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Week 10 · 2026

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Western Kentucky

Window: 2026-10-27 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Brock Glenn QB
3 games
34.6%
37 / 107 plays
59.6%
28 / 47 plays
Ajay Allen RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
14 / 35 plays
Jaden McGill RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
22.2%
2 / 9 plays
Rodney Tisdale Jr. QB
2 games
14.3%
1 / 7 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Le'Kamren Meadows RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
2 / 5 plays
Jonathan Stafford Jr. WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
Kalib Hicks RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Zion Taylor WR
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
3 / 3 plays
Traditional season production · 64 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adrion Boyd · RB

CFBD athlete 5295664

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
Aiden Miller · TE

CFBD athlete 5151137

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ajay Allen · RB

CFBD athlete 4878394

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
6.2
rushing · CAR
94
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
405
rushing · YPC
4.3
Alan Gbee · DB

CFBD athlete 5394210

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Braxton Myers · DB

CFBD athlete 4870863

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
21
Brock Glenn · QB

CFBD athlete 4920158

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
5
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
165
passing · COMPLETIONS
92
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.558
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
887
passing · YPA
5.4
rushing · CAR
91
rushing · LONG
61
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
451
rushing · YPC
5.0
CC Ezirim · TE

CFBD athlete 5125726

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
137
receiving · YPR
13.7
Caleb McMickle · QB

CFBD athlete 5077114

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
3
passing · YPA
1.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Cameron Flowers · WR

CFBD athlete 5155579

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
kickReturns · AVG
17.5
kickReturns · LONG
26
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
70
puntReturns · AVG
34.0
puntReturns · LONG
34
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
34
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
153
receiving · YPR
10.9
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
32
rushing · YPC
6.4
Christian White · DB

CFBD athlete 5081071

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Coleson Arends · TE

CFBD athlete 5159815

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
93
receiving · YPR
9.3
D'Cambren Verrett · DB

CFBD athlete 5394207

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Darius Hampton · DE

CFBD athlete 5100625

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Dave Herard · DB

CFBD athlete 4565536

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
23
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Devin Hamilton · WR

CFBD athlete 5291156

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Elijah Rumph · LB

CFBD athlete 5256613

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Elin Jones · DE

CFBD athlete 5296859

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
8
Eric Etienne · DT

CFBD athlete 5231178

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Geajorm Akpaloo · LB

CFBD athlete 5193652

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Griffin Reimer · TE

CFBD athlete 5151802

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Smith · PK

CFBD athlete 4806380

punting · In 20
10
punting · LONG
64
punting · NO
41
punting · TB
4
punting · YDS
1774
punting · YPP
43.3
Jacob Cosby-Mosley · DB

CFBD athlete 5169434

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Jaden McGill · RB

CFBD athlete 5225936

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
76
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
41
rushing · YPC
3.7
Jakeem Fletcher · DT

CFBD athlete 5089051

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
10
Javin Griffin · DT

CFBD athlete 5103124

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jay Rockwell · WR

CFBD athlete 4689118

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Jaylen Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 4701950

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
47
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
64
Jaylen Pollard · DB

CFBD athlete 5278424

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Jaylen Wester · LB

CFBD athlete 4799985

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
38
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jeremiah Carroll · WR

CFBD athlete 5164039

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Jonathan Stafford Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5290902

puntReturns · AVG
6.2
puntReturns · LONG
17
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
31
receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
46
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
439
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
28
rushing · YPC
2.8
Jordan Donald · LB

CFBD athlete 5200099

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
16
Josaiah Knight · DE

CFBD athlete 5144446

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
11
Joshua Mensah · LB

CFBD athlete 5151129

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Justin Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5151028

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
35
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Kalib Hicks · RB

CFBD athlete 4920135

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-3
receiving · YPR
-3.0
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
2.3
Karl Campbell · PK

CFBD athlete 5394214

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
9
kicking · FGM
8
kicking · LONG
45
kicking · PCT
0.889
kicking · PTS
42
kicking · XPA
18
kicking · XPM
18
Kiawan Murphy · DT

CFBD athlete 4917400

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Lataj Wright · DB

CFBD athlete 5221141

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Latrevion Thompson · DE

CFBD athlete 5083777

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
Le'Kamren Meadows · RB

CFBD athlete 5290447

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
54
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
4.3
rushing · CAR
26
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
165
rushing · YPC
6.3
Lofton Howard · TE

CFBD athlete 5091828

puntReturns · AVG
5.0
puntReturns · LONG
5
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
131
receiving · YPR
8.7
Mackavelli Malotumau · DT

