Week 10 · 2026

Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Old Dominion

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jaxon Potter QB 2 games	33.0% 29 / 88 plays	75.0% 3 / 4 plays
Devin Roche RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	17.2% 5 / 29 plays
Ryan Huff QB 1 games	25.0% 4 / 16 plays	0.0% 0 / 3 plays
Quinn Henicle QB 1 games	50.0% 6 / 12 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Maurki James RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.2% 6 / 13 plays
Trey Hall RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	30.8% 4 / 13 plays
Ja'Varien Salter RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Ashworth · LB

CFBD athlete 5231045

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ahmaad Foster · DL

CFBD athlete 5157802

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 23

Andrew Nelms · PK

CFBD athlete 5218910

kicking · FGA: 2
kicking · FGM: 1
kicking · LONG: 21
kicking · PCT: 0.500
kicking · PTS: 5
kicking · XPA: 2
kicking · XPM: 2

Asher Horn · S

CFBD athlete 5394553

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20

BJ Bedgood · WR

CFBD athlete 5210044

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

BJ Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 5394558

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Brandon Crutchfield · CB

CFBD athlete 5193330

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 35
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 17.3
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 52

Bucci Farmer · DL

CFBD athlete 5147725

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Chris Forbes · DL

CFBD athlete 5148877

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Chris Warren · TE

CFBD athlete 5295939

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 1.7

DJ Thompson · DL

CFBD athlete 5394565

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Daevon Iles · S

CFBD athlete 5193174

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Daniel Pickens · S

CFBD athlete 5394554

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 3
receiving · YPR: 3.0

De'Veion McLilley-Bulo · LB

CFBD athlete 5394555

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 6

Deandre Lynch · DL

CFBD athlete 5125798

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 38

Devin Roche · RB

CFBD athlete 4922993

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 10.0
kickReturns · LONG: 10
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 10
puntReturns · AVG: 12.9
puntReturns · LONG: 78
puntReturns · NO: 14
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 180
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 105
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 109
rushing · LONG: 41
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 401
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Dirrick Goodman · LB

CFBD athlete 5194801

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

Greg Johnson II · S

CFBD athlete 5158352

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Hunter Malecki · DL

CFBD athlete 5222705

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 21

Ian Brandt · P

CFBD athlete 5159969

punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 67
punting · NO: 45
punting · TB: 5
punting · YDS: 1888
punting · YPP: 42.0

JJ Harrell · WR

CFBD athlete 5127805

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Ja'Varien Salter · RB

CFBD athlete 5394557

rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 47
rushing · YPC: 4.7

JaMez Drummer · LB

CFBD athlete 5151973

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 53
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 16.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 16

Jackson Forrest · LB

CFBD athlete 5258047

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.5
defensive · TOT: 64
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Javen Gibson · DL

CFBD athlete 5295936

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 9.5
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 20.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 20

Jaxon Potter · QB

CFBD athlete 5091836

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 83
passing · COMPLETIONS: 43
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.518
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 495
passing · YPA: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 17
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -28
rushing · YPC: -1.6

Je'Hahj Sherrill · CB

CFBD athlete 5258365

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 21.5
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 86

Jeremiah Deese · LB

CFBD athlete 5310762

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jorian Haynes · CB

CFBD athlete 5295931

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Josh Rodriguez · WR

CFBD athlete 5295921

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 31.0
kickReturns · LONG: 31
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 31
receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 30
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 377
receiving · YPR: 12.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Justin Watts · CB

CFBD athlete 5295933

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Kendall Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5153408

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 284
receiving · YPR: 12.9

Koa Naotala · LB

CFBD athlete 5092324

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 49

Kollin Collier · S

CFBD athlete 5295924

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Ledarrion Menter · DL

CFBD athlete 5222708

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Leon Haughton Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 4832875

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 214
receiving · YPR: 11.3

Lonnie Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 5078274

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Lorenzo McFadden-Pressley · DL

CFBD athlete 5175693

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Lucas Struck · S

CFBD athlete 5295929

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 69

Malachi Harris · DL

CFBD athlete 5303258

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 8

Mario Easterly · S

CFBD athlete 4879884

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 56
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Mario Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 5121762

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 10
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 59

Maurki James · RB

CFBD athlete 5193349

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 4.5
rushing · CAR: 33
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 103
rushing · YPC: 3.1

Mikhail Iakovlev · PK

CFBD athlete 5297797

punting · In 20: 2
punting · LONG: 55
punting · NO: 6
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 275
punting · YPP: 45.8

Montrell Chapman · LB

CFBD athlete 5294648

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Nate Hartmann · TE

CFBD athlete 5231051

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nathanial Eichner · PK

CFBD athlete 5089036

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 51
kicking · PCT: 0.636
kicking · PTS: 32
kicking · XPA: 11
kicking · XPM: 11

Quinn Henicle · QB

CFBD athlete 5193346

fumbles · FUM: 7
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 98
passing · COMPLETIONS: 54
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.551
passing · TD: 4
passing · YDS: 648
passing · YPA: 6.6
rushing · CAR: 87
rushing · LONG: 76
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 339
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Ryan Huff · QB

CFBD athlete 5295919

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 62
passing · COMPLETIONS: 32
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.516
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 394
passing · YPA: 6.4
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -59
rushing · YPC: -3.0

Ryan Ramey · S

CFBD athlete 5125802

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Shaq Leaks · CB

CFBD athlete 5327551

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

TJ Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5295923

fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
receiving · LONG: 71
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 307
receiving · YPR: 17.1

Talan Babin · LB

CFBD athlete 5271172

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Tavares Murray Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5216691

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Trey Hall · RB

CFBD athlete 5294446

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 20
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 106
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Will Phillips · S

CFBD athlete 5293332

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zialis Blackmon · WR

CFBD athlete 5291747

receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 61
receiving · YPR: 20.3

Zion Frink · CB

CFBD athlete 5122091

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 29
kickReturns · AVG: 18.5
kickReturns · LONG: 36
kickReturns · NO: 13
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 241

Coastal Carolina

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Deuce Bailey QB 3 games	42.7% 35 / 82 plays	38.1% 8 / 21 plays
Dominic Knicely RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.9% 21 / 54 plays
Jaden Allen-Hendrix RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.1% 8 / 21 plays
Robby Washington WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Breyahn Townsend RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Tre Guerra QB 1 games	100.0% 1 / 1 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Krosse Johnson WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahmad Poole · DT

CFBD athlete 5222870

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 25

Azarel Juste · DB

CFBD athlete 5226273

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Ben Verges · TE

CFBD athlete 5379841

receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 37
receiving · YPR: 9.3

Brandon Rose · S

CFBD athlete 5212695

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 37

Braxton Starnes · LB

CFBD athlete 5296436

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Breyahn Townsend · RB

CFBD athlete 5295756

rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 39
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Cam Williams · DT

CFBD athlete 5233683

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chandavian Bradley · DE

CFBD athlete 4870633

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Chase Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 5193350

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Chris Henry · S

CFBD athlete 5147515

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Clayton Coppock · WR

CFBD athlete 5265446

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 350
receiving · YPR: 17.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Colton Hinton · WR

CFBD athlete 5153389

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 36.0
kickReturns · LONG: 51
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 72
receiving · LONG: 65
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 323
receiving · YPR: 20.2

Cyrus Ellison · TE

CFBD athlete 5095242

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 48
receiving · YPR: 12.0

DJ Wesolak · DT

CFBD athlete 4717697

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Daelen Alexander · RB

CFBD athlete 5103798

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Damill Bostic Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5226953

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Deuce Bailey · QB

CFBD athlete 5296439

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 236
passing · COMPLETIONS: 131
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.555
passing · TD: 19
passing · YDS: 1935
passing · YPA: 8.2
rushing · CAR: 79
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 232
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Dezmond Barnes · DT

CFBD athlete 5296455

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Dominic Knicely · RB

CFBD athlete 5203477

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 65
receiving · YPR: 6.5
rushing · CAR: 92
rushing · LONG: 70
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 484
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Don Quist · DB

CFBD athlete 5296440

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Donovan Grayson · DE

CFBD athlete 5161775

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 20

Dre Pinckney · S

CFBD athlete 4684977

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Gabe White · CB

CFBD athlete 5231155

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Gavin Carrick · LS

CFBD athlete 5295762

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Goldie Lawrence · WR

CFBD athlete 5150845

receiving · LONG: 62
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 22.2

Ibrahim Diawara · DE

CFBD athlete 5221086

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 5.0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Ja'Marion Wayne · CB

CFBD athlete 4685602

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 43
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaden Allen-Hendrix · RB

CFBD athlete 5193388

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 33.0
rushing · CAR: 33
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 129
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Jalen B. Lee · S

CFBD athlete 5085779

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 38
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jesse Powell II · DB

CFBD athlete 5086520

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 28

Jevon Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 5265325

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 35
receiving · YPR: 8.8
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 141
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Jordan Stevens · DE

CFBD athlete 5327681

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Jordan Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 4871038

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 33

Kaden Sapp · LB

CFBD athlete 5295761

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Karmello English · WR

CFBD athlete 4870699

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 6.5
puntReturns · LONG: 15
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 13
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 236
receiving · YPR: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Kente Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 5152669

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 21
rushing · YPC: 5.3

King White · CB

CFBD athlete 5379842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 1

Krosse Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5193351

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Leo Liptak · PK

CFBD athlete 5448324

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Marcellius Pulliam · LB

CFBD athlete 4918441

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 75

Mitch Weisenborn · LS

CFBD athlete 5296452

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 3
kicking · XPA: 3
kicking · XPM: 3

Mitchell Toney · DE

CFBD athlete 5154291

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 24

Myles Woods · DB

CFBD athlete 5146822

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Nathan Schuessler · WR

CFBD athlete 5157282

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Nico Cavanillas Alti · PK

CFBD athlete 5304544

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 58
kicking · PCT: 0.800
kicking · PTS: 46
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 22

Nolan Korzeniowski · DT

CFBD athlete 5085699

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Obinna Onwuka · DE

CFBD athlete 5139101

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Reggie Jean · DT

CFBD athlete 4836468

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Robby Washington · WR

CFBD athlete 4871022

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.3
kickReturns · LONG: 28
kickReturns · NO: 9
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 174
puntReturns · AVG: 21.3
puntReturns · LONG: 73
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 149
receiving · LONG: 71
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 304
receiving · YPR: 16.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 24
rushing · YPC: 4.8

Roland Podesta · P

CFBD athlete 5258479

punting · In 20: 14
punting · LONG: 53
punting · NO: 38
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 1546
punting · YPP: 40.7

Ryan Grayson · CB

CFBD athlete 5141486

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Se'Von McDowell · LB

CFBD athlete 5193658

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Travis Roman · CB

CFBD athlete 5161229

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 29
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Tray Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 4812334

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Tre Guerra · QB

CFBD athlete 5152029

passing · ATT: 4
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 11
passing · YPA: 2.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -5
rushing · YPC: -5.0

Trever Jackson · QB

CFBD athlete 5126470

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Tristian Gardner · WR

CFBD athlete 5296438

receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 262
receiving · YPR: 13.8

Wyatt Gedeon · LB

CFBD athlete 5077358

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Xzavier Booker · DT

CFBD athlete 5300001

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Zach Courtney · TE

CFBD athlete 4833356

receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 125
receiving · YPR: 20.8

Zeke Marshall · S

CFBD athlete 5379835

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Coastal Carolina -6.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Coastal Carolina by 11.54

5.04 points toward Coastal Carolina versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Coastal Carolina.

Net EPA rating difference: +7.54
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 11.54 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 7dd7d31e44849bfc407fb26a6e4e0dfc1e0cda18c911d76e240da13bcbc7524d · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 81aba59763d3be6cd8ef392603c4dfa2f4ce9c939ddbf1cb8debe3a5d64a12ba · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Coastal Carolina · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-6.5	-6.5
Model spread	-11.54	-11.54
Model gap	+5.04	+5.04

Negative spreads favor Coastal Carolina; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 7dd7d31e44849bfc407fb26a6e4e0dfc1e0cda18c911d76e240da13bcbc7524d. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Coastal Carolina -6.5

Model gap +5.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Coastal Carolina.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Coastal Carolina win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 67%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Coastal Carolina -6.5
Stacked ensemble: 72%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Coastal Carolina.

away elo: +19.46 (path difference 10.35)
away adjusted epa: +16.18 (path difference 3.72)
away adjusted success: +13.99 (path difference 3.16)
home elo: -11.39 (path difference 3.18)
away adjusted epa allowed: -6.59 (path difference 4.62)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.23 (path difference 4.87)
home adjusted epa: +5.18 (path difference 3.62)
away adjusted rushing epa: -4.62 (path difference 0.47)
away adjusted standard down success: -4.19 (path difference 3.47)
away adjusted passing down success: -3.89 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted second level yards: +3.34 (path difference 1.28)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.30 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted rushing epa: -3.10 (path difference 0.66)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.95 (path difference 1.92)
away adjusted line yards: +2.94 (path difference 1.00)
home adjusted success: -2.80 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted success allowed: -2.76 (path difference 0.89)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.60 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted second level yards: +2.42 (path difference 2.22)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.24 (path difference 0.62)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.09 (path difference 0.33)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.03 (path difference 0.59)
home adjusted passing epa: +2.03 (path difference 1.24)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.79 (path difference 0.26)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.76 (path difference 1.64)
away adjusted success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 1.34)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.67 (path difference 3.27)
week: -1.44 (path difference 0.20)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.42 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.41 (path difference 0.79)
home adjusted epa allowed: -1.37 (path difference 0.52)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.35 (path difference 0.65)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.23 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.23 (path difference 3.08)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.18 (path difference 0.48)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.14 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.12 (path difference 0.52)
home talent: +1.10 (path difference 0.72)
away talent: +1.01 (path difference 1.12)
away conference: +0.91 (path difference 0.64)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.89 (path difference 1.67)
home adjusted line yards: -0.89 (path difference 0.84)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.53 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.33 (path difference 0.79)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.24 (path difference 0.52)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.23 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.08)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.13 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.11 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.11 (path difference 0.83)
home adjusted standard down success: -0.05 (path difference 1.02)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.03 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.39)
home conference: -0.01 (path difference 0.88)

Reconciles to 71.77 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 0bd5f473bbaaad2aad1a2279e9cf1181e1ad15e4ff5d866f5f13c393dea2c0d2 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 8a0ff494c2c1dffb172094f321bfbe5a23ff17ed9f74cde0beeff53d42aeb7c0 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Old Dominion

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 81 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Devin Roche CFBD athlete 4922993 Week 7 vs Georgia Southern: 15 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.825 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Louisiana Tech: 8 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.507 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Marshall: 6 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.115 raw PPA.	29	1.6	0	35.8%	108 / 3.7
Jaxon Potter CFBD athlete 5091836 Week 8 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · -4.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.365 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Marshall: 7 attempts · -0.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.570 raw PPA.	14	-2.3	10	17.3%	16 / -1.8
Maurki James CFBD athlete 5193349 Week 7 vs Georgia Southern: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.248 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Louisiana Tech: 3 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.036 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Marshall: 7 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.574 raw PPA.	13	3.8	0	16.0%	33 / 2.9
Trey Hall CFBD athlete 5294446 Week 7 vs Georgia Southern: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.344 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Louisiana Tech: 3 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.644 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Marshall: 8 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.049 raw PPA.	13	3.5	0	16.0%	36 / 2.9
Quinn Henicle CFBD athlete 5193346 Week 7 vs Georgia Southern: 6 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.888 raw PPA.	6	2.7	2	7.4%	85 / 3.8

Coastal Carolina

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 105 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Dominic Knicely CFBD athlete 5203477 Week 6 vs Marshall: 24 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.311 raw PPA. Week 7 vs App State: 18 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.160 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia State: 12 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.150 raw PPA.	54	5.4	0	51.4%	91 / 5.3
Deuce Bailey CFBD athlete 5296439 Week 6 vs Marshall: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.145 raw PPA. Week 7 vs App State: 5 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.400 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia State: 10 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.056 raw PPA.	23	3.3	2	21.9%	73 / 3.3
Jaden Allen-Hendrix CFBD athlete 5193388 Week 6 vs Marshall: 8 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.199 raw PPA. Week 7 vs App State: 7 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.174 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia State: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.320 raw PPA.	21	3.0	0	20.0%	33 / 3.9
Robby Washington CFBD athlete 4871022 Week 6 vs Marshall: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.296 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia State: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.251 raw PPA.	3	4.0	0	2.9%	5 / 4.8
Breyahn Townsend CFBD athlete 5295756 Week 6 vs Marshall: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.600 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia State: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.170 raw PPA.	3	3.3	0	2.9%	11 / 3.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Coastal CarolinaOffense	Old DominionDefense	Old DominionOffense	Coastal CarolinaDefense
PPA/play	+0.13 51st	-0.00 79th	-0.18 0th	+0.13 30th
Success rate	40.7% 32nd	37.4% 79th	31.3% 0th	44.7% 15th
Explosiveness	1.32 82nd	1.14 83rd	1.24 50th	1.15 80th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.06 37th	-0.11 85th	-0.35 0th	+0.10 23rd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.27 58th	+0.21 42nd	+0.10 20th	+0.21 45th
Havoc allowed / created	18.7% 4th	16.8% 66th	26.3% 0th	14.6% 31st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:09 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:09 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Nathanial Eichner · Old Dominion · PAAR -2.19 · 11 attempts
Andrew Nelms · Old Dominion · PAAR 0.19 · 1 attempts
Nico Cavanillas Alti · Coastal Carolina · PAAR 6.87 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Coastal Carolina spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence