Skip to content
CFB/LAB
Menu

Mississippi State

2026 season

SEC
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Mississippi State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 51 across 8 systems; best 36, worst 60, so they disagree by 24 places.

Lab EPA
#51
Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#60
down 72026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#55
down 32026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#60
down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#42
down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#38
down 9 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#36
down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#51
down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#27 of 138
Schedule strength
#1 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#44 of 138
Game control
#37 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#40 of 138
Offense
#34 of 138
Defense
#51 of 138
Special teams
#66 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Mississippi State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

4-4 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.043 net EPA/play

#51

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

2.03 points

#60 · Down 7 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -5.29 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging +8.02, schedule #3 of 138 (#1 = toughest). That is worth +2.73 on its own; the preseason prior of -0.38 still carries 23% of the weight, giving +2.03.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Mississippi State · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · UL Monroe
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401856662
+49.00 → +35.00-2.500.73498.29%-18.522.695-1.5361.159
Week 2 · Minnesota
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401856677
+25.00 → +25.00+2.500.76378.62%+2.172.3700.1872.557
Week 3 · South Carolina
away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856691
+7.00 → +7.00+2.500.79378.96%+8.250.8510.7391.590
Week 4 · Missouri
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401856703
+7.00 → +7.00-2.500.82499.31%+10.470.4190.9741.393
Week 5 · Alabama
home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401856707
-33.00 → -33.00-2.500.85729.67%+18.35-3.4341.775-1.659
Week 7 · LSU
away · 2026-10-17 · ID 401856720
-31.00 → -31.00+2.500.925910.45%+18.38-2.9771.921-1.057
Week 8 · Oklahoma
home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401856730
-8.00 → -8.00-2.500.962210.86%+4.27-1.1400.464-0.676
Week 9 · Texas
away · 2026-10-31 · ID 401856737
-28.00 → -28.00+2.501.000011.28%+14.93-2.8771.685-1.192

Game terms +2.11 points; prior term -0.09 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +2.03 points. The preseason prior is -0.38 with 22.57% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.9 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

3.4 SP+ points

#55 · Down 3 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

9.00 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#38 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 9.15 on 456 plays; defense 0.15 on 471 plays.

2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Mississippi State 9 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
4-4 · conf 2-4 · home 2-2 · away 2-2 · expected wins 3.5
Polls (Week 10)
unranked
CFP latest
unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 4-4 ATS (+0.7 avg) · 2025: 8-5 ATS (-0.4 avg)
Head coach
Jeff Lebby · hired 2023-11-26 · 7-18 over 3 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #28 (223 pts) · 2025 #28 (225 pts) · 2026 #23 (231 pts)
Returning
34% of production · 40% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing0%20%
Receiving28%48%
Rushing87%51%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back183.220.878715.82
Defensive Line133.150.882911.48
Linebacker63.170.88325.30
Offensive Line133.080.868611.29
Quarterback53.600.89454.47
Receiver183.220.880515.85
Running Back63.170.87755.27
Special Teams83.130.85766.86

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Kamario Taylor · QB

CFBD athlete 5177084. Mississippi State (2025–2026)

Passing WEPA0.51418447.9%
Pass 80.6% · Rush 15.6%

1st 47.0% · 2nd 39.4% · 3rd 65.3%

Standard downs 44.6% · Passing downs 55.5%

2025: 4★ · 0.9444
Fluff Bothwell · RB

CFBD athlete 5220197. South Alabama (2024–2024); Mississippi State (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.25910925.0%
Pass 7.0% · Rush 44.5%

1st 26.0% · 2nd 30.6% · 3rd 17.0%

Standard downs 25.4% · Passing downs 24.0%

2024: 3★ · 0.8256
Parker Puckett · QB

CFBD athlete 5294646. Mississippi State (2025–2026)

Passing WEPA0.0998229.1%
Pass 46.1% · Rush 11.5%

1st 22.1% · 2nd 25.4% · 3rd 41.1%

Standard downs 26.9% · Passing downs 33.6%

Not linked
Kolin Wilson · RB

CFBD athlete 5209427. Mississippi State (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1225712.7%
Pass 5.2% · Rush 20.6%

