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Sacramento State

2026 season

Mid-American
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Sacramento State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 136 across 8 systems; best 134, worst 138, so they disagree by 4 places.

Lab EPA
#136
Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#136
up 12026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#135
up 32026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#134
up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#138
no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#137
up 1 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#138
no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#136
up 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#137 of 138
Schedule strength
#136 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#110 of 138
Game control
#135 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#138 of 138
Offense
#138 of 138
Defense
#135 of 138
Special teams
#23 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Sacramento State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

2-7 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.228 net EPA/play

#136

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-17.39 points

#136 · Up 1 place since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 9 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -13.72 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -8.23, schedule #131 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -6.44. That is worth -21.95 on its own; with no prior-season rating, the preseason prior is set to average (0.00) and still carries 21% of the weight, giving -17.39.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Sacramento State · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Eastern Michigan
away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401866408
-11.00 → -11.00+2.500.73497.63%-9.23-0.649-0.704-1.353
Week 1 · Mississippi Valley State
home · 2026-09-06 · ID 401866411
+52.00 → +35.00-2.500.73497.63%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.480-1.9080.572
Week 2 · Fresno State
away · 2026-09-13 · ID 401860883
-46.00 → -35.00+2.500.76377.93%+3.43-2.5770.272-2.306
Week 3 · North Dakota State
home · 2026-09-20 · ID 401864507
-21.00 → -21.00-2.500.79378.24%+5.80-1.9370.478-1.459
Week 4 · Massachusetts
home · 2026-09-27 · ID 401866429
-29.00 → -29.00-2.500.82498.56%-8.26-2.698-0.708-3.406
Week 6 · Bowling Green
away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401866436
-28.00 → -28.00+2.500.89099.25%-11.59-2.359-1.072-3.431
Week 7 · Ohio
home · 2026-10-18 · ID 401866445
-41.00 → -35.00-2.500.92599.61%-1.28-3.605-0.123-3.728
Week 8 · Ball State
away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401866447
-17.00 → -17.00+2.500.96229.99%-12.52-1.449-1.251-2.699
Week 9 · Kent State
home · 2026-10-31 · ID 401866451
+21.00 → +21.00-2.501.000010.38%-14.481.921-1.5040.417

Game terms -17.39 points; prior term 0.00 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -17.39 points. No prior-season estimate is available; the configured starting value is 0.00 with 20.77% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.6 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 9 current games; prior unavailable.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-25.5 SP+ points

#135 · Up 3 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-23.80 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#137 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -19.45 on 397 plays; defense 4.35 on 421 plays.

2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA and local SRS assign the same rank at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
2-8 · conf 1-6 · home 2-4 · away 0-4 · expected wins 2.4
Polls (Week 10)
unranked
CFP latest
unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 4-6 ATS (-3.1 avg) · 2025: 6-6 ATS (+0.6 avg)
Head coach
Alonzo Carter · hired 2025-12-15 · 0-0 over 1 captured season
Recruiting classes
2024 #131 (72 pts) · 2025 #127 (89 pts) · 2026 #125 (161 pts)
Returning
—

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back52.800.83164.16
Defensive Line92.890.82437.42
Linebacker72.860.82645.79
Offensive Line82.880.81406.51
Quarterback43.000.83283.33
Receiver122.580.80419.65
Running Back23.000.84501.69
Special Teams112.910.83679.20

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Jackson Sharman · QB

CFBD athlete 5158748. Sacramento State (2026–2026); Idaho State (2023–2025)

Passing WEPA0.05622849.4%
Pass 88.1% · Rush 9.0%

1st 37.6% · 2nd 52.1% · 3rd 69.3%

Standard downs 41.7% · Passing downs 66.5%

2023: stars unavailable
Isaiah Ene · RB

CFBD athlete 5161820. Sacramento State (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.0807115.9%
Pass 4.6% · Rush 30.4%

1st 18.8% · 2nd 17.7% · 3rd 7.8%

Standard downs 18.8% · Passing downs 10.0%

Not linked
Daniel Swinney · RB

CFBD athlete 5310132. Sacramento State (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.084419.6%
Pass 1.3% · Rush 19.1%

1st 12.9% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 5.5%

Standard downs 11.7% · Passing downs 4.9%

2026: 3★ · 0.8622
Cincere Rhaney · RB

CFBD athlete 5084459. Sacramento State (2026–2026); San Diego State (2024–2025)

Rushing WEPA0.122358.4%
Pass 1.7% · Rush 16.2%

1st 9.4% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 7.9%

Standard downs 10.0% · Passing downs 4.9%

2024: 3★ · 0.8647
Grant Meadors · PK

CFBD athlete 5158467. Sacramento State (2025–2026); Oregon (2023–2024)

Kicker PAAR-2.16015—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

2023: 3★ · 0.8111
Brian Salazar · QB

CFBD athlete 5401458. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——13.7%
Pass 25.4% · Rush 1.7%

1st 12.8% · 2nd 11.1% · 3rd 15.1%

Standard downs 11.2% · Passing downs 18.8%

Not linked
Carson Conklin · QB

CFBD athlete 4920192. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——75.0%
Pass 100.0% · Rush 6.3%

1st 63.0% · 2nd 90.5% · 3rd 78.6%

Standard downs 60.5% · Passing downs 96.2%

Not linked
Cedric Anton · TE

CFBD athlete 5080786. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.1% · 2nd 3.1% · 3rd 2.6%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 1.6%

Not linked
Davion Godley · RB

CFBD athlete 5229947. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 6.3%

1st 3.6% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 3.6%

Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Elias Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5301029. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.8%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 6.6%

1st 4.1% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 1.8%

Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Elijah Huddle · TE

CFBD athlete 5301047. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.0%
Pass 3.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.2% · 2nd 3.0% · 3rd 2.1%

Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 1.3%

Not linked
Ellijah Washington · WR

CFBD athlete 5166880. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.4%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 6.7%

Not linked
Jace Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 4833629. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.6%
Pass 7.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.8% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 6.0%

Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 6.2%

Not linked
Jamar Curtis · RB

CFBD athlete 5083848. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.9%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 16.4%

1st 13.5% · 2nd 10.8% · 3rd 2.7%

Standard downs 11.4% · Passing downs 6.9%

Not linked
Jaylen Patterson · QB

CFBD athlete 5148654. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 6.5%

1st 4.6% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Jordan Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 4912040. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.6%
Pass 11.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 7.3% · 2nd 5.2% · 3rd 7.0%

Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 6.9%

Not linked
Kenyon Shabazz · WR

CFBD athlete 5401457. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.7%
Pass 4.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.6% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 5.9%

Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 4.4%

Not linked
Khai Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5077407. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.5%
Pass 4.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 7.9%

Standard downs 0.5% · Passing downs 6.5%

Not linked
Kyle Koontz · TE

CFBD athlete 5225846. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.7%
Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.8% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 2.9%

Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 5.4%

Not linked
Matthew Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 5082587. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——12.6%
Pass 23.4% · Rush 0.3%

1st 9.6% · 2nd 9.3% · 3rd 24.1%

Standard downs 10.3% · Passing downs 17.5%

Not linked
Onterrio Smith Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5152796. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——11.4%
Pass 21.4% · Rush 0.0%

1st 9.9% · 2nd 13.0% · 3rd 10.6%

Standard downs 10.3% · Passing downs 13.7%

Not linked
Raiden Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5158759. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.7%
Pass 14.3% · Rush 0.3%

1st 5.0% · 2nd 11.6% · 3rd 7.1%

Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 10.4%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 26 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Amari Wallace · CBMiami2026-01-203★ / 0.8600Immediate
Boogsie Silvera · SSouth Florida2026-01-153★ / 0.8000Immediate
Carson Conklin · QBFresno State2026-01-153★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cedric Anton · TETiffin University2026-01-213★ / 0.8200Immediate
Cincere Rhaney · RBSan Diego State2026-01-143★ / 0.8500Immediate
Darson Jeanty · SLafayette2026-01-233★ / 0.8300Immediate
Davion Godley · RBWeber State2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Dionte Thornton · SPortland State2026-01-213★ / 0.8500Immediate
Donovan Turner · CBIllinois2026-01-153★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ellijah Washington · WROregon State2026-01-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Garrison Blank · OTUCLA2026-01-153★ / 0.8600Immediate
Isiah Chala Jr. · EDGEFresno State2026-01-213★ / 0.8200Immediate
Ivan Moore Jr. · EDGENorthern Illinois2026-01-203★ / 0.8200Immediate
Jamel Howard Jr. · DLWisconsin2026-01-213★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jaylen Patterson · QBNew Mexico State2026-01-143★ / 0.8300Immediate
Kyle Koontz · TEHouston Christian2026-01-213★ / 0.8100Immediate
Malikai Nichols · CBNot reported2026-01-203★ / 0.8500Immediate
Matthew Coleman · WRSan José State2026-01-143★ / 0.8500Immediate
Nick Dimitris · DLFlorida A&M2026-01-233★ / 0.8400Immediate
Nikko Klemm · SArizona State2026-01-123★ / —Immediate
Noah King · CBColorado2026-01-203★ / 0.8600Immediate
Qualyn McQueen · CBNot reported2026-01-143★ / 0.8500Immediate
Raiden Brown · WRIdaho State2026-04-263★ / —Immediate
Tim Thomas · LBFresno State2026-01-203★ / 0.8200Immediate
Vae Soifua · IOLWeber State2026-01-213★ / 0.8200Immediate
Will Weber · DLUTEP2026-01-203★ / 0.8000Immediate
Outgoing · 22 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Anta'Veon McKenzie · SUAB2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate
Bear Tenney · TENew Mexico2026-02-053★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cardell Williams · QBMaryland2026-05-303★ / 0.8500Immediate
Damian Henderson II · RBColorado2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
DeSean Watts · DLWashington2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Derek Houston · LBNot reported2025-12-293★ / —Immediate
Dontae Robinson · TECentral Michigan2026-01-153★ / 0.8000Immediate
Dylan Hampsten · EDGEFresno State2026-01-103★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ernest Campbell · WRColorado2026-01-073★ / 0.8700Immediate
Gavin Nelson · TECal Poly2026-02-04— / —Immediate
JaQuail Smith · RBColorado2026-01-043★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jaden Rashada · QBMississippi State2026-01-223★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jamar Curtis · RBNot reported2026-01-113★ / 0.8000Withdrawn
James Gillespie · DLNevada2026-01-16— / —Immediate
Jason Oliver · CBSan Diego State2026-01-063★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jayland McGlothen · DLSan José State2026-01-143★ / 0.8300Immediate
Jose Soto · IOLColorado2026-01-093★ / 0.8400Immediate
Koa Akui · SRice2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Lamont Johnson-Burrell · CBNot reported2025-12-303★ / —Immediate
Micah Mosley · EDGEFresno State2026-01-043★ / —Immediate
Nash Burkart · ATHNot reported2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Ricky Lee III · CBMiddle Tennessee2026-01-183★ / 0.8500Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Sacramento State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Alonzo Carter · career 0–0 across 1 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 1 appointments
  1. 2026–present · Alonzo Carter · active at capture

    0–0 · 0 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Hired 2025-12-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Alonzo Carter · incomplete attribution0–0——-26.1-28.9125—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:06:59 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play135 / 1382.283 / 13840.1
Success rate124 / 13810.243 / 13869.3
Explosiveness136 / 1381.5121 / 13812.4
Standard-down success103 / 13825.564 / 13854.0
Passing-down success137 / 1380.7T9 / 13893.8
Pass PPA128 / 1387.3107 / 13822.6
Rush PPA135 / 1382.260 / 13856.9
Pass explosiveness127 / 1388.0112 / 13819.0
Rush explosiveness133 / 1383.6125 / 1389.5
Line yards134 / 1382.9115 / 13816.8
Second-level yards118 / 13814.659 / 13857.7
Open-field yards89 / 13835.891 / 13834.3
Stuff rate136 / 1381.5123 / 13810.9
Power successT95 / 13831.0T35 / 13874.8
HavocT119 / 13813.5130 / 1385.8
Front-seven havocT91 / 13833.9124 / 13810.2
DB havocT122 / 1389.9T123 / 13810.2
Points / opportunity129 / 1386.6T101 / 13826.6
Average field positionT100 / 13827.481 / 13841.6
Field-position expected points98 / 13829.2T88 / 13836.1

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Carson Conklin · QBUsage 75.0% · Avg PPA -0.140 · Total -6.724
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.140-6.72475.0%
Pass-0.137-6.462100.0%
Rush-0.262-0.2626.3%
1st down-0.141-2.39163.0%
2nd down-0.065-1.24190.5%
3rd down0.0600.66278.6%
Standard downs-0.100-2.29060.5%
Passing downs-0.177-4.43496.2%
Jackson Sharman · QBUsage 52.1% · Avg PPA -0.058 · Total -15.883
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.058-15.88352.1%
Pass0.0369.12294.4%
Rush-0.729-16.7569.2%
1st down-0.099-9.28140.9%
2nd down-0.101-9.30653.5%
3rd down0.16513.37673.0%
Standard downs0.0091.51844.5%
Passing downs-0.157-17.40169.8%
Isaiah Ene · RBUsage 15.3% · Avg PPA -0.007 · Total -0.672
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.007-0.67215.3%
Pass0.2453.4284.5%
Rush-0.053-4.09928.9%
1st down0.1557.30618.3%
2nd down-0.132-4.23316.6%
3rd down0.4634.1647.2%
Standard downs0.0433.20318.1%
Passing downs-0.228-3.8749.2%
Matthew Coleman · WRUsage 12.3% · Avg PPA 0.307 · Total 22.395
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.30722.39512.3%
Pass0.32223.16823.0%
Rush-0.773-0.7730.4%
1st down0.2796.6919.3%
2nd down0.3195.1118.3%
3rd down0.57117.71124.8%
Standard downs0.43717.4719.8%
Passing downs0.1494.92417.8%
Onterrio Smith Jr. · WRUsage 11.6% · Avg PPA 0.088 · Total 6.093
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0886.09311.6%
Pass0.0886.09322.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1233.32810.5%
2nd down0.2837.34513.5%
3rd down0.0610.79510.4%
Standard downs0.27712.17310.8%
Passing downs-0.243-6.08013.5%
Jamar Curtis · RBUsage 10.2% · Avg PPA -0.131 · Total -6.046
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.131-6.04610.2%
Pass-0.086-1.0375.1%
Rush-0.147-5.00916.6%
1st down-0.087-2.26213.1%
2nd down-0.157-2.67511.7%
3rd down-0.370-1.1103.1%
Standard downs-0.055-1.88511.2%
Passing downs-0.347-4.1618.2%
Daniel Swinney · RBUsage 10.0% · Avg PPA 0.038 · Total 2.008
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0382.00810.0%
Pass-0.332-1.3261.5%
Rush0.0683.33419.6%
1st down0.0932.79513.0%
2nd down-0.021-0.2747.6%
3rd down-0.096-0.6736.3%
Standard downs0.1054.72012.1%
Passing downs-0.339-2.7125.0%
Cincere Rhaney · RBUsage 8.7% · Avg PPA 0.086 · Total 3.947
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0863.9478.7%
Pass-0.421-1.6841.5%
Rush0.1345.63116.8%
1st down-0.002-0.0339.6%
2nd down0.0130.1838.1%
3rd down0.0010.0097.2%
Standard downs0.1435.45310.2%
Passing downs-0.188-1.5065.0%
Raiden Brown · WRUsage 7.2% · Avg PPA 0.044 · Total 1.895
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0441.8957.2%
Pass0.0140.59313.4%
Rush1.3021.3020.4%
1st down0.2782.7803.9%
2nd down0.3407.13810.9%
3rd down-0.078-0.7768.0%
Standard downs0.2014.8295.9%
Passing downs-0.154-2.93310.3%
Jordan Williams · TEUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA -0.063 · Total -1.456
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.063-1.4566.6%
Pass-0.063-1.45611.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.6136.7437.3%
2nd down-0.371-2.2255.2%
3rd down-0.413-2.0677.0%
Standard downs0.0070.1146.5%
Passing downs-0.224-1.5706.9%
Brian Salazar · QBUsage 6.0% · Avg PPA 0.113 · Total 1.248
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1131.2486.0%
Pass0.1131.24812.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.7913.9566.0%
2nd down0.4101.2315.1%
3rd down-0.073-0.1455.4%
Standard downs0.7913.9563.8%
Passing downs-0.451-2.70711.1%
Jace Wilson · WRUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 1.298 · Total 16.877
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.29816.8774.1%
Pass1.29816.8778.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.3434.0282.1%
2nd down0.8674.3334.9%
3rd down1.7038.5167.5%
Standard downs0.9765.8572.8%
Passing downs1.57411.0206.7%
Davion Godley · RBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA -0.621 · Total -2.485
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.621-2.4853.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.621-2.4856.3%
1st down-0.727-1.4543.6%
2nd down-0.150-0.1502.4%
3rd down-0.881-0.8813.6%
Standard downs-0.621-2.4855.2%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Jaylen Patterson · QBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 0.381 · Total 2.287
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3812.2873.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.3812.2876.5%
1st down-0.661-2.6434.6%
2nd down2.4654.9303.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.3812.2874.2%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Kenyon Shabazz · WRUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.552 · Total 4.968
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5524.9682.9%
Pass0.5524.9685.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down3.0953.0950.7%
2nd down0.3791.5164.0%
3rd down0.0890.3575.8%
Standard downs2.0566.1691.5%
Passing downs-0.200-1.2015.5%
Elias Brown · RBUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA -0.235 · Total -1.880
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.235-1.8802.8%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.235-1.8806.6%
1st down-0.318-1.5904.1%
2nd down0.4830.9672.1%
3rd down-1.257-1.2571.8%
Standard downs-0.235-1.8804.0%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Kyle Koontz · TEUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA -0.057 · Total -0.516
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.057-0.5162.7%
Pass-0.057-0.5165.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.021-0.0832.8%
2nd down-0.063-0.1892.8%
3rd down-0.122-0.2452.9%
Standard downs-0.021-0.0831.7%
Passing downs-0.087-0.4345.4%
Elijah Huddle · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.233 · Total 0.698
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2330.6982.3%
Pass0.2330.6984.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.969-0.9691.8%
2nd down0.6520.6522.3%
3rd down1.0151.0153.2%
Standard downs-0.159-0.3172.5%
Passing downs1.0151.0151.9%
Khai Taylor · WRUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.060 · Total 0.301
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0600.3012.3%
Pass0.0600.3014.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.654-1.3072.7%
3rd down0.5361.6086.4%
Standard downs0.8380.8380.7%
Passing downs-0.134-0.5386.1%
Cedric Anton · TEUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.334 · Total -1.334
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.334-1.3342.1%
Pass-0.334-1.3343.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1620.1621.1%
2nd down-0.602-1.2043.1%
3rd down-0.292-0.2922.6%
Standard downs-0.230-0.6892.3%
Passing downs-0.645-0.6451.6%
Ellijah Washington · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -1.040 · Total -1.040
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-1.040-1.0401.4%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-1.040-1.0402.4%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-1.040-1.0404.2%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-1.040-1.0406.7%
Where Sacramento State sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: -0.081 (2nd percentile; 138 teams)2ndOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.379 (10th percentile; 138 teams)10thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.068 (1st percentile; 138 teams)1stOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: -0.004 (7th percentile; 138 teams)7thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: -0.136 (2nd percentile; 138 teams)2ndDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.099 (40th percentile; 138 teams)40thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.385 (69th percentile; 138 teams)69thDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.346 (12th percentile; 138 teams)12thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.118 (6th percentile; 138 teams)6th
Values and percentiles
Sacramento State metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play-0.0812nd138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.37910th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.0681st138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play-0.0047th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play-0.1362nd138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.09940th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.38569th138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.34612th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.1186th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-11-06. Offense: 100% of 335 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.2 yards (33rd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 4.3 per completion. Completion 57.0%, 5.8 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.02.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense56.4%61.9%-5.5243 / 335
Defense allowed62.8%61.0%+1.9191 / 251

