Record
4-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
SP+ workbook recordMiddle Tennessee
2026 season
Conference USA
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Middle Tennessee's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 124.5 across 8 systems; best 110, worst 128, so they disagree by 18 places.
- Lab EPA
- #116
- Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #124
- down 102026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #127
- down 22026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #127
- down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #128
- down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #110
- down 18 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #125
- down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #115
- down 152026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #108 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #128 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #91 of 138
- Game control
- #122 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #126 of 138
- Offense
- #116 of 138
- Defense
- #121 of 138
- Special teams
- #98 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Middle Tennessee · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.114 net EPA/play
#116
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-9.89 points
#124 · Down 10 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -3.94 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -6.64, schedule #116 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -4.44. That is worth -10.58 on its own; the preseason prior of -7.52 still carries 23% of the weight, giving -9.89.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Middle Tennessee · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Murray State home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401867866 | +24.00 → +24.00 | -2.50 | 0.7349 | 8.29% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 1.783 | -2.073 | -0.290 |
| Week 2 · Marshall away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401871045 | -2.00 → -2.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.62% | -8.58 | 0.043 | -0.739 | -0.696 |
| Week 3 · Nevada home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401864443 | +7.00 → +7.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.96% | -5.87 | 0.403 | -0.526 | -0.123 |
| Week 4 · Jacksonville State away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401871048 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 9.31% | -0.62 | -0.698 | -0.058 | -0.756 |
| Week 5 · Kansas away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401856807 | -55.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 9.67% | +1.60 | -3.144 | 0.154 | -2.989 |
| Week 7 · Delaware home · 2026-10-13 · ID 401871067 | +3.00 → +3.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 10.45% | -4.08 | 0.052 | -0.427 | -0.374 |
| Week 8 · Florida International away · 2026-10-20 · ID 401871055 | +3.00 → +3.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 10.86% | -6.67 | 0.597 | -0.725 | -0.127 |
| Week 9 · Kennesaw State home · 2026-10-28 · ID 401871058 | -16.00 → -16.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 11.28% | -6.67 | -2.087 | -0.752 | -2.840 |
Game terms -8.20 points; prior term -1.70 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -9.89 points. The preseason prior is -7.52 with 22.57% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-16.5 SP+ points
#127 · Down 2 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-10.78 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#110 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -4.42 on 437 plays; defense 6.37 on 413 plays.
2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Middle Tennessee 8 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 4-4 · conf 2-2 · home 3-1 · away 1-3 · expected wins 3.8
- Polls (Week 10)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 5-3 ATS (-1.5 avg) · 2025: 6-6 ATS (-3.8 avg)
- Head coach
- Derek Mason · hired 2023-12-06 · 6-18 over 3 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #119 (132 pts) · 2025 #98 (151 pts) · 2026 #119 (165 pts)
- Returning
- 33% of production · 29% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 39% 29% Receiving 26% 33% Rushing 60% 21% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 6 | 3.00 | 0.8452 | 5.07 |
| Defensive Line | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8309 | 10.80 |
| Linebacker | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8298 | 3.32 |
| Offensive Line | 11 | 3.00 | 0.8283 | 9.11 |
| Quarterback | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8468 | 2.54 |
| Receiver | 10 | 3.00 | 0.8378 | 8.38 |
| Running Back | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8536 | 3.41 |
| Special Teams | 5 | 2.80 | 0.8201 | 4.10 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roman Gagliano · QBCFBD athlete 5194626. Middle Tennessee (2024–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.193 | 249 | 59.7% | Pass 99.3% · Rush 16.3%1st 53.4% · 2nd 59.9% · 3rd 74.5% Standard downs 51.6% · Passing downs 75.9% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8500 |
Terrence Brown Jr. · RBCFBD athlete 5306988. Saginaw Valley State (2025–2025); Middle Tennessee (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.175 | 50 | 20.4% | Pass 15.8% · Rush 27.4%1st 20.5% · 2nd 20.7% · 3rd 21.8% Standard downs 19.0% · Passing downs 23.1% | Not linked |
Roman Gagliano · QBCFBD athlete 5194626. Middle Tennessee (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.132 | 37 | 59.7% | Pass 99.3% · Rush 16.3%1st 53.4% · 2nd 59.9% · 3rd 74.5% Standard downs 51.6% · Passing downs 75.9% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8500 |
Dominic Bourgeois · PKCFBD athlete 5383060. Middle Tennessee (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 9.020 | 14 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
AJ Jones · WRCFBD athlete 5086628. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 7.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.6% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 3.9% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Antonio Martin · RBCFBD athlete 4685436. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.1% | Pass 5.3% · Rush 0.8%1st 2.6% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 3.9% | Not linked |
Brody Benke · TECFBD athlete 5194615. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Brooklen Davis · RBCFBD athlete 5210055. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.3% | Pass 3.5% · Rush 9.6%1st 4.3% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 11.5% Standard downs 4.3% · Passing downs 9.3% | Not linked |
Cam'Ron Lacy · WRCFBD athlete 5091830. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 14.1% | Pass 25.2% · Rush 1.8%1st 10.8% · 2nd 12.3% · 3rd 23.5% Standard downs 12.6% · Passing downs 17.1% | Not linked |
DJ Taylor · RBCFBD athlete 5296412. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.8% | Pass 1.9% · Rush 8.8%1st 5.9% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 4.7% · Passing downs 4.9% | Not linked |
Evan Poticher · TECFBD athlete 5220390. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.1% | Pass 2.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.6% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Hogan Wasson · WRCFBD athlete 5084468. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 7.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.0% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 6.9% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 5.3% | Not linked |
Koraun Perdue · TECFBD athlete 5383058. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.5% | Pass 8.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 2.2% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 5.8% | Not linked |
Markus Allen · WRCFBD athlete 4603185. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.3% | Pass 7.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.7% · 2nd 6.4% · 3rd 3.0% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 5.8% | Not linked |
Neo Clifton · WRCFBD athlete 5217200. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.7% | Pass 12.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 8.2% · 2nd 8.0% · 3rd 2.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 7.1% | Not linked |
Peter Costelli · QBCFBD athlete 4565180. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.2% | Pass 2.8% · Rush 4.2%1st 3.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Santana Fleming · WRCFBD athlete 4870691. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 2.3% · Rush 0.8%1st 1.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 1.7% Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 1.1% | Not linked |
Tayvion Galloway · TECFBD athlete 5079435. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.2% | Pass 6.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.4% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 4.8% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 7.9% | Not linked |
Ziyon Butler · WRCFBD athlete 5291778. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.9% | Pass 9.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 7.5% · 2nd 0.8% · 3rd 6.2% Standard downs 6.2% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 20 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Crespin · IOL | Virginia Union | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Antonio Martin Jr. · RB | Kansas State | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ashton Taylor · LB | Jackson State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Brennan Smith · IOL | Mississippi State | 2026-04-29 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Chris Moreno · IOL | Monmouth | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Dominic Bourgeois · K | Susquehanna | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Immediate |
| Dyson McCutcheon · S | Washington | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Hogan Wasson · WR | Central Missouri | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| James Johnson · CB | USC | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jason Hardy · CB | Grand Valley State | 2026-01-08 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Justin Bodford · DL | Missouri | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Kaven Call · EDGE | East Tennessee State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| La'Garrius Sims · EDGE | East Central | 2026-01-21 | — / — | Immediate |
| Markus Allen · WR | Mississippi State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Reese Tripp · IOL | Minnesota | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ricky Lee III · CB | Sacramento State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Terrance Brown Jr. · RB | Saginaw Valley State | 2026-01-10 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Trashun Griffin · EDGE | Troy | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Trevaris Edwards · IOL | West Florida | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Victory Vaka · DL | Western Kentucky | 2026-08-20 | — / — | Immediate |
Outgoing · 18 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Mitchell · LB | App State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Amorion Walker · WR | UNLV | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Anthony Bynum · EDGE | Georgia Southern | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| E.J. Harris · IOL | Not reported | 2025-12-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Elijah Hunter Jr. · CB | Not reported | 2025-12-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ethan Crite · WR | Merrimack | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Hunter Tipton · TE | Memphis | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Ja'Darious Morris · DL | West Georgia | 2026-01-29 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jared Douglas · S | Cal Poly | 2026-02-04 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jekail Middlebrook · RB | Virginia | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| John Howse IV · S | Arkansas | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Juwon Gaston · S | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kaden Martin · QB | LSU | 2026-05-06 | — / — | Immediate |
| Mateo Guevara · IOL | Kennesaw State | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Muaaz Byard · LB | UAB | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Nahzae Cox · WR | Kansas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Rickey Hunt Jr. · RB | Not reported | 2025-12-24 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Shakai Woods · DL | Arkansas State | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Middle Tennessee. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Derek Mason · career 33–73 across 10 seasons and 2 schools
Tenure timeline · 3 appointments
2024–present · Derek Mason · active at capture
6–18 · 24 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2023-12-06. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2006–2023 · Rick Stockstill
113–111 · 224 attributed games · 18 seasons
Hired 2005-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1999–2005 · Andy McCollum
34–45 · 79 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Derek Mason · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -17.3 | -13.6 | 119 | — |
| 2025 · Derek Mason | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -16 | -18.4 | 98 | — |
| 2024 · Derek Mason | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -24.4 | -23.2 | 119 | — |
| 2023 · Rick Stockstill | 4–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -9.5 | -8.1 | 120 | — |
| 2022 · Rick Stockstill | 8–5 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -6.9 | -7.7 | 120 | — |
| 2021 · Rick Stockstill | 7–6 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -4 | -8.2 | 123 | — |
| 2020 · Rick Stockstill | 3–6 | 2–3 | 0–0 | -11.7 | -13.6 | 90 | — |
| 2019 · Rick Stockstill | 4–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -11.3 | -7.6 | 85 | — |
| 2018 · Rick Stockstill | 8–6 | 7–2 | 0–1 | -3.8 | -0.9 | 104 | — |
| 2017 · Rick Stockstill | 7–6 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -4.9 | -8.8 | 91 | — |
| 2016 · Rick Stockstill | 8–5 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -1.9 | -9.4 | 96 | — |
| 2015 · Rick Stockstill | 7–6 | 6–2 | 0–1 | -4.6 | -3.6 | 86 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:08:06 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 95 / 138 | 31.4 | 118 / 138 | 14.6 |
| Success rate | 104 / 138 | 24.8 | 131 / 138 | 5.1 |
| Explosiveness | 73 / 138 | 47.4 | 43 / 138 | 69.3 |
| Standard-down success | 112 / 138 | 19.0 | 132 / 138 | 4.4 |
| Passing-down success | T82 / 138 | 40.5 | 89 / 138 | 35.8 |
| Pass PPA | 105 / 138 | 24.1 | 89 / 138 | 35.8 |
| Rush PPA | 73 / 138 | 47.4 | 126 / 138 | 8.8 |
| Pass explosiveness | 97 / 138 | 29.9 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Rush explosiveness | 45 / 138 | 67.9 | 98 / 138 | 29.2 |
| Line yards | 40 / 138 | 71.5 | 135 / 138 | 2.2 |
| Second-level yards | 5 / 138 | 97.1 | 134 / 138 | 2.9 |
| Open-field yards | 76 / 138 | 45.3 | 74 / 138 | 46.7 |
| Stuff rate | 73 / 138 | 47.4 | 116 / 138 | 16.1 |
| Power success | T122 / 138 | 11.3 | 60 / 138 | 56.9 |
| Havoc | T68 / 138 | 50.7 | 135 / 138 | 2.2 |
| Front-seven havoc | T28 / 138 | 79.9 | T135 / 138 | 1.8 |
| DB havoc | T110 / 138 | 18.2 | T119 / 138 | 12.8 |
| Points / opportunity | 84 / 138 | 39.4 | 100 / 138 | 27.7 |
| Average field position | T91 / 138 | 33.9 | T63 / 138 | 51.8 |
| Field-position expected points | 89 / 138 | 35.8 | 68 / 138 | 51.1 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Roman Gagliano · QBUsage 59.7% · Avg PPA 0.115 · Total 34.951
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.115 | 34.951 | 59.7% |
| Pass | 0.111 | 29.688 | 99.3% |
| Rush | 0.142 | 5.263 | 16.3% |
| 1st down | -0.052 | -6.396 | 53.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.365 | 35.387 | 59.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.169 | 12.854 | 74.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.037 | 6.561 | 51.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.220 | 28.389 | 75.9% |
Terrence Brown Jr. · RBUsage 20.4% · Avg PPA 0.102 · Total 9.170
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.102 | 9.170 | 20.4% |
| Pass | -0.031 | -1.169 | 15.8% |
| Rush | 0.199 | 10.339 | 27.4% |
| 1st down | -0.034 | -1.428 | 20.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.308 | 8.940 | 20.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.087 | 1.658 | 21.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.024 | 1.326 | 19.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.231 | 7.844 | 23.1% |
Cam'Ron Lacy · WRUsage 14.1% · Avg PPA 0.482 · Total 34.729
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.482 | 34.729 | 14.1% |
| Pass | 0.545 | 37.056 | 25.2% |
| Rush | -0.582 | -2.326 | 1.8% |
| 1st down | -0.148 | -3.697 | 10.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.488 | 9.756 | 12.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.970 | 23.282 | 23.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.232 | 9.956 | 12.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.854 | 24.774 | 17.1% |
Neo Clifton · WRUsage 6.7% · Avg PPA 0.390 · Total 13.245
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.390 | 13.245 | 6.7% |
| Pass | 0.390 | 13.245 | 12.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.262 | 4.974 | 8.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.705 | 9.160 | 8.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.445 | -0.890 | 2.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.214 | 4.711 | 6.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.711 | 8.534 | 7.1% |
Brooklen Davis · RBUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA -0.166 · Total -1.159
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.166 | -1.159 | 6.3% |
| Pass | -0.664 | -1.329 | 3.5% |
| Rush | 0.034 | 0.169 | 9.6% |
| 1st down | -0.309 | -0.617 | 4.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.318 | -0.636 | 5.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.031 | 0.094 | 11.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.483 | -1.449 | 4.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.073 | 0.290 | 9.3% |
Ziyon Butler · WRUsage 4.9% · Avg PPA 0.077 · Total 1.469
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.077 | 1.469 | 4.9% |
| Pass | 0.077 | 1.469 | 9.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.321 | 4.175 | 7.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.394 | -0.394 | 0.8% |
| 3rd down | -0.462 | -2.312 | 6.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.128 | 2.048 | 6.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.193 | -0.579 | 2.3% |
DJ Taylor · RBUsage 4.8% · Avg PPA -0.093 · Total -0.841
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.093 | -0.841 | 4.8% |
| Pass | 0.363 | 0.727 | 1.9% |
| Rush | -0.224 | -1.568 | 8.8% |
| 1st down | -0.114 | -0.572 | 5.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.498 | -0.996 | 3.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.363 | 0.727 | 5.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.211 | -1.266 | 4.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.142 | 0.425 | 4.9% |
Koraun Perdue · TEUsage 4.5% · Avg PPA 0.329 · Total 6.580
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.329 | 6.580 | 4.5% |
| Pass | 0.329 | 6.580 | 8.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.399 | 3.993 | 5.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.640 | 4.478 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.933 | 1.866 | 2.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.255 | 2.810 | 3.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.419 | 3.771 | 5.8% |
Markus Allen · WRUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 0.657 · Total 9.855
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.657 | 9.855 | 4.3% |
| Pass | 0.657 | 9.855 | 7.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.810 | 4.861 | 3.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.862 | 6.033 | 6.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.520 | -1.039 | 3.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.957 | 7.657 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.314 | 2.198 | 5.8% |
Tayvion Galloway · TEUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA -0.770 · Total -3.849
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.770 | -3.849 | 4.2% |
| Pass | -0.770 | -3.849 | 6.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.113 | 0.225 | 3.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.175 | 0.175 | 2.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.307 | -0.307 | 4.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.113 | 0.225 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | -1.358 | -4.074 | 7.9% |
AJ Jones · WRUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.218 · Total 4.363
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.218 | 4.363 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 0.218 | 4.363 | 7.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.277 | 1.664 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.172 | 1.544 | 5.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.417 | -1.667 | 3.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.255 | 3.315 | 3.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.150 | 1.048 | 4.1% |
Hogan Wasson · WRUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA -0.059 · Total -1.181
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.059 | -1.181 | 3.9% |
| Pass | -0.059 | -1.181 | 7.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.353 | -2.468 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.281 | 1.689 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | -0.057 | -0.402 | 6.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.096 | -1.057 | 3.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.014 | -0.124 | 5.3% |
Peter Costelli · QBUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA -0.620 · Total -1.240
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.620 | -1.240 | 3.2% |
| Pass | -0.284 | -0.284 | 2.8% |
| Rush | -0.956 | -0.956 | 4.2% |
| 1st down | -0.956 | -0.956 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.284 | -0.284 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.956 | -0.956 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | -0.284 | -0.284 | 4.8% |
Antonio Martin · RBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA -0.186 · Total -1.491
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.186 | -1.491 | 3.1% |
| Pass | -0.422 | -2.955 | 5.3% |
| Rush | 1.464 | 1.464 | 0.8% |
| 1st down | 0.754 | 2.261 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | -0.750 | -3.752 | 6.1% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.071 | 0.355 | 2.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.615 | -1.846 | 3.9% |
Brody Benke · TEUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 3.101 · Total 3.101
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3.101 | 3.101 | 1.5% |
| Pass | 3.101 | 3.101 | 3.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 3.101 | 3.101 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 3.101 | 3.101 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Santana Fleming · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -1.266 · Total -5.063
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.266 | -5.063 | 1.5% |
| Pass | -1.819 | -5.456 | 2.3% |
| Rush | 0.394 | 0.394 | 0.8% |
| 1st down | -0.366 | -0.731 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.133 | -0.133 | 1.7% |
| Standard downs | -1.643 | -4.930 | 1.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.133 | -0.133 | 1.1% |
Evan Poticher · TEUsage 1.1% · Avg PPA 0.234 · Total 0.234
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.234 | 0.234 | 1.1% |
| Pass | 0.234 | 0.234 | 2.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.234 | 0.234 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.234 | 0.234 | 1.7% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.083 | 31st138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.397 | 25th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.227 | 47th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.097 | 24th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.085 | 47th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.180 | 15th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.473 | 5th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.184 | 69th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.106 | 2nd138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-11-06. Offense: 99% of 262 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.0 yards (27th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.5 per completion. Completion 56.9%, 6.1 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.15.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 52.3% | 62.0% | -9.7 | 199 / 262 |
| Defense allowed | 64.6% | 61.8% | +2.8 | 144 / 207 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Middle Tennessee.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 262 | 99% | 8.0 | 5.5 | 56.9% | 0.15 | -9.7 pp | 199 |
| Passing defense | 207 | 99% | 8.0 | 6.6 | 63.8% | 0.25 | +2.8 pp | 144 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 236 | 4.8 | 44.3% | 0.13 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 14.9% | 64.3% |
| Defense allowed | 283 | 5.3 | 52.8% | 0.26 | 3.70 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 11.7% | 68.9% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 226 / 236 | 115 | 121 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 220 / 221 · 99.5% |
| Defense allowed | 277 / 283 | 260 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 263 / 265 · 99.2% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -9.7 pp. 6 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Murray State | 26 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.8 | 0.32 | 22 | 8.6 | 0.52 |
| W2 | Marshall | 47 | 47 | 53.2% | 60.8% | -7.6 pp | 8.6 | 0.25 | 22 | 4.8 | 0.04 |
| W3 | Nevada | 29 | 28 | 53.6% | 61.3% | -7.8 pp | 8.3 | 0.30 | 38 | 4.1 | 0.23 |
| W4 | Jacksonville State | 28 | 28 | 64.3% | 64.1% | +0.2 pp | 7.2 | 0.39 | 29 | 3.4 | 0.01 |
| W5 | Kansas | 26 | 26 | 34.6% | 61.8% | -27.2 pp | 9.2 | -0.31 | 16 | 3.4 | -0.61 |
| W7 | Delaware | 35 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.3 | 0.38 | 25 | 4.2 | 0.21 |
| W8 | Florida International | 27 | 27 | 59.3% | 61.3% | -2.0 pp | 8.1 | 0.38 | 39 | 6.3 | 0.12 |
| W9 | Kennesaw State | 44 | 43 | 48.8% | 62.8% | -14.0 pp | 8.0 | -0.39 | 45 | 4.4 | 0.15 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
38 punts · 48.9 gross yards/punt · 36.9 net yards/punt
9 inside the 20 · 6 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 38/38 punts. Known net yards: 31/38 punts.
Our punt returns
9 returns · 6.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 9/9 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · Kennesaw State | 5 | 47.2 | 26.0 | 3/5 |
| Week 8 · Florida International | 4 | 41.8 | 33.7 | 3/4 |
| Week 7 · Delaware | 5 | 53.2 | 50.5 | 4/5 |
| Week 5 · Kansas | 9 | 51.8 | 35.1 | 7/9 |
| Week 4 · Jacksonville State | 5 | 49.2 | 34.5 | 4/5 |