1st 13.3% · 2nd 14.7% · 3rd 10.1%

Standard downs 13.7% · Passing downs 10.4%

2025: 3★ · 0.8567
Kamario Taylor · QB

CFBD athlete 5177084. Mississippi State (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2563347.9%
Pass 80.6% · Rush 15.6%

1st 47.0% · 2nd 39.4% · 3rd 65.3%

Standard downs 44.6% · Passing downs 55.5%

2025: 4★ · 0.9444
Kyle Ferrie · PK

CFBD athlete 5092220. Mississippi State (2023–2026)

Kicker PAAR0.69010—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
AJ Swann · QB

CFBD athlete 5081405. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——26.5%
Pass 48.4% · Rush 9.1%

1st 28.0% · 2nd 21.7% · 3rd 31.6%

Standard downs 26.2% · Passing downs 26.9%

Not linked
Anthony Evans III · WR

CFBD athlete 4907671. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——13.5%
Pass 27.0% · Rush 1.1%

1st 16.1% · 2nd 10.9% · 3rd 11.9%

Standard downs 14.4% · Passing downs 11.6%

Not linked
Camden Capehart · WR

CFBD athlete 5246589. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 1.3% · Rush 3.0%

1st 2.9% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.0% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Cooper Crosby · RB

CFBD athlete 5280784. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.8%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 8.1%

1st 4.8% · 2nd 4.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Gracen Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5141501. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.9%
Pass 3.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 1.5% · 3rd 5.1%

Standard downs 1.3% · Passing downs 3.1%

Not linked
J.J. Hill · RB

CFBD athlete 5216626. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.0%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 14.7%

1st 7.4% · 2nd 9.7% · 3rd 3.2%

Standard downs 8.2% · Passing downs 4.4%

Not linked
Joeseph Skipworth · TE

CFBD athlete 5214449. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.7%
Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.5% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.1%

Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 4.3%

Not linked
Marquis Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5076106. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.6%
Pass 13.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 5.6% · 2nd 9.2% · 3rd 3.7%

Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 8.7%

Not linked
Matt Mayfield · WR

CFBD athlete 5372128. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.3%
Pass 2.4% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.4% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Riley Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 4871054. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.4% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 4.5%

Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Sam West · TE

CFBD athlete 4920164. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.0%
Pass 6.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.0% · 2nd 2.7% · 3rd 6.4%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 4.6%

Not linked
Sanfrisco Magee · WR

CFBD athlete 5146736. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.1%
Pass 12.2% · Rush 0.4%

1st 4.0% · 2nd 8.2% · 3rd 5.5%

Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 6.9%

Not linked
Xavier Gayten · RB

CFBD athlete 5146781. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——8.3%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 16.1%

1st 9.1% · 2nd 8.6% · 3rd 5.7%

Standard downs 9.0% · Passing downs 6.5%

Not linked
Zion Crumpton · WR

CFBD athlete 5245413. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.5%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Zion Ragins · WR

CFBD athlete 5079643. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.4%
Pass 13.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 8.9% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 2.8%

Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 4.6%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 28 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
AJ Swann · QBApp State2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Amaree Williams · EDGEFlorida State2026-01-093★ / 0.8800Immediate
Brandon Sneh · OTUAB2026-01-213★ / 0.8500Immediate
DJ Chester · OTLSU2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
Dealyn Evans · DLTexas A&M2026-01-134★ / 0.9000Immediate
Eddie Kelly Jr. · DLWest Virginia2026-08-253★ / —Immediate
Gav Holman · LBFlorida State2026-01-193★ / 0.8600Immediate
Gus Cordova · EDGEUSC2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Isaiah Dent · OTOklahoma2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
Ja'Elyne Matthews · OTFlorida State2026-01-093★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jaden Rashada · QBSacramento State2026-01-223★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jamari Freeman · IOLMercer2026-04-253★ / 0.8500Immediate
James Heard Jr. · LBSyracuse2026-03-263★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jamroc Grimsley · CBFlorida2026-01-073★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jardin Gilbert · SLSU2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jayson Jenkins · EDGEFlorida State2026-01-053★ / 0.8700Immediate
Kaylib Singleton · CBSyracuse2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kendel Dolby · SOklahoma2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
LJ Prudhomme · IOLArkansas2026-01-093★ / 0.8600Immediate
Marcus Williams · SRice2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Mario Nash Jr. · OTFlorida State2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Marquis Johnson · WRMissouri2026-01-044★ / 0.9200Immediate
Miles McVay · OTNorth Carolina2026-01-153★ / 0.8600Immediate
Quentin Taylor Jr. · CBIowa State2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Riley Williams · TEOregon State2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Terrance Love · SColorado2026-04-253★ / 0.8400Immediate
Tyler Miller · OTLSU2026-01-133★ / 0.8700Immediate
Zion Ragins · WROklahoma2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Outgoing · 40 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Alex Lopez · IOLWestern Kentucky2026-01-063★ / —Immediate
Ashun Shepphard · DLCalifornia2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Brennan Smith · IOLMiddle Tennessee2026-04-293★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cam Ball · TEWest Virginia2026-01-123★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cam Thompson · WRNot reported2025-12-09— / —Immediate
Corey Clark · DLNot reported2025-12-08— / —Immediate
Cyrus Reyes · SKentucky2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
DK McGruder · CBThe Citadel2026-05-283★ / —Immediate
Davian Jackson · WRTexas State2026-01-213★ / 0.8600Immediate
Dwight Lewis III · CBNot reported2025-12-23— / —Immediate
Elijah Cannon · CBKansas2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Emeka Iloh · TENot reported2025-12-173★ / —Immediate
Fatt Forrest · LBNot reported2025-12-123★ / —Immediate
Ferzell Shepard · WRNot reported2025-12-154★ / —Immediate
Jaekwon Bouldin · OTJackson State2026-01-113★ / —Immediate
Jaron Glover · WRSouth Florida2026-01-053★ / —Immediate
Jayven Williams · CBBYU2026-01-163★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jayvin James · OTAlabama2026-01-203★ / 0.8800Immediate
Jimothy Lewis Jr. · OTCalifornia2026-01-103★ / 0.8600Immediate
Johnnie Daniels · RBTulane2026-01-123★ / —Immediate
Jordan Mosley · WRColorado State2026-01-114★ / —Immediate
Joseph Head Jr. · EDGEMemphis2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Kai McClendon · DLWashington2026-01-093★ / 0.8600Immediate
Kedrick Bingley-Jones · DLAlabama2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
Koby Keenum · IOLMemphis2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Lo'Kavion Jackson · SNot reported2025-12-153★ / —Immediate
Luke Kromenhoek · QBSouth Florida2026-01-073★ / 0.8700Immediate
Luke Work · OTMissouri2026-01-073★ / 0.8900Immediate
Markus Allen · WRMiddle Tennessee2026-01-173★ / 0.8200Immediate
Marlon Hauck · KTulsa2026-01-103★ / 0.8300Immediate
Max Reese · TENorth Texas2026-01-103★ / —Immediate
Montrell Chapman · LBOld Dominion2026-01-183★ / 0.8300Immediate
Nathan Tiyce · PPenn State2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ricky Johnson · WRUtah2026-01-163★ / 0.8500Immediate
Seth Davis · RBTulsa2026-01-153★ / 0.8500Immediate
Stonka Burnside · SMemphis2026-01-063★ / 0.8400Immediate
Terrance Hibbler Jr. · DLJackson State2026-01-253★ / 0.8500Immediate
Tony Mitchell · SOle Miss2026-01-203★ / 0.8400Immediate
Tyler Woodard · SCoastal Carolina2026-01-183★ / 0.8500Immediate
Zack Owens · IOLMissouri2026-01-163★ / 0.8600Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Mississippi State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Jeff Lebby · career 7–18 across 3 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 37 appointments
  1. 2024–present · Jeff Lebby · active at capture

    7–18 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2023-11-26. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2023–2023 · Greg Knox · interim

    1–1 · 2 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2023-11-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2022–2023 · Zach Arnett

    5–6 · 11 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2022-12-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2020–2022 · Mike Leach

