Week 10 · 2026

UL Monroe at Arkansas State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

UL Monroe

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Aidan Armenta QB 3 games	37.2% 32 / 86 plays	40.0% 6 / 15 plays
Austin Carlisle QB 3 games	20.0% 3 / 15 plays	25.0% 2 / 8 plays
Donald Chaney Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.6% 10 / 19 plays
Zachary Palmer-Smith RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.4% 9 / 19 plays
CJ Phillip RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	36.4% 4 / 11 plays
Derrick Jameson RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	28.6% 2 / 7 plays
JP Coulter WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Marcellus Jackson WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Abram Murray · PK

CFBD athlete 5085351

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.600
kicking · PTS: 34
kicking · XPA: 17
kicking · XPM: 16

Aidan Armenta · QB

CFBD athlete 5122054

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 187
passing · COMPLETIONS: 114
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.610
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1316
passing · YPA: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 46
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 48
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Ameyr Adams · DB

CFBD athlete 5194796

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Armoni Rue · DB

CFBD athlete 5297103

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 24
interceptions · AVG: -1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -1

Austin Carlisle · QB

CFBD athlete 5207934

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 67
passing · COMPLETIONS: 42
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.627
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 360
passing · YPA: 5.4
rushing · CAR: 46
rushing · LONG: 27
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 252
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Billy Pullen · LB

CFBD athlete 5220218

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Brandon Buckhaulter · WR

CFBD athlete 4431516

kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 19
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 19
puntReturns · AVG: 2.0
puntReturns · LONG: 5
puntReturns · NO: 5
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 10
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 5.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Bryce Anderson · TE

CFBD athlete 5295371

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 179
receiving · YPR: 8.5

Bryson Roland · RB

CFBD athlete 5382856

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 20
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 150
rushing · YPC: 3.5

CJ Phillip · RB

CFBD athlete 5382854

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 56
receiving · YPR: 11.2
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 67
rushing · YPC: 2.7

CJ Wilson Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5082336

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Cade Callahan · TE

CFBD athlete 5225330

receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 44
receiving · YPR: 8.8

Carl Fauntroy Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 4912282

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 19
interceptions · AVG: 16.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 16

Chris Payne · S

CFBD athlete 5382848

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 30

Colton Vatne · DL

CFBD athlete 5091813

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

DJ Jester · S

CFBD athlete 5382843

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Darrion Gilliam · WR

CFBD athlete 5447033

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 46
receiving · YPR: 11.5

Demarcco Blanton · WR

CFBD athlete 5294510

kickReturns · AVG: 20.0
kickReturns · LONG: 24
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 40

Derek Omoregie · DE

CFBD athlete 5087666

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Derrick Jameson · RB

CFBD athlete 5220666

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 9.1
rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 32
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 145
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Donald Chaney Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 4685184

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 19
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 75
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Ethan Bailey · DL

CFBD athlete 5258043

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Fred Clark · LB

CFBD athlete 5236387

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gavin Howard · DB

CFBD athlete 5199848

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

JP Coulter · WR

CFBD athlete 5295735

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 191
receiving · YPR: 10.6
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 21
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Jabari Tiller · DB

CFBD athlete 5295736

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 29

Jaeden Calender · LB

CFBD athlete 5220244

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 16

Jaiden Tucker · WR

CFBD athlete 5274368

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 52
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 57
receiving · YPR: 28.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 18.0

James Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5091526

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 18

Jason Hoath Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5153517

receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0

Jay Harper · DB

CFBD athlete 5147172

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17
kickReturns · AVG: 16.5
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 33

Jayden Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 5327625

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Jonathan Crain · DB

CFBD athlete 5382858

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Kelbee Holmes · LB

CFBD athlete 5220221

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Kevontay Wells · DL

CFBD athlete 5220227

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 27

Korian Wilson · DB

CFBD athlete 5220216

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

LT Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5382841

receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 204
receiving · YPR: 13.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: -1.0

LaZavier Amos · LB

CFBD athlete 5382853

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Landon Graves · QB

CFBD athlete 5158127

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Larell Howling · S

CFBD athlete 5295751

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Le'Kell Mc'Gowan · LB

CFBD athlete 5168301

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Levontae Jacobs · DL

CFBD athlete 4713071

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Makenzie Ryan · P

CFBD athlete 5220241

punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 57
punting · NO: 47
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1960
punting · YPP: 41.7

Marcellus Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5382869

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 15
receiving · LONG: 83
receiving · REC: 33
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 348
receiving · YPR: 10.5
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Marcus Ross · LB

CFBD athlete 5218821

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 48

Marvin Hall · DE

CFBD athlete 5382873

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Moses Madubuike · DE

CFBD athlete 5382855

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14

Nic Trujillo · WR

CFBD athlete 5122072

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 1.3
puntReturns · LONG: 6
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 194
receiving · YPR: 12.9

Noah Flemmings · LB

CFBD athlete 5295734

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 72
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Nolan Wilson · LS

CFBD athlete 5089880

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Parker Fulghum · WR

CFBD athlete 5218754

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 220
receiving · YPR: 12.9

RJ Hall · DB

CFBD athlete 5382846

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Rickey Banks · LB

CFBD athlete 5382842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 21

TJ Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5382845

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 16

Taijh Overton · S

CFBD athlete 5222256

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 45

Trevon Kinchen · RB

CFBD athlete 5382857

rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 25
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Tyrell Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5447032

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Willie Wilson · DB

CFBD athlete 5162019

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zachary Palmer-Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5097058

receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 6.5
rushing · CAR: 34
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 156
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Zy Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5295738

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 30
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -2.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -2

Zyan Tremont · DL

CFBD athlete 5382870

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Arkansas State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Trey Owens QB 3 games	50.9% 55 / 108 plays	58.3% 14 / 24 plays
Solomon Baggett RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	28.6% 8 / 28 plays
Kenyon Clay RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	41.7% 10 / 24 plays
Timothy Carter RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	69.2% 9 / 13 plays
James Lee RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	75.0% 3 / 4 plays
Chauncy Cobb WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Ezell Jolly RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Jaylen Bonelli WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Thomas · DE

CFBD athlete 5032145

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

AG McGhee · S

CFBD athlete 4869550

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 43
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Braden Jackson · CB

CFBD athlete 5221052

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brandon Barnes · S

CFBD athlete 5221045

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Brandon Greil · S

CFBD athlete 5099611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Cameron Ambrose · OL

CFBD athlete 5091003

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chauncy Cobb · WR

CFBD athlete 5085496

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 32.8
kickReturns · LONG: 82
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 164
receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 35
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 382
receiving · YPR: 10.9
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 60
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Clayton Amaya · PK

CFBD athlete 5221055

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Clune Van Andel · PK

CFBD athlete 5125839

kicking · FGA: 13
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.692
kicking · PTS: 56
kicking · XPA: 29
kicking · XPM: 29

Courtney Patterson · CB

CFBD athlete 5166882

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dallas Boozer · WR

CFBD athlete 5291661

receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Daniel Demery · LB

CFBD athlete 4870697

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Danny Vuckovic · P

CFBD athlete 5151522

punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 73
punting · NO: 26
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1001
punting · YPP: 38.5

Donquarius Parker · DE

CFBD athlete 5083811

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Dontrae Henderson · CB

CFBD athlete 5148417

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 23
interceptions · AVG: 8.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 17

Drew Dickey · QB

CFBD athlete 4713649

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Elias Sherman · DT

CFBD athlete 5300797

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 33

Ezell Jolly · RB

CFBD athlete 5121571

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 20
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 110
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Ezra Burgess · TE

CFBD athlete 5221070

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 3.0

Five Hamilton · S

CFBD athlete 5221571

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 43
interceptions · AVG: 91.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 91

Gavin Taylor · DE

CFBD athlete 5094086

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Hunter Summers · WR

CFBD athlete 5121601

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 31
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 422
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Jabari Bush · TE

CFBD athlete 5221048

receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Jakohri Johnson · DT

CFBD athlete 5327624

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

James Lee · RB

CFBD athlete 5446579

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 36
receiving · YPR: 18.0
rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 141
rushing · YPC: 6.7

James Reed III · S

CFBD athlete 4869967

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jaylen Bonelli · WR

CFBD athlete 4870601

puntReturns · AVG: 11.0
puntReturns · LONG: 22
puntReturns · NO: 8
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 88
receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 31
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 452
receiving · YPR: 14.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Joe Drew · S

CFBD athlete 5294514

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 38
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 74

Joshua Burrell · TE

CFBD athlete 4432669

kickReturns · AVG: 7.0
kickReturns · LONG: 7
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 7
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 50
receiving · YPR: 8.3

Joshua Ofor · LB

CFBD athlete 5147187

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Kam Moore · LB

CFBD athlete 4812380

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 31

Kenyon Clay · RB

CFBD athlete 4888886

receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 124
receiving · YPR: 12.4
rushing · CAR: 52
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 221
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Keoni Denny · LB

CFBD athlete 5151044

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kyle Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5221050

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

Makai Shahid · S

CFBD athlete 5154884

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 34
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Malekhi Weedon · S

CFBD athlete 5217106

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Marquis Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5258449

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Mason Myers · OL

CFBD athlete 5078221

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Mckinley Mcshan · DE

CFBD athlete 5292278

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 6

Nazeviah Burris · WR

CFBD athlete 4877014

receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 164
receiving · YPR: 14.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Nicolas Kalume · DE

CFBD athlete 5083514

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Noah Flores · CB

CFBD athlete 5156937

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Reed Linder · WR

CFBD athlete 5161612

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 18.7
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 131

Robert Stevens · LB

CFBD athlete 5152671

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Rukevwe Eruwetaghware · S

CFBD athlete 5327486

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ryan Reese · DT

CFBD athlete 5258442

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Sam Hultz · DT

CFBD athlete 5379735

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Shakai Woods · DT

CFBD athlete 4871078

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 15

Shaun Williams · DE

CFBD athlete 5258450

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Solomon Baggett · RB

CFBD athlete 5327235

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 68
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 306
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Sultan Badmus · DE

CFBD athlete 5194315

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

TJ Grant · DE

CFBD athlete 5379731

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Timothy Carter · RB

CFBD athlete 5156215

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 23
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 49
rushing · YPC: 2.1

Tony Carter · DE

CFBD athlete 5209965

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 18

Trey Owens · QB

CFBD athlete 5123665

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 233
passing · COMPLETIONS: 159
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.682
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1940
passing · YPA: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 61
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 210
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Tyeland Coleman · DT

CFBD athlete 5294077

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tyler Little · TE

CFBD athlete 5122081

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 77
receiving · YPR: 12.8

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Arkansas State -14.5

DraftKings snapshot: Arkansas State -14.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Arkansas State by 15.86

1.36 points toward Arkansas State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Arkansas State.

Net EPA rating difference: +11.86
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 15.86 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 53d4ae0ca478b98619b7fdd75d3d22c62ae76f224e2af643623f6e285886ce89 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 67178eb2931d8071ee99dff275f94036ea4067a2232649e679354a0d1cc6201a · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Arkansas State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-14.5	-14.5
Model spread	-15.86	-15.86
Model gap	+1.36	+1.36

Negative spreads favor Arkansas State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 53d4ae0ca478b98619b7fdd75d3d22c62ae76f224e2af643623f6e285886ce89. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +1.4 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Arkansas State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 84%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Arkansas State -14.5
Stacked ensemble: 79%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Arkansas State.

away elo: +22.84 (path difference 12.91)
away adjusted epa: +9.51 (path difference 4.79)
home elo: -9.23 (path difference 0.64)
home adjusted success allowed: -5.12 (path difference 1.13)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.54 (path difference 0.13)
home adjusted success: +4.28 (path difference 3.92)
away adjusted success allowed: +4.22 (path difference 2.47)
away adjusted rushing epa: -3.87 (path difference 0.66)
away adjusted passing down success: -3.71 (path difference 1.60)
away adjusted epa allowed: +3.61 (path difference 1.57)
away adjusted second level yards: +2.62 (path difference 0.61)
away adjusted success: +2.51 (path difference 2.04)
home adjusted epa: +2.32 (path difference 1.94)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.17 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted passing down success: +2.11 (path difference 0.92)
away talent: +2.05 (path difference 1.49)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.04 (path difference 1.12)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.98 (path difference 1.65)
home adjusted line yards: -1.82 (path difference 1.33)
home talent: +1.77 (path difference 0.66)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.72 (path difference 0.92)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.67 (path difference 0.76)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.60 (path difference 0.85)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.30 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.30 (path difference 0.82)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.22 (path difference 0.05)
week: -1.15 (path difference 0.38)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.15 (path difference 1.48)
home adjusted passing epa: +1.13 (path difference 0.31)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.06 (path difference 0.16)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.04 (path difference 0.58)
away adjusted passing epa: +1.03 (path difference 2.75)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.84 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.75 (path difference 0.67)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.73 (path difference 0.66)
away conference: +0.71 (path difference 1.03)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.69 (path difference 2.45)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.54 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted line yards: -0.53 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.51 (path difference 0.04)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.49 (path difference 1.10)
away adjusted explosiveness: -0.48 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.38 (path difference 0.43)
home conference: +0.31 (path difference 0.24)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.39)
home adjusted epa allowed: -0.24 (path difference 0.15)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.23 (path difference 0.11)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.21 (path difference 0.28)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.14 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.13 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.11 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.11 (path difference 0.16)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.25)

