Week 10 · 2026
Marshall at Georgia Southern
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Marshall
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Zion Turner QB 3 games | 37.8% 28 / 74 plays | 66.7% 8 / 12 plays |
| Judah Price RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 52.5% 21 / 40 plays |
| Khalil Wilkins QB 3 games | 33.3% 2 / 6 plays | 43.5% 10 / 23 plays |
| TJ Lester RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 7 / 14 plays |
| Joshon Barbie RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 41.7% 5 / 12 plays |
| Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 51 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adrian Norton · WR
CFBD athlete 5157331
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 16
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 41
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 22
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 237
- receiving · YPR
- 10.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Andre Parker · LB
CFBD athlete 5303252
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Anthony Quinn Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5222975
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 0
- receiving · YPR
- 0.0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -4
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Brandon Hettwer · TE
CFBD athlete 5295956
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 3.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 3
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 3
Brayden Hall · CB
CFBD athlete 5089262
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 38
Braydin Ward · DL
CFBD athlete 5163083
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 17
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 20
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Brysen Davies · LB
CFBD athlete 5308598
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Caleb Clark-Glover · DB
CFBD athlete 5077339
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 35
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 59
- interceptions · AVG
- 13.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 26
Cam Chmura · DL
CFBD athlete 5193337
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Cannon Lewis · LB
CFBD athlete 5110040
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 55
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson · QB
CFBD athlete 4432691
- fumbles · FUM
- 6
- fumbles · LOST
- 4
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 148
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 92
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.622
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1080
- passing · YPA
- 7.3
- rushing · CAR
- 70
- rushing · LONG
- 25
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 224
- rushing · YPC
- 3.2
Charles McCartherens · DB
CFBD athlete 5151374
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Chase Ortiz · LS
CFBD athlete 5304562
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Chason Clark · LB
CFBD athlete 5147142
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Chris Culliver · WR
CFBD athlete 4899472
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 36
- kickReturns · NO
- 11
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 215
- receiving · LONG
- 44
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 127
- receiving · YPR
- 12.7
Christian Hamilton · WR
CFBD athlete 4870739
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 7.6
Cole Funderburk · DL
CFBD athlete 5196575
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Cooper Heimbach · P
CFBD athlete 5296702
- punting · In 20
- 12
- punting · LONG
- 63
- punting · NO
- 36
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1639
- punting · YPP
- 45.5
Daytione Smith · S
CFBD athlete 4430746
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 48
- interceptions · AVG
- 13.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 13
De'Andre Tamarez · WR
CFBD athlete 5089545
- receiving · LONG
- 42
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 161
- receiving · YPR
- 16.1
Eddie Pleasant III · CB
CFBD athlete 5033015
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- interceptions · AVG
- 3.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 3
Jaasai Simmons · LB
CFBD athlete 5222707
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jacarius Clayton · DL
CFBD athlete 4685318
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Jalen Marshall · LB
CFBD athlete 5084528
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Jason Haggerty · CB
CFBD athlete 5151834
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Javae Gilmore · LB
CFBD athlete 4702750
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 41
Jorge Diaz Nicolas · PK
CFBD athlete 5294118
- kicking · FGA
- 18
- kicking · FGM
- 14
- kicking · LONG
- 54
- kicking · PCT
- 0.778
- kicking · PTS
- 62
- kicking · XPA
- 20
- kicking · XPM
- 20
Joshon Barbie · RB
CFBD athlete 5084210
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 18
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 54
- receiving · YPR
- 6.8
- rushing · CAR
- 56
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 252
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Joshua Pierre-Louis · DB
CFBD athlete 4431322
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Josiah McLaurin · WR
CFBD athlete 5147685
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 3.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 8
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 6
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 72
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Judah Price · RB
CFBD athlete 5161776
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 74
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 101
- receiving · YPR
- 9.2
- rushing · CAR
- 56
- rushing · LONG
- 50
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 319
- rushing · YPC
- 5.7
Kelvon Mcbride · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5075566
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 7
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Kendell Anderson · S
CFBD athlete 5227437
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kenyatta Hardge II · DL
CFBD athlete 5229438
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 8
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Keydel Painter · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5232389
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Khalil Wilkins · QB
CFBD athlete 5158251
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 35
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 36
- passing · ATT
- 14
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 7
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 122
- passing · YPA
- 8.7
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 88
- receiving · YPR
- 17.6
- rushing · CAR
- 41
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 256
- rushing · YPC
- 6.2
Mekhi Lockhart · DL
CFBD athlete 5218180
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Mikailin Warren · DL
CFBD athlete 5163082
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Nate Blanc · DT
CFBD athlete 5394434
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Owen Sweeney · WR
CFBD athlete 5225343
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 209
- receiving · YPR
- 11.6
Peter Schuh · S
CFBD athlete 5081929
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Philipp Davis · DB
CFBD athlete 5125762
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Renté Hinton · S
CFBD athlete 5151813
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 38
TJ Lester · RB
CFBD athlete 5300926
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 82
- receiving · YPR
- 16.4
- rushing · CAR
- 36
- rushing · LONG
- 49
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 209
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Tariq Montgomery · OL
CFBD athlete 4870138
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Toby Payne · TE
CFBD athlete 4869602
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 30
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 269
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Tristan Lester · S
CFBD athlete 5290597
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw · WR
CFBD athlete 5081172
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.6
- kickReturns · LONG
- 26
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 98
- receiving · LONG
- 69
- receiving · REC
- 26
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 372
- receiving · YPR
- 14.3
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 15
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Zah Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 5209175
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- interceptions · AVG
- 54.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 54
Zeke Gunn · S
CFBD athlete 5394429
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zion Turner · QB
CFBD athlete 4685697
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 92
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 58
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.630
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 608
- passing · YPA
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 26
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 36
- rushing · YPC
- 1.4
Georgia Southern
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Max Johnson QB 3 games | 50.0% 46 / 92 plays | 50.0% 3 / 6 plays |
| Tyrese Woodgett RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.5% 15 / 33 plays |
| Turner Helton QB 1 games | 51.7% 15 / 29 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Weston Bryan QB 3 games | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays | 46.7% 7 / 15 plays |
| Terrance Gibbs RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 80.0% 8 / 10 plays |
| Taeo Todd RB 3 games | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays | 42.9% 3 / 7 plays |
| David Mbadinga RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 7 plays |
| Taylor Bradshaw WR 2 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 65 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aaron Sears · DB
CFBD athlete 5091788
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 27
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 39
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Aidan McCowan · DB
CFBD athlete 5150264
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Alex Smith · P
CFBD athlete 4036672
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 48
- punting · NO
- 31
- punting · TB
- 3
- punting · YDS
- 1310
- punting · YPP
- 42.3
Alex Taylor · WR
CFBD athlete 5079736
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 34
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 435
- receiving · YPR
- 12.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Andre Greene Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 4685364
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 22
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 185
- receiving · YPR
- 8.4
Antavious Murphy · WR
CFBD athlete 5181735
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 6.6
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 5
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 33
Anthony Bynum · LB
CFBD athlete 5102931
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 5
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 10
- defensive · TOT
- 38
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Ashton Hollins · WR
CFBD athlete 4869962
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 57
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 202
- receiving · YPR
- 14.4
Blake Ford · PK
CFBD athlete 4833237
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kicking · FGA
- 3
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0.000
- kicking · PTS
- 0
- kicking · XPA
- 0
- kicking · XPM
- 0
Brandon Tyson · LB
CFBD athlete 5086528
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 41
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
CJ Allen · LB
CFBD athlete 5220640
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Caleb Moore · DL
CFBD athlete 5146884
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Cam'Ron King · WR
CFBD athlete 5219035
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Carlo Thompson · DB
CFBD athlete 5081203
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Chace Calicut · DB
CFBD athlete 5209398
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 23
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Chance Gamble · DB
CFBD athlete 4876754
- defensive · PD
- 8
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Colton Veltkamp · LB
CFBD athlete 5258309
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
David Mbadinga · RB
CFBD athlete 5151112
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 101
- receiving · YPR
- 9.2
- rushing · CAR
- 44
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 239
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Devin Collier · DB
CFBD athlete 5083705
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Diego Aviles · LB
CFBD athlete 5390042
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 31
Eli Anders · LB
CFBD athlete 5148358
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Elijah Fears · DL
CFBD athlete 5258304
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Ethan Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5258306