    19–17 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2020-01-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2018–2019 · Joe Moorhead

    14–12 · 26 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Hired 2017-11-28. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 2017–2017 · Greg Knox

    1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2017-11-26. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 2009–2017 · Dan Mullen

    69–46 · 115 attributed games · 9 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2008-12-11. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 2004–2008 · Sylvester Croom

    21–38 · 59 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Hired 2003-12-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  9. 1991–2003 · Jackie Sherrill

    74–76–2 · 152 attributed games · 13 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  10. 1986–1990 · Rockey Felker

    21–34 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  11. 1979–1985 · Emory Bellard

    37–42 · 79 attributed games · 7 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  12. 1973–1978 · Bob Tyler

    39–25–3 · 67 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  13. 1967–1972 · Charles Shira

    16–45–2 · 63 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  14. 1962–1966 · Paul Davis

    20–28–2 · 50 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  15. 1956–1961 · Wade Walker

    22–32–2 · 56 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  16. 1954–1955 · Darrell Royal

    12–8 · 20 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  17. 1952–1953 · Murray Warmath

    10–6–3 · 19 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  18. 1949–1951 · Slick Morton

    8–18–1 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  19. 1944–1948 · Allyn McKeen

    31–14–1 · 46 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  20. 1939–1942 · Allyn McKeen

    34–5–2 · 41 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  21. 1938–1938 · Spike Nelson

    4–6 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  22. 1935–1937 · Ralph Sasse

    20–10–2 · 32 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  23. 1933–1934 · Ross McKechnie

    7–12–1 · 20 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  24. 1931–1932 · Ray Dauber

    5–11 · 16 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  25. 1930–1930 · Red Cagle

    2–7 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  26. 1927–1929 · J.W. Hancock

    8–12–4 · 24 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  27. 1925–1926 · Bernie Bierman

    8–8–1 · 17 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  28. 1923–1924 · Earl Able

    10–6–2 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  29. 1922–1922 · Charles Noble

    3–4–2 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  30. 1920–1921 · Fred Holtkamp

    9–7–1 · 17 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  31. 1917–1919 · Sid Robinson

    15–5 · 20 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  32. 1914–1916 · E.C. Hayes

    15–8–2 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  33. 1909–1913 · William Chadwick

    29–12–2 · 43 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  34. 1907–1908 · Fred Furman

    9–7 · 16 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  35. 1906–1906 · Dan Martin

    2–2–1 · 5 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  36. 1904–1904 · Dan Martin

    2–5 · 7 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  37. 1902–1902 · L. Gwinn

    1–4–1 · 6 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Jeff Lebby · incomplete attribution0–0——7.38.523—
2025 · Jeff Lebby5–81–70–14.12.328—
2024 · Jeff Lebby2–100–80–0-4.1-1.628—
2023 · Greg Knox · incomplete attribution1–1——0.5-1.727—
2023 · Zach Arnett · incomplete attribution4–6——0.5-1.727—
2022 · Mike Leach · incomplete attribution8–4——15.413.12720
2022 · Zach Arnett · incomplete attribution1–0——15.413.12720
2021 · Mike Leach7–64–40–110.58.925—
2020 · Mike Leach4–73–71–0-1.41.627—
2019 · Joe Moorhead6–73–50–13.5524—
2018 · Joe Moorhead8–54–40–123.219.827—
2017 · Greg Knox · incomplete attribution1–0——1614.12419
2017 · Dan Mullen · incomplete attribution8–4——1614.12419
2016 · Dan Mullen6–73–51–05.43.528—
2015 · Dan Mullen9–44–41–015.115.518—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:08:36 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play79 / 13843.199 / 13828.5
Success rate55 / 13860.695 / 13831.4
Explosiveness72 / 13848.230 / 13878.8
Standard-down success59 / 13857.799 / 13828.5
Passing-down success65 / 13853.358 / 13858.4
Pass PPA84 / 13839.4110 / 13820.4
Rush PPA58 / 13858.441 / 13870.8
Pass explosiveness70 / 13849.662 / 13855.5
Rush explosiveness72 / 13848.26 / 13896.4
Line yards55 / 13860.686 / 13838.0
Second-level yards54 / 13861.318 / 13887.6
Open-field yards56 / 13859.914 / 13890.5
Stuff rate94 / 13832.1114 / 13817.5
Power success70 / 13849.687 / 13837.2
HavocT96 / 13830.3T71 / 13848.5
Front-seven havocT100 / 13826.6T72 / 13846.0
DB havocT76 / 13842.3T61 / 13854.7
Points / opportunity100 / 13827.7104 / 13824.8
Average field positionT57 / 13858.4T72 / 13846.4
Field-position expected points63 / 13854.770 / 13849.6

