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New Mexico at San José State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

New Mexico

Window: 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Toa Faavae QB
3 games
49.0%
24 / 49 plays
36.4%
8 / 22 plays
Scottre Humphrey RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.8%
14 / 37 plays
Kiefer Sibley RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
36.4%
12 / 33 plays
James Laubstein QB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
75.0%
6 / 8 plays
Darrion Bowers RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
1 / 6 plays
Cameron Mathews RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
3 / 6 plays
Luke Moga QB
1 games
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Deshaun Buchanan RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Traditional season production · 64 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahahvea Robinson · DT

CFBD athlete 5151515

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Albert Tuakalau · DE

CFBD athlete 5388845

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
6
Austin Brawley · S

CFBD athlete 5083308

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
44.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
2
interceptions · YDS
132
puntReturns · AVG
28.0
puntReturns · LONG
28
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
28
Azariah Levells · CB

CFBD athlete 5231749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bailen George · WR

CFBD athlete 5326947

kickReturns · AVG
2.0
kickReturns · LONG
2
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
2
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
35
passing · YPA
35.0
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
262
receiving · YPR
20.2
Brett Karhu · DE

CFBD athlete 5220449

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
20
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
Brian Booker · DT

CFBD athlete 5096990

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
C.J. Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5121532

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
CJ McBean · S

CFBD athlete 5265515

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
23
interceptions · AVG
20.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
Cade Keith · TE

CFBD athlete 5219572

receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
265
receiving · YPR
13.3
Caden Beck · LS

CFBD athlete 5296592

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron Mathews · RB

CFBD athlete 5295363

kickReturns · AVG
22.5
kickReturns · LONG
30
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
45
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
54
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
149
rushing · YPC
7.5
Charles Steinkamp · P

CFBD athlete 5092308

punting · In 20
3
punting · LONG
76
punting · NO
6
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
276
punting · YPP
46.0
Clay Martineau · LB

CFBD athlete 5149176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
17
DJ Darling · WR

CFBD athlete 5282659

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
132
receiving · YPR
22.0
Darren Agu · DE

CFBD athlete 4807124

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
26
Darrion Bowers · RB

CFBD athlete 5265474

rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
74
rushing · YPC
3.9
Deshaun Buchanan · RB

CFBD athlete 5165109

rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
77
rushing · YPC
7.7
Deven Dyer · DT

CFBD athlete 5084196

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Dorian Patterson · WR

CFBD athlete 5323149

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Drew Speech · S

CFBD athlete 5228812

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
19
Elijah Brody · DE

CFBD athlete 5228794

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Eric McClain · CB

CFBD athlete 5194657

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Frankie Edwards · CB

CFBD athlete 5229948

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
12
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Grant Glasgow · PK

CFBD athlete 5122287

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.600
kicking · PTS
47
kicking · XPA
29
kicking · XPM
29
Hayes Baum · LB

CFBD athlete 5327575

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Jack Burzynski · DE

CFBD athlete 5296607

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jahmir Torres · CB

CFBD athlete 5209307

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
13
interceptions · AVG
21.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
42
Jake Devos · DT

CFBD athlete 5265649

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Jalen Charles · DE

CFBD athlete 5149264

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Jalen McIver · DT

CFBD athlete 5296604

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
10
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
James Laubstein · QB

CFBD athlete 5228804

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
88
rushing · YPC
4.4
Jaxton Eck · LB

CFBD athlete 5165108

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Jayden Flaker · LB

CFBD athlete 5095820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jayden Sheridan · CB

CFBD athlete 4879407

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jerod Terry Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5271114

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
38
rushing · YPC
7.6
John Sierra · DE

CFBD athlete 5193662

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Barnes · CB

CFBD athlete 5223945

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kader Diop · WR

CFBD athlete 5228799

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
Kevin Longstreet · S

CFBD athlete 5151022

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
Kiefer Sibley · RB

CFBD athlete 5146726

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
68
rushing · LONG
36
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
383
rushing · YPC
5.6
Luke Moga · QB

CFBD athlete 5122887

passing · ATT
38
passing · COMPLETIONS
23
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.605
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
248
passing · YPA
6.5
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
-11
rushing · YPC
-1.8
Marco Beltran Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5327582

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
22.5
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
45
puntReturns · AVG
15.6
puntReturns · LONG
44
puntReturns · NO
17
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
265
Marcus Stevens · DE

CFBD athlete 5296596

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Massiah Mingo · WR

CFBD athlete 5181311

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
83
receiving · YPR
11.9
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Mercury Swaim · LB

CFBD athlete 5088352

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
43
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Michael Kern · P

CFBD athlete 5089328

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
66
punting · NO
22
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
915
punting · YPP
41.6
Miles Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5084027

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
8.8
Nicholas Romero · PK

CFBD athlete 5302600

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
4
kicking · XPA
4
kicking · XPM
4
Nick Barber · DT

CFBD athlete 5388854

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Wheeler · S

CFBD athlete 5265505

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Ormanie Arnold · CB

CFBD athlete 5083172

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Ricklan Holmes II · LB

CFBD athlete 5209409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Scottre Humphrey · RB

CFBD athlete 5166161

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
8.0
rushing · CAR
95
rushing · LONG
49
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
453
rushing · YPC
4.8
Tavian Combs · S

CFBD athlete 4612991

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
10.8
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
43
Toa Faavae · QB

CFBD athlete 5261479

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
87
passing · COMPLETIONS
49
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.563
passing · TD
4
passing · YDS
787
passing · YPA
9.0
receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
35.0
rushing · CAR
63
rushing · LONG
41
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
245
rushing · YPC
3.9
Trent Rocker · DE

CFBD athlete 5388843

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Trey Moore · TE

CFBD athlete 5388850

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
13.0
Tripp Walsh · TE

CFBD athlete 5150694

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Troy Omeire · WR

CFBD athlete 4430827

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
64
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
112
receiving · YPR
18.7
Will Hicks · S

CFBD athlete 5226456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Rivera-Rogers · S

CFBD athlete 5326950

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Xavier Slayton · DT

CFBD athlete 5083183

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Zhaiel Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5296587

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
14.3

San José State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Luke Weaver QB
2 games
52.0%
26 / 50 plays
57.1%
4 / 7 plays
Daniel Rolovich QB
2 games
32.1%
9 / 28 plays
50.0%
4 / 8 plays
Viliami Teu RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
34.4%
11 / 32 plays
Jabari Bates RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.9%
7 / 27 plays
Robert McDaniel QB
1 games
12.5%
2 / 16 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Isaiah Carlson RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
4 / 6 plays
Traditional season production · 53 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aizik Mahuka · LB

CFBD athlete 5229951

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
21
Anthony Ivey · WR

CFBD athlete 4685396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
5.5
puntReturns · LONG
33
puntReturns · NO
13
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
72
receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
235
receiving · YPR
19.6
Auma Jennings · DL

CFBD athlete 5388997

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Brady Van Bennekum · LB

CFBD athlete 5151346

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Brian Dukes · S

CFBD athlete 5083138

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
35
Caleb Womack · CB

CFBD athlete 5113022

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
38
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
54
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Carson Clark · WR

CFBD athlete 5161012

receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
47
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
551
receiving · YPR
11.7
Cayden Woolwine · LB

CFBD athlete 5225443

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Champ Kapanui · LB

CFBD athlete 5167315

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Charles Cox III · S

CFBD athlete 5296615

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Cody Hall · WR

CFBD athlete 5161386

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cooper Hoch · WR

CFBD athlete 5151342

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
338
receiving · YPR
14.7
Daniel Rolovich · QB

CFBD athlete 5215357

passing · ATT
26
passing · COMPLETIONS
12
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.462
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
193
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
3.7
Dejon Roney · DL

CFBD athlete 4685536

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Dominique McKenzie · WR

CFBD athlete 5219662

kickReturns · AVG
21.5
kickReturns · LONG
54
kickReturns · NO
11
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
236
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
105
receiving · YPR
21.0
Dylan Aguilera · LS

CFBD athlete 5083860

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Dylan Lee · LB

CFBD athlete 5125470

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
38
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
71
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ethan Powell · LB

CFBD athlete 5082592

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
36
Etu Finau · DL

CFBD athlete 5231018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Greco Carrillo · CB

CFBD athlete 5220597

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
7.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
7
Ian Shewell · DL

CFBD athlete 4612402

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Isaiah Buxton · CB

CFBD athlete 5127723

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Isaiah Carlson · RB

CFBD athlete 4870662

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
62
rushing · YPC
3.9
Jabari Bates · RB

CFBD athlete 4685254

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
86
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
131
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
586
rushing · YPC
4.5
Jase Nix · WR

CFBD athlete 5214408

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
10.4
Jayden Robertson · CB

CFBD athlete 5224389

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
12.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
25
Jayland McGlothen · DL

CFBD athlete 5225861

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
6.0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
26
Jeremiah Tuiileila · DL

CFBD athlete 5238038

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
9
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jerry Mcclure · WR

CFBD athlete 4920229

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
294
receiving · YPR
9.8
John Norwood · LB

CFBD athlete 5113020

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Jordan Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5079299

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
130
receiving · YPR
10.0
Joseph Harbert · OL

CFBD athlete 5082598

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Justin Stearns · DL

CFBD athlete 4875542

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
30
Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TE

CFBD athlete 5151350

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
4.5
Kejuan Bullard · CB

CFBD athlete 4906882

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Luke Weaver · QB

CFBD athlete 5295238

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
219
passing · COMPLETIONS
138
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.630
passing · TD
11
passing · YDS
1620
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
54
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
80
rushing · YPC
1.5
Malachi Riley · WR

CFBD athlete 4870994

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
8.0
Malakai Hoeft · LB

CFBD athlete 5220602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Mathias Brown · PK

CFBD athlete 5220616

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Naseri Danielson · LB

CFBD athlete 5160961

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
61
interceptions · AVG
6.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
6
Nassir Pitters · S

CFBD athlete 5220606

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Nate Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 4701313

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Noa Siaosi · DL

CFBD athlete 5155561

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Pierce Walker · S

CFBD athlete 5225589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Robert McDaniel · QB

CFBD athlete 5205684

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
6
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.462
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
48
passing · YPA
3.7
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-2.2
Runye Norton · CB

CFBD athlete 5296609

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Solomone Langi · DL

CFBD athlete 5296617

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
15
Tama Amisone · WR

CFBD athlete 5296610

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-2.0
Trajan Sinatra · PK

CFBD athlete 5298628

kicking · FGA
18
kicking · FGM
14
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.778
kicking · PTS
57
kicking · XPA
15
kicking · XPM
15
Trent Carrizosa · P

CFBD athlete 5085193

punting · In 20
16
punting · LONG
70
punting · NO
46
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
2013
punting · YPP
43.8
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa · S

CFBD athlete 5296616

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
45
Tyler Jacklich · RB

CFBD athlete 5125784

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Viliami Teu · RB

CFBD athlete 5151338

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
67
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
286
rushing · YPC
6.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

San José State +14.75

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

New Mexico -14.75

DraftKings snapshot: San José State +14.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

New Mexico by 5.60

9.15 points toward San José State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward San José State.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -9.54
  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -5.60 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 142cc9a668444c7c85e9c04c807e71b7e7e365acf81ea3139a2c88a2cb87311e · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 8e654e5a31da3cf7caff629b07612749387cb318289a9562ea25093cc755c978 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: San José State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+14.75+14.750.0
Model spread+5.6+5.60.0
Model gap+9.15+9.150.0

Negative spreads favor San José State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 142cc9a668444c7c85e9c04c807e71b7e7e365acf81ea3139a2c88a2cb87311e. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

San José State +14.75

Model gap +9.2 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor San José State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

San José State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
15%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: San José State +15
Stacked ensemble
31%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward San José State.

  • home elo: -7.79 (path difference 2.29)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.78 (path difference 4.24)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -7.24 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted epa: +6.91 (path difference 4.68)
  • home adjusted success: -6.82 (path difference 1.94)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +5.26 (path difference 0.68)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -5.15 (path difference 1.95)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.02 (path difference 3.54)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +4.85 (path difference 2.32)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.69 (path difference 2.05)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.38 (path difference 0.69)
  • away elo: -4.22 (path difference 0.75)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.71 (path difference 3.04)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.57 (path difference 1.85)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -3.39 (path difference 1.90)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.35 (path difference 1.77)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -3.29 (path difference 2.46)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -2.93 (path difference 1.22)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +2.70 (path difference 0.60)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -2.56 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -2.40 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.09 (path difference 0.83)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.07 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.05 (path difference 0.60)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.00 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.98 (path difference 1.32)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.76 (path difference 1.18)
  • home adjusted line yards: -1.42 (path difference 0.59)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.33 (path difference 0.09)
  • home talent: +1.31 (path difference 1.20)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.21 (path difference 0.57)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.12 (path difference 0.57)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.08 (path difference 1.80)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.95 (path difference 1.97)
  • home conference: -0.86 (path difference 0.54)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.71 (path difference 0.54)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.70 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -0.68 (path difference 0.15)
  • away conference: -0.65 (path difference 0.16)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.55 (path difference 0.28)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.43 (path difference 0.40)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.42 (path difference 0.52)
  • away adjusted success: +0.42 (path difference 0.11)
  • away talent: +0.31 (path difference 0.31)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.23 (path difference 1.31)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.22 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted epa: -0.15 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.12 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.12 (path difference 0.79)
  • week: +0.10 (path difference 0.73)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.08 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.07 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.02 (path difference 0.03)

Reconciles to 30.86 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 9698daa5bac3620a05b834765aeeaf1e681c2dee3a96f5e28dae03a69293fa8c · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ebe7f685c335e0797001233e9196c06f697b60049f2186a3f3029f751a46de8e · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

New Mexico

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 122 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Scottre Humphrey

CFBD athlete 5166161

Week 5 vs UTEP: 12 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.010 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 15 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.236 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 10 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.134 raw PPA.

374.5030.3%94 / 4.8
Kiefer Sibley

CFBD athlete 5146726

Week 5 vs UTEP: 5 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.359 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 15 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 20.0% success · 0.008 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 13 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.396 raw PPA.

335.2027.0%64 / 5.7
Toa Faavae

CFBD athlete 5261479

Week 5 vs UTEP: 4 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.266 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 9 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.180 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Dakota State: 14 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.137 raw PPA.

274.0522.1%61 / 3.6
James Laubstein

CFBD athlete 5228804

Week 5 vs UTEP: 7 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.459 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Hawai'i: 1 attempts · 12.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.425 raw PPA.

86.306.6%20 / 4.4
Darrion Bowers

CFBD athlete 5265474

Week 5 vs UTEP: 6 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 16.7% success · 0.036 raw PPA.

62.204.9%19 / 3.9

San José State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 92 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Viliami Teu

CFBD athlete 5151338

Week 6 vs Wyoming: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.100 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs UTEP: 20 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 35.0% success · 0.499 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 10 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 30.0% success · 0.084 raw PPA.

326.5034.8%44 / 6.5
Jabari Bates

CFBD athlete 4685254

Week 6 vs Wyoming: 16 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.027 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 11 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.383 raw PPA.

273.7029.3%128 / 4.4
Luke Weaver

CFBD athlete 5295238

Week 6 vs Wyoming: 9 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.540 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.349 raw PPA.

110.3412.0%54 / 1.5
Daniel Rolovich

CFBD athlete 5215357

Week 7 vs UTEP: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.163 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Nevada: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

103.7210.9%10 / 3.7
Isaiah Carlson

CFBD athlete 4870662

Week 6 vs Wyoming: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.291 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs UTEP: 5 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.360 raw PPA.

65.206.5%15 / 3.7

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureSan José StateOffenseNew MexicoDefenseNew MexicoOffenseSan José StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.10
36th
-0.16
99th
+0.14
54th
+0.07
52nd
Success rate
38.6%
14th
31.5%
100th
40.8%
33rd
43.3%
23rd
Explosiveness
1.17
23rd
1.40
5th
1.27
71st
1.10
92nd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.14
69th
-0.26
100th
+0.11
59th
+0.05
43rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.01
7th
-0.00
89th
+0.21
42nd
+0.10
74th
Havoc allowed / created
16.1%
31st
25.4%
100th
12.6%
80th
15.4%
45th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:23 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:23 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Grant Glasgow · New Mexico · PAAR -1.50 · 10 attempts
  • Trajan Sinatra · San José State · PAAR 2.17 · 18 attempts
  • Nicholas Romero · New Mexico · PAAR -2.78 · 1 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

San José State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +14.5 · Snapshot spread: +14.5

First locally observed: +14.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 42.5 · Snapshot total: 42.5

Total · First locally observed: 41.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +470 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +490 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -650 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -675 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +15 · Snapshot spread: +15

First locally observed: +15 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 41.5 · Snapshot total: 42

Total · First locally observed: 41.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +475 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +475 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -700 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -700 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

San José State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Mountain West

43rd FBS percentile

New Mexico

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Mountain West

83rd FBS percentile

Travel

New Mexico travels 863 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · down 5,007 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

San José State leads 16–5, 1 tie in 22 meetings since 1954.

  • 2025New Mexico at San José State28–35 · San José State
  • 2023San José State at New Mexico52–24 · San José State
  • 2020San José State at New Mexico38–21 · San José State
  • 2019New Mexico at San José State21–32 · San José State
  • 2016San José State at New Mexico41–48 · New Mexico
  • 2015New Mexico at San José State21–31 · San José State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.