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Fabo Chaney · DB
CFBD athlete 5296457
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Festus Davies · LB
CFBD athlete 5224703
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Holden Trice · LB
CFBD athlete 5151113
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
JP Mikhael · TE
CFBD athlete 5119658
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
JQ Crosby · TE
CFBD athlete 5303242
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jacob Hammonds · LB
CFBD athlete 4880355
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jakyri Jones · DB
CFBD athlete 5301238
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jamari Whitehead · LB
CFBD athlete 5122101
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jamarian Samuel · RB
CFBD athlete 5151111
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 17
- receiving · YPR
- 3.4
- rushing · CAR
- 16
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 85
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Jaquari Brown · DB
CFBD athlete 5155863
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jayden Jackson · DB
CFBD athlete 5327280
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jaylen Bentley · DB
CFBD athlete 5176549
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jeremiah Ticket · DL
CFBD athlete 5221161
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jeremiah Ware · WR
CFBD athlete 5223093
- kickReturns · AVG
- 14.8
- kickReturns · LONG
- 39
- kickReturns · NO
- 8
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 118
- receiving · LONG
- 50
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 272
- receiving · YPR
- 15.1
Josh Dallas · WR
CFBD athlete 4838527
- puntReturns · AVG
- 4.4
- puntReturns · LONG
- 9
- puntReturns · NO
- 8
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 35
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 48
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 409
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 15
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Kam Mikell · WR
CFBD athlete 5079536
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 22
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 35
Kebba Secka · LB
CFBD athlete 5085349
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
King Phillips · WR
CFBD athlete 5390043
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
Korey Jordan · DL
CFBD athlete 5155868
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kru Casey · LB
CFBD athlete 5271222
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Latrell Bullard · DL
CFBD athlete 4917450
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
MJ Stroud · LB
CFBD athlete 4838553
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Matthew Williams · OL
CFBD athlete 5122093
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Max Johnson · QB
CFBD athlete 4685740
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 279
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 190
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.681
- passing · TD
- 11
- passing · YDS
- 1928
- passing · YPA
- 6.9
- rushing · CAR
- 30
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 42
- rushing · YPC
- 1.4
Nigel Eldridge Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5258302
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Noah Mangham · DB
CFBD athlete 5083242
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
O'Marion Brown · DL
CFBD athlete 5153807
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Peyton Plott · WR
CFBD athlete 5222643
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- -3.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -3
Phillip Gladney · DB
CFBD athlete 5149745
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Rashon Myles Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 4879816
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 28
River Helms · TE
CFBD athlete 4698179
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 30
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 312
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
Taeo Todd · RB
CFBD athlete 5155780
- kickReturns · AVG
- 9.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 9
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 9
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 99
- receiving · YPR
- 16.5
- rushing · CAR
- 25
- rushing · LONG
- 17
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 80
- rushing · YPC
- 3.2
Taylor Bradshaw · WR
CFBD athlete 5123988
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 32
- passing · YPA
- 32.0
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 50
- receiving · YPR
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Terrance Gibbs · RB
CFBD athlete 4685348
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 60
- receiving · YPR
- 5.5
- rushing · CAR
- 16
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 87
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Tracy Hill Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5085445
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Tripp Bryant · PK
CFBD athlete 5238178
- kicking · FGA
- 15
- kicking · FGM
- 12
- kicking · LONG
- 48
- kicking · PCT
- 0.800
- kicking · PTS
- 58
- kicking · XPA
- 22
- kicking · XPM
- 22
Turner Helton · QB
CFBD athlete 4912238
- passing · ATT
- 38
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 28
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.737
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 275
- passing · YPA
- 7.2
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 6.5
Ty Cummings · RB
CFBD athlete 5291806
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 30
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Tyrese Woodgett · RB
CFBD athlete 5390044
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 3.8
- rushing · CAR
- 37
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 176
- rushing · YPC
- 4.8
Uche Iloh · LB
CFBD athlete 5146901
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Weston Bryan · QB
CFBD athlete 5212641
- passing · ATT
- 8
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 5
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.625
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 26
- passing · YPA
- 3.3
- rushing · CAR
- 41
- rushing · LONG
- 67
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 201
- rushing · YPC
- 4.9
Zay Hilliard · WR
CFBD athlete 5303239
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 36
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Georgia Southern -10.5
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches
Georgia Southern by 13.70
3.20 points toward Georgia Southern versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Georgia Southern.
- Net EPA rating difference: +9.70
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 13.70 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 136ee0efd13c90118c98c65a255c7bf40004bf53318c7a821bfd3f79c406d985 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 1e7dc0636c6e4a52add77712d9c723f5efec97b687af7931dbb9edfaa62fafe7 · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -10.5 | -10.5 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -13.7 | -13.7 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +3.2 | +3.2 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Georgia Southern; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 136ee0efd13c90118c98c65a255c7bf40004bf53318c7a821bfd3f79c406d985. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Georgia Southern -10.5
Model gap +3.2 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Georgia Southern.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Georgia Southern win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 77%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Georgia Southern -10.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 76%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Georgia Southern.
- away elo: +10.37 (path difference 8.55)
- away adjusted success allowed: +6.91 (path difference 1.51)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.74 (path difference 4.41)
- home elo: -4.91 (path difference 2.03)
- home adjusted second level yards: +4.68 (path difference 1.20)
- away adjusted success: -4.60 (path difference 1.74)
- away adjusted epa: +4.51 (path difference 3.53)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -4.13 (path difference 0.59)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.29 (path difference 1.66)
- home adjusted passing epa: +3.24 (path difference 1.08)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.07 (path difference 1.17)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -2.87 (path difference 0.64)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +2.65 (path difference 2.37)
- home adjusted success: +2.42 (path difference 0.20)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -2.36 (path difference 1.14)
- home adjusted epa: +2.09 (path difference 2.30)
- home adjusted line yards: -2.07 (path difference 0.23)
- away adjusted passing epa: +1.88 (path difference 0.51)
- home adjusted success allowed: +1.71 (path difference 1.65)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.71 (path difference 0.48)
- home talent: +1.69 (path difference 1.23)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.66 (path difference 1.93)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.51 (path difference 0.47)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.50 (path difference 1.11)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.42 (path difference 1.65)
- week: -1.27 (path difference 0.14)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.10 (path difference 2.38)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.07 (path difference 1.39)
- home adjusted standard down success: +1.05 (path difference 0.32)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.00 (path difference 1.56)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.00 (path difference 0.39)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.91 (path difference 0.50)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.91 (path difference 0.17)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.91 (path difference 0.26)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.85 (path difference 2.32)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.83 (path difference 0.51)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.79 (path difference 0.11)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.82)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.75 (path difference 0.86)
- away conference: +0.74 (path difference 0.98)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.73 (path difference 1.57)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.61 (path difference 1.14)
- home conference: +0.51 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.48 (path difference 2.68)
- away adjusted explosiveness: -0.47 (path difference 0.41)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.43 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.40 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.37 (path difference 0.13)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.34 (path difference 0.06)
- away talent: -0.28 (path difference 0.18)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.26 (path difference 0.86)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.20 (path difference 1.54)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.12 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 75.61 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 8254d1001c14c2ffbbc8ee9552cf7280bc5f6630abbee455b0795e1116db91fa · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 62b14582018cfa70c97515aa5986b171066bcc9a5b1ec0f3f7f76715fd759ba0 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
Marshall
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Judah PriceCFBD athlete 5161776 Week 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 12 attempts · 10.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.732 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Alabama: 13 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 53.8% success · -0.024 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Old Dominion: 15 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.061 raw PPA. | 40 | 5.9 | 0 | 36.0% | 56 / 5.7 |
Khalil WilkinsCFBD athlete 5158251 Week 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 7 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.665 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Alabama: 8 attempts · 8.6 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.227 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Old Dominion: 9 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.137 raw PPA. | 24 | 5.6 | 1 | 21.6% | 41 / 6.2 |
Zion TurnerCFBD athlete 4685697 Week 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 5 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.001 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Alabama: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.780 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Old Dominion: 6 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.458 raw PPA. | 19 | 1.3 | 6 | 17.1% | 23 / 1.5 |
TJ LesterCFBD athlete 5300926 Week 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 4 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.327 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Alabama: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.056 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Old Dominion: 8 attempts · 9.5 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.628 raw PPA. | 14 | 7.3 | 0 | 12.6% | 35 / 5.7 |
Joshon BarbieCFBD athlete 5084210 Week 6 vs Coastal Carolina: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.131 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Old Dominion: 5 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.032 raw PPA. | 12 | 3.6 | 0 | 10.8% | 52 / 4.3 |
Georgia Southern
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 86 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyrese WoodgettCFBD athlete 5390044 Week 6 vs James Madison: 11 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.046 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 14 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.110 raw PPA. Week 9 vs App State: 8 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.161 raw PPA. | 33 | 5.0 | 0 | 38.4% | 35 / 4.9 |
Weston BryanCFBD athlete 5212641 Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.720 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 7 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.168 raw PPA. Week 9 vs App State: 7 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.710 raw PPA. | 16 | 3.1 | 1 | 18.6% | 41 / 4.9 |
Terrance GibbsCFBD athlete 4685348 Week 6 vs James Madison: 4 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.339 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 6 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.786 raw PPA. | 10 | 6.5 | 0 | 11.6% | 15 / 5.6 |
David MbadingaCFBD athlete 5151112 Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.267 raw PPA. Week 9 vs App State: 5 attempts · 1.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.401 raw PPA. | 7 | 1.7 | 0 | 8.1% | 44 / 5.4 |
Taeo ToddCFBD athlete 5155780 Week 6 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.150 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Old Dominion: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.292 raw PPA. Week 9 vs App State: 4 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.505 raw PPA. | 7 | 4.6 | 0 | 8.1% | 25 / 3.2 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | Georgia SouthernOffense | MarshallDefense | MarshallOffense | Georgia SouthernDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.14 55th | +0.19 12th | +0.08 30th | +0.03 68th |
| Success rate | 43.4% 59th | 43.2% 26th | 43.3% 58th | 37.7% 75th |
| Explosiveness | 1.17 22nd | 1.34 13th | 1.17 23rd | 1.15 79th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.09 53rd | +0.10 26th | +0.00 23rd | +0.04 47th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.28 62nd | +0.39 9th | +0.26 53rd | +0.02 88th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 14.3% 58th | 15.7% 50th | 16.7% 25th | 19.6% 91st |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:24 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:24 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Blake Ford · Georgia Southern · PAAR -5.74 · 3 attempts
- Tripp Bryant · Georgia Southern · PAAR 3.25 · 15 attempts
- Jorge Diaz Nicolas · Marshall · PAAR 0.87 · 18 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Georgia Southern spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -8.5 · Snapshot spread: -10.5
First locally observed: -10 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 54.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -395 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -395 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -10 · Snapshot spread: -10.5
First locally observed: -10 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 55 · Snapshot total: 55
Total · First locally observed: 55 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -400 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +310 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Georgia Southern
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Sun Belt
Marshall
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Sun Belt
Travel
Marshall travels 417 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Series tied 2–2 in 4 meetings since 2022.
- 2025Georgia Southern at Marshall24–19 · Georgia Southern
- 2024Marshall at Georgia Southern23–24 · Georgia Southern
- 2023Georgia Southern at Marshall33–38 · Marshall
- 2022Marshall at Georgia Southern23–10 · Marshall
CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.