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Kamario Taylor · QBUsage 47.9% · Avg PPA 0.327 · Total 66.308
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.32766.30847.9%
Pass0.35159.65380.6%
Rush0.35111.23815.6%
1st down0.12011.19547.0%
2nd down0.40521.85539.4%
3rd down0.50324.65365.3%
Standard downs0.22930.18244.6%
Passing downs0.50936.12655.5%
Parker Puckett · QBUsage 29.1% · Avg PPA -0.184 · Total -18.802
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.184-18.80229.1%
Pass-0.266-21.81946.1%
Rush0.2875.46011.5%
1st down-0.175-5.76122.1%
2nd down0.0391.12425.4%
3rd down0.38211.47041.1%
Standard downs-0.133-8.50026.9%
Passing downs-0.271-10.30333.6%
AJ Swann · QBUsage 26.5% · Avg PPA 0.186 · Total 3.349
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1863.34926.5%
Pass0.3885.81948.4%
Rush-0.823-2.4709.1%
1st down-0.236-1.65128.0%
2nd down0.6013.00521.7%
3rd down0.3331.99531.6%
Standard downs-0.025-0.27726.2%
Passing downs0.5183.62626.9%
Fluff Bothwell · RBUsage 25.0% · Avg PPA 0.275 · Total 33.794
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.27533.79425.0%
Pass0.74212.6067.0%
Rush0.20021.18744.5%
1st down-0.019-1.10426.0%
2nd down0.43521.33630.6%
3rd down0.84813.56217.0%
Standard downs0.1169.97625.4%
Passing downs0.64423.81824.0%
Anthony Evans III · WRUsage 13.5% · Avg PPA 0.469 · Total 35.617
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.46935.61713.5%
Pass0.49636.22327.0%
Rush-0.202-0.6061.1%
1st down0.1887.53416.1%
2nd down0.52710.53310.9%
3rd down1.47519.17011.9%
Standard downs0.1015.68014.4%
Passing downs1.49729.93711.6%
Kolin Wilson · RBUsage 12.7% · Avg PPA 0.024 · Total 1.677
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0241.67712.7%
Pass0.2994.1855.2%
Rush-0.044-2.50820.6%
1st down-0.219-7.22813.3%
2nd down0.0401.09014.7%
3rd down0.7107.81410.1%
Standard downs-0.078-4.11613.7%
Passing downs0.3225.79310.4%
Xavier Gayten · RBUsage 8.3% · Avg PPA 0.009 · Total 0.219
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0090.2198.3%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.0090.21916.1%
1st down-0.172-2.0619.1%
2nd down0.1170.9398.6%
3rd down-0.022-0.0665.7%
Standard downs0.0681.3019.0%
Passing downs-0.217-1.0836.5%
J.J. Hill · RBUsage 7.0% · Avg PPA 0.361 · Total 7.214
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3617.2147.0%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.3617.21414.7%
1st down0.3943.5447.4%
2nd down0.3222.8949.7%
3rd down0.3880.7763.2%
Standard downs0.4206.7248.2%
Passing downs0.1220.4904.4%
Marquis Johnson · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.455 · Total 16.822
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.45516.8226.6%
Pass0.45516.82213.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.0841.1815.6%
2nd down0.85514.5399.2%
3rd down-0.141-0.5663.7%
Standard downs0.0350.7685.7%
Passing downs1.07016.0548.7%
Zion Ragins · WRUsage 6.4% · Avg PPA -0.020 · Total -0.709
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.020-0.7096.4%
Pass-0.020-0.70913.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.2405.2798.9%
2nd down0.0790.6334.3%
3rd down-0.688-2.0632.8%
Standard downs0.2657.4297.2%
Passing downs-1.017-8.1384.6%
Sanfrisco Magee · WRUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.457 · Total 15.535
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.45715.5356.1%
Pass0.56618.66412.2%
Rush-3.129-3.1290.4%
1st down0.9369.3614.0%
2nd down0.6309.4488.2%
3rd down0.2231.3365.5%
Standard downs0.72015.8315.7%
Passing downs-0.025-0.2966.9%
Cooper Crosby · RBUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA -0.246 · Total -0.739
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.246-0.7393.8%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.246-0.7398.1%
1st down0.3740.7484.8%
2nd down-1.487-1.4874.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.246-0.7395.2%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Joeseph Skipworth · TEUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA -0.378 · Total -1.892
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.378-1.8923.7%
Pass-0.378-1.8926.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.267-0.5353.5%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down1.2942.5887.1%
Standard downs0.4401.3213.4%
Passing downs-1.606-3.2134.3%
Sam West · TEUsage 3.0% · Avg PPA 0.155 · Total 2.628
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1552.6283.0%
Pass0.1552.6286.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1110.5552.0%
2nd down0.4952.4772.7%
3rd down-0.058-0.4046.4%
Standard downs0.4303.8702.3%
Passing downs-0.155-1.2434.6%
Zion Crumpton · WRUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA 1.444 · Total 2.889
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.4442.8892.5%
Pass1.4442.8894.8%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.4442.8894.8%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.4442.8893.4%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Camden Capehart · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA 1.200 · Total 3.601
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.2003.6012.1%
Pass2.0802.0801.3%
Rush0.7611.5213.0%
1st down0.7611.5212.9%
2nd down2.0802.0802.2%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.2003.6013.0%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Riley Williams · TEUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA 0.175 · Total 0.524
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1750.5242.1%
Pass0.1750.5244.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.6810.6811.4%
2nd down-0.898-0.8982.2%
3rd down0.7410.7414.5%
Standard downs-0.109-0.2181.9%
Passing downs0.7410.7412.6%
Gracen Harris · WRUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA 0.904 · Total 3.615
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.9043.6151.9%
Pass0.9043.6153.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down2.6072.6071.5%
3rd down-0.156-0.3135.1%
Standard downs1.9643.9281.3%
Passing downs-0.156-0.3133.1%
Matt Mayfield · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 1.384 · Total 1.384
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.3841.3841.3%
Pass1.3841.3842.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.3841.3842.4%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.3841.3841.7%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where Mississippi State sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.109 (43rd percentile; 138 teams)43rdOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.435 (61st percentile; 138 teams)61stOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.230 (48th percentile; 138 teams)48thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.172 (39th percentile; 138 teams)39thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.117 (58th percentile; 138 teams)58thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.132 (28th percentile; 138 teams)28thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.426 (31st percentile; 138 teams)31stDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.153 (79th percentile; 138 teams)79thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.156 (49th percentile; 138 teams)49th
Values and percentiles
Mississippi State metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.10943rd138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.43561st138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.23048th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.17239th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.11758th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.13228th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.42631st138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.15379th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.15649th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-11-06. Offense: 100% of 250 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.8 yards (54th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.6 per completion. Completion 64.8%, 7.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.26.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense64.7%61.3%+3.3249 / 250
Defense allowed67.9%62.8%+5.1265 / 268

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.0, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 7.7, YAC 4.9Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Arizona: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8Arizona State: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.1Arkansas: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.5, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.1BYU: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Ball State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Baylor: ADOT 10.2, YAC 5.1Boise State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.0Boston College: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.6Bowling Green: ADOT 6.4, YAC 5.6Buffalo: ADOT 10.1, YAC 2.2California: ADOT 6.2, YAC 5.6Central Michigan: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.5Charlotte: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5Cincinnati: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.7Clemson: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.8Coastal Carolina: ADOT 10.6, YAC 5.8Colorado: ADOT 8.6, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.6, YAC 8.3Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.4Duke: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.6East Carolina: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.2, YAC 5.3Florida: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.7Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.5Florida International: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.4, YAC 8.1Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.0Georgia: ADOT 8.2, YAC 7.7Georgia Southern: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 4.7Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.3, YAC 4.9Iowa: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.3Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Kansas: ADOT 12.5, YAC 5.2Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.7, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.2Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.0Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 6.2Louisville: ADOT 9.1, YAC 7.1Marshall: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.3Maryland: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.0Massachusetts: ADOT 10.4, YAC 4.6Memphis: ADOT 10.3, YAC 5.6Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.7, YAC 6.2Michigan: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.8Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.1, YAC 6.1Missouri: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.1Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.0Nebraska: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.9Nevada: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.1New Mexico: ADOT 9.9, YAC 6.1New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.4North Carolina: ADOT 7.4, YAC 6.4North Dakota State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Northwestern: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.9Ohio: ADOT 9.6, YAC 6.1Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 5.1Oklahoma: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.9, YAC 4.3Ole Miss: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.1Oregon: ADOT 7.6, YAC 6.5Oregon State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 7.7Penn State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 5.1Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 11.3, YAC 5.5SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.3Sacramento State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.2San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.7South Alabama: ADOT 10.7, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.3Southern Miss: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.1Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.9Syracuse: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.5TCU: ADOT 9.5, YAC 4.6Temple: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.9Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.8Texas Tech: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 9.1, YAC 6.1Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.2, YAC 4.9Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.4UCF: ADOT 7.0, YAC 5.4UCLA: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.8UConn: ADOT 11.2, YAC 6.3UL Monroe: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8UNLV: ADOT 10.5, YAC 4.3USC: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.4UTEP: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.9UTSA: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.0Utah: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.8Utah State: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.5Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.7, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.5Washington State: ADOT 7.1, YAC 4.0West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Wisconsin: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.9Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Mississippi State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.6Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Mississippi State.

Target mix by zone, Mississippi State offense
Short left26% · 62Short middle18% · 43Short right44% · 107Deep left7% · 16Deep middle2% · 5Deep right4% · 10

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Mississippi State passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense250100%8.85.664.8%0.26+3.3 pp249
Passing defense26899%7.75.768.3%0.36+5.1 pp265

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense3044.445.1%0.173.301.101.2016.1%73.5%
Defense allowed2693.442.0%0.053.100.800.6012.8%74.2%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense296 / 3042921227440272 / 273 · 99.6%
Defense allowed264 / 2692581120560243 / 243 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +3.3 pp. 8 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-6.32.110.5W1W1 vs UL Monroe: +4.1 ppW2W2 vs Minnesota: +10.1 ppW3W3 vs South Carolina: +10.5 ppW4W4 vs Missouri: +8.5 ppW5W5 vs Alabama: -3.9 ppW7W7 vs LSU: -1.7 ppW8W8 vs Oklahoma: +6.2 ppW9W9 vs Texas: -6.3 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1UL Monroe424163.4%59.3%+4.1 pp9.90.62379.90.71
W2Minnesota222272.7%62.6%+10.1 pp9.20.61465.50.38
W3South Carolina272770.4%59.9%+10.5 pp9.10.72344.00.22
W4Missouri383871.1%62.6%+8.5 pp8.10.43403.50.14
W5Alabama404055.0%58.9%-3.9 pp9.50.11300.6-0.14
W7LSU262661.5%63.2%-1.7 pp6.3-0.42424.10.03
W8Oklahoma303066.7%60.5%+6.2 pp11.7-0.08335.0-0.03
W9Texas252560.0%66.3%-6.3 pp5.8-0.06422.3-0.12

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

28 punts · 42.2 gross yards/punt · 39.3 net yards/punt

8 inside the 20 · 4 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 28/28 punts. Known net yards: 24/28 punts.

Our punt returns

2 returns · 3.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 2/2 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 9 · Texas648.737.04/6
Week 8 · Oklahoma434.842.73/4
Week 7 · LSU232.028.01/2
Week 5 · Alabama541.441.85/5
Week 4 · Missouri546.438.45/5
Team style
Rating history