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.0, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 7.7, YAC 4.9Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Arizona: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8Arizona State: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.1Arkansas: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.5, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.1BYU: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Ball State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Baylor: ADOT 10.2, YAC 5.1Boise State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.0Boston College: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.6Bowling Green: ADOT 6.4, YAC 5.6Buffalo: ADOT 10.1, YAC 2.2California: ADOT 6.2, YAC 5.6Central Michigan: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.5Charlotte: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5Cincinnati: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.7Clemson: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.8Coastal Carolina: ADOT 10.6, YAC 5.8Colorado: ADOT 8.6, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.6, YAC 8.3Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.4Duke: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.6East Carolina: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.2, YAC 5.3Florida: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.7Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.5Florida International: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.4, YAC 8.1Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.0Georgia: ADOT 8.2, YAC 7.7Georgia Southern: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 4.7Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.3, YAC 4.9Iowa: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.3Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Kansas: ADOT 12.5, YAC 5.2Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.7, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.2Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.0Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 6.2Louisville: ADOT 9.1, YAC 7.1Marshall: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.3Maryland: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.0Massachusetts: ADOT 10.4, YAC 4.6Memphis: ADOT 10.3, YAC 5.6Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.7, YAC 6.2Michigan: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.8Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.1, YAC 6.1Mississippi State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.6Missouri: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.1Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.0Nebraska: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.9Nevada: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.1New Mexico: ADOT 9.9, YAC 6.1New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.4North Carolina: ADOT 7.4, YAC 6.4North Dakota State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Northwestern: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.9Ohio: ADOT 9.6, YAC 6.1Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 5.1Oklahoma: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.9, YAC 4.3Ole Miss: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.1Oregon: ADOT 7.6, YAC 6.5Oregon State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 7.7Penn State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 5.1Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 11.3, YAC 5.5SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.2San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.7South Alabama: ADOT 10.7, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.3Southern Miss: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.1Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.9Syracuse: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.5TCU: ADOT 9.5, YAC 4.6Temple: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.9Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.8Texas Tech: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 9.1, YAC 6.1Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.2, YAC 4.9Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.4UCF: ADOT 7.0, YAC 5.4UCLA: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.8UConn: ADOT 11.2, YAC 6.3UL Monroe: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8UNLV: ADOT 10.5, YAC 4.3USC: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.4UTEP: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.9UTSA: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.0Utah: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.8Utah State: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.5Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.7, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.5Washington State: ADOT 7.1, YAC 4.0West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Wisconsin: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.9Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Sacramento State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.3Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Sacramento State.

Target mix by zone, Sacramento State offense
Short left31% · 102Short middle20% · 64Short right35% · 114Deep left6% · 18Deep middle2% · 6Deep right7% · 22

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Sacramento State passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense335100%8.24.357.0%0.02-5.5 pp243
Passing defense25198%9.55.762.2%0.20+1.9 pp191

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense3103.342.0%-0.062.700.900.9022.8%66.0%
Defense allowed3664.739.1%0.123.200.901.2011.4%67.6%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense306 / 3102902021780280 / 281 · 99.6%
Defense allowed353 / 3663343214990341 / 343 · 99.4%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -5.5 pp. 7 of 10 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-10.1-3.62.9W1W1 vs Eastern Michigan: -9.1 ppW1W2W2 vs Fresno State: -8.2 ppW3W3 vs North Dakota State: +2.9 ppW4W4 vs Massachusetts: -6.4 ppW6W7W7 vs Ohio: -8.3 ppW8W8 vs Ball State: -0.8 ppW9W9 vs Kent State: -10.1 ppW10

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Eastern Michigan474654.3%63.5%-9.1 pp6.7-0.11172.90.01
W1Mississippi Valley State290———10.30.45425.00.19
W2Fresno State323250.0%58.1%-8.2 pp9.8-0.42333.80.04
W3North Dakota State414161.0%58.1%+2.9 pp9.90.15254.1-0.32
W4Massachusetts434355.8%62.2%-6.4 pp7.3-0.06343.0-0.06
W6Bowling Green280———9.6-0.02352.2-0.00
W7Ohio262657.7%66.0%-8.3 pp6.6-0.06265.0-0.08
W8Ball State313060.0%60.8%-0.8 pp7.60.19262.3-0.21
W9Kent State252556.0%66.1%-10.1 pp5.90.21414.0-0.16
W10Toledo330———8.80.01310.3-0.13

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

54 punts · 42.1 gross yards/punt · 39.1 net yards/punt

13 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 54/54 punts. Known net yards: 41/54 punts.

Our punt returns

11 returns · 10.6 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

2 muffs · 3 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 11/11 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 10 · Toledo741.441.05/7
Week 9 · Kent State645.331.84/6
Week 8 · Ball State645.339.04/6
Week 7 · Ohio743.140.05/7
Week 6 · Bowling Green441.341.02/4
Team style
Rating history