Week 9 · 2026

Bowling Green at Western Michigan

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Bowling Green

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jay Kastantin QB 3 games	47.3% 35 / 74 plays	47.6% 10 / 21 plays
Austyn Dendy RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.5% 19 / 40 plays
Nakai Amachree RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.0% 7 / 20 plays
Brennan Ridley WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays
Leo Kemp FB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Tristin Blackmon RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Marceles Carey RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 3 plays
Austin Novosad QB 1 games	50.0% 1 / 2 plays	— 0 / 0 plays

Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Odom · LB

CFBD athlete 4879818

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 10

Andrew Hines III · LB

CFBD athlete 5079449

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 17

Armahn Hale · DB

CFBD athlete 5222382

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Austin Novosad · QB

CFBD athlete 4912647

passing · ATT: 7
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.429
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 20
passing · YPA: 2.9

Austyn Dendy · RB

CFBD athlete 5147347

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 2.0
rushing · CAR: 104
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 371
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Blane Cleaver · TE

CFBD athlete 4879925

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 24
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Brennan Ridley · WR

CFBD athlete 5226453

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 5.7
puntReturns · LONG: 10
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 17
receiving · LONG: 77
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 269
receiving · YPR: 11.2
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 40
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Brody Bolyn · C

CFBD athlete 5078215

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Caden Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5281468

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Cameron Simmons · DL

CFBD athlete 5266926

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Carson Lovett · RB

CFBD athlete 5281457

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Cashmire Lewis · LB

CFBD athlete 5295261

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 44

Chris Newell Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5290617

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

D'Kyah Banks · S

CFBD athlete 5193267

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 2
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

DeVenchi Arnold II · S

CFBD athlete 5236345

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dior Garner · DT

CFBD athlete 5216312

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Dorian Pringle · LB

CFBD athlete 5193283

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 36
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 75

Eli Jacon-Duffy · TE

CFBD athlete 5193300

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 202
receiving · YPR: 10.1

Elijah Durham-Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5209954

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Eriq George · DE

CFBD athlete 5153514

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Isaiah Dawson · WR

CFBD athlete 5226828

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Jahai Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 5258471

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaimion Olverson · DE

CFBD athlete 5238021

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Jay Kastantin · QB

CFBD athlete 5385753

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 194
passing · COMPLETIONS: 130
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.670
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1418
passing · YPA: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 56
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 126
rushing · YPC: 2.3

JayT Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 4900153

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jeremiah Scoby · TE

CFBD athlete 5207804

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 282
receiving · YPR: 10.4
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -3.0

JoJo Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 4594448

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Joseph Saffold · WR

CFBD athlete 5326882

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 15.7

Josira Andrews · CB

CFBD athlete 5219019

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 26

Julian Holt · DB

CFBD athlete 5291093

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kade Kostus · DL

CFBD athlete 4832020

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 21

Kal-El Pascal · S

CFBD athlete 5194662

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 38
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 59

Ke'Marion Baldwin · RB

CFBD athlete 5121607

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 13.5
kickReturns · LONG: 19
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 54
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 58
rushing · YPC: 4.1

Kentrell White · TE

CFBD athlete 5248198

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 3
receiving · YPR: 3.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Kore Thomas · DL

CFBD athlete 5269115

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Leo Kemp · FB

CFBD athlete 5155089

kickReturns · AVG: 25.5
kickReturns · LONG: 27
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 51
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 55
receiving · YPR: 18.3
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 42
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Marceles Carey · RB

CFBD athlete 5385754

rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -5
rushing · YPC: -0.7

Martreece Dillard · OL

CFBD athlete 5148876

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Michael Wright · DB

CFBD athlete 5193074

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Myles Bradley · DE

CFBD athlete 5093334

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 8.0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 19
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Nakai Amachree · RB

CFBD athlete 5219017

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.5
kickReturns · LONG: 27
kickReturns · NO: 10
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 195
receiving · LONG: 64
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 161
receiving · YPR: 9.5
rushing · CAR: 54
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 198
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Nicholas Sowell · WR

CFBD athlete 5231360

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0

Nick Sawyer · CB

CFBD athlete 5083106

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 26

Pauly Sadler · WR

CFBD athlete 5302828

receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Preston EstoEsta · S

CFBD athlete 5258468

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 26

Quentin Lewis · DE

CFBD athlete 5265491

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ryan Kingston · P

CFBD athlete 4917426

punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 62
punting · NO: 37
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1480
punting · YPP: 40.0

Sanders Ellis · LB

CFBD athlete 5225939

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 20

Selah Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 4685288

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 23

Tomondrey Braxton · DB

CFBD athlete 5227659

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Travis Kenner · PK

CFBD athlete 5177469

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.889
kicking · PTS: 42
kicking · XPA: 18
kicking · XPM: 18

Trey Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 4912186

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 45
receiving · YPR: 22.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Tristin Blackmon · RB

CFBD athlete 5296304

rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 3.3

Winn Sharp · WR

CFBD athlete 5193284

receiving · LONG: 59
receiving · REC: 25
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 305
receiving · YPR: 12.2

Western Michigan

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Broc Lowry QB 3 games	43.1% 28 / 65 plays	38.1% 8 / 21 plays
Jalen Buckley RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.4% 27 / 57 plays
Ofa Mataele RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.6% 10 / 21 plays
Trey Petty QB 1 games	0.0% 0 / 2 plays	75.0% 3 / 4 plays
Cole Cabana RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 3 plays
Emazon Littlejohn WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
AJ Green RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Harper Hughes WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Green · RB

CFBD athlete 4596437

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Adam Parks · TE

CFBD athlete 5121636

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 98
receiving · YPR: 9.8

Ahmed Tounkara · DT

CFBD athlete 5219059

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 27

Amarian Louis · S

CFBD athlete 5296165

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Andrew Baker · LB

CFBD athlete 5220157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Austin Alexander · DE

CFBD athlete 5294561

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 4.0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Aveion Chenault · WR

CFBD athlete 5164351

receiving · LONG: 49
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 431
receiving · YPR: 15.4

Baylin Brooks · WR

CFBD athlete 5075962

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 206
receiving · YPR: 10.8

Blair Alexander · DT

CFBD athlete 5081838

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Braden Steely · S

CFBD athlete 5220154

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Brenden Anes · LB

CFBD athlete 5195950

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 34

Broc Lowry · QB

CFBD athlete 5074245

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 176
passing · COMPLETIONS: 112
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.636
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1251
passing · YPA: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 80
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 255
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Camron Barber · CB

CFBD athlete 5300126

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Cole Cabana · RB

CFBD athlete 4917858

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 36
receiving · YPR: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 1.7

Daeh McCullough · S

CFBD athlete 4816083

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Dakari Frazier · DL

CFBD athlete 4833019

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Dalton Gustwiller · DL

CFBD athlete 5109794

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12

DeJuan Echoles · DE

CFBD athlete 4868896

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 6

DeShawn Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5296174

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Dieter Kelly · PK

CFBD athlete 5394441

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.889
kicking · PTS: 51
kicking · XPA: 27
kicking · XPM: 27

Dillon Moore · LB

CFBD athlete 4869526

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 48
interceptions · AVG: 3.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Domanick Moon · LB

CFBD athlete 4709449

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 47

Donovan Triplett · RB

CFBD athlete 5276960

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Drew Doyle · LS

CFBD athlete 5219267

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Egypt Nelson · WR

CFBD athlete 5155273

receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 142
receiving · YPR: 10.1

Emazon Littlejohn · WR

CFBD athlete 5218736

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 46
rushing · YPC: 6.6

Enese Tonga · TE

CFBD athlete 5394443

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gabe Welch · LB

CFBD athlete 5296168

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Gian Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 5216784

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Harper Hughes · WR

CFBD athlete 5282469

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Jalen Buckley · RB

CFBD athlete 5085006

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 93
receiving · YPR: 10.3
rushing · CAR: 120
rushing · LONG: 66
rushing · TD: 8
rushing · YDS: 634
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Jarvarius Sims · CB

CFBD athlete 5086219

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 36

Jermar McCarter · LB

CFBD athlete 5394438

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Joey Pope · S

CFBD athlete 5125739

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 38

Jordon Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 5153248

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Jori Benson · DT

CFBD athlete 4687453

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Joshua Franklin · DB

CFBD athlete 5092242

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 34
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 30.6
kickReturns · LONG: 92
kickReturns · NO: 8
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 245

