Week 9 · 2026

App State at Georgia Southern

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

App State

Window: 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T22:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Malachi Singleton QB 3 games	40.7% 33 / 81 plays	28.6% 2 / 7 plays
Henry Hasselbeck QB 3 games	39.1% 9 / 23 plays	58.1% 18 / 31 plays
Jaquari Lewis RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	51.4% 18 / 35 plays
Ja'Quez Cross RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	21.4% 3 / 14 plays
J'Marion Burnette RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 6 plays
Treyaun Webb RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Sam Pickett III WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Clark · DL

CFBD athlete 5226944

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Ahmad Robinson · DB

CFBD athlete 4870241

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Aiden Benton · DL

CFBD athlete 5294312

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Alex Mitchell · LB

CFBD athlete 5083898

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 42

Alex Sanchez · WR

CFBD athlete 5199951

receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 156
receiving · YPR: 15.6

Andrew Cummings · PK

CFBD athlete 5333123

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Brooks Yurachek · LB

CFBD athlete 5152157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Bryant Junius · LB

CFBD athlete 5159012

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Caleb Pitts · DL

CFBD athlete 5216581

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 12
interceptions · AVG: 15.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 15

Caleb Sandstrom · DL

CFBD athlete 5155313

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Carson Sloan · LB

CFBD athlete 5224443

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 24

Cary Grant · DB

CFBD athlete 5219477

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Chris Lofton · WR

CFBD athlete 5092352

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -3.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -3
receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 228
receiving · YPR: 12.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Colton Phares · LB

CFBD athlete 5078159

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 51
interceptions · AVG: 10.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 21

Darrin Fugitt · TE

CFBD athlete 4885469

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 257
receiving · YPR: 9.5

Dazmin James · WR

CFBD athlete 5150276

kickReturns · AVG: 22.5
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 45
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Devin Henderson · DB

CFBD athlete 5147728

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Dillon Galloway · TE

CFBD athlete 5228759

receiving · LONG: 49
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 49
receiving · YPR: 49.0

Dre Walker · DB

CFBD athlete 5161640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9
interceptions · AVG: -0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -1

Eric Adams · DB

CFBD athlete 5159189

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Gavin Barber · TE

CFBD athlete 5290180

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Henry Hasselbeck · QB

CFBD athlete 5146664

passing · ATT: 25
passing · COMPLETIONS: 18
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.720
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 171
passing · YPA: 6.8
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 239
rushing · YPC: 5.4

J'Marion Burnette · RB

CFBD athlete 5079360

rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 21
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Ja'Cari Henderson · DB

CFBD athlete 4808742

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Ja'Den Mcburrows · DB

CFBD athlete 4683118

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 15

Ja'Quez Cross · RB

CFBD athlete 4700811

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 56
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 32
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 151
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Jackson Grier · WR

CFBD athlete 5077670

kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 19
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 19
puntReturns · AVG: 6.0
puntReturns · LONG: 17
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 36
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 7.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 28
rushing · YPC: 28.0

Jakob Gude · DB

CFBD athlete 5130410

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Jamel Howse · TE

CFBD athlete 5209334

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 185
receiving · YPR: 13.2

James London · PK

CFBD athlete 5166106

kicking · FGA: 15
kicking · FGM: 12
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.800
kicking · PTS: 58
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 22

Jaquari Lewis · RB

CFBD athlete 5156152

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 83
rushing · LONG: 32
rushing · TD: 8
rushing · YDS: 420
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Jaxson Dunn · P

CFBD athlete 5221063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 35
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1467
punting · YPP: 41.9

Jehchys Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5153505

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Joseph Reddish · DB

CFBD athlete 5261482

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Juan Berchal · DB

CFBD athlete 5198331

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Kaden Ellis · DL

CFBD athlete 5174447

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Kaleb Purdy · DB

CFBD athlete 4826504

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 43

Kanye Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4900025

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 31
rushing · YPC: 7.8

Keaton Braddock · DL

CFBD athlete 5397630

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Kelvin Crawford · DL

CFBD athlete 5122343

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Keshawn Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5295917

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Kevin Henderson · LB

CFBD athlete 5397623

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Khalil Conley · DB

CFBD athlete 5122552

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 23
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Ki'Shawn Harvey · DL

CFBD athlete 5121706

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Luke Douglas · TE

CFBD athlete 5218246

kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 24
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Malachi Singleton · QB

CFBD athlete 4870999

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 209
passing · COMPLETIONS: 139
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.665
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1700
passing · YPA: 8.1
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 14.0
rushing · CAR: 41
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 0.2

Manny Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 5276935

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Max Guest · RB

CFBD athlete 5213354

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Michael Mcclenton · LB

CFBD athlete 5263781

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Nate Branch · WR

CFBD athlete 5224355

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 30
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 328
receiving · YPR: 10.9
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 36
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 12.7

Nick Avery · DL

CFBD athlete 5294311

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nick Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 4686286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Ricky Lolohea · DL

CFBD athlete 5056145

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 15

Sam Mbake · WR

CFBD athlete 4685469

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Sam Pickett III · WR

CFBD athlete 5300543

receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 32
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 474
receiving · YPR: 14.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 23.0

Sawyer Arnold · DL

CFBD athlete 5291960

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Semaj Fleming · WR

CFBD athlete 5141450

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Syncere Berry · DB

CFBD athlete 5291769

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tommy Ulatowski · QB

CFBD athlete 5082965

passing · ATT: 5
passing · COMPLETIONS: 4
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.800
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 20
passing · YPA: 4.0

Treyaun Webb · RB

CFBD athlete 4871065

rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 60
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Xavier Joseph · DL

CFBD athlete 5277541

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 1

Georgia Southern

Window: 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T22:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Max Johnson QB 3 games	51.4% 38 / 74 plays	66.7% 4 / 6 plays
Turner Helton QB 1 games	51.7% 15 / 29 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Tyrese Woodgett RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	44.4% 12 / 27 plays
Weston Bryan QB 3 games	33.3% 2 / 6 plays	31.3% 5 / 16 plays
Terrance Gibbs RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	80.0% 8 / 10 plays
David Mbadinga RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.0% 4 / 10 plays
Taeo Todd RB 3 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	28.6% 2 / 7 plays
Josh Dallas WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Sears · DB

CFBD athlete 5091788

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 37
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Aidan McCowan · DB

CFBD athlete 5150264

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Alex Smith · P

CFBD athlete 4036672

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 48
punting · NO: 29
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 1237
punting · YPP: 42.7

Alex Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5079736

receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 342
receiving · YPR: 14.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Andre Greene Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4685364

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 172
receiving · YPR: 8.6

Antavious Murphy · WR

CFBD athlete 5181735

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 6.6
puntReturns · LONG: 22
puntReturns · NO: 5
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 33

Anthony Bynum · LB

CFBD athlete 5102931

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8
defensive · TOT: 36

Ashton Hollins · WR

CFBD athlete 4869962

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 202
receiving · YPR: 14.4

Blake Ford · PK

CFBD athlete 4833237

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 3
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0.000
kicking · PTS: 0
kicking · XPA: 0
kicking · XPM: 0

Brandon Tyson · LB

CFBD athlete 5086528

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 40
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

CJ Allen · LB

CFBD athlete 5220640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Caleb Moore · DL

CFBD athlete 5146884

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cam'Ron King · WR

CFBD athlete 5219035

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Carlo Thompson · DB

CFBD athlete 5081203

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

Chace Calicut · DB

CFBD athlete 5209398

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 21

Chance Gamble · DB

CFBD athlete 4876754

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 21

Colton Veltkamp · LB

CFBD athlete 5258309

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

David Mbadinga · RB

CFBD athlete 5151112

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 97
receiving · YPR: 9.7
rushing · CAR: 39
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 233
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Devin Collier · DB

CFBD athlete 5083705

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Diego Aviles · LB

CFBD athlete 5390042

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 28

Eli Anders · LB

CFBD athlete 5148358

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 13

Elijah Fears · DL

CFBD athlete 5258304

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Ethan Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5258306

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Fabo Chaney · DB

CFBD athlete 5296457

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Festus Davies · LB

CFBD athlete 5224703

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 15
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

JP Mikhael · TE

CFBD athlete 5119658

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jacob Hammonds · LB

CFBD athlete 4880355

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Jakyri Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5301238

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 38
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jamari Whitehead · LB

CFBD athlete 5122101

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Jamarian Samuel · RB

CFBD athlete 5151111

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 3.4
rushing · CAR: 16
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 85
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Jaquari Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5155863

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jayden Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5327280

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaylen Bentley · DB

CFBD athlete 5176549

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jeremiah Ticket · DL

CFBD athlete 5221161

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jeremiah Ware · WR

CFBD athlete 5223093

kickReturns · AVG: 14.8
kickReturns · LONG: 39
kickReturns · NO: 8
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 118
receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 214
receiving · YPR: 14.3

Josh Dallas · WR

CFBD athlete 4838527

puntReturns · AVG: 5.0
puntReturns · LONG: 9
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 35
receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 41
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 323
receiving · YPR: 7.9
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Kam Mikell · WR

CFBD athlete 5079536

kickReturns · AVG: 22.0
kickReturns · LONG: 22
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 22

Kebba Secka · LB

CFBD athlete 5085349

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

King Phillips · WR

CFBD athlete 5390043

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Korey Jordan · DL

CFBD athlete 5155868

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Kru Casey · LB

CFBD athlete 5271222

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Latrell Bullard · DL

CFBD athlete 4917450

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

MJ Stroud · LB

CFBD athlete 4838553

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Max Johnson · QB

CFBD athlete 4685740

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 232
passing · COMPLETIONS: 154
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.664
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1601
passing · YPA: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 28
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 34
rushing · YPC: 1.2

Nigel Eldridge Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5258302

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Noah Mangham · DB

CFBD athlete 5083242

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

O'Marion Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5153807

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14

Peyton Plott · WR

CFBD athlete 5222643

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -3.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -3

Phillip Gladney · DB

CFBD athlete 5149745

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Rashon Myles Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4879816

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 28

River Helms · TE

CFBD athlete 4698179

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 293
receiving · YPR: 10.9

Taeo Todd · RB

CFBD athlete 5155780

kickReturns · AVG: 9.0
kickReturns · LONG: 9
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 9
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 99
receiving · YPR: 19.8
rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 63
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Taylor Bradshaw · WR

CFBD athlete 5123988

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 32
passing · YPA: 32.0
receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Terrance Gibbs · RB

CFBD athlete 4685348

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 5.5
rushing · CAR: 16
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 87
rushing · YPC: 5.4

Tracy Hill Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5085445

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Tripp Bryant · PK

CFBD athlete 5238178

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 43
kicking · PCT: 0.727
kicking · PTS: 45
kicking · XPA: 21
kicking · XPM: 21

Turner Helton · QB

CFBD athlete 4912238

passing · ATT: 38
passing · COMPLETIONS: 28
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.737
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 275
passing · YPA: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 13
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Ty Cummings · RB

CFBD athlete 5291806

rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 30
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Tyrese Woodgett · RB

CFBD athlete 5390044

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 3.7
rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 47
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 148
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Uche Iloh · LB

CFBD athlete 5146901

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Weston Bryan · QB

CFBD athlete 5212641

passing · ATT: 7
passing · COMPLETIONS: 4
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.571
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 19
passing · YPA: 2.7
rushing · CAR: 34
rushing · LONG: 67
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 159
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Zay Hilliard · WR

CFBD athlete 5303239

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 11.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Georgia Southern -5.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Georgia Southern by 10.18

4.68 points toward Georgia Southern versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Georgia Southern.

Net EPA rating difference: +6.25
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 10.18 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 360e9f756398dc944459313898be6cfa278c5478a3faac4efda1b43d7ae2f828 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 784ca7516f04cf32a156989598aac1a02d756b04ff336c69fdf038e2fb8d8bdf · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Georgia Southern · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-5.5	-5.5
Model spread	-10.18	-10.18
Model gap	+4.68	+4.68

Negative spreads favor Georgia Southern; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 360e9f756398dc944459313898be6cfa278c5478a3faac4efda1b43d7ae2f828. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Georgia Southern -5.5

Model gap +4.7 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Georgia Southern.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Georgia Southern win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 65%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Georgia Southern -5.5
Stacked ensemble: 71%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Georgia Southern.

away elo: +14.51 (path difference 8.52)
away adjusted success allowed: +7.25 (path difference 1.71)
home elo: -6.18 (path difference 1.79)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.75 (path difference 4.60)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.23 (path difference 1.93)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -4.12 (path difference 0.13)
away adjusted epa: +4.06 (path difference 2.39)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.97 (path difference 1.12)
home adjusted success: +3.96 (path difference 1.71)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.93 (path difference 2.44)
home adjusted epa: +2.79 (path difference 0.98)
home adjusted passing epa: +2.78 (path difference 2.31)
home talent: +2.51 (path difference 0.53)
home adjusted epa allowed: -2.45 (path difference 0.22)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.27 (path difference 0.35)
away adjusted rushing epa: -2.15 (path difference 1.45)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.85 (path difference 0.97)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.68 (path difference 0.83)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.61 (path difference 1.15)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.61 (path difference 1.66)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.53 (path difference 0.43)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.51 (path difference 0.30)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.44 (path difference 1.57)
home adjusted line yards: -1.34 (path difference 0.26)
away adjusted passing down success: -1.29 (path difference 1.70)
home adjusted success allowed: +1.24 (path difference 1.33)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.24 (path difference 0.15)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.15 (path difference 0.06)
away conference: +1.14 (path difference 0.18)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.13 (path difference 0.72)
away adjusted passing epa: +1.11 (path difference 0.73)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.07 (path difference 1.41)
away talent: -1.04 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.03 (path difference 0.68)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.01 (path difference 0.53)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.97 (path difference 0.15)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.82 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.81 (path difference 2.40)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.74 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted epa allowed: -0.60 (path difference 0.60)
home conference: +0.56 (path difference 0.25)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.55 (path difference 0.54)
week: -0.44 (path difference 1.86)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.31 (path difference 0.43)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.21 (path difference 0.41)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.18 (path difference 1.03)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.16 (path difference 0.10)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.16 (path difference 0.04)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.42)
away adjusted line yards: -0.04 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.02 (path difference 2.36)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted success: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 70.61 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 25545c3c19a94c1b83a5b90bce9c2de726a29faf4c21dd618f86fb409d865ef2 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 31a2449297ef19044363673614fb7c902d55a8a6b9a95cc46fd19d4b80155843 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

App State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jaquari Lewis CFBD athlete 5156152 Week 6 vs Old Dominion: 10 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.124 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 12 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.869 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 13 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 23.1% success · 0.198 raw PPA.	35	5.7	0	33.7%	82 / 5.1
Henry Hasselbeck CFBD athlete 5146664 Week 6 vs Old Dominion: 5 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.945 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 21 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 61.9% success · 0.287 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 7 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.113 raw PPA.	33	5.1	2	31.7%	43 / 5.7
Ja'Quez Cross CFBD athlete 4700811 Week 6 vs Old Dominion: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.309 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.109 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.535 raw PPA.	14	3.3	0	13.5%	32 / 4.7
Malachi Singleton CFBD athlete 4870999 Week 6 vs Old Dominion: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.394 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 3 attempts · -6.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -5.627 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 5 attempts · -0.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.289 raw PPA.	12	-0.8	5	11.5%	41 / 0.2
J'Marion Burnette CFBD athlete 5079360 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 6 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.208 raw PPA.	6	3.5	0	5.8%	6 / 3.5

Georgia Southern

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 81 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Tyrese Woodgett CFBD athlete 5390044 Week 5 vs Coastal Carolina: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.291 raw PPA. Week 6 vs James Madison: 11 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.046 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 14 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.110 raw PPA.	27	5.3	0	33.3%	27 / 5.3
Weston Bryan CFBD athlete 5212641 Week 5 vs Coastal Carolina: 8 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.475 raw PPA. Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.720 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 7 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.168 raw PPA.	17	5.6	1	21.0%	34 / 4.7
Terrance Gibbs CFBD athlete 4685348 Week 6 vs James Madison: 4 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.339 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 6 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.786 raw PPA.	10	6.5	0	12.3%	15 / 5.6
David Mbadinga CFBD athlete 5151112 Week 5 vs Coastal Carolina: 8 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.340 raw PPA. Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.267 raw PPA.	10	6.1	0	12.3%	39 / 6.0
Taeo Todd CFBD athlete 5155780 Week 5 vs Coastal Carolina: 4 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.389 raw PPA. Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.150 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.292 raw PPA.	7	2.9	0	8.6%	21 / 3.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Georgia SouthernOffense	App StateDefense	App StateOffense	Georgia SouthernDefense
PPA/play	+0.14 51st	+0.06 53rd	+0.16 57th	+0.05 59th
Success rate	43.6% 55th	41.2% 46th	43.7% 57th	38.1% 71st
Explosiveness	1.18 27th	1.15 81st	1.25 56th	1.13 83rd
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 42nd	+0.04 50th	+0.09 50th	+0.05 42nd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.29 61st	+0.13 66th	+0.29 60th	+0.04 84th
Havoc allowed / created	15.6% 39th	16.8% 65th	14.8% 46th	17.9% 77th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:29 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:29 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Blake Ford · Georgia Southern · PAAR -5.74 · 3 attempts
James London · App State · PAAR 5.66 · 14 attempts
Tripp Bryant · Georgia Southern · PAAR 0.45 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Georgia Southern spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -5.5

First locally observed: -5.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence