Record
2-7 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
SP+ workbook recordOld Dominion
2026 season
Sun Belt
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Old Dominion's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 125 across 8 systems; best 123, worst 133, so they disagree by 10 places.
- Lab EPA
- #125
- Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #129
- down 42026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #125
- down 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #124
- up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #127
- down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #123
- up 1 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #133
- down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #124
- up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #129 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #110 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #114 of 138
- Game control
- #135 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #130 of 138
- Offense
- #137 of 138
- Defense
- #55 of 138
- Special teams
- #136 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Old Dominion · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.156 net EPA/play
#125
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-11.67 points
#129 · Down 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 9 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -12.20 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -3.42, schedule #79 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -1.16. That is worth -15.62 on its own; the preseason prior of +3.62 still carries 21% of the weight, giving -11.67.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Old Dominion · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Norfolk State home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401867973 | +21.00 → +21.00 | -2.50 | 0.7349 | 7.53% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 1.394 | -1.884 | -0.490 |
| Week 2 · Virginia Tech away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401858221 | -23.00 → -23.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 7.83% | +2.07 | -1.605 | 0.162 | -1.443 |
| Week 3 · East Carolina home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401862710 | -3.00 → -3.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.14% | -1.32 | -0.448 | -0.107 | -0.555 |
| Week 4 · James Madison home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401869961 | -26.00 → -26.00 | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 8.46% | +7.45 | -2.410 | 0.630 | -1.780 |
| Week 5 · Georgia State away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401869956 | -32.00 → -32.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 8.79% | -4.15 | -2.593 | -0.365 | -2.958 |
| Week 6 · App State away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401869843 | +7.00 → +7.00 | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 9.13% | -5.00 | 0.868 | -0.457 | 0.411 |
| Week 7 · Georgia Southern home · 2026-10-15 · ID 401869950 | -8.00 → -8.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 9.49% | -0.48 | -0.997 | -0.045 | -1.042 |
| Week 8 · Louisiana Tech away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401871093 | -26.00 → -26.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 9.87% | +2.33 | -2.318 | 0.230 | -2.088 |
| Week 9 · Marshall home · 2026-10-31 · ID 401871096 | -13.00 → -13.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 10.25% | -8.58 | -1.589 | -0.879 | -2.468 |
Game terms -12.41 points; prior term +0.74 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -11.67 points. The preseason prior is +3.62 with 20.51% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.4 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 9 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-15.3 SP+ points
#125 · Down 1 place
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-14.25 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#123 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -22.26 on 439 plays; defense -8.01 on 500 plays.
2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Old Dominion 4 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 2-7 · conf 1-5 · home 1-4 · away 1-3 · expected wins 2.5
- Polls (Week 10)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 1-8 ATS (-10.1 avg) · 2025: 8-5 ATS (+4.9 avg)
- Head coach
- Ricky Rahne · hired 2019-12-07 · 21-17 over 4 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #125 (119 pts) · 2025 #102 (144 pts) · 2026 #96 (179 pts)
- Returning
- 9% of production · 31% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing -2% 13% Receiving 18% 13% Rushing 10% 53% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 14 | 2.86 | 0.8299 | 11.62 |
| Defensive Line | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8298 | 7.47 |
| Linebacker | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8267 | 4.13 |
| Offensive Line | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8224 | 7.40 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8345 | 3.34 |
| Receiver | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8386 | 7.55 |
| Running Back | 1 | 3.00 | 0.8337 | 0.83 |
| Special Teams | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8526 | 3.41 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinn Henicle · QBCFBD athlete 5193346. Old Dominion (2024–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.071 | 97 | 48.3% | Pass 77.9% · Rush 31.4%1st 35.7% · 2nd 55.0% · 3rd 61.4% Standard downs 37.0% · Passing downs 67.9% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8189 |
