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Duke

2026 season

ACC
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Duke's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 30.5 across 8 systems; best 24, worst 40, so they disagree by 16 places.

Lab EPA
#24
Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#33
up 122026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#40
up 72026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#27
up 132026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#36
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#28
up 5 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#37
up 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#24
up 212026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#42 of 138
Schedule strength
#94 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#11 of 138
Game control
#52 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#30 of 138
Offense
#42 of 138
Defense
#26 of 138
Special teams
#58 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Duke · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

6-2 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.118 net EPA/play

#24

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

7.01 points

#33 · Up 12 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +13.31 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -4.86, schedule #92 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -2.13. That is worth +8.45 on its own; the preseason prior of +2.06 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +7.01.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Duke · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Tulane
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858209
+14.00 → +14.00-2.500.73498.26%-3.880.950-0.3200.630
Week 2 · Illinois
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401858217
+4.00 → +4.00+2.500.76378.58%+3.320.5580.2850.843
Week 3 · Stanford
home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401858231
+28.00 → +28.00-2.500.79378.92%-8.162.275-0.7281.547
Week 4 · William & Mary
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401858244
+55.00 → +35.00-2.500.82499.27%-25.00 (fixed lower division)3.013-2.3180.695
Week 6 · Georgia Tech
away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401858255
-3.00 → -3.00+2.500.890910.01%-6.67-0.050-0.668-0.718
Week 7 · North Carolina
home · 2026-10-17 · ID 401858266
-4.00 → -4.00-2.500.925910.41%+4.39-0.6760.457-0.219
Week 8 · Virginia
away · 2026-10-23 · ID 401858271
+3.00 → +3.00+2.500.962210.82%+0.540.5950.0590.653
Week 9 · Boston College
home · 2026-10-31 · ID 401858279
+45.00 → +35.00-2.501.000011.24%-4.763.653-0.5353.118

Game terms +6.55 points; prior term +0.46 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +7.01 points. The preseason prior is +2.06 with 22.48% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

9.1 SP+ points

#40 · Up 7 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

11.01 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#28 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 2.50 on 433 plays; defense -8.52 on 396 plays.

2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Duke 9 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
6-2 · conf 3-2 · home 4-1 · away 2-1 · expected wins 6.2
Polls (Week 10)
unranked
CFP latest
unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 6-2 ATS (+9.5 avg) · 2025: 8-6 ATS (+0.5 avg)
Head coach
Manny Diaz · hired 2023-12-07 · 18-9 over 3 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #61 (184 pts) · 2025 #30 (221 pts) · 2026 #71 (189 pts)
Returning
17% of production · 22% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing4%0%
Receiving20%23%
Rushing43%49%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back163.000.863613.82
Defensive Line173.180.874214.86
Linebacker83.000.86286.90
Offensive Line143.070.857412.00
Quarterback33.000.87562.63
Receiver123.000.863510.36
Running Back53.200.87724.39
Special Teams113.180.85939.45

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Walker Eget · QB

CFBD athlete 4694149. San José State (2021–2025); Duke (2026–2026)

Passing WEPA0.33919940.7%
Pass 88.1% · Rush 2.4%

1st 33.2% · 2nd 44.2% · 3rd 53.7%

Standard downs 36.7% · Passing downs 49.7%

2021: 3★ · 0.8415
Nate Sheppard · RB

CFBD athlete 5164332. Duke (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.26417237.4%
Pass 15.2% · Rush 58.1%

1st 44.0% · 2nd 37.0% · 3rd 25.9%

Standard downs 41.2% · Passing downs 29.0%

2025: 4★ · 0.8925
CJ Campbell · RB

CFBD athlete 4873588. Florida State (2021–2023); Duke (2026–2026); Rutgers (2025–2025); Florida Atlantic (2024–2024)

Rushing WEPA0.0015011.9%
Pass 2.9% · Rush 20.1%

1st 12.0% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 13.0%

Standard downs 10.8% · Passing downs 14.2%

Not linked
Gavin Strange · PK

CFBD athlete 5291821. Duke (2026–2026)

Kicker PAAR1.5308—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Cosme Salas · PK

CFBD athlete 5218791. Duke (2024–2026)

Kicker PAAR-0.1205—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Blake Rohrer · WR

CFBD athlete 5372137. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Brett Elliott · TE

