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Florida State at Boston College

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Florida State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-09 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Ashton Daniels QB
3 games
40.8%
42 / 103 plays
57.7%
15 / 26 plays
Ousmane Kromah RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.5%
12 / 32 plays
Tre Wisner RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.9%
11 / 29 plays
Kevin Sperry QB
2 games
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Amari Thomas RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Cottrill · LB

CFBD athlete 4837206

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Amari Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5372196

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
57
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
39
receiving · YPR
9.8
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
12
rushing · YPC
3.0
Andre Otto · OL

CFBD athlete 5150844

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Antonio Cromartie Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5222701

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ashlynd Barker · DB

CFBD athlete 5150837

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
47
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ashton Daniels · QB

CFBD athlete 4838679

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
214
passing · COMPLETIONS
127
passing · INT
11
passing · PCT
0.593
passing · TD
14
passing · YDS
1968
passing · YPA
9.2
rushing · CAR
94
rushing · LONG
81
rushing · TD
12
rushing · YDS
375
rushing · YPC
4.0
Blake Nichelson · LB

CFBD athlete 4899480

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
CJ Richard Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5227705

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
53
Caleb Lavallee · LB

CFBD athlete 4921255

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
17
Charles Lester III · DB

CFBD athlete 5079566

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Chase Loftin · TE

CFBD athlete 5164345

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
8.0
Chris Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 5228122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
56
Daniel Hughes · P

CFBD athlete 5296606

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
65
punting · NO
26
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1084
punting · YPP
41.7
Daniel Lyons · DL

CFBD athlete 4685447

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
Darryll Desir · DL

CFBD athlete 5167701

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Deamontae Diggs · DL

CFBD athlete 4694352

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
6
Deante McCray · DL

CFBD athlete 4837247

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
13
Desirrio Riles · TE

CFBD athlete 5160086

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
9.0
Donny Hiebert · DB

CFBD athlete 5150841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Duce Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 4870922

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
438
receiving · YPR
18.3
rushing · CAR
0
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-12
rushing · YPC
0
Ethan Post · P

CFBD athlete 5294073

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
48
punting · NO
4
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
173
punting · YPP
43.3
Franklin Whitley · DL

CFBD athlete 5310760

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Gabe Panikowski · PK

CFBD athlete 5083549

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
7
kicking · FGM
7
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
49
kicking · XPA
28
kicking · XPM
28
Ja'Bril Rawls · DB

CFBD athlete 5085388

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
34
Jalen Anderson · DL

CFBD athlete 5372197

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
11
Jarvis Boatwright Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5083703

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jasen Lopez · WR

CFBD athlete 5222974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
9.6
puntReturns · LONG
31
puntReturns · NO
12
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
115
receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
108
receiving · YPR
13.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
12
rushing · YPC
12.0
Jayvan Boggs · WR

CFBD athlete 5164350

receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
415
receiving · YPR
19.8
Jordan Crutchfield · DB

CFBD athlete 5203605

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jordan Sanders · DL

CFBD athlete 5083164

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
K.J. Kirkland · DB

CFBD athlete 4899348

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Karon Maycock · LB

CFBD athlete 5172098

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Kevin Sperry · QB

CFBD athlete 5141661

passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
21
passing · YPA
4.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-8
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Kevin Wynn · DL

CFBD athlete 5155173

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Landen Thomas · TE

CFBD athlete 5079738

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
10.3
Ma'Khi Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5144685

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
31
Mandrell Desir · DL

CFBD athlete 5167703

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
18
Max Redmon · DB

CFBD athlete 5141642

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Micahi Danzy · WR

CFBD athlete 5088153

kickReturns · AVG
16.6
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
83
receiving · LONG
56
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
401
receiving · YPR
17.4
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
28
rushing · YPC
9.3
Mikai Gbayor · LB

CFBD athlete 4683154

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6
defensive · TOT
35
Nehemiah Chandler · DB

CFBD athlete 5147679

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
3
Noah LaVallee · LB

CFBD athlete 5291010

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Omar Graham Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4808743

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
40
Ousmane Kromah · RB

CFBD athlete 5141560

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
97
receiving · YPR
8.8
rushing · CAR
114
rushing · LONG
54
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
609
rushing · YPC
5.3
Quindarrius Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5075960

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ricky Knight III · DB

CFBD athlete 5128063

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Rylan Kennedy · DL

CFBD athlete 5116973

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
6
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
20
Samuel Singleton · RB

CFBD athlete 4870955

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
32.0
kickReturns · LONG
46
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
128
receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
162
receiving · YPR
20.3
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
73
rushing · YPC
3.7
Sean Poret · OL

CFBD athlete 5216568

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Tre Wisner · RB

CFBD athlete 4871076

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
201
receiving · YPR
11.8
rushing · CAR
51
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
247
rushing · YPC
4.8
Xavier Chaplin · OL

CFBD athlete 4870517

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Tiller · TE

CFBD athlete 5159053

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Zae Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5294071

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Zay Parks · RB

CFBD athlete 5218242

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
kickReturns · AVG
11.3
kickReturns · LONG
16
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
34

Boston College

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Mason McKenzie QB
3 games
35.8%
24 / 67 plays
55.2%
16 / 29 plays
Bo MacCormack III RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
56.4%
22 / 39 plays
Evan Dickens RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.2%
6 / 13 plays
Mekhi Dodd RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.2%
6 / 13 plays
Grayson Wilson QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 6 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Femi Babalola QB
1 games
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Nolan Ray RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
3 / 3 plays
Jaedn Skeete WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andy Quinn · PK

CFBD athlete 5250468

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Anthony Ferrucci · RB

CFBD athlete 5160640

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Anthony Palano · LB

CFBD athlete 5227820

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
34
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
69
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
6
Ashton Cunningham · DB

CFBD athlete 5216309

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Bo MacCormack III · RB

CFBD athlete 5208592

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
50
receiving · YPR
7.1
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
268
rushing · YPC
4.6
Bodie Kahoun · LB

CFBD athlete 5145122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
Brady Clough · TE

CFBD athlete 5222676

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
61
receiving · YPR
8.7
Bryce LaFollette · P

CFBD athlete 5100750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
3
punting · LONG
51
punting · NO
31
punting · TB
5
punting · YDS
1276
punting · YPP
41.2
Cameron Martinez · DB

CFBD athlete 4431242

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron McGee · DL

CFBD athlete 5222698

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
8
Carter Davis · DB

CFBD athlete 4923220

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
46
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Chandler Jordan · DB

CFBD athlete 5167181

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Charlie Comella · DB

CFBD athlete 5147375

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
32
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
interceptions · AVG
17.5
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
70
puntReturns · AVG
1.6
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
8
Chris Marable Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4917944

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Christian Hudson · DL

CFBD athlete 5148602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
14
Cooper Crook · LS

CFBD athlete 5222681

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Da'Jon Green · DB

CFBD athlete 5290506

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Danny Edgehille · TE

CFBD athlete 5222675

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
45
receiving · YPR
11.3
Dawson Pough · WR

CFBD athlete 5214566

receiving · LONG
78
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
204
receiving · YPR
15.7
Demetrius Ballard · DE

CFBD athlete 5194641

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
23
E'Lla Boykin · DL

CFBD athlete 5280992

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
29
Evan Dickens · RB

CFBD athlete 5076122

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
114
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
66
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
296
rushing · YPC
4.5
Favor Bate · DL

CFBD athlete 5225317

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
Femi Babalola · QB

CFBD athlete 5276589

passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
49
passing · YPA
9.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
2.5
Grayson Wilson · QB

CFBD athlete 5142236

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.400
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
-1
passing · YPA
-0.2
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
12
rushing · YPC
4.0
Isaiah Farris · DB

CFBD athlete 4917124

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Israel Oladipupo · DL

CFBD athlete 5214511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jackson Wade · WR

CFBD athlete 5151897

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
18.5
Jaedn Skeete · WR

CFBD athlete 4871001

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Javarius Green · WR

CFBD athlete 5146747

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
308
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
John Montague · WR

CFBD athlete 5222689

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
219
receiving · YPR
16.8
Jonathan Hewitt · PK

CFBD athlete 5291003

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
0
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
0
Jordan Rodriguez · DB

CFBD athlete 5289155

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Josiah Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 4921436

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Juan Zubal · LB

CFBD athlete 5091763

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Judah Pruitt · OL

CFBD athlete 5142797

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Justin Medlock · LB

CFBD athlete 4702789

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
KP Price · DB

CFBD athlete 4921446

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
37
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
60
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kaelan Chudzinski · TE

CFBD athlete 5250264

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
16.0
Kameron Howard · DB

CFBD athlete 5101120

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Keith Sampson · DL

CFBD athlete 4871007

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Kemori Dixon · LB

CFBD athlete 5146821

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kris Jones · DE

CFBD athlete 5079477

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
16
Landon Wright · WR

CFBD athlete 5144853

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
69
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
208
receiving · YPR
26.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
3.0
Luca Lombardo · PK

CFBD athlete 5165482

kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.750
kicking · PTS
33
kicking · XPA
17
kicking · XPM
15
Makai Byerson · DL

CFBD athlete 5079361

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Marcelous Townsend · DB

CFBD athlete 5214943

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Marcus Upton · DB

CFBD athlete 5208002

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
34
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
51
kickReturns · AVG
20.3
kickReturns · LONG
30
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
81
Mason McKenzie · QB

CFBD athlete 5307005

fumbles · FUM
5
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
201
passing · COMPLETIONS
116
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.577
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1450
passing · YPA
7.2
rushing · CAR
132
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
638
rushing · YPC
4.8
Max Tucker · DB

CFBD athlete 5085773

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
19
Mekhi Dodd · RB

CFBD athlete 5211163

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-1
receiving · YPR
-0.5
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
82
rushing · YPC
5.5
Micah Amedee · DL

CFBD athlete 5209761

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
16
Michael Mankaka · DB

CFBD athlete 5081451

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nedrick Boldin Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5203610

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
60
receiving · YPR
12.0
Nolan Ray · RB

CFBD athlete 4921316

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
6.0
Onye Nwosisi · DL

CFBD athlete 5157579

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
20
Rae Sykes Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5215279

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Reed Swanson · WR

CFBD athlete 5152600

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
18.0
Steve Klein · LB

CFBD athlete 5280932

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Syair Torrence · DB

CFBD athlete 5079730

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
TJ Green · DB

CFBD athlete 5209787

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
kickReturns · AVG
20.4
kickReturns · LONG
37
kickReturns · NO
7
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
143
Zacari Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5215579

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Zeke Moore · TE

CFBD athlete 5077304

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
10.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Boston College +6.5

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Florida State -6.5

DraftKings snapshot: Boston College +6.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Boston College by 1.48

7.98 points toward Boston College versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Boston College.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: -2.52
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 1.48 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 1b038d76b92f1dea558c06e39e5ea484945a6118256da38899c1a7763dbd632c · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast dd95b0f7288cbe1b46dbef4e2ada237cf8e2448710dfabd2a8592193b69cfb9b · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Boston College · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+6.5+6.50.0
Model spread-1.48-1.480.0
Model gap+7.98+7.980.0

Negative spreads favor Boston College; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 1b038d76b92f1dea558c06e39e5ea484945a6118256da38899c1a7763dbd632c. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Boston College +6.5

Model gap +8.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Boston College.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Boston College win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
33%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Boston College +6.5
Stacked ensemble
36%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Boston College.

  • home adjusted epa: +10.42 (path difference 4.35)
  • away adjusted success: -9.95 (path difference 0.99)
  • home elo: -7.40 (path difference 0.63)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -5.95 (path difference 0.58)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +5.32 (path difference 2.19)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.97 (path difference 0.18)
  • away talent: -4.95 (path difference 2.62)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.47 (path difference 1.48)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -4.44 (path difference 3.62)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +3.64 (path difference 1.12)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.62 (path difference 0.20)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.87 (path difference 1.28)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.80 (path difference 0.72)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.68 (path difference 0.05)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.59 (path difference 0.69)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.59 (path difference 0.21)
  • home talent: +2.26 (path difference 0.80)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.25 (path difference 1.18)
  • away adjusted epa: -2.16 (path difference 0.79)
  • home adjusted second level yards: -1.93 (path difference 1.29)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.61 (path difference 0.27)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -1.37 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.29 (path difference 0.06)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.11 (path difference 1.21)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.05 (path difference 0.63)
  • week: -1.04 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.03 (path difference 0.59)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.01 (path difference 0.19)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.93 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.84 (path difference 0.33)
  • home conference: -0.82 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.62 (path difference 0.04)
  • away conference: -0.60 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.60 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.60 (path difference 0.19)
  • home adjusted success: -0.58 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted line yards: +0.56 (path difference 0.24)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.56 (path difference 0.53)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.54 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.52 (path difference 0.39)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.45 (path difference 0.46)
  • away elo: +0.39 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.38 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.36 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.25 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.23 (path difference 0.45)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.23 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +0.21 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.18 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.17 (path difference 0.18)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.10 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 36.47 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 0de07510c4b48cfd555318883fa379bb7a293b35e8602832baa14f4dd388e7c9 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast c70d761facbc53283e9d40ddef82941f99425c17a18a04269084df75b223359e · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Florida State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 96 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Ashton Daniels

CFBD athlete 4838679

Week 6 vs Louisville: 12 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 77.8% success · 0.682 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 8 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.492 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Clemson: 13 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.074 raw PPA.

333.6734.4%87 / 4.0
Ousmane Kromah

CFBD athlete 5141560

Week 6 vs Louisville: 19 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 52.6% success · 0.112 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 13 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 15.4% success · -0.779 raw PPA.

324.0033.3%111 / 5.0
Tre Wisner

CFBD athlete 4871076

Week 6 vs Louisville: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.031 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Miami: 9 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.614 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Clemson: 13 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.181 raw PPA.

294.3030.2%51 / 4.8
Kevin Sperry

CFBD athlete 5141661

Week 7 vs Miami: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.161 raw PPA.

12.001.0%2 / -4.0
Amari Thomas

CFBD athlete 5372196

Week 9 vs Clemson: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.249 raw PPA.

11.001.0%4 / 3.0

Boston College

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Bo MacCormack III

CFBD athlete 5208592

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 11 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.359 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 20 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.587 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Duke: 8 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.762 raw PPA.

395.3035.1%57 / 4.6
Mason McKenzie

CFBD athlete 5307005

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 8 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.107 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 16 attempts · 10.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.851 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Duke: 12 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.472 raw PPA.

365.4732.4%128 / 4.9
Evan Dickens

CFBD athlete 5076122

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 13 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.120 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.287 raw PPA.

143.6012.6%63 / 4.4
Mekhi Dodd

CFBD athlete 5211163

Week 7 vs Pittsburgh: 3 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.181 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 5 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.137 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Duke: 5 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.520 raw PPA.

133.8011.7%15 / 5.5
Nolan Ray

CFBD athlete 4921316

Week 8 vs Georgia Tech: 3 attempts · 12.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.259 raw PPA.

312.002.7%7 / 6.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureBoston CollegeOffenseFlorida StateDefenseFlorida StateOffenseBoston CollegeDefense
PPA/play
-0.00
10th
+0.16
18th
+0.18
65th
+0.04
64th
Success rate
40.7%
32nd
41.2%
45th
43.1%
58th
40.2%
56th
Explosiveness
1.20
34th
1.35
11th
1.38
96th
1.19
62nd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.00
24th
+0.12
18th
+0.01
28th
+0.02
53rd
Passing-down PPA/play
-0.01
4th
+0.25
34th
+0.59
100th
+0.09
76th
Havoc allowed / created
18.2%
9th
14.8%
35th
15.0%
46th
17.1%
69th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:00 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:00 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Gabe Panikowski · Florida State · PAAR 5.53 · 7 attempts
  • Luca Lombardo · Boston College · PAAR 0.06 · 8 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Boston College spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +6.5

First locally observed: +6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 52.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -245 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -258 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +6.5

First locally observed: +6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52 · Snapshot total: 52.5

Total · First locally observed: 52 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +210 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -250 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Boston College

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

41st FBS percentile

Florida State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

54th FBS percentile

Travel

Florida State travels 1,097 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Florida State leads 16–6 in 22 meetings since 1957.

  • 2024Boston College at Florida State28–13 · Boston College
  • 2023Florida State at Boston College31–29 · Florida State
  • 2022Boston College at Florida State14–44 · Florida State
  • 2021Florida State at Boston College26–23 · Florida State
  • 2019Florida State at Boston College38–31 · Florida State
  • 2018Boston College at Florida State21–22 · Florida State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.