Devin Roche · RBCFBD athlete 4922993. Old Dominion (2023–2026) | Rushing WEPA | -0.054 | 94 | 21.4% | Pass 6.2% · Rush 36.9%1st 29.3% · 2nd 20.7% · 3rd 9.5% Standard downs 28.5% · Passing downs 10.0% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8337 |
Jaxon Potter · QBCFBD athlete 5091836. Washington State (2023–2025); Old Dominion (2026–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.049 | 85 | 50.8% | Pass 77.1% · Rush 9.6%1st 46.8% · 2nd 47.8% · 3rd 59.1% Standard downs 44.2% · Passing downs 59.8% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8494 |
Ryan Huff · QBCFBD athlete 5295919. Old Dominion (2025–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.106 | 75 | 33.2% | Pass 60.2% · Rush 6.7%1st 29.5% · 2nd 30.6% · 3rd 40.4% Standard downs 26.4% · Passing downs 43.4% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8386 |
Quinn Henicle · QBCFBD athlete 5193346. Old Dominion (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.221 | 64 | 48.3% | Pass 77.9% · Rush 31.4%1st 35.7% · 2nd 55.0% · 3rd 61.4% Standard downs 37.0% · Passing downs 67.9% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8189 |
Maurki James · RBCFBD athlete 5193349. Old Dominion (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.212 | 37 | 8.3% | Pass 2.5% · Rush 14.9%1st 9.5% · 2nd 7.3% · 3rd 8.6% Standard downs 11.3% · Passing downs 3.8% | 2024: stars unavailable |
Nathanial Eichner · PKCFBD athlete 5089036. Old Dominion (2023–2026); Alabama State (2022–2022) | Kicker PAAR | -2.190 | 11 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Andrew Nelms · PKCFBD athlete 5218910. Georgia Tech (2024–2024); Old Dominion (2026–2026); Florida Atlantic (2025–2025) | Kicker PAAR | 0.190 | 1 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
BJ Bedgood · WRCFBD athlete 5210044. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.3% | Pass 3.7% · Rush 1.0%1st 2.3% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 2.6% | Not linked |
Chris Warren · TECFBD athlete 5295939. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.3% | Pass 4.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.4% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 2.7% | Not linked |
JJ Harrell · WRCFBD athlete 5127805. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.3% | Pass 11.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.2% · 2nd 6.0% · 3rd 1.5% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Ja'Varien Salter · RBCFBD athlete 5394557. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.2% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 12.2%1st 8.5% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 7.6% · Passing downs 3.5% | Not linked |
Josh Rodriguez · WRCFBD athlete 5295921. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.0% | Pass 18.5% · Rush 0.3%1st 6.3% · 2nd 11.6% · 3rd 11.1% Standard downs 5.6% · Passing downs 14.5% | Not linked |
Kendall Harris · WRCFBD athlete 5153408. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.5% | Pass 16.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 7.6% · 2nd 9.5% · 3rd 8.5% Standard downs 8.3% · Passing downs 8.7% | Not linked |
Leon Haughton Jr. · TECFBD athlete 4832875. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.0% | Pass 10.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.9% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 8.7% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 7.7% | Not linked |
Lonnie Johnson · TECFBD athlete 5078274. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.5% | Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.1% · Passing downs 1.9% | Not linked |
TJ Johnson · WRCFBD athlete 5295923. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.6% | Pass 13.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.4% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 8.7% Standard downs 4.8% · Passing downs 9.5% | Not linked |
Trey Hall · RBCFBD athlete 5294446. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.3% | Pass 2.2% · Rush 12.5%1st 10.0% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 4.8% Standard downs 9.3% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Zialis Blackmon · WRCFBD athlete 5291747. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.3% | Pass 6.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.8% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.3% · Passing downs 6.0% | Not linked |
Zion Agnew · WRCFBD athlete 5078003. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.8% | Pass 2.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 15 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nelms · K | Florida Atlantic | 2026-01-13 | — / — | Immediate |
| Brayden Walker · IOL | Elon | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Bubba Craig · IOL | Arkansas | 2026-02-04 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Bucci Farmer · DL | App State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Hunter Patterson · RB | West Liberty | 2025-12-20 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jaxon Potter · QB | Washington State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jivan Baly · CB | NC State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Khi'len Gates · IOL | Lincoln (MO) | 2025-12-01 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Leon Haughton Jr. · TE | Maryland | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Maarten Woudsma · IOL | Old Dominion | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Martez Curry · OT | Lincoln (MO) | 2025-12-02 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Montrell Chapman · LB | Mississippi State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Raykwon Goldthwaite · OT | North Alabama | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Trey Hall · RB | Ole Miss | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Zion Agnew · WR | Lenoir Rhyne | 2025-11-19 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 22 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Floyd · S | Not reported | 2025-12-20 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Chris Spencer · DL | UAB | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Colton Joseph · QB | Wisconsin | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Dawson Johnson · TE | Tulane | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ja'Cory Thomas · WR | Vanderbilt | 2026-01-12 | 4★ / 0.9000 | Immediate |
| Jackson Forrest · LB | Not reported | 2026-02-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Withdrawn |
| Jahleel Culbreath · LB | UCF | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jailen Butler · TE | Kansas | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Jerome Carter III · S | Clemson | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jordan Saunders · CB | Not reported | 2025-12-19 | — / — | Immediate |
| Joshua Schuetzmann · OT | Rhode Island | 2026-01-29 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Keshawn Thomas · LB | App State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Maarten Woudsma · IOL | Old Dominion | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Marco Tyson · S | Stephen F. Austin | 2026-02-02 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding · WR | Maryland | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Skyler Grant · IOL | Memphis | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| TJ Lott · WR | Troy | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Theo Bachelder · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Tre' Brown III · WR | LSU | 2026-01-07 | 4★ / 0.9000 | Immediate |
| Trequan Jones · RB | Tulsa | 2026-01-26 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Zach Hobson · CB | Akron | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Zion Frink · CB | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Withdrawn |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Old Dominion. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Ricky Rahne · career 30–33 across 7 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 2 appointments
2020–present · Ricky Rahne · active at capture
30–33 · 63 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 2019-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2014–2019 · Bobby Wilder
31–42 · 73 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2007-02-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Ricky Rahne · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -11.2 | -17.7 | 96 | — |
| 2025 · Ricky Rahne | 10–3 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 102 | — |
| 2024 · Ricky Rahne | 5–7 | 4–4 | 0–0 | -6 | -1.6 | 125 | — |
| 2023 · Ricky Rahne | 6–7 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -10.1 | -8.7 | 122 | — |
| 2022 · Ricky Rahne | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -13 | -9.6 | 106 | — |
| 2021 · Ricky Rahne | 6–7 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -7.4 | -9.2 | 100 | — |
| 2020 · Ricky Rahne | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | -15.9 | — | 94 | — |
| 2019 · Bobby Wilder | 1–11 | 0–8 | 0–0 | -24.4 | -19.8 | 116 | — |
| 2018 · Bobby Wilder | 4–8 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -14.1 | -18.9 | 128 | — |
| 2017 · Bobby Wilder | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -16.8 | -20.6 | 124 | — |
| 2016 · Bobby Wilder | 10–3 | 7–1 | 1–0 | -0.7 | -4.2 | 120 | — |
| 2015 · Bobby Wilder | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -14.8 | -21.6 | 110 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:09:59 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 30 / 138 | 78.8 |
| Success rate | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 30 / 138 | 78.8 |
| Explosiveness | 70 / 138 | 49.6 | 24 / 138 | 83.2 |
| Standard-down success | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 24 / 138 | 83.2 |
| Passing-down success | 94 / 138 | 32.1 | 66 / 138 | 52.6 |
| Pass PPA | 137 / 138 | 0.7 | 58 / 138 | 58.4 |
| Rush PPA | 136 / 138 | 1.5 | 23 / 138 | 83.9 |
| Pass explosiveness | 52 / 138 | 62.8 | 95 / 138 | 31.4 |
| Rush explosiveness | 88 / 138 | 36.5 | 20 / 138 | 86.1 |
| Line yards | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Second-level yards | 106 / 138 | 23.4 | 40 / 138 | 71.5 |
| Open-field yards | 85 / 138 | 38.7 | 37 / 138 | 73.7 |
| Stuff rate | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 43 / 138 | 69.3 |
| Power success | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | T31 / 138 | 77.7 |
| Havoc | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | T47 / 138 | 65.7 |
| Front-seven havoc | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 18 / 138 | 87.6 |
| DB havoc | T122 / 138 | 9.9 | T128 / 138 | 6.6 |
| Points / opportunity | 136 / 138 | 1.5 | 65 / 138 | 53.3 |
| Average field position | 125 / 138 | 9.5 | 138 / 138 | 0.0 |
| Field-position expected points | 123 / 138 | 10.9 | 138 / 138 | 0.0 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Jaxon Potter · QBUsage 50.8% · Avg PPA -0.220 · Total -21.829
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.220 | -21.829 | 50.8% |
| Pass | -0.181 | -16.483 | 77.1% |
| Rush | -0.434 | -3.039 | 9.6% |
| 1st down | -0.314 | -11.602 | 46.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.093 | -2.968 | 47.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.292 | 7.605 | 59.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.368 | -18.422 | 44.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.070 | -3.407 | 59.8% |
Quinn Henicle · QBUsage 48.3% · Avg PPA 0.045 · Total 8.159
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.045 | 8.159 | 48.3% |
| Pass | -0.090 | -9.816 | 77.9% |
| Rush | 0.293 | 20.775 | 31.4% |
| 1st down | -0.292 | -16.373 | 35.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.110 | 7.795 | 55.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.418 | 21.312 | 61.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.176 | -15.446 | 37.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.254 | 23.605 | 67.9% |
Ryan Huff · QBUsage 33.2% · Avg PPA -0.264 · Total -21.621
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.264 | -21.621 | 33.2% |
| Pass | -0.220 | -16.314 | 60.2% |
| Rush | -0.663 | -5.308 | 6.7% |
| 1st down | -0.345 | -10.685 | 29.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.188 | 4.887 | 30.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.273 | -5.732 | 40.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.495 | -19.316 | 26.4% |
| Passing downs | -0.054 | -2.305 | 43.4% |
Devin Roche · RBUsage 21.4% · Avg PPA -0.164 · Total -20.224
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.164 | -20.224 | 21.4% |
| Pass | 0.371 | 6.308 | 6.2% |
| Rush | -0.250 | -26.533 | 36.9% |
| 1st down | -0.297 | -20.769 | 29.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.143 | -5.875 | 20.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.535 | 6.420 | 9.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.295 | -29.770 | 28.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.434 | 9.546 | 10.0% |
Josh Rodriguez · WRUsage 9.0% · Avg PPA 0.242 · Total 12.596
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.242 | 12.596 | 9.0% |
| Pass | 0.257 | 13.094 | 18.5% |
| Rush | -0.498 | -0.498 | 0.3% |
| 1st down | 0.297 | 4.453 | 6.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.308 | 7.094 | 11.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.075 | 1.049 | 11.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.224 | 4.487 | 5.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.253 | 8.110 | 14.5% |
Kendall Harris · WRUsage 8.5% · Avg PPA 0.191 · Total 8.420
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.191 | 8.420 | 8.5% |
| Pass | 0.191 | 8.420 | 16.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.308 | -4.932 | 7.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.512 | 8.711 | 9.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.876 | 8.761 | 8.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.126 | -3.286 | 8.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.650 | 11.706 | 8.7% |
Maurki James · RBUsage 8.3% · Avg PPA 0.000 · Total 0.010
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.000 | 0.010 | 8.3% |
| Pass | -0.292 | -1.751 | 2.5% |
| Rush | 0.053 | 1.761 | 14.9% |
| 1st down | -0.309 | -5.569 | 9.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.014 | -0.169 | 7.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.639 | 5.748 | 8.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.011 | -0.368 | 11.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.054 | 0.378 | 3.8% |
Trey Hall · RBUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA -0.330 · Total -13.877
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.330 | -13.877 | 7.3% |
| Pass | -0.077 | -0.464 | 2.2% |
| Rush | -0.373 | -13.413 | 12.5% |
| 1st down | -0.253 | -6.061 | 10.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.467 | -5.599 | 6.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.370 | -2.217 | 4.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.199 | -6.569 | 9.3% |
| Passing downs | -0.812 | -7.308 | 4.1% |
TJ Johnson · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.096 · Total 3.639
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.096 | 3.639 | 6.6% |
| Pass | 0.096 | 3.639 | 13.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.155 | 2.016 | 5.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.593 | 6.519 | 5.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.627 | 6.901 | 8.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.300 | -5.092 | 4.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.416 | 8.731 | 9.5% |
Ja'Varien Salter · RBUsage 6.2% · Avg PPA 0.173 · Total 1.730
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.173 | 1.730 | 6.2% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.173 | 1.730 | 12.2% |
| 1st down | -0.421 | -2.529 | 8.5% |
| 2nd down | 1.065 | 4.259 | 7.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.165 | -1.318 | 7.6% |
| Passing downs | 1.524 | 3.048 | 3.5% |
JJ Harrell · WRUsage 5.3% · Avg PPA -0.120 · Total -1.918
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.120 | -1.918 | 5.3% |
| Pass | -0.120 | -1.918 | 11.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.106 | 0.845 | 6.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.128 | -0.766 | 6.0% |
| 3rd down | 2.017 | 2.017 | 1.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.280 | -3.076 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.232 | 1.158 | 4.1% |
Leon Haughton Jr. · TEUsage 5.0% · Avg PPA 0.387 · Total 11.237
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.387 | 11.237 | 5.0% |
| Pass | 0.387 | 11.237 | 10.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.195 | 1.363 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.279 | 2.508 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.738 | 8.122 | 8.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.364 | 4.368 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.404 | 6.869 | 7.7% |
Zialis Blackmon · WRUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.286 · Total 2.575
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.286 | 2.575 | 3.3% |
| Pass | 0.286 | 2.575 | 6.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.758 | 1.517 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.151 | 1.059 | 7.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.758 | 1.517 | 1.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.151 | 1.059 | 6.0% |
Lonnie Johnson · TEUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA -0.498 · Total -1.493
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.498 | -1.493 | 2.5% |
| Pass | -0.498 | -1.493 | 4.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.936 | -1.872 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.379 | 0.379 | 2.6% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.936 | -1.872 | 3.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.379 | 0.379 | 1.9% |
BJ Bedgood · WRUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA -0.500 · Total -2.501
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.500 | -2.501 | 2.3% |
| Pass | -0.716 | -2.862 | 3.7% |
| Rush | 0.361 | 0.361 | 1.0% |
| 1st down | 0.645 | 1.289 | 2.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.441 | -0.882 | 2.6% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.183 | 0.548 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | -1.525 | -3.049 | 2.6% |
Chris Warren · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA -0.511 · Total -2.044
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.511 | -2.044 | 2.3% |
| Pass | -0.511 | -2.044 | 4.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.467 | -0.467 | 1.4% |
| 2nd down | -0.526 | -1.577 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.793 | -1.586 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | -0.229 | -0.458 | 2.7% |
Zion Agnew · WRUsage 1.8% · Avg PPA -0.105 · Total -0.105
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.105 | -0.105 | 1.8% |
| Pass | -0.105 | -0.105 | 2.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.105 | -0.105 | 5.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.105 | -0.105 | 4.8% |
2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | -0.178 | 0th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.313 | 0th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.235 | 50th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | -0.155 | 1st138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | -0.140 | 1st138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | -0.002 | 79th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.373 | 79th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.141 | 83rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.168 | 66th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-11-06. Offense: 99% of 246 attempts charted. Average depth of target 10.9 yards (92nd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 4.3 per completion. Completion 52.8%, 6.4 yards per attempt, pass PPA -0.00.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 52.2% | 59.1% | -7.0 | 230 / 246 |
| Defense allowed | 62.1% | 62.4% | -0.3 | 248 / 271 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Old Dominion.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 246 | 99% | 10.9 | 4.3 | 52.8% | -0.00 | -7.0 pp | 230 |
| Passing defense | 271 | 99% | 7.0 | 5.4 | 63.1% | 0.22 | -0.3 pp | 248 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 324 | 2.7 | 34.8% | -0.02 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 27.1% | 45.5% |
| Defense allowed | 372 | 3.5 | 38.4% | -0.03 | 2.90 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 17.7% | 62.9% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 318 / 324 | 309 | 15 | 42 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 272 / 273 · 99.6% |
| Defense allowed | 366 / 372 | 323 | 49 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 343 / 344 · 99.7% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -7.0 pp. 8 of 9 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Norfolk State | 13 | 0 | — | — | — | 11.7 | 0.27 | 42 | 4.3 | 0.14 |
| W2 | Virginia Tech | 21 | 21 | 61.9% | 60.2% | +1.7 pp | 10.0 | 0.47 | 31 | 3.7 | 0.29 |
| W3 | East Carolina | 20 | 20 | 40.0% | 61.6% | -21.6 pp | 10.1 | -0.57 | 44 | 4.2 | 0.07 |
| W4 | James Madison | 40 | 38 | 50.0% | 58.1% | -8.1 pp | 11.2 | 0.08 | 28 | -0.5 | -0.33 |
| W5 | Georgia State | 28 | 28 | 46.4% | 61.3% | -14.9 pp | 7.4 | -0.16 | 35 | 1.9 | -0.16 |
| W6 | App State | 20 | 20 | 50.0% | 54.8% | -4.8 pp | 14.0 | -0.31 | 61 | 3.4 | -0.02 |
| W7 | Georgia Southern | 24 | 24 | 62.5% | 58.9% | +3.5 pp | 11.2 | 0.34 | 32 | 1.9 | -0.36 |
| W8 | Louisiana Tech | 34 | 34 | 52.9% | 59.2% | -6.3 pp | 11.3 | -0.12 | 22 | -0.6 | -0.41 |
| W9 | Marshall | 46 | 45 | 53.3% | 59.0% | -5.7 pp | 11.7 | 0.03 | 29 | 2.9 | 0.38 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
52 punts · 41.8 gross yards/punt · 36.0 net yards/punt
6 inside the 20 · 5 touchbacks · 1 blocked
Known gross yards: 52/52 punts. Known net yards: 41/52 punts.
Our punt returns
11 returns · 15.7 yards/return · 1 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 11/11 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · Marshall | 5 | 40.8 | 36.5 | 4/5 |
| Week 8 · Louisiana Tech | 5 | 40.6 | 36.8 | 5/5 |
| Week 7 · Georgia Southern | 4 | 41.8 | 39.0 | 4/4 |
| Week 6 · App State | 7 | 37.1 | 29.6 | 5/7 |
| Week 5 · Georgia State | 9 | 44.8 | 39.3 | 3/9 |