CFBD athlete 5088939

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
14
Makhi Brazier · LB

CFBD athlete 5279142

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Michael Smith · PK

CFBD athlete 5154386

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
3
kicking · XPM
2
Moussa Barry · WR

CFBD athlete 5095915

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
202
receiving · YPR
11.9
Nathan Gonzales · DE

CFBD athlete 5227731

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Nigel Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5159234

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
72
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
72
receiving · YPR
72.0
Nolan Imhoff · LS

CFBD athlete 5394212

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Qua'Vez Humphreys · WR

CFBD athlete 5151200

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
76
receiving · YPR
10.9
Quincy Burroughs · WR

CFBD athlete 4716507

receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
147
receiving · YPR
12.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-1.0
Rodney Tisdale Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5196864

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
123
passing · COMPLETIONS
80
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.650
passing · TD
4
passing · YDS
883
passing · YPA
7.2
rushing · CAR
31
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
0.2
Rylen Sua-Filo · DT

CFBD athlete 5093756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Sekou Peters · DT

CFBD athlete 5236326

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Sincere Baines · RB

CFBD athlete 5300775

kickReturns · AVG
28.8
kickReturns · LONG
47
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
115
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
2.0
Tony Newsome Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5394206

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
21
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
22
Venson Sneed · DE

CFBD athlete 4808750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Westen Ard · LB

CFBD athlete 5266918

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
50
Xavion Griffin · DB

CFBD athlete 5193268

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Zach Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5149364

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Zayden Walters · DT

CFBD athlete 5199941

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Zeiqui Lawton · DT

CFBD athlete 4432726

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
Zion Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 4921322

receiving · LONG
72
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
122
receiving · YPR
15.3
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
5.8
Zsacari Minnis · DE

CFBD athlete 5194660

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
12

Middle Tennessee

Window: 2026-10-28 (reported) · 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-13 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Roman Gagliano QB
3 games
38.0%
41 / 108 plays
39.1%
9 / 23 plays
Terrence Brown Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
42.9%
15 / 35 plays
Peter Costelli QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Cam'Ron Lacy WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5086628

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
97
receiving · YPR
10.8
Aidan Butts · DE

CFBD athlete 5193211

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
16
Aidan Singleton · CB

CFBD athlete 5152698

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Andrew Cross-Adams · S

CFBD athlete 5296417

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Antonio Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 4685436

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
4.2
rushing · CAR
112
rushing · LONG
34
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
586
rushing · YPC
5.2
Archie Roseman V · NT

CFBD athlete 5242998

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Ashton Logan · P

CFBD athlete 4912159

punting · In 20
11
punting · LONG
76
punting · NO
39
punting · TB
6
punting · YDS
1910
punting · YPP
49.0
Ashton Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5084049

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
48
Austin Clemons · LB

CFBD athlete 5194618

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
BJ Ausmer · LB

CFBD athlete 5383053

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Brody Benke · TE

CFBD athlete 5194615

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
30.0
Brooklen Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5210055

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
24
rushing · YPC
4.8
Bryce Williams · S

CFBD athlete 5327620

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
40
interceptions · AVG
21.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
21
Cam'Ron Lacy · WR

CFBD athlete 5091830

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
8.2
puntReturns · LONG
25
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
49
receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
45
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
510
receiving · YPR
11.3
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
3.3
Camari Hall · S

CFBD athlete 5222542

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Christofer Noble · S

CFBD athlete 5296414

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
DJ Taylor · RB

CFBD athlete 5296412

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
25
rushing · YPC
3.6
Darnell Malpress · LB

CFBD athlete 5236324

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Devan Carlisle · CB

CFBD athlete 5296409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Dominic Bourgeois · PK

CFBD athlete 5383060

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
14
kicking · FGM
12
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.857
kicking · PTS
55
kicking · XPA
19
kicking · XPM
19
Dyson Mccutcheon · S

CFBD athlete 4588194

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Emmanuel Gyamfi · NT

CFBD athlete 5383062

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Ethan Sherman · CB

CFBD athlete 5203598

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Evan Poticher · TE

CFBD athlete 5220390

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Felix Hixon · NT

CFBD athlete 4838534

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Henry Hamlin · LS

CFBD athlete 5220397

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Hogan Wasson · WR

CFBD athlete 5084468

puntReturns · AVG
3.0
puntReturns · LONG
5
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
9
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
64
receiving · YPR
9.1
Jackson Lowe · CB

CFBD athlete 5193223

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
41
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jaiyden Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 5296410

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
James Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 5195681

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
51.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
51
kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
26
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
60
Jason Hardy · CB

CFBD athlete 5383051

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
-3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
-3
Jayden Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5296415

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jayson Lowe · LB

CFBD athlete 5165080

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
Jordan Chestnut · S

CFBD athlete 5168463

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
puntReturns · AVG
0.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
0
Justin Bodford · DT

CFBD athlete 5149743

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
KJ Miniefield · CB

CFBD athlete 5225429

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Kalen Woods · S

CFBD athlete 4912071

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
3
kickReturns · AVG
14.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
28
Kason Stokes · WR

CFBD athlete 5140261

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kaven Call · LB

CFBD athlete 4870649

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
19
Koraun Perdue · TE

CFBD athlete 5383058

receiving · LONG
80
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
174
receiving · YPR
15.8
Korey Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5220395

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
32
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
68
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
La'Garrius Sims · LB

CFBD athlete 5121759

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Locke Kennedy · S

CFBD athlete 5258472

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Markus Allen · WR

CFBD athlete 4603185

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
176
receiving · YPR
19.6
Mathias Malaki-Donaldson · LB

CFBD athlete 4685457

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Neo Clifton · WR

CFBD athlete 5217200

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
234
receiving · YPR
13.0
Peter Costelli · QB

CFBD athlete 4565180

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-3
rushing · YPC
-3.0
Quantaves Gaskins · S

CFBD athlete 4888606

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
Reggie Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5220392

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
18
Ricky Lee III · CB

CFBD athlete 4924146

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Roman Gagliano · QB

CFBD athlete 5194626

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
258
passing · COMPLETIONS
147
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.570
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
1587
passing · YPA
6.2
rushing · CAR
46
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
179
rushing · YPC
3.9
Santana Fleming · WR

CFBD athlete 4870691

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.5
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
13
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
357
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Sawyer Lovvorn · TE

CFBD athlete 5220393

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Shane Rochelle · LB

CFBD athlete 5222806

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tayvion Galloway · TE

CFBD athlete 5079435

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
5.3
Terrence Brown Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5306988

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
139
receiving · YPR
5.3
rushing · CAR
54
rushing · LONG
54
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
348
rushing · YPC
6.4
Zeion Simpson-Smith · DT

CFBD athlete 5194628

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
28
Ziyon Butler · WR

CFBD athlete 5291778

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
109
receiving · YPR
10.9

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Middle Tennessee +1.5

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Western Kentucky -1.5

DraftKings snapshot: Middle Tennessee +1.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Middle Tennessee by 7.41

8.91 points toward Middle Tennessee versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Middle Tennessee.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: +3.41
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 7.41 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs b93deb80afe976abc8adccf79ca24825411c5d3d6f03451bd908d9b6f6f574ef · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast d067187f31de5153c338879ed0b1729c6f2b57cd4d21ea0500a912bfeb5ac3a8 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Middle Tennessee · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+1.5+1.50.0
Model spread-7.41-7.410.0
Model gap+8.91+8.910.0

Negative spreads favor Middle Tennessee; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: b93deb80afe976abc8adccf79ca24825411c5d3d6f03451bd908d9b6f6f574ef. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Middle Tennessee +1.5

Model gap +8.9 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Middle Tennessee.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Middle Tennessee win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
46%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Middle Tennessee +1.5
Stacked ensemble
50%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Middle Tennessee.

  • home elo: -23.38 (path difference 0.28)
  • away elo: +17.40 (path difference 8.28)
  • away adjusted epa: +10.67 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted epa: +8.45 (path difference 3.57)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -8.24 (path difference 1.24)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -6.57 (path difference 5.33)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +5.12 (path difference 1.42)
  • home adjusted success: -4.30 (path difference 1.85)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.26 (path difference 3.78)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.00 (path difference 0.21)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +3.75 (path difference 0.88)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -3.71 (path difference 2.08)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.72 (path difference 2.04)
  • away adjusted success: +2.42 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +2.36 (path difference 0.91)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.35 (path difference 1.39)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.23 (path difference 0.43)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.17 (path difference 1.36)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.83 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.72 (path difference 0.25)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.71 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.69 (path difference 0.52)
  • week: -1.58 (path difference 0.51)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.48 (path difference 0.85)
  • home adjusted line yards: -1.46 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.41 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.40 (path difference 1.21)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +1.37 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.31 (path difference 0.48)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.22 (path difference 0.04)
  • home talent: +1.12 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.99 (path difference 0.90)
  • away talent: -0.91 (path difference 1.26)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.90 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.71 (path difference 1.82)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.70 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.67 (path difference 0.30)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.64 (path difference 3.07)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +0.58 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.57 (path difference 0.56)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.51 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.51 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.48 (path difference 1.53)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.47 (path difference 0.45)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.44 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.31 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.17 (path difference 0.47)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -0.16 (path difference 1.35)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.14 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.12 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -0.03 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
  • home conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)
  • away conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 49.63 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs bf77e74d67e3b8464e07370e113c93362cfe2d2f29e0c54351cb929f28447fcb · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ff70d6b2847afc87f520a7db624c11c9586ef55caa94213f78f00e29921b93fa · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Western Kentucky

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 113 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Brock Glenn

CFBD athlete 4920158

Week 6 vs Missouri State: 14 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 78.6% success · 0.686 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Sam Houston: 21 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 31.6% success · 0.081 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Delaware: 17 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 78.6% success · 0.910 raw PPA.

525.1546.0%89 / 4.9
Ajay Allen

CFBD athlete 4878394

Week 6 vs Missouri State: 13 attempts · 8.1 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.531 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Sam Houston: 10 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.324 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Delaware: 12 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.220 raw PPA.

355.8031.0%93 / 4.3
Jaden McGill

CFBD athlete 5225936

Week 7 vs Sam Houston: 6 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.290 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Delaware: 3 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.274 raw PPA.

93.908.0%11 / 3.7
Le'Kamren Meadows

CFBD athlete 5290447

Week 6 vs Missouri State: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.317 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Sam Houston: 1 attempts · 32.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.463 raw PPA.

58.404.4%26 / 6.3
Jonathan Stafford Jr.

CFBD athlete 5290902

Week 6 vs Missouri State: 4 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.354 raw PPA.

42.803.5%10 / 2.8

Middle Tennessee

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 64 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Terrence Brown Jr.

CFBD athlete 5306988

Week 7 vs Delaware: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.072 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Florida International: 17 attempts · 8.8 YPC · 52.9% success · 0.401 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kennesaw State: 11 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.165 raw PPA.

356.4054.7%52 / 6.3
Roman Gagliano

CFBD athlete 5194626

Week 7 vs Delaware: 4 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.753 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Florida International: 7 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.215 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kennesaw State: 15 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.104 raw PPA.

264.2340.6%44 / 4.2
Cam'Ron Lacy

CFBD athlete 5091830

Week 8 vs Florida International: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.096 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kennesaw State: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · -0.309 raw PPA.

26.503.1%4 / 3.3
Peter Costelli

CFBD athlete 4565180

Week 7 vs Delaware: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.956 raw PPA.

1-3.001.6%1 / -3.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureMiddle TennesseeOffenseWestern KentuckyDefenseWestern KentuckyOffenseMiddle TennesseeDefense
PPA/play
+0.08
31st
+0.15
22nd
+0.03
20th
+0.18
15th
Success rate
39.7%
25th
40.8%
49th
38.2%
12th
47.3%
5th
Explosiveness
1.23
47th
1.38
7th
1.26
61st
1.18
69th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.02
28th
+0.12
17th
-0.05
11th
+0.17
10th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.21
39th
+0.21
43rd
+0.17
33rd
+0.22
40th
Havoc allowed / created
14.7%
51st
14.9%
37th
15.2%
44th
10.6%
2nd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:20 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:20 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Dominic Bourgeois · Middle Tennessee · PAAR 9.02 · 14 attempts
  • Karl Campbell · Western Kentucky · PAAR 4.10 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Middle Tennessee spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -1.5 · Snapshot spread: +1.5

First locally observed: -1.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 53.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +102 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -112 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -122 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -108 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -1 · Snapshot spread: +1.5

First locally observed: -1 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53 · Snapshot total: 53.5

Total · First locally observed: 53 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -112 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -112 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -108 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -108 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Middle Tennessee

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Conference USA

16th FBS percentile

Western Kentucky

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Conference USA

9th FBS percentile

Travel

Western Kentucky travels 78 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Western Kentucky leads 12–6 in 18 meetings since 2007.

  • 2025Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky26–42 · Western Kentucky
  • 2024Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee49–21 · Western Kentucky
  • 2023Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky10–31 · Western Kentucky
  • 2022Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee35–17 · Western Kentucky
  • 2021Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky21–48 · Western Kentucky
  • 2020Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee20–17 · Western Kentucky

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.