
26
Luke Slater · OL

CFBD athlete 5225866

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
Malachi Kindle · DL

CFBD athlete 5301049

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
14
Maliek Richardson · DL

CFBD athlete 5401482

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Malik Tullis · DL

CFBD athlete 4871049

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
Malikai Nichols · CB

CFBD athlete 5227272

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Matthew Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 5082587

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
9.0
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
27
receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
39
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
492
receiving · YPR
12.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-5
rushing · YPC
-5.0
Miles Bailey · DL

CFBD athlete 4718461

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
14
Miles Tucker · S

CFBD athlete 5125803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Naytel Mitchell · S

CFBD athlete 5301030

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Nick Dimitris · DL

CFBD athlete 4598576

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
Noah King · S

CFBD athlete 5295615

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Onterrio Smith Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5152796

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
33
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
350
receiving · YPR
10.6
Raiden Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5158759

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
182
receiving · YPR
9.1
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
14
rushing · YPC
7.0
Saul Marks · PK

CFBD athlete 5401460

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Tim Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 4880603

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
24
Warren Smith · S

CFBD athlete 4950553

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
22
Xavier Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 4696984

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Sacramento State +7.25

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Kent State -7.25

DraftKings snapshot: Sacramento State +7

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Kent State by 1.50

5.75 points toward Sacramento State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Sacramento State.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: -5.44
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -1.50 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 40c45e9e142f87ff1d6d28d7ee36d4c8dffa4491ab9a79bdb1566fd96ecd013c · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast d60bf592de386a726ee82034bc95b8170297a9013e965814dfa9885a754aa4d3 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -1.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Sacramento State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+8.5+7.25-1.25
Model spread+1.5+1.50.0
Model gap+7.0+5.75-1.25

Negative spreads favor Sacramento State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 40c45e9e142f87ff1d6d28d7ee36d4c8dffa4491ab9a79bdb1566fd96ecd013c. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Sacramento State +7.25

Model gap +5.8 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Sacramento State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Sacramento State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
30%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Sacramento State +7.5
Stacked ensemble
58%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Sacramento State.

  • home elo: -29.21 (path difference 5.63)
  • away elo: +24.75 (path difference 6.61)
  • home adjusted epa: +18.88 (path difference 1.04)
  • away adjusted success: +11.37 (path difference 1.49)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -10.04 (path difference 3.00)
  • away adjusted epa: +9.16 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +7.04 (path difference 1.53)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +6.18 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted success: -5.79 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -5.73 (path difference 1.30)
  • home adjusted line yards: -5.16 (path difference 0.82)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.23 (path difference 0.78)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +4.20 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -4.03 (path difference 0.90)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -3.50 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +3.02 (path difference 1.07)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.84 (path difference 0.38)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.77 (path difference 0.90)
  • away conference: -2.56 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.42 (path difference 0.08)
  • home conference: -2.33 (path difference 1.46)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: -2.26 (path difference 0.30)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.23 (path difference 0.24)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: +2.19 (path difference 1.44)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -2.07 (path difference 1.98)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.04 (path difference 1.53)
  • away adjusted line yards: +1.65 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +1.39 (path difference 2.02)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.37 (path difference 1.00)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.36 (path difference 0.96)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +1.34 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.30 (path difference 0.92)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.25 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -1.23 (path difference 1.04)
  • away talent: +1.18 (path difference 0.29)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.18 (path difference 1.07)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.16 (path difference 0.93)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.03 (path difference 0.82)
  • home talent: +0.93 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.88 (path difference 0.22)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.81 (path difference 1.77)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +0.69 (path difference 1.52)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.67 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.67 (path difference 3.87)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.66 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.62 (path difference 2.30)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.53 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.45 (path difference 0.88)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.37 (path difference 0.46)
  • week: -0.36 (path difference 1.64)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.28 (path difference 1.03)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.28 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.13 (path difference 0.48)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.06)

Reconciles to 57.87 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 8f2b939f1e507c0e6ce3c3f0754b1b8db420e8c05021e9b1f0d7356a192caf91 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast cafe12c97f523a80501b115213d024792e8b4d86a325a9b13e9d25fc71acedf8 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Kent State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 90 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Brandon White

CFBD athlete 5327601

Week 6 vs Western Michigan: 7 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.166 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs South Florida: 10 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.193 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Akron: 11 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.399 raw PPA.

