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Boston College at Duke

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Boston College

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Mason McKenzie QB
3 games
37.8%
31 / 82 plays
51.4%
19 / 37 plays
Bo MacCormack III RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
54.1%
20 / 37 plays
Evan Dickens RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
9 / 18 plays
Mekhi Dodd RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
4 / 8 plays
Nolan Ray RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
3 / 3 plays
Landon Wright WR
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Anthony Ferrucci RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andy Quinn · PK

CFBD athlete 5250468

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Anthony Ferrucci · RB

CFBD athlete 5160640

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Anthony Palano · LB

CFBD athlete 5227820

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
33
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
60
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
6
Ashton Cunningham · DB

CFBD athlete 5216309

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Bo MacCormack III · RB

CFBD athlete 5208592

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
48
receiving · YPR
8.0
rushing · CAR
49
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
244
rushing · YPC
5.0
Bodie Kahoun · LB

CFBD athlete 5145122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Brady Clough · TE

CFBD athlete 5222676

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
50
receiving · YPR
8.3
Bryce LaFollette · P

CFBD athlete 5100750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
2
punting · LONG
50
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
4
punting · YDS
1019
punting · YPP
40.8
Cameron Martinez · DB

CFBD athlete 4431242

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron McGee · DL

CFBD athlete 5222698

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
8
Carter Davis · DB

CFBD athlete 4923220

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
41
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Chandler Jordan · DB

CFBD athlete 5167181

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Charlie Comella · DB

CFBD athlete 5147375

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
30
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
interceptions · AVG
17.5
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
70
puntReturns · AVG
1.6
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
8
Chris Marable Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4917944

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Christian Hudson · DL

CFBD athlete 5148602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
13
Cooper Crook · LS

CFBD athlete 5222681

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Da'Jon Green · DB

CFBD athlete 5290506

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Danny Edgehille · TE

CFBD athlete 5222675

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
39
receiving · YPR
13.0
Dawson Pough · WR

CFBD athlete 5214566

receiving · LONG
78
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
180
receiving · YPR
15.0
Demetrius Ballard · DE

CFBD athlete 5194641

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
19
E'Lla Boykin · DL

CFBD athlete 5280992

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
26
Evan Dickens · RB

CFBD athlete 5076122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
114
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
66
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
296
rushing · YPC
4.5
Favor Bate · DL

CFBD athlete 5225317

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
7
Isaiah Farris · DB

CFBD athlete 4917124

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Israel Oladipupo · DL

CFBD athlete 5214511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jackson Wade · WR

CFBD athlete 5151897

receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
1
receiving · YPR
1.0
Jaedn Skeete · WR

CFBD athlete 4871001

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
84
receiving · YPR
10.5
Javarius Green · WR

CFBD athlete 5146747

kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
286
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
John Montague · WR

CFBD athlete 5222689

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
213
receiving · YPR
17.8
Jonathan Hewitt · PK

CFBD athlete 5291003

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
0
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
0
Jordan Rodriguez · DB

CFBD athlete 5289155

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Josiah Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 4921436

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Juan Zubal · LB

CFBD athlete 5091763

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Judah Pruitt · OL

CFBD athlete 5142797

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Justin Medlock · LB

CFBD athlete 4702789

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
KP Price · DB

CFBD athlete 4921446

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
33
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
52
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kameron Howard · DB

CFBD athlete 5101120

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Keith Sampson · DL

CFBD athlete 4871007

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Kemori Dixon · LB

CFBD athlete 5146821

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kris Jones · DE

CFBD athlete 5079477

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
12
Landon Wright · WR

CFBD athlete 5144853

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
69
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
208
receiving · YPR
26.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
3.0
Luca Lombardo · PK

CFBD athlete 5165482

kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.750
kicking · PTS
33
kicking · XPA
17
kicking · XPM
15
Makai Byerson · DL

CFBD athlete 5079361

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Marcelous Townsend · DB

CFBD athlete 5214943

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Marcus Upton · DB

CFBD athlete 5208002

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
43
Mason McKenzie · QB

CFBD athlete 5307005

fumbles · FUM
4
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
184
passing · COMPLETIONS
107
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.582
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1363
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
119
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
614
rushing · YPC
5.2
Max Tucker · DB

CFBD athlete 5085773

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
Mekhi Dodd · RB

CFBD athlete 5211163

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
74
rushing · YPC
7.4
Micah Amedee · DL

CFBD athlete 5209761

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
14
Michael Mankaka · DB

CFBD athlete 5081451

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nedrick Boldin Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5203610

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
53
receiving · YPR
13.3
Nolan Ray · RB

CFBD athlete 4921316

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
6.0
Onye Nwosisi · DL

CFBD athlete 5157579

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
17
Rae Sykes Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5215279

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Reed Swanson · WR

CFBD athlete 5152600

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
18.0
Steve Klein · LB

CFBD athlete 5280932

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Syair Torrence · DB

CFBD athlete 5079730

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
TJ Green · DB

CFBD athlete 5209787

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
kickReturns · AVG
20.4
kickReturns · LONG
37
kickReturns · NO
7
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
143
Zacari Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5215579

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Zeke Moore · TE

CFBD athlete 5077304

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
10.5

Duke

Window: 2026-10-23 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Walker Eget QB
3 games
41.1%
44 / 107 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Nate Sheppard RB
3 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
37.9%
22 / 58 plays
CJ Campbell RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
31.3%
5 / 16 plays
Dan Mahan QB
3 games
28.6%
2 / 7 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andrew Pellicciotta · S

CFBD athlete 5257397

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
33
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
puntReturns · AVG
10.6
puntReturns · LONG
39
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
85
Asher Wasserman · LB

CFBD athlete 5209263

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Bradley Gompers · LB

CFBD athlete 5215542

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
15
Brady Winter · S

CFBD athlete 5297370

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brody Keefe · WR

CFBD athlete 5161004

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
75
receiving · YPR
18.8
Bryce Davis · DE

CFBD athlete 5141404

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
19
CJ Campbell · RB

CFBD athlete 4873588

kickReturns · AVG
21.3
kickReturns · LONG
33
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
85
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
5.8
rushing · CAR
52
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
258
rushing · YPC
5.0
CJ Givers · RB

CFBD athlete 5290560

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
28
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
36
rushing · YPC
12.0
Chadwicke Cannon Jr. · DT

CFBD athlete 5271160

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Che Ojarikre · CB

CFBD athlete 5125153

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
15
Colsen Gatten · LB

CFBD athlete 5276969

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cosme Salas · PK

CFBD athlete 5218791

kicking · FGA
5
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
39
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
28
kicking · XPA
16
kicking · XPM
16
DaShawn Stone · S

CFBD athlete 5086842

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
33
Dakota Quinonez · DT

CFBD athlete 5085514

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Dan Mahan · QB

CFBD athlete 5185699

passing · ATT
15
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.533
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
143
passing · YPA
9.5
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
5.7
David Anderson · DT

CFBD athlete 4923041

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
8
Derrick Brown Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5148807

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Dylan Flowers · CB

CFBD athlete 4602921

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
29
Elliott Schaper · LB

CFBD athlete 5214935

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Evan Smith · CB

CFBD athlete 4870242

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
19.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
19
Gavin Strange · PK

CFBD athlete 5291821

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
5
kicking · LONG
39
kicking · PCT
0.833
kicking · PTS
23
kicking · XPA
9
kicking · XPM
8
Jaivon Solomon · WR

CFBD athlete 5200108

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
176
receiving · YPR
17.6
Jake Taylor · TE

CFBD athlete 3949586

receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
76
receiving · YPR
15.2
Jared Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5084409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
213
receiving · YPR
13.3
Javen Nicholas · WR

CFBD athlete 5081131

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
4.3
Jayden Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5079610

receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
15.9
Jayvian Tanelus · RB

CFBD athlete 5272781

rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
90
rushing · YPC
5.6
Jeremiah Hasley · TE

CFBD athlete 4869728

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
250
receiving · YPR
11.9
Jonah Burton · WR

CFBD athlete 4879192

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
289
receiving · YPR
14.5
Jonathan Morris · LB

CFBD athlete 5148825

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Julius Columbus · DT

CFBD athlete 5208949

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
KD Cotton · S

CFBD athlete 5290784

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
puntReturns · AVG
24.5
puntReturns · LONG
27
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
49
Kade Reynoldson · P

CFBD athlete 5193566

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
punting · In 20
10
punting · LONG
62
punting · NO
26
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1193
punting · YPP
45.9
Kaleb Lanier · CB

CFBD athlete 5200189

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kavon Conciauro · WR

CFBD athlete 5266901

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Kavon Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 5216844

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
71
receiving · YPR
14.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
16.0
Kendall Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 4923294

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kevin O'Connor · DE

CFBD athlete 5078552

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
8
Kimari Robinson · CB

CFBD athlete 5077406

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
5
Kobe Smith · DE

CFBD athlete 5146896

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
12
Kolbe Harmon · CB

CFBD athlete 5166796

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kyon Loud · CB

CFBD athlete 5225215

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
25
Landan Callahan · CB

CFBD athlete 5124964

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Leon Griffin III · S

CFBD athlete 4923278

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Luke Mergott · LB

CFBD athlete 5077267

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
32
Nate Kurisky · TE

CFBD athlete 4816323

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
38
receiving · YPR
7.6
Nate Sheppard · RB

CFBD athlete 5164332

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
28
passing · YPA
28.0
receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
270
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
153
rushing · LONG
47
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
875
rushing · YPC
5.7
Nick Morris Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4707209

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
44
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Obinna Umeh · DE

CFBD athlete 5291007

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Owen Wafle · DT

CFBD athlete 5079752

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
Patrick Smith · S

CFBD athlete 5082164

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Paxon Kettering · WR

CFBD athlete 5218795

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
32
receiving · YPR
32.0
Preston Watson · DT

CFBD athlete 5127043

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
21
Sampson Onuoha · DE

CFBD athlete 5208567

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Semaj Turner · DE

CFBD athlete 4954450

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Terry Walker III · QB

CFBD athlete 5211205

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
44
passing · YPA
11.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
2.0
Tommy Rupley · DE

CFBD athlete 5167756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tony Boggs · TE

CFBD athlete 5150581

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tyshon Reed · DE

CFBD athlete 5146906

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tyson Sanford · CB

CFBD athlete 5291698

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Walker Eget · QB

CFBD athlete 4694149

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
197
passing · COMPLETIONS
122
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.619
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1440
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-6
rushing · YPC
-0.9
Wilhelm Daal · RB

CFBD athlete 5094035

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Will Felder Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5197251

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Duke -7

Bovada snapshot: Duke -7

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Duke by 5.95

1.05 points toward Boston College versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Duke.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: +2.01
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 5.95 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 6512a9c6b836007c7668190f79352af94026c78ef2d8237f8de781a68110ee7a · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 1c36c48b66356fd8f70c94660809f7bb796cc9a78947331a2acb7c3ff3b88197 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Duke · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-7.0-7.00.0
Model spread-5.95-5.950.0
Model gap-1.05-1.050.0

Negative spreads favor Duke; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 6512a9c6b836007c7668190f79352af94026c78ef2d8237f8de781a68110ee7a. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.1 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Duke win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
69%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Duke -7
Stacked ensemble
66%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Duke.

  • home elo: +7.02 (path difference 5.31)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.83 (path difference 4.23)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -5.45 (path difference 1.15)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.37 (path difference 2.12)
  • home adjusted success: -5.13 (path difference 3.29)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.08 (path difference 0.61)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.97 (path difference 1.95)
  • away elo: +4.94 (path difference 4.46)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.55 (path difference 1.46)
  • away adjusted epa: +4.53 (path difference 2.78)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +4.28 (path difference 1.18)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.23 (path difference 1.93)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.02 (path difference 1.70)
  • home adjusted epa: +3.97 (path difference 3.84)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.41 (path difference 2.76)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.05 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -2.94 (path difference 1.73)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +2.76 (path difference 0.24)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +2.73 (path difference 1.08)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.59 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted success: -2.45 (path difference 0.35)
  • away talent: -2.35 (path difference 0.20)
  • home talent: +2.32 (path difference 1.18)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.30 (path difference 0.91)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.26 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.16 (path difference 1.16)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.71 (path difference 2.51)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.55 (path difference 0.31)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.52 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.45 (path difference 3.32)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -1.43 (path difference 0.71)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.37 (path difference 0.27)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.37 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.33 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.26 (path difference 1.45)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.24 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -1.08 (path difference 3.83)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.93 (path difference 2.09)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.93 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.75 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.62 (path difference 2.18)
  • home conference: -0.61 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.52 (path difference 1.25)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -0.45 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.44 (path difference 0.69)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.39 (path difference 4.32)
  • away conference: -0.38 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.28 (path difference 0.72)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.23 (path difference 0.39)
  • week: -0.20 (path difference 1.33)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +0.20 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.00 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 66.03 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs a700112a2e17ab84e4153ac0e121414fc19f5daf70e61bf3882e9d637ad55cfb · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 971eb825aeabdc2692e954b7023d0f5764960c6b3e486af7dfa40896cdf38054 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Boston College

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 114 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Mason McKenzie

CFBD athlete 5307005

Week 5 vs SMU: 21 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.470 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 8 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.107 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 16 attempts · 10.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.851 raw PPA.

455.6839.5%116 / 5.2
Bo MacCormack III

CFBD athlete 5208592

Week 5 vs SMU: 6 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.053 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 11 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.359 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 20 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.587 raw PPA.

375.4032.5%49 / 5.0
Evan Dickens

CFBD athlete 5076122

Week 5 vs SMU: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.020 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 13 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.120 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.287 raw PPA.

193.8016.7%63 / 4.4
Mekhi Dodd

CFBD athlete 5211163

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 3 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.181 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 5 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.137 raw PPA.

85.307.0%10 / 7.4
Nolan Ray

CFBD athlete 4921316

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 3 attempts · 12.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.259 raw PPA.

312.002.6%7 / 6.0

Duke

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 79 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Nate Sheppard

CFBD athlete 5164332

Week 6 vs Georgia Tech: 25 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 36.0% success · 0.163 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs North Carolina: 19 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 52.6% success · 0.210 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia: 15 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.099 raw PPA.

593.8074.7%148 / 5.6
CJ Campbell

CFBD athlete 4873588

Week 6 vs Georgia Tech: 6 attempts · 7.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.350 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs North Carolina: 9 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -1.021 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia: 1 attempts · 12.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.373 raw PPA.

167.4020.3%50 / 5.0
Dan Mahan

CFBD athlete 5185699

Week 6 vs Georgia Tech: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.096 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Virginia: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.445 raw PPA.

32.713.8%9 / 5.3
Walker Eget

CFBD athlete 4694149

Week 6 vs Georgia Tech: 1 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.003 raw PPA.

111.001.3%6 / 1.3

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureDukeOffenseBoston CollegeDefenseBoston CollegeOffenseDukeDefense
PPA/play
+0.23
80th
+0.01
74th
+0.07
28th
+0.01
76th
Success rate
42.8%
47th
40.6%
50th
41.3%
37th
38.0%
72nd
Explosiveness
1.33
88th
1.16
77th
1.27
69th
1.15
78th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.15
73rd
-0.02
66th
+0.05
37th
+0.07
35th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.41
83rd
+0.08
77th
+0.10
21st
-0.11
96th
Havoc allowed / created
10.8%
92nd
17.2%
70th
17.3%
17th
16.0%
51st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:50 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:50 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Luca Lombardo · Boston College · PAAR 0.06 · 8 attempts
  • Cosme Salas · Duke · PAAR -0.12 · 5 attempts
  • Gavin Strange · Duke · PAAR 0.29 · 6 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Duke spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -7

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -310 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +255 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +255 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7 · Snapshot spread: -7

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 47.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -278 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -310 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +250 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Duke

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

67th FBS percentile

Boston College

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

59th FBS percentile

Travel

Boston College travels 604 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Boston College leads 5–4 in 9 meetings since 1927.

  • 2022Duke at Boston College38–31 · Duke
  • 2020Boston College at Duke26–6 · Boston College
  • 2015Boston College at Duke7–9 · Duke
  • 2011Duke at Boston College20–19 · Duke
  • 2010Boston College at Duke21–16 · Boston College
  • 2006Duke at Boston College7–28 · Boston College

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.