CFBD athlete 5146267. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 6.3%

Not linked
Brody Keefe · WR

CFBD athlete 5161004. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.3%
Pass 11.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 6.6% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 5.7%

Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 5.8%

Not linked
CJ Givers · RB

CFBD athlete 5290560. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 8.1%

1st 2.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.7%

Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Dan Mahan · QB

CFBD athlete 5185699. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.2%
Pass 9.0% · Rush 3.8%

1st 6.2% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 11.1%

Standard downs 5.0% · Passing downs 8.9%

Not linked
Jaivon Solomon · WR

CFBD athlete 5200108. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.6%
Pass 9.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.3% · 2nd 4.4% · 3rd 8.5%

Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 6.5%

Not linked
Jake Taylor · TE

CFBD athlete 3949586. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.5%
Pass 7.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.9% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 3.2%

Not linked
Jared Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5084409. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.7%
Pass 12.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.7% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 7.1%

Standard downs 5.6% · Passing downs 5.8%

Not linked
Javen Nicholas · WR

CFBD athlete 5081131. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.9%
Pass 4.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.3%

Standard downs 0.7% · Passing downs 5.1%

Not linked
Jayden Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5079610. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.7%
Pass 8.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.2% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 3.5%

Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 6.7%

Not linked
Jayvian Tanelus · RB

CFBD athlete 5272781. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.9%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 16.9%

1st 11.9% · 2nd 10.1% · 3rd 2.8%

Standard downs 12.6% · Passing downs 1.9%

Not linked
Jeremiah Hasley · TE

CFBD athlete 4869728. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.8%
Pass 17.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 5.4% · 2nd 8.8% · 3rd 11.1%

Standard downs 7.1% · Passing downs 9.5%

Not linked
Jonah Burton · WR

CFBD athlete 4879192. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.8%
Pass 13.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 5.0% · 2nd 5.5% · 3rd 9.3%

Standard downs 4.7% · Passing downs 8.3%

Not linked
Kavon Conciauro · WR

CFBD athlete 5266901. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.7%
Pass 5.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 7.7%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 5.6%

Not linked
Kavon Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 5216844. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.6%
Pass 8.2% · Rush 0.4%

1st 3.2% · 2nd 2.9% · 3rd 6.3%

Standard downs 3.7% · Passing downs 3.3%

Not linked
Nate Kurisky · TE

CFBD athlete 4816323. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.2%
Pass 7.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.0% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 2.3%

Standard downs 1.3% · Passing downs 8.1%

Not linked
Paxon Kettering · WR

CFBD athlete 5218795. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Terry Walker III · QB

CFBD athlete 5211205. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——8.2%
Pass 11.8% · Rush 5.4%

1st 2.8% · 2nd 18.2% · 3rd 7.7%

Standard downs 9.1% · Passing downs 5.6%

Not linked
Wilhelm Daal · RB

CFBD athlete 5094035. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 8.1%

1st 2.8% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 7.7%

Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 19 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Ari Patu · QBNorth Alabama2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Blaine Hipa · QBPrinceton2026-03-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Braden Miller · OTCalifornia2026-01-083★ / 0.8800Immediate
CJ Campbell Jr. · RBRutgers2026-01-083★ / 0.8400Immediate
Che Ojarikre · SStanford2026-01-113★ / 0.8600Immediate
Dakota Quinonez · DLDartmouth2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Dylan Flowers · CBWestern Kentucky2026-01-033★ / 0.8700Immediate
Evan Smith · CBNorthwestern2026-01-173★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jared Richardson · WRPennsylvania2026-01-053★ / 0.8600Immediate
Javen Nicholas · WRCharlotte2026-01-093★ / 0.8700Immediate
Jon Morris · LBUConn2026-01-093★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jonah Burton · WRIdaho State2026-03-233★ / 0.8600Immediate
Kyon Loud · CBMontana2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
Nate Kurisky · TELouisville2026-01-043★ / 0.8500Immediate
Nick Del Grande · OTCoastal Carolina2026-01-053★ / 0.8500Immediate
Owen Wafle · DLPenn State2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Patrick Smith-Young · SNorth Texas2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Walker Eget · QBSan José State2026-01-263★ / 0.8600Immediate
Wilhelm Daal II · RBYale2026-01-133★ / 0.8600Immediate
Outgoing · 17 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Chase Tyler · WRWake Forest2026-01-053★ / 0.8600Immediate
Cooper Barkate · WRMiami2026-01-224★ / 0.9400Immediate
Darian Mensah · QBMiami2026-01-164★ / 0.9400Immediate
Desmond Aladuge · DLUConn2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Henry Belin IV · QBMissouri State2026-01-163★ / 0.8300Immediate
Jack Small · OTDelaware2026-01-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kenzy Paul · SNot reported2025-12-193★ / —Immediate
Kyren Condoll · CBRice2026-01-103★ / 0.8400Immediate
Ma'Khi Jones · SFlorida State2026-01-123★ / 0.8700Immediate
Maliki Wright · SKennesaw State2026-01-223★ / 0.8400Immediate
Moussa Kane · CBUConn2026-01-243★ / 0.8600Immediate
Peyton Jones · RBLiberty2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Que'Sean Brown · WRVirginia Tech2026-01-104★ / 0.9300Immediate
Terry Moore · SOhio State2026-01-124★ / 0.9400Immediate
Terry Simmons · DLSouth Florida2026-01-063★ / —Immediate
Vance Bolyard · TETulane2026-01-103★ / 0.8300Immediate
Vontae Floyd · CBFlorida International2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Duke. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Manny Diaz · career 39–24 across 6 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 21 appointments
  1. 2024–present · Manny Diaz · active at capture

    18–9 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2023-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2023–2023 · Trooper Taylor · interim

    1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2023-11-27. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2022–2023 · Mike Elko

    16–9 · 25 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2021-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2008–2021 · David Cutcliffe

    77–97 · 174 attributed games · 14 seasons

    Hired 2007-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2003–2007 · Ted Roof

    6–45 · 51 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2003-12-06. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 1999–2003 · Carl Franks

    7–45 · 52 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 1994–1998 · Fred Goldsmith

    17–39 · 56 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 1990–1993 · Barry Wilson

    13–30–1 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  9. 1987–1989 · Steve Spurrier

    20–13–1 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  10. 1983–1986 · Steve Sloan

    13–31 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  11. 1979–1982 · Red Wilson

    16–27–1 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  12. 1971–1978 · Mike McGee

    37–47–4 · 88 attributed games · 8 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  13. 1966–1970 · Tom Harp

    22–28–1 · 51 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  14. 1951–1965 · Bill Murray

    93–51–9 · 153 attributed games · 15 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  15. 1946–1950 · Wallace Wade

    25–17–4 · 46 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  16. 1931–1941 · Wallace Wade

    85–19–3 · 107 attributed games · 11 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  17. 1926–1930 · Jimmy DeHart

    24–23–2 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  18. 1925–1925 · James Herron

    4–5 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  19. 1924–1924 · Howard Jones

    4–5 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  20. 1923–1923 · S.M. Alexander

    5–4 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  21. 1922–1922 · Herman Steiner

    7–2–1 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Manny Diaz · incomplete attribution0–0——6.55.971—
2025 · Manny Diaz9–56–21–06.65.230—
2024 · Manny Diaz9–45–30–15.61.661—
2023 · Mike Elko · incomplete attribution7–5——9.49.856—
2023 · Trooper Taylor · incomplete attribution1–0——9.49.856—
2022 · Mike Elko9–45–31–05752—
2021 · David Cutcliffe3–90–80–0-13.5-15.658—
2020 · David Cutcliffe2–91–90–0-4.2—61—
2019 · David Cutcliffe5–73–50–0-1.8-2.249—
2018 · David Cutcliffe8–53–51–056.463—
2017 · David Cutcliffe7–63–51–06.18.347—
2016 · David Cutcliffe4–81–70–0-2.8-133—
2015 · David Cutcliffe8–54–41–03.4352—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:06:45 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play23 / 13883.913 / 13891.2
Success rate74 / 13846.736 / 13874.5
Explosiveness14 / 13890.58 / 13894.9
Standard-down success97 / 13829.980 / 13842.3
Passing-down success39 / 13872.33 / 13898.5
Pass PPA24 / 13883.233 / 13876.6
Rush PPA37 / 13873.77 / 13895.6
Pass explosiveness44 / 13868.617 / 13888.3
Rush explosiveness10 / 13893.411 / 13892.7
Line yards79 / 13843.132 / 13877.4
Second-level yards36 / 13874.511 / 13892.7
Open-field yards44 / 13868.650 / 13864.2
Stuff rate60 / 13856.942 / 13870.1
Power successT45 / 13867.2T27 / 13880.7
HavocT11 / 13892.3T42 / 13869.3
Front-seven havocT9 / 13893.4T27 / 13880.3
DB havocT74 / 13846.4T88 / 13835.4
Points / opportunity39 / 13872.311 / 13892.7
Average field positionT19 / 13886.5T12 / 13891.6
Field-position expected points20 / 13886.116 / 13889.1

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Walker Eget · QBUsage 40.7% · Avg PPA 0.342 · Total 76.350
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.34276.35040.7%
Pass0.37881.27188.1%
Rush-0.357-2.5012.4%
1st down0.1189.48033.2%
2nd down0.39231.33844.2%
3rd down0.60935.34453.7%
Standard downs0.14920.77536.7%
Passing downs0.66255.57549.7%
Nate Sheppard · RBUsage 37.4% · Avg PPA 0.354 · Total 72.520
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.35472.52037.4%
Pass0.73827.29815.2%
Rush0.26945.22258.1%
1st down0.12913.64544.0%
2nd down0.37024.77937.0%
3rd down0.92525.89825.9%
Standard downs0.36356.59641.2%
Passing downs0.32515.92429.0%
CJ Campbell · RBUsage 11.9% · Avg PPA -0.114 · Total -7.391
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.114-7.39111.9%
Pass-0.127-0.8922.9%
Rush-0.112-6.49920.1%
1st down-0.047-1.35912.0%
2nd down0.0260.48810.5%
3rd down0.3414.76813.0%
Standard downs-0.300-12.30910.8%
Passing downs0.2054.91814.2%
Jayvian Tanelus · RBUsage 9.9% · Avg PPA 0.412 · Total 8.658
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4128.6589.9%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.4128.65816.9%
1st down0.3984.77911.9%
2nd down0.0860.60310.1%
3rd down1.2211.2212.8%
Standard downs0.4448.88712.6%
Passing downs-0.229-0.2291.9%
Terry Walker III · QBUsage 8.2% · Avg PPA 0.364 · Total 2.184
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3642.1848.2%
Pass0.7733.09311.8%
Rush-0.454-0.9095.4%
1st down-0.333-0.3332.8%
2nd down0.3191.27518.2%
3rd down1.2421.2427.7%
Standard downs0.1880.9429.1%
Passing downs1.2421.2425.6%
Jeremiah Hasley · TEUsage 7.8% · Avg PPA 0.468 · Total 20.138
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.46820.1387.8%
Pass0.46820.13817.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.0670.8675.4%
2nd down0.5989.5718.8%
3rd down0.3984.77611.1%
Standard downs0.41011.0797.1%
Passing downs0.5669.0599.5%
Dan Mahan · QBUsage 6.2% · Avg PPA 0.091 · Total 3.081
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0913.0816.2%
Pass0.3427.5349.0%
Rush-0.057-0.6233.8%
1st down0.1572.3516.2%
2nd down0.1951.1713.3%
3rd down0.2112.53711.1%
Standard downs0.2033.8585.0%
Passing downs-0.052-0.7778.9%
Jonah Burton · WRUsage 5.8% · Avg PPA 0.546 · Total 17.463
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.54617.4635.8%
Pass0.54617.46313.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.4215.0495.0%
2nd down0.2322.3225.5%
3rd down1.00910.0929.3%
Standard downs0.2835.0904.7%
Passing downs0.88412.3738.3%
Jared Richardson · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.506 · Total 14.157
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.50614.1575.7%
Pass0.50614.15712.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1511.5144.7%
2nd down0.5385.9156.8%
3rd down0.9616.7287.1%
Standard downs0.1753.3275.6%
Passing downs1.20310.8305.8%
Brody Keefe · WRUsage 5.3% · Avg PPA 0.571 · Total 5.708
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5715.7085.3%
Pass0.5715.70811.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.262-1.5736.6%
2nd down2.1074.2143.4%
3rd down1.5333.0675.7%
Standard downs-0.067-0.4715.1%
Passing downs2.0596.1785.8%
Jaivon Solomon · WRUsage 4.6% · Avg PPA 0.723 · Total 13.745
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.72313.7454.6%
Pass0.72313.7459.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.5583.3483.3%
2nd down0.8605.1624.4%
3rd down0.7485.2368.5%
Standard downs0.5235.7553.8%
Passing downs0.9997.9906.5%
CJ Givers · RBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 1.209 · Total 3.628
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.2093.6284.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush1.2093.6288.1%
1st down0.2450.2452.8%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.484-0.4847.7%
Standard downs1.2093.6285.5%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Wilhelm Daal · RBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA -0.377 · Total -1.131
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.377-1.1314.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.377-1.1318.1%
1st down-0.140-0.1402.8%
2nd down-0.516-0.5164.5%
3rd down-0.475-0.4757.7%
Standard downs-0.377-1.1315.5%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Jayden Moore · WRUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA 0.060 · Total 0.955
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0600.9553.7%
Pass0.0600.9558.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.559-3.3563.2%
2nd down1.0986.5864.2%
3rd down0.2340.7033.5%
Standard downs-0.328-2.2942.4%
Passing downs0.3613.2486.7%
Kavon Simmons · WRUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.592 · Total 8.883
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5928.8833.6%
Pass0.4596.4258.2%
Rush2.4582.4580.4%
1st down0.2601.5603.2%
2nd down0.7382.9522.9%
3rd down0.8744.3726.3%
Standard downs0.4544.9903.7%
Passing downs0.9733.8943.3%
Jake Taylor · TEUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA -0.603 · Total -8.444
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.603-8.4443.5%
Pass-0.603-8.4447.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1801.2633.9%
2nd down-0.320-1.6003.8%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.479-4.7893.6%
Passing downs-0.914-3.6563.2%
Nate Kurisky · TEUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA 0.316 · Total 2.214
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3162.2143.2%
Pass0.3162.2147.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.306-0.3061.0%
2nd down0.6103.0526.8%
3rd down-0.532-0.5322.3%
Standard downs-0.653-1.3061.3%
Passing downs0.7043.5208.1%
Kavon Conciauro · WRUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.396 · Total 0.791
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3960.7912.7%
Pass0.3960.7915.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.451-0.4514.5%
3rd down1.2421.2427.7%
Standard downs-0.451-0.4511.8%
Passing downs1.2421.2425.6%
Javen Nicholas · WRUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA 0.708 · Total 2.834
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.7082.8341.9%
Pass0.7082.8344.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.805-0.8051.1%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down1.2133.6397.3%
Standard downs-0.805-0.8050.7%
Passing downs1.2133.6395.1%
Brett Elliott · TEUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.325 · Total -0.325
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.325-0.3251.5%
Pass-0.325-0.3254.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.325-0.3258.3%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.325-0.3256.3%
Blake Rohrer · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -0.835 · Total -0.835
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.835-0.8351.4%
Pass-0.835-0.8352.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.835-0.8354.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.835-0.8351.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Paxon Kettering · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 3.137 · Total 3.137
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall3.1373.1371.4%
Pass3.1373.1372.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down3.1373.1374.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs3.1373.1371.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where Duke sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.235 (84th percentile; 138 teams)84thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.421 (47th percentile; 138 teams)47thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.343 (91st percentile; 138 teams)91stOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.365 (83rd percentile; 138 teams)83rdOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.155 (74th percentile; 138 teams)74thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: -0.058 (91st percentile; 138 teams)91stDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.378 (74th percentile; 138 teams)74thDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.088 (95th percentile; 138 teams)95thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.171 (69th percentile; 138 teams)69th
Values and percentiles
Duke metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.23584th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.42147th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.34391st138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.36583rd138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.15574th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play-0.05891st138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.37874th138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.08895th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.17169th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-11-06. Offense: 98% of 247 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.6 yards (48th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.6 per completion. Completion 60.3%, 7.7 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.37.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense59.8%60.7%-0.9209 / 247
Defense allowed61.7%63.2%-1.5206 / 229

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.0, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 7.7, YAC 4.9Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Arizona: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8Arizona State: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.1Arkansas: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.5, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.1BYU: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Ball State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Baylor: ADOT 10.2, YAC 5.1Boise State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.0Boston College: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.6Bowling Green: ADOT 6.4, YAC 5.6Buffalo: ADOT 10.1, YAC 2.2California: ADOT 6.2, YAC 5.6Central Michigan: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.5Charlotte: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5Cincinnati: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.7Clemson: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.8Coastal Carolina: ADOT 10.6, YAC 5.8Colorado: ADOT 8.6, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.6, YAC 8.3Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.2, YAC 5.3Florida: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.7Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.5Florida International: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.4, YAC 8.1Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.0Georgia: ADOT 8.2, YAC 7.7Georgia Southern: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 4.7Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.3, YAC 4.9Iowa: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.3Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Kansas: ADOT 12.5, YAC 5.2Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.7, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.2Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.0Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 6.2Louisville: ADOT 9.1, YAC 7.1Marshall: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.3Maryland: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.0Massachusetts: ADOT 10.4, YAC 4.6Memphis: ADOT 10.3, YAC 5.6Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.7, YAC 6.2Michigan: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.8Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.1, YAC 6.1Mississippi State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.6Missouri: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.1Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.0Nebraska: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.9Nevada: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.1New Mexico: ADOT 9.9, YAC 6.1New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.4North Carolina: ADOT 7.4, YAC 6.4North Dakota State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Northwestern: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.9Ohio: ADOT 9.6, YAC 6.1Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 5.1Oklahoma: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.9, YAC 4.3Ole Miss: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.1Oregon: ADOT 7.6, YAC 6.5Oregon State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 7.7Penn State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 5.1Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 11.3, YAC 5.5SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.3Sacramento State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.2San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.7South Alabama: ADOT 10.7, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.3Southern Miss: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.1Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.9Syracuse: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.5TCU: ADOT 9.5, YAC 4.6Temple: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.9Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.8Texas Tech: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 9.1, YAC 6.1Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.2, YAC 4.9Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.4UCF: ADOT 7.0, YAC 5.4UCLA: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.8UConn: ADOT 11.2, YAC 6.3UL Monroe: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8UNLV: ADOT 10.5, YAC 4.3USC: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.4UTEP: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.9UTSA: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.0Utah: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.8Utah State: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.5Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.7, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.5Washington State: ADOT 7.1, YAC 4.0West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Wisconsin: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.9Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Duke: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.6Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Duke.

Target mix by zone, Duke offense
Short left29% · 69Short middle21% · 50Short right34% · 81Deep left9% · 22Deep middle3% · 6Deep right5% · 11

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Duke passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense24798%8.66.660.3%0.37-0.9 pp209
Passing defense229100%7.15.761.1%0.15-1.5 pp206

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense2925.140.4%0.183.101.101.4014.5%76.5%
Defense allowed2593.338.3%-0.112.700.800.8018.7%64.3%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense283 / 292275172880281 / 282 · 99.6%
Defense allowed252 / 259250922220235 / 235 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -0.9 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-14.7-3.28.2W1W1 vs Tulane: -14.7 ppW2W2 vs Illinois: +8.2 ppW3W3 vs Stanford: +1.6 ppW4W6W6 vs Georgia Tech: +0.5 ppW7W7 vs North Carolina: -4.2 ppW8W8 vs Virginia: -1.1 ppW9W9 vs Boston College: +6.6 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Tulane282748.1%62.8%-14.7 pp6.0-0.30495.10.09
W2Illinois222268.2%60.0%+8.2 pp9.00.76354.20.31
W3Stanford242458.3%56.7%+1.6 pp11.00.57475.60.34
W4William & Mary340———9.40.71377.70.43
W6Georgia Tech424163.4%62.9%+0.5 pp7.30.30354.50.23
W7North Carolina413961.5%65.7%-4.2 pp5.00.38295.2-0.26
W8Virginia313154.8%56.0%-1.1 pp12.20.17193.7-0.04
W9Boston College252564.0%57.4%+6.6 pp11.10.42414.00.16

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

29 punts · 45.7 gross yards/punt · 33.6 net yards/punt

6 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 1 blocked

Known gross yards: 29/29 punts. Known net yards: 18/29 punts.

Our punt returns

12 returns · 13.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 12/12 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 9 · Boston College243.047.01/2
Week 8 · Virginia642.235.04/6
Week 7 · North Carolina430.527.04/4
Week 6 · Georgia Tech449.017.01/4
Week 4 · William & Mary157.0—0/1
Team style
Rating history