Reconciles to 78.85 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 8374d8466939db59f043136c1529b010a4392fa40c62cb45819a0e515d766523 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 3e4f489143b095542e20eb037af8ed757169e612244203c01f0c1f1e0fbf7827 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

UL Monroe

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 95 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Aidan Armenta CFBD athlete 5122054 Week 7 vs Louisiana Tech: 5 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 20.0% success · 0.437 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Troy: 3 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.246 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Southern Miss: 13 attempts · -0.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.472 raw PPA.	21	1.0	6	22.1%	42 / 0.9
Donald Chaney Jr. CFBD athlete 4685184 Week 7 vs Louisiana Tech: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.169 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Troy: 5 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.022 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Southern Miss: 10 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.239 raw PPA.	19	3.9	0	20.0%	19 / 3.9
Zachary Palmer-Smith CFBD athlete 5097058 Week 7 vs Louisiana Tech: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.302 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Troy: 10 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.011 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Southern Miss: 8 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.050 raw PPA.	19	3.9	0	20.0%	32 / 3.5
CJ Phillip CFBD athlete 5382854 Week 7 vs Louisiana Tech: 4 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.562 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Troy: 5 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.277 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Southern Miss: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.012 raw PPA.	11	2.5	0	11.6%	25 / 3.0
Austin Carlisle CFBD athlete 5207934 Week 7 vs Louisiana Tech: 3 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.707 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Troy: 4 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.120 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Southern Miss: 2 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.464 raw PPA.	9	3.7	1	9.5%	44 / 5.3

Arkansas State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 108 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Trey Owens CFBD athlete 5123665 Week 6 vs South Alabama: 10 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.073 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Southern Miss: 15 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.033 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Georgia State: 8 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.297 raw PPA.	33	2.3	9	30.6%	59 / 3.3
Solomon Baggett CFBD athlete 5327235 Week 6 vs South Alabama: 4 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.358 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Southern Miss: 17 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 23.5% success · -0.098 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Georgia State: 7 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.285 raw PPA.	28	4.2	0	25.9%	70 / 4.7
Kenyon Clay CFBD athlete 4888886 Week 6 vs South Alabama: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 75.0% success · -0.044 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Southern Miss: 9 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 11.1% success · 0.002 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Georgia State: 11 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.143 raw PPA.	24	4.5	0	22.2%	50 / 4.1
Timothy Carter CFBD athlete 5156215 Week 6 vs South Alabama: 4 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.640 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Southern Miss: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.133 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Georgia State: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.607 raw PPA.	13	2.2	0	12.0%	23 / 2.1
James Lee CFBD athlete 5446579 Week 7 vs Southern Miss: 2 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.437 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Georgia State: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.086 raw PPA.	4	4.5	0	3.7%	21 / 6.7

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Arkansas StateOffense	UL MonroeDefense	UL MonroeOffense	Arkansas StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.18 66th	+0.22 10th	-0.04 4th	+0.15 20th
Success rate	47.6% 84th	44.5% 17th	40.4% 29th	45.1% 11th
Explosiveness	1.15 18th	1.23 49th	1.10 6th	1.23 48th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.17 77th	+0.17 9th	-0.05 10th	+0.20 5th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.21 40th	+0.35 12th	-0.03 3rd	+0.05 82nd
Havoc allowed / created	14.4% 56th	12.4% 11th	18.3% 8th	11.9% 7th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:13 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:13 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Abram Murray · UL Monroe · PAAR -3.67 · 10 attempts
Clune Van Andel · Arkansas State · PAAR -3.54 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Arkansas State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -14.5 · Snapshot spread: -14.5

First locally observed: -14.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence