Week 10 · 2026

Georgia at Ole Miss

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Georgia

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Gunner Stockton QB 3 games	44.6% 37 / 83 plays	54.5% 12 / 22 plays
Dwight Phillips Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	54.3% 19 / 35 plays
Nate Frazier RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.4% 11 / 21 plays
Bo Walker RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	41.2% 7 / 17 plays
Ryan Puglisi QB 1 games	100.0% 3 / 3 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Nick Peal RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Sacovie White WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Talyn Taylor WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 76 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Kruah · LB

CFBD athlete 5210161

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

AJ Lonon Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5291727

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 3

Blake Stewart · S

CFBD athlete 5217095

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Bo Walker · RB

CFBD athlete 5172095

kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 14
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 14
receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 1.3
rushing · CAR: 38
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 230
rushing · YPC: 6.1

Braylon Conley · DB

CFBD athlete 5127726

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

CJ Wiley · WR

CFBD athlete 5141749

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Caden Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5209400

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Carter Luckie · DL

CFBD athlete 5161020

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chase Linton · LB

CFBD athlete 5212631

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chauncey Bowens · RB

CFBD athlete 5079335

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 132
receiving · YPR: 13.2
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 124
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Chris Cole · LB

CFBD athlete 5145410

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 2
defensive · TFL: 9.0
defensive · TOT: 49
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 3

Clinton Barlow · DL

CFBD athlete 5160178

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Craig Dandridge · WR

CFBD athlete 5263766

puntReturns · AVG: 9.0
puntReturns · LONG: 9
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 9
receiving · LONG: 61
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 349
receiving · YPR: 17.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Dallas Dickerson · WR

CFBD athlete 5273767

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 17.0

Darren Ikinnagbon · LB

CFBD athlete 5195293

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Demello Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5122447

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 20
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 33.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 66

Drew Miller · P

CFBD athlete 5145507

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 65
punting · NO: 22
punting · TB: 6
punting · YDS: 1022
punting · YPP: 46.5

Duncan Carpenter · LB

CFBD athlete 5306295

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Dwight Phillips Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079561

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 10.9
rushing · CAR: 55
rushing · LONG: 54
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 415
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Elijah Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 5141464

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 12

Elijah Littlejohn · LB

CFBD athlete 5209368

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Ellis Robinson IV · DB

CFBD athlete 5079698

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 4.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 8

Elyiss Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 5141756

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 88
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Ethan Barbour · TE

CFBD athlete 5141371

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 6.7

Gabe Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 4870716

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Gentry Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 4685616

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gunner Stockton · QB

CFBD athlete 4685578

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 181
passing · COMPLETIONS: 130
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.718
passing · TD: 16
passing · YDS: 1671
passing · YPA: 9.2
rushing · CAR: 47
rushing · LONG: 62
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 205
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Harran Zureikat · PK

CFBD athlete 5290851

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 2
kicking · XPA: 2
kicking · XPM: 2

Hezekiah Millender · QB

CFBD athlete 5229348

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 17
passing · YPA: 17.0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 27
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Isaiah Gibson · DE

CFBD athlete 5142611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Isiah Canion · WR

CFBD athlete 5132253

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 28
receiving · YPR: 9.3

JJ Hanne · DL

CFBD athlete 5209009

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Ja'Marley Riddle · S

CFBD athlete 5158914

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Jaden Reddell · TE

CFBD athlete 5218582

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 14
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 14
receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 130
receiving · YPR: 16.3
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 29
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 12.7

Jae Lamar · RB

CFBD athlete 5244758

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Jaylan Morgan · DB

CFBD athlete 5293621

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jeremy Bell · WR

CFBD athlete 5150831

receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 36.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

Jordan Hall · DL

CFBD athlete 4870779

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jordan Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5209420

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Joseph Jonah-Ajonye · DL

CFBD athlete 5138756

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Josh Horton · DT

CFBD athlete 4870822

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 7

Justin Greene · DE

CFBD athlete 5079423

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Justin Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5079767

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 29

KJ Bolden · DB

CFBD athlete 5079334

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 28
interceptions · AVG: 29.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 29

Kaiden Prothro · TE

CFBD athlete 5182804

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 16.0

Khalil Barnes · S

CFBD athlete 5078250

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Khamari Brooks · LB

CFBD athlete 5245124

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Kyron Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5104150

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Landon Roldan · WR

CFBD athlete 5215017

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 4
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4
receiving · LONG: 55
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 97
receiving · YPR: 16.2
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 27
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Lawson Luckie · TE

CFBD athlete 4870874

receiving · LONG: 43
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 197
receiving · YPR: 16.4

London Humphreys · WR

CFBD athlete 5078453

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 136
receiving · YPR: 9.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

London Seymour · DL

CFBD athlete 5258446

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nate Frazier · RB

CFBD athlete 5084047

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 31
receiving · YPR: 6.2
rushing · CAR: 47
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 297
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Nick Abrams II · LB

CFBD athlete 5245168

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Nick Peal · RB

CFBD athlete 5446770

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 61
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Nnamdi Ogboko · DL

CFBD athlete 5146895

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

PJ Dean · DL

CFBD athlete 5159005

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Peyton Woodring · PK

CFBD athlete 5077226

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.750
kicking · PTS: 68
kicking · XPA: 41
kicking · XPM: 41

Preston Carey · DL

CFBD athlete 4030388

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Quintavius Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5146897

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Rasean Dinkins · S

CFBD athlete 5142602

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Raylen Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 4871074

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 33
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 51

Ryan Montgomery · QB

CFBD athlete 5141602

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 6
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 66
passing · YPA: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Ryan Puglisi · QB

CFBD athlete 5079679

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 31
passing · COMPLETIONS: 20
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.645
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 252
passing · YPA: 8.1
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 70
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 85
rushing · YPC: 28.3

Sacovie White · WR

CFBD athlete 5105269

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 18
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 34
puntReturns · AVG: 9.3
puntReturns · LONG: 35
puntReturns · NO: 15
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 139
receiving · LONG: 70
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 174
receiving · YPR: 11.6
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Talyn Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5141671

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 286
receiving · YPR: 13.6
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 37
rushing · YPC: 18.5

Terrell Foster · LB

CFBD athlete 4880985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Terrence Penick Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5278577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Thomas Blackshear · WR

CFBD athlete 5149473

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 48
receiving · YPR: 9.6

Todd Robinson · S

CFBD athlete 5209177

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Tyler Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5297763

receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 16.5

Tyriq Green · S

CFBD athlete 5161815

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
kickReturns · AVG: 43.0
kickReturns · LONG: 91
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 129

Valdin Sone · DL

CFBD athlete 5264957

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Zayden Walker · LB

CFBD athlete 5141739

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Zech Fort · S

CFBD athlete 5158958

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zion Branch · S

CFBD athlete 4685282

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Ole Miss

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Trinidad Chambliss QB 3 games	45.8% 55 / 120 plays	53.8% 7 / 13 plays
Makhi Frazier RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.4% 18 / 38 plays
Kewan Lacy RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 10 / 30 plays
Shekai Mills-Knight RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	62.5% 10 / 16 plays
Deuce Knight QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
JT Lindsey RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 3 plays
Joshua Dye RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Deuce Alexander WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andrew Maddox · DT

CFBD athlete 5141528

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Andy Jaffe · S

CFBD athlete 5125531

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Anthony Robinson III · S

CFBD athlete 5147351

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Antonio Kite · CB

CFBD athlete 4708488

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 30
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Blake Purchase · DE

CFBD athlete 4870961

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 30

Caleb Cunningham · WR

CFBD athlete 5224178

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 231
receiving · YPR: 12.2

Caleb Odom · TE

CFBD athlete 5079647

receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 360
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Carmelow Reed · DE

CFBD athlete 5276946

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 2

Cedrick Beavers · CB

CFBD athlete 5218770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Craig Tutt · S

CFBD athlete 5210857

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Dante Core · CB

CFBD athlete 5186737

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Darrell Gill Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5125819

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Deuce Alexander · WR

CFBD athlete 5152158

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 7.4
puntReturns · LONG: 20
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 52
receiving · LONG: 62
receiving · REC: 48
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 669
receiving · YPR: 13.9
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 33
rushing · YPC: 8.3

Deuce Knight · QB

CFBD athlete 5141506

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 4
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 68
passing · YPA: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 60
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Dillon Alfred · WR

CFBD athlete 5141359

receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 34.0

Dorian Barney · CB

CFBD athlete 5158962

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Edwin Joseph · S

CFBD athlete 4870765

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Gerald Lacy Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5166148

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Horatio Fields · WR

CFBD athlete 4711408

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 356
receiving · YPR: 12.7

Isreal Solomon · CB

CFBD athlete 5157073

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Iverson McCoy · CB

CFBD athlete 5216627

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

JT Lindsey · RB

CFBD athlete 5209688

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 28
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 94
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Jaheim Oatis · DT

CFBD athlete 4685487

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Jamarious Brown · DT

CFBD athlete 4870640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Jarcoby Hopson · LB

CFBD athlete 5141478

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jay Crawford · CB

CFBD athlete 5079347

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23

Jayden Curtis · DT

CFBD athlete 5290682

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaylon Braxton · CB

CFBD athlete 4918093

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 32
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Joenel Aguero · S

CFBD athlete 4870588

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 27

Johntay Cook II · WR

CFBD athlete 4870656

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 9.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -3.0

Jonathan Maldonado · DE

CFBD athlete 4917327

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 12

Jordan Renaud · DE

CFBD athlete 4870975

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 6

Joshua Dye · RB

CFBD athlete 5125900

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 25
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Kamarion Franklin · DE

CFBD athlete 5079400

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 5
defensive · TOT: 23
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Keaton Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5102910

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 51

Kewan Lacy · RB

CFBD athlete 5086388

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 3.3
rushing · CAR: 78
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 388
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Ladarian Clardy · S

CFBD athlete 5167174

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Landon Barnes · DE

CFBD athlete 5268746

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4
interceptions · AVG: 3.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 3

Lucas Carneiro · PK

CFBD athlete 5092504

kicking · FGA: 15
kicking · FGM: 12
kicking · LONG: 57
kicking · PCT: 0.800
kicking · PTS: 71
kicking · XPA: 35
kicking · XPM: 35

Luke Ferrelli · LB

CFBD athlete 5139216

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 44

Luke Hasz · TE

CFBD athlete 4870797

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 89
receiving · YPR: 7.4

MJ Preston · S

CFBD athlete 5156438

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Makhi Frazier · RB

CFBD athlete 5084286

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 3.1
rushing · CAR: 68
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 357
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Mark Trigg Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5150437

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Michael Smith · TE

CFBD athlete 5079592

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 5.7

Michai Boireau · DT

CFBD athlete 5146887

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 11

Nick Cull · S

CFBD athlete 4873763

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13
interceptions · AVG: 19.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 38

Oscar Bird · P

CFBD athlete 5294445

punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 26
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1190
punting · YPP: 45.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 17
rushing · YPC: 17.0

Patrick Kutas · OL

CFBD athlete 4701945

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Raymond Collins · LB

CFBD athlete 5138704

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 9.0
kickReturns · LONG: 9
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 9

Samari Reed · WR

CFBD athlete 5149003

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 46
receiving · YPR: 15.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Sharif Denson · S

CFBD athlete 4870700

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 38

Shekai Mills-Knight · RB

CFBD athlete 5214395

rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 113
rushing · YPC: 5.7

Suntarine Perkins · LB

CFBD athlete 4870967

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 27
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tah'j Butler · LB

CFBD athlete 5142694

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 46

Talib Graham · DE

CFBD athlete 5199855

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Traylon Ray · WR

CFBD athlete 4870912

kickReturns · AVG: 18.5
kickReturns · LONG: 26
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 111
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
puntReturns · AVG: 13.0
puntReturns · LONG: 25
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 26
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 289
receiving · YPR: 13.8

Trinidad Chambliss · QB

CFBD athlete 4911529

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 296
passing · COMPLETIONS: 189
passing · INT: 8
passing · PCT: 0.639
passing · TD: 18
passing · YDS: 2189
passing · YPA: 7.4
rushing · CAR: 48
rushing · LONG: 26
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 199
rushing · YPC: 4.1

William Echoles · DT

CFBD athlete 5218778

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 21
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Ole Miss +3.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Georgia -3.5

DraftKings snapshot: Ole Miss +3.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Ole Miss by 3.04

6.54 points toward Ole Miss versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Ole Miss.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20
Net EPA rating difference: -0.96

Reconciles to 3.04 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs fa1ae47315f80455ce1f187ccdf09bce83eb2aff42e80a431d7dc6075a5a9bee · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast b0995398262925d224e57b8fc4ece6e8c1b8ee08506bf8aea888d9b0e94732a3 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Ole Miss · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	+3.5	+3.5
Model spread	-3.04	-3.04
Model gap	+6.54	+6.54

Negative spreads favor Ole Miss; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fa1ae47315f80455ce1f187ccdf09bce83eb2aff42e80a431d7dc6075a5a9bee. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Ole Miss +3.5

Model gap +6.5 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Ole Miss.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Ole Miss win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 41%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Ole Miss +3.5
Stacked ensemble: 60%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Ole Miss.

home elo: +26.86 (path difference 1.69)
away adjusted success: -16.43 (path difference 5.19)
away elo: -15.53 (path difference 4.08)
home adjusted success: +14.91 (path difference 1.20)
away talent: -11.61 (path difference 2.09)
home talent: +6.56 (path difference 0.49)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.45 (path difference 2.56)
home adjusted passing epa: +6.00 (path difference 4.95)
away adjusted success allowed: -4.91 (path difference 1.77)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.86 (path difference 0.80)
home adjusted epa allowed: -4.67 (path difference 3.65)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -4.31 (path difference 0.83)
home adjusted success allowed: +4.06 (path difference 2.24)
away adjusted epa allowed: -3.88 (path difference 1.48)
away conference: +3.31 (path difference 0.85)
home adjusted epa: -3.29 (path difference 5.79)
away adjusted standard down success: +3.21 (path difference 0.10)
away adjusted epa: -3.10 (path difference 0.76)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.97 (path difference 0.29)
home conference: +2.73 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.59 (path difference 2.99)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.49 (path difference 0.99)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.47 (path difference 1.66)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.39 (path difference 2.10)
away adjusted line yards: -1.93 (path difference 1.72)
away adjusted rushing epa: +1.82 (path difference 1.08)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.81 (path difference 0.52)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.55 (path difference 0.56)
home adjusted second level yards: +1.52 (path difference 0.90)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.43 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted line yards: +1.42 (path difference 0.39)
week: -1.38 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.25 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.23 (path difference 1.96)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.12 (path difference 0.83)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.97 (path difference 1.24)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.96 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.95 (path difference 0.32)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.89 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.84 (path difference 2.73)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.75 (path difference 0.41)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.16)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.71 (path difference 0.90)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.68 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.54 (path difference 0.86)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.43 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.42 (path difference 1.75)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.40 (path difference 0.36)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.30 (path difference 0.40)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.27 (path difference 0.90)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.26 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.13 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.05 (path difference 0.14)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.00 (path difference 1.29)

Reconciles to 59.79 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs a63b500d5e8d5ea63cc43ca70ae782ae522bd308e5025aa9daad75dd812a9a50 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 97da4b79ad3268f75c82044c36265dcdf8739f7a3e83d1ab8e61896d5f266b9a · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Georgia

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 105 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Dwight Phillips Jr. CFBD athlete 5079561 Week 6 vs Alabama: 17 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 47.1% success · 0.329 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Auburn: 10 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.358 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida: 8 attempts · 8.4 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.486 raw PPA.	35	7.3	0	33.3%	55 / 7.5
Gunner Stockton CFBD athlete 4685578 Week 6 vs Alabama: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.201 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Auburn: 9 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.613 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida: 12 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.206 raw PPA.	27	3.1	4	25.7%	47 / 4.4
Nate Frazier CFBD athlete 5084047 Week 7 vs Auburn: 9 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.468 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida: 12 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.427 raw PPA.	21	4.1	0	20.0%	47 / 6.3
Bo Walker CFBD athlete 5172095 Week 6 vs Alabama: 9 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.089 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida: 8 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.640 raw PPA.	17	5.6	0	16.2%	36 / 6.3
Nick Peal CFBD athlete 5446770 Week 6 vs Alabama: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.103 raw PPA.	2	3.0	0	1.9%	13 / 4.3

Ole Miss

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Makhi Frazier CFBD athlete 5084286 Week 7 vs Missouri: 15 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.292 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 6 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.045 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Auburn: 17 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 35.3% success · -0.091 raw PPA.	38	5.4	34.2%	68 / 5.3
Kewan Lacy CFBD athlete 5086388 Week 7 vs Missouri: 15 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.769 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 16 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.266 raw PPA.	31	5.0	27.9%	77 / 5.0
Shekai Mills-Knight CFBD athlete 5214395 Week 9 vs Auburn: 16 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.270 raw PPA.	16	4.4	14.4%	20 / 5.7
Trinidad Chambliss CFBD athlete 4911529 Week 7 vs Missouri: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.644 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 4 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.197 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Auburn: 6 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.996 raw PPA.	13	6.1	11.7%	45 / 4.3
Deuce Knight CFBD athlete 5141506 Week 9 vs Auburn: 3 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.381 raw PPA.	3	6.3	2.7%	11 / 5.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Ole MissOffense	GeorgiaDefense	GeorgiaOffense	Ole MissDefense
PPA/play	+0.23 83rd	-0.01 80th	+0.30 93rd	+0.11 37th
Success rate	49.6% 91st	35.2% 89th	51.7% 99th	41.0% 47th
Explosiveness	1.18 25th	1.26 36th	1.18 24th	1.27 32nd
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.13 70th	-0.09 84th	+0.27 96th	+0.02 54th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.49 95th	+0.13 69th	+0.38 80th	+0.30 18th
Havoc allowed / created	12.9% 75th	19.4% 89th	12.5% 84th	17.4% 72nd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:49 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:49 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Peyton Woodring · Georgia · PAAR 1.56 · 12 attempts
Lucas Carneiro · Ole Miss · PAAR 8.62 · 15 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Ole Miss spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +4.5 · Snapshot spread: +3.5

First locally observed: +4.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 55.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 55.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +145 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +180 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -175 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -218 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +3.5 · Snapshot spread: +3.5

First locally observed: +3.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 56.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +153 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +153 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -178 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -178 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Ole Miss

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · SEC

88th FBS percentile

Georgia

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

91st FBS percentile

Travel

Georgia travels 353 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Georgia leads 34–15, 1 tie in 50 meetings since 1940.

2025 · NOle Miss at Georgia39–34 · Ole Miss
2025Ole Miss at Georgia35–43 · Georgia
2024Georgia at Ole Miss10–28 · Ole Miss
2023Ole Miss at Georgia17–52 · Georgia
2016Georgia at Ole Miss14–45 · Ole Miss
2012Ole Miss at Georgia10–37 · Georgia

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.