283.9031.1%68 / 3.5
Dru Deshields

CFBD athlete 5119841

Week 6 vs Western Michigan: 10 attempts · -0.6 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.298 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs South Florida: 9 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.362 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Akron: 8 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.341 raw PPA.

271.3730.0%64 / 3.0
Jakorion Caffey

CFBD athlete 5126524

Week 6 vs Western Michigan: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.318 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs South Florida: 7 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.428 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Akron: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.379 raw PPA.

143.1015.6%35 / 2.5
Mason Blakemore

CFBD athlete 4875755

Week 6 vs Western Michigan: 12 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.259 raw PPA.

122.8013.3%51 / 3.9
Nolan Good

CFBD athlete 5222633

Week 7 vs South Florida: 4 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.504 raw PPA.

44.014.4%12 / 5.3

Sacramento State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 76 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Isaiah Ene

CFBD athlete 5161820

Week 6 vs Bowling Green: 12 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.283 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ohio: 7 attempts · 8.4 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.318 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ball State: 10 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 30.0% success · 0.078 raw PPA.

295.6038.2%58 / 5.2
Jackson Sharman

CFBD athlete 5158748

Week 6 vs Bowling Green: 10 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.299 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ohio: 1 attempts · -5.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ball State: 4 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.263 raw PPA.

15-1.1619.7%29 / -1.3
Daniel Swinney

CFBD athlete 5310132

Week 6 vs Bowling Green: 7 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.283 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ohio: 5 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.636 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ball State: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.374 raw PPA.

155.1019.7%42 / 5.1
Cincere Rhaney

CFBD athlete 5084459

Week 6 vs Bowling Green: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.489 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ohio: 3 attempts · 15.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.637 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ball State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.747 raw PPA.

69.007.9%37 / 4.9
Jamar Curtis

CFBD athlete 5083848

Week 7 vs Ohio: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.811 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ball State: 3 attempts · 0.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.748 raw PPA.

50.606.6%32 / 3.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureSacramento StateOffenseKent StateDefenseKent StateOffenseSacramento StateDefense
PPA/play
-0.09
1st
+0.15
26th
-0.05
4th
+0.18
15th
Success rate
38.7%
16th
46.7%
7th
34.1%
1st
40.5%
52nd
Explosiveness
1.05
1st
1.18
69th
1.30
77th
1.33
14th
Standard-down PPA/play
-0.02
16th
+0.16
15th
-0.11
2nd
+0.15
15th
Passing-down PPA/play
-0.23
0th
+0.12
69th
+0.05
12th
+0.24
34th
Havoc allowed / created
17.7%
11th
15.4%
45th
16.9%
22nd
10.6%
2nd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:41 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:41 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Grant Meadors · Sacramento State · PAAR -4.13 · 12 attempts
  • Tommy Newcomb · Kent State · PAAR -2.48 · 1 attempts
  • Sean Leonard · Kent State · PAAR -7.28 · 8 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Sacramento State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +9.5 · Snapshot spread: +7

First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 45.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 46.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +235 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +300 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -290 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -380 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +10.5 · Snapshot spread: +7.5

First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 46.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 46.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +320 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +320 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -430 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -430 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Sacramento State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.3 · 8 rated weeks · Mid-American

0th FBS percentile

Kent State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 8 rated weeks · Mid-American

3rd FBS percentile

Travel

Kent State travels 2,116 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 3 time zones crossed · down 1,014 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Sacramento State and Kent State have never met in CFBD's records.

CFBD matchup data Last 0 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.