Justyce Betts · LB

CFBD athlete 5394435

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 59

KJ Burley · DE

CFBD athlete 5394439

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Keivin Boone-Nelson II · WR

CFBD athlete 5296172

kickReturns · AVG: 9.0
kickReturns · LONG: 11
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 27
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 8.3

Kordell Gouldsby · WR

CFBD athlete 5394436

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 11.1
puntReturns · LONG: 76
puntReturns · NO: 8
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 89

Kouri Crump · S

CFBD athlete 5097172

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Micah Davis · S

CFBD athlete 5156344

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Nathan Levicki · TE

CFBD athlete 5157528

kickReturns · AVG: 9.0
kickReturns · LONG: 9
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 9
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 162
receiving · YPR: 12.5

Ofa Mataele · RB

CFBD athlete 5296166

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 3.6
rushing · CAR: 53
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 231
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Palmer Domschke · PK

CFBD athlete 4912229

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ryan Brotherton · TE

CFBD athlete 5144956

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Ryan Millmore · P

CFBD athlete 5150707

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 56
punting · NO: 31
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1375
punting · YPP: 44.4

Scoop Gardner Jr. · DE

CFBD athlete 5232069

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 7
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 28

Terence Marshall · WR

CFBD athlete 5086095

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Trey Petty · QB

CFBD athlete 5126475

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 5
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.625
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 59
passing · YPA: 7.4
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 27
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 95
rushing · YPC: 9.5

Will Ferrell · CB

CFBD athlete 5157493

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Will Gerig · DE

CFBD athlete 5085007

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Zavian Tibbs · DT

CFBD athlete 5219196

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 22

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Western Michigan -13.5

DraftKings snapshot: Western Michigan -13.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Western Michigan by 12.42

1.08 points toward Bowling Green versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Western Michigan.

Net EPA rating difference: +8.48
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 12.42 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs c13844f8d4be4b5215064dfa426c9e8a5c3a53a3f4f45ab4fd744096d49fcf39 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast e4ed5a964f12ee5907d46777574d5f2dd2f4dc7a657d224a84085de26b863c60 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Western Michigan · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-13.25	-13.5	-0.25
Model spread	-12.42	-12.42	0.0
Model gap	-0.83	-1.08	-0.25

Negative spreads favor Western Michigan; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: c13844f8d4be4b5215064dfa426c9e8a5c3a53a3f4f45ab4fd744096d49fcf39. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.1 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Western Michigan win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 82%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Western Michigan -13.5
Stacked ensemble: 80%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Western Michigan.

away elo: +14.99 (path difference 10.98)
away adjusted success allowed: +7.85 (path difference 6.81)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +6.23 (path difference 2.08)
away adjusted epa: +5.81 (path difference 2.78)
home adjusted passing epa: -4.82 (path difference 0.79)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.46 (path difference 1.70)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.30 (path difference 1.86)
home adjusted epa: +4.03 (path difference 4.95)
home adjusted success allowed: -3.73 (path difference 1.47)
home adjusted second level yards: +3.18 (path difference 0.86)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.05 (path difference 0.92)
away adjusted passing down success: -3.00 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -2.71 (path difference 1.50)
home adjusted epa allowed: -2.71 (path difference 0.29)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.69 (path difference 3.37)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.61 (path difference 0.61)
home elo: -2.31 (path difference 2.55)
away conference: -2.02 (path difference 0.96)
away adjusted epa allowed: +2.01 (path difference 1.88)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.66 (path difference 1.10)
home conference: -1.46 (path difference 0.26)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.42 (path difference 0.25)
away adjusted success: -1.41 (path difference 0.21)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.34 (path difference 1.00)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.33 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.18 (path difference 1.02)
away adjusted passing epa: +1.05 (path difference 0.62)
home talent: +1.00 (path difference 0.78)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.91 (path difference 2.45)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.91 (path difference 0.10)
away adjusted rushing epa: -0.84 (path difference 0.66)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.73 (path difference 0.90)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.72 (path difference 1.08)
home adjusted success: +0.54 (path difference 0.61)
home adjusted line yards: -0.40 (path difference 0.49)
away talent: +0.36 (path difference 0.51)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.35 (path difference 1.42)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.32 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.28 (path difference 1.66)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.26 (path difference 2.19)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted line yards: -0.21 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.15 (path difference 1.24)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.15 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.15 (path difference 1.34)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.14 (path difference 0.18)
away adjusted explosiveness: -0.12 (path difference 0.05)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.11 (path difference 0.36)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.11 (path difference 0.62)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.09 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.07 (path difference 0.00)
week: -0.03 (path difference 0.97)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 79.73 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs ff8fc2a022fe38baae6fb231a7b72cc59515ac16a3ba755438698936d892328a · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 96e46263cda2f1816f39f307d7b1ed746d647934d431d20283e3e67439dad27b · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Bowling Green

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 107 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Austyn Dendy CFBD athlete 5147347 Week 6 vs Sacramento State: 13 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.434 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ball State: 17 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 41.2% success · 0.161 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Buffalo: 10 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.043 raw PPA.	40	4.4	0	37.4%	101 / 3.5
Jay Kastantin CFBD athlete 5385753 Week 6 vs Sacramento State: 6 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 80.0% success · 1.260 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ball State: 8 attempts · 0.4 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.117 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Buffalo: 14 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 41.7% success · 0.057 raw PPA.	28	2.9	7	26.2%	52 / 2.3
Nakai Amachree CFBD athlete 5219017 Week 6 vs Sacramento State: 9 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 11.1% success · -0.218 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ball State: 4 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 75.0% success · -0.220 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Buffalo: 7 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.162 raw PPA.	20	4.0	0	18.7%	51 / 3.8
Brennan Ridley CFBD athlete 5226453 Week 6 vs Sacramento State: 2 attempts · 17.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.885 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ball State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.420 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Buffalo: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.329 raw PPA.	5	8.4	0	4.7%	8 / 6.0
Leo Kemp CFBD athlete 5155089 Week 7 vs Ball State: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.451 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Buffalo: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.440 raw PPA.	4	3.0	0	3.7%	9 / 4.7

Western Michigan

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 115 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jalen Buckley CFBD athlete 5085006 Week 6 vs Kent State: 17 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 52.9% success · 0.265 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Central Michigan: 24 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 54.2% success · 0.405 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Toledo: 18 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.151 raw PPA.	59	5.9	0	51.3%	120 / 5.3
Broc Lowry CFBD athlete 5074245 Week 6 vs Kent State: 9 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.766 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Central Michigan: 7 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.005 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Toledo: 8 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.659 raw PPA.	24	3.5	3	20.9%	79 / 3.1
Ofa Mataele CFBD athlete 5296166 Week 6 vs Kent State: 4 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.335 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Central Michigan: 13 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.180 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Toledo: 4 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.911 raw PPA.	21	4.8	0	18.3%	52 / 4.7
Trey Petty CFBD athlete 5126475 Week 6 vs Kent State: 4 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.066 raw PPA.	4	6.0	0	3.5%	10 / 9.5
Cole Cabana CFBD athlete 4917858 Week 8 vs Toledo: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.031 raw PPA.	3	0.3	0	2.6%	12 / 1.7

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Western MichiganOffense	Bowling GreenDefense	Bowling GreenOffense	Western MichiganDefense
PPA/play	+0.13 47th	+0.16 20th	+0.02 13th	+0.08 44th
Success rate	41.8% 40th	46.2% 10th	40.0% 21st	44.2% 18th
Explosiveness	1.18 28th	1.25 39th	1.08 4th	1.11 91st
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 44th	+0.11 20th	+0.01 23rd	-0.00 61st
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.24 52nd	+0.30 20th	+0.03 9th	+0.28 24th
Havoc allowed / created	13.5% 71st	13.5% 19th	17.3% 17th	13.8% 22nd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:47 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:47 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Travis Kenner · Bowling Green · PAAR 4.55 · 9 attempts
Dieter Kelly · Western Michigan · PAAR 4.39 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Western Michigan spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -15.5 · Snapshot spread: -13.5

First locally observed: -14 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence