Record
4-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
SP+ workbook recordNC State
2026 season
ACC
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
NC State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 76.5 across 8 systems; best 66, worst 106, so they disagree by 40 places.
- Lab EPA
- #106
- Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #79
- up 72026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #67
- up 72026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #66
- up 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #66
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #94
- up 13 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #74
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #105
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #82 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #75 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #52 of 138
- Game control
- #54 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #65 of 138
- Offense
- #47 of 138
- Defense
- #84 of 138
- Special teams
- #37 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
NC State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.081 net EPA/play
#106
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-0.95 points
#79 · Up 7 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +1.08 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -2.99, schedule #76 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -0.22. That is worth -1.91 on its own; the preseason prior of +2.33 still carries 23% of the weight, giving -0.95.
How each game enters this SRS rating
NC State · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Virginia away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401858202 | -26.00 → -26.00 | +2.50 | 0.7349 | 8.32% | +0.54 | -1.956 | 0.045 | -1.911 |
| Week 2 · Richmond home · 2026-09-11 · ID 401858222 | +73.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.65% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 2.812 | -2.163 | 0.649 |
| Week 3 · Vanderbilt away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856695 | -4.00 → -4.00 | +2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.99% | -4.08 | -0.135 | -0.367 | -0.502 |
| Week 4 · App State home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401864572 | +10.00 → +10.00 | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 9.34% | -5.00 | 0.701 | -0.467 | 0.233 |
| Week 5 · Louisville home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401858248 | +3.00 → +3.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 9.71% | +10.31 | 0.049 | 1.001 | 1.050 |
| Week 6 · Wake Forest home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401858260 | -24.00 → -24.00 | -2.50 | 0.8909 | 10.09% | +14.40 | -2.674 | 1.453 | -1.221 |
| Week 8 · Stanford away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401858272 | -3.00 → -3.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 10.90% | -8.16 | -0.055 | -0.889 | -0.943 |
| Week 9 · California home · 2026-10-31 · ID 401858277 | +21.00 → +21.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 11.33% | -8.19 | 2.096 | -0.927 | 1.168 |
Game terms -1.48 points; prior term +0.53 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -0.95 points. The preseason prior is +2.33 with 22.66% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
0.7 SP+ points
#67 · Up 7 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-8.11 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#94 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -0.41 on 445 plays; defense 7.69 on 437 plays.
2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks NC State 27 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 4-4 · conf 2-3 · home 4-1 · away 0-3 · expected wins 4.6
- Polls (Week 10)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 3-5 ATS (+0.1 avg) · 2025: 7-6 ATS (+0.9 avg)
- Head coach
- Dave Doeren · hired 2012-12-01 · 23-16 over 4 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #27 (225 pts) · 2025 #34 (214 pts) · 2026 #49 (210 pts)
- Returning
- 60% of production · 62% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 93% 97% Receiving 26% 28% Rushing 101% 55% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 14 | 3.07 | 0.8752 | 12.25 |
| Defensive Line | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8640 | 11.23 |
| Linebacker | 11 | 3.09 | 0.8674 | 9.54 |
| Offensive Line | 14 | 3.14 | 0.8722 | 12.21 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.25 | 0.8723 | 3.49 |
| Receiver | 16 | 3.31 | 0.8818 | 14.11 |
| Running Back | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8719 | 6.10 |
| Special Teams | 7 | 3.43 | 0.8772 | 6.14 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CJ Bailey · QBCFBD athlete 5079301. NC State (2024–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.382 | 245 | 54.5% | Pass 94.1% · Rush 18.0%1st 46.2% · 2nd 58.0% · 3rd 66.1% Standard downs 43.8% · Passing downs 77.8% | 2024: 4★ · 0.8933 |
Davion Gause · RBCFBD athlete 5079468. NC State (2026–2026); North Carolina (2024–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.005 | 80 | 21.6% | Pass 11.2% · Rush 32.4%1st 26.6% · 2nd 22.6% · 3rd 10.5% Standard downs 23.3% · Passing downs 17.8% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8875 |
Jayden Scott · RBCFBD athlete 5126513. NC State (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.120 | 52 | 17.2% | Pass 1.8% · Rush 31.2%1st 25.0% · 2nd 15.1% · 3rd 5.3% Standard downs 21.0% · Passing downs 8.7% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8834 |
CJ Bailey · QBCFBD athlete 5079301. NC State (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.072 | 46 | 54.5% | Pass 94.1% · Rush 18.0%1st 46.2% · 2nd 58.0% · 3rd 66.1% Standard downs 43.8% · Passing downs 77.8% | 2024: 4★ · 0.8933 |
Will Wilson · QBCFBD athlete 5148611. NC State (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.280 | 39 | 10.2% | Pass 5.2% · Rush 15.5%1st 6.8% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 19.5% Standard downs 13.0% · Passing downs 4.0% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8811 |
Kanoah Vinesett · PKCFBD athlete 5081852. NC State (2022–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 3.920 | 9 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Amiri Acker · WRCFBD athlete 5290566. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 4.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.7% | Not linked |
Ashton Locklear · WRCFBD athlete 5081845. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.1% | Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 2.7% Standard downs 0.9% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Chance Robinson · WRCFBD athlete 5079661. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.9% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 4.8% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 5.1% | Not linked |
Darius Johnson · RBCFBD athlete 5159453. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 1.5% · Rush 6.2%1st 3.9% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 0.8% | Not linked |
Davion Dozier · WRCFBD athlete 5080819. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.0% | Pass 6.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.3% · 2nd 1.2% · 3rd 5.3% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 5.2% | Not linked |
Deandre Desinor · RBCFBD athlete 5141409. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.8% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 2.6%1st 3.5% · 2nd 4.0% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 4.3% | Not linked |
Dylan McCoy · RBCFBD athlete 5176079. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.1% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 9.9%1st 6.6% · 2nd 4.7% · 3rd 2.5% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 2.0% | Not linked |
Hunter Provience · TECFBD athlete 5172608. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 5.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.8% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 2.9% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 3.3% | Not linked |
Isiah Jones · RBCFBD athlete 5147510. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.2% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 7.0%1st 2.7% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 5.3% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Jonathan Paylor · RBCFBD athlete 5079659. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.8% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.7%1st 5.4% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.5% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Joshisa Trader · WRCFBD athlete 5079745. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.6% | Pass 16.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.7% · 2nd 8.4% · 3rd 9.2% Standard downs 6.0% · Passing downs 11.3% | Not linked |
Keenan Jackson · WRCFBD athlete 5079524. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.2% | Pass 16.7% · Rush 0.4%1st 6.8% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 11.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 11.9% | Not linked |
Noah Moss · RBCFBD athlete 5291741. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.3%1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Preston Douglas · TECFBD athlete 5215337. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.1% | Pass 12.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.4% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 8.5% Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 7.4% | Not linked |
Tex Vaughn · TECFBD athlete 5378098. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.0% | Pass 7.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.0% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 3.7% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 6.7% | Not linked |
Tyran Warren · WRCFBD athlete 5160003. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.4% | Pass 7.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.2% · 2nd 4.9% · 3rd 1.9% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 3.8% | Not linked |
Vander Ploog · TECFBD athlete 5201877. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 7.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 7.7% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 10.5% | Not linked |
Victor Snow · WRCFBD athlete 5084967. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.5% | Pass 11.2% · Rush 0.4%1st 4.0% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 6.8% Standard downs 2.9% · Passing downs 11.4% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 20 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Robinson · WR | Miami | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Da'Kaari Nelson · LB | Penn State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Daniel Cruz · IOL | Texas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Davion Dozier · WR | App State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Davion Gause · RB | North Carolina | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Harvey Dyson · EDGE | Tulane | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Hunter Provience · TE | Montana State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8900 | Immediate |
| Jackson Waller · P | SMU | 2026-01-06 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jai'Lun Hampton · OT | UT Martin | 2026-02-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jimarion McCrimon · OT | East Carolina | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Joshisa Trader · WR | Miami | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
| KaTron Evans · DL | Marshall | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| King Mack · S | Penn State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Ondre Evans · CB | Georgia | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Popo Aguirre · LB | Miami | 2026-01-25 | 3★ / 0.8900 | Immediate |
| Tad Hudson · QB | Coastal Carolina | 2026-02-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ty White · CB | North Carolina | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Tyran Warren · WR | Alcorn State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Vander Ploog · TE | Oregon | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Victor Snow · WR | Buffalo | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 22 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Stukes · IOL | Sam Houston | 2026-01-12 | — / — | Immediate |
| Christian Zachary · WR | Sam Houston | 2026-02-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Daemon Fagan · S | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Darion Rivers · OT | Troy | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Elijah Groves · LB | Sam Houston | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Hollywood Smothers · RB | Texas | 2026-01-11 | 4★ / 0.9400 | Immediate |
| Jacarrius Peak · OT | South Carolina | 2026-01-09 | 4★ / 0.9400 | Immediate |
| Jivan Baly · CB | Old Dominion | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Josh Alexander-Felton · DL | Not reported | 2025-12-12 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Joshua Ofor · LB | Arkansas State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Justin Terrell · DL | Sam Houston | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kelvon McBride · LB | Marshall | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kenny Soares Jr. · LB | Michigan State | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Lex Thomas · QB | Not reported | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Noah Rogers · WR | Alabama | 2026-01-12 | 4★ / 0.9300 | Immediate |
| Odera Orizu · EDGE | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Tank Boston · WR | Charlotte | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Terrell Anderson · WR | USC | 2026-01-05 | 4★ / 0.9400 | Immediate |
| Terrente Hinton · S | Marshall | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Terris Dudley · LB | UConn | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Val Erickson · OT | Liberty | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Zack Myers · S | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at NC State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Dave Doeren · career 118–74 across 16 seasons and 2 schools
Tenure timeline · 24 appointments
2013–present · Dave Doeren · active at capture
95–70 · 165 attributed games · 14 seasons
Hired 2012-12-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2012 · Tom O'Brien
40–35 · 75 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2006-12-06. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2000–2006 · Chuck Amato
49–37 · 86 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 1999-11-24. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1993–1999 · Mike O'Cain
41–40 · 81 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1986–1992 · Dick Sheridan
52–29–3 · 84 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1983–1985 · Tom Reed
9–24 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1980–1982 · Monte Kiffin
16–17 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1976–1979 · Bo Rein
27–18–1 · 46 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1972–1975 · Lou Holtz
33–12–3 · 48 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1971–1971 · Al Michaels
3–8 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1954–1970 · Earle Edwards
77–88–8 · 173 attributed games · 17 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1952–1953 · Horace Hendrickson
4–16 · 20 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1944–1951 · Beattie Feathers
37–38–3 · 78 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1940–1940 · Doc Newton
3–6 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1934–1936 · Hunk Anderson
11–17–1 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1930–1930 · John Van Liew
2–8 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1925–1929 · Gus Tebell
21–25–2 · 48 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1921–1923 · Harry Hartsell
10–16–3 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1919–1920 · William Fetzer
14–5 · 19 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1918–1918 · Tal Stafford
1–3 · 4 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1917–1917 · Harry Hartsell
6–2–1 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1914–1915 · Jack Hegarty
5–6–2 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1908–1908 · Mickey Whitehurst
6–1 · 7 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1904–1904 · W.S. Keinholz
3–1–2 · 6 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Dave Doeren · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -1 | -2.1 | 49 | — |
| 2025 · Dave Doeren | 8–5 | 4–4 | 1–0 | 4.8 | 7 | 34 | — |
| 2024 · Dave Doeren | 6–7 | 3–5 | 0–1 | 3.9 | -2.1 | 27 | — |
| 2023 · Dave Doeren | 9–4 | 6–2 | 0–1 | 7.4 | 7 | 43 | 21 |
| 2022 · Dave Doeren | 8–5 | 4–4 | 0–1 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 64 | — |
| 2021 · Dave Doeren | 9–3 | 6–2 | 0–0 | 16.1 | 13.5 | 34 | 20 |
| 2020 · Dave Doeren | 8–4 | 7–3 | 0–1 | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| 2019 · Dave Doeren | 4–8 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -6.3 | -12 | 31 | — |
| 2018 · Dave Doeren | 9–4 | 5–3 | 0–1 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 26 | — |
| 2017 · Dave Doeren | 9–4 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 12.9 | 13.7 | 53 | 23 |
| 2016 · Dave Doeren | 7–6 | 3–5 | 1–0 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 50 | — |
| 2015 · Dave Doeren | 7–6 | 3–5 | 0–1 | 9.6 | 6.7 | 31 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:05:04 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 40 / 138 | 71.5 | 101 / 138 | 27.0 |
| Success rate | 38 / 138 | 73.0 | 73 / 138 | 47.4 |
| Explosiveness | 82 / 138 | 40.9 | 110 / 138 | 20.4 |
| Standard-down success | 44 / 138 | 68.6 | 71 / 138 | 48.9 |
| Passing-down success | 27 / 138 | 81.0 | 68 / 138 | 51.1 |
| Pass PPA | 31 / 138 | 78.1 | 111 / 138 | 19.7 |
| Rush PPA | 71 / 138 | 48.9 | 64 / 138 | 54.0 |
| Pass explosiveness | 67 / 138 | 51.8 | 70 / 138 | 49.6 |
| Rush explosiveness | 100 / 138 | 27.7 | 101 / 138 | 27.0 |
| Line yards | 73 / 138 | 47.4 | 49 / 138 | 65.0 |
| Second-level yards | 123 / 138 | 10.9 | 85 / 138 | 38.7 |
| Open-field yards | 64 / 138 | 54.0 | 93 / 138 | 32.8 |
| Stuff rate | 41 / 138 | 70.8 | 22 / 138 | 84.7 |
| Power success | 30 / 138 | 78.8 | 88 / 138 | 36.5 |
| Havoc | T48 / 138 | 64.6 | T98 / 138 | 28.8 |
| Front-seven havoc | T36 / 138 | 74.1 | T115 / 138 | 15.7 |
| DB havoc | T66 / 138 | 50.0 | T44 / 138 | 66.8 |
| Points / opportunity | 32 / 138 | 77.4 | 110 / 138 | 20.4 |
| Average field position | T93 / 138 | 32.1 | 48 / 138 | 65.7 |
| Field-position expected points | 88 / 138 | 36.5 | 46 / 138 | 67.2 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
CJ Bailey · QBUsage 54.5% · Avg PPA 0.294 · Total 89.690
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.294 | 89.690 | 54.5% |
| Pass | 0.367 | 92.810 | 94.1% |
| Rush | -0.019 | -0.956 | 18.0% |
| 1st down | -0.003 | -0.305 | 46.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.200 | 20.997 | 58.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.002 | 78.178 | 66.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.068 | 11.398 | 43.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.571 | 78.292 | 77.8% |
Davion Gause · RBUsage 21.6% · Avg PPA 0.072 · Total 7.906
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.072 | 7.906 | 21.6% |
| Pass | 0.366 | 9.890 | 11.2% |
| Rush | -0.024 | -1.984 | 32.4% |
| 1st down | -0.106 | -6.444 | 26.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.152 | 5.614 | 22.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.629 | 6.918 | 10.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.008 | -0.681 | 23.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.307 | 8.588 | 17.8% |
Jayden Scott · RBUsage 17.2% · Avg PPA 0.102 · Total 6.400
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.102 | 6.400 | 17.2% |
| Pass | -0.224 | -0.673 | 1.8% |
| Rush | 0.129 | 7.628 | 31.2% |
| 1st down | 0.183 | 7.503 | 25.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.160 | -2.877 | 15.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.443 | 1.773 | 5.3% |
| Standard downs | 0.144 | 7.615 | 21.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.122 | -1.215 | 8.7% |
Will Wilson · QBUsage 10.2% · Avg PPA 0.394 · Total 22.481
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.394 | 22.481 | 10.2% |
| Pass | -0.054 | -0.753 | 5.2% |
| Rush | 0.540 | 23.234 | 15.5% |
| 1st down | 0.046 | 0.785 | 6.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.391 | 5.473 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.522 | 12.014 | 19.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.422 | 21.112 | 13.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.196 | 1.369 | 4.0% |
Keenan Jackson · WRUsage 8.2% · Avg PPA 0.734 · Total 33.782
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.734 | 33.782 | 8.2% |
| Pass | 0.858 | 38.610 | 16.7% |
| Rush | -4.828 | -4.828 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | 0.000 | 0.004 | 6.8% |
| 2nd down | 1.055 | 14.766 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.606 | 20.874 | 11.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.075 | 1.885 | 6.5% |
| Passing downs | 1.519 | 31.898 | 11.9% |
Joshisa Trader · WRUsage 7.6% · Avg PPA 0.602 · Total 16.865
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.602 | 16.865 | 7.6% |
| Pass | 0.534 | 14.430 | 16.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.050 | 0.547 | 6.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.871 | 8.711 | 8.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.087 | 7.607 | 9.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.478 | 7.164 | 6.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.746 | 9.701 | 11.3% |
Preston Douglas · TEUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.658 · Total 22.383
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.658 | 22.383 | 6.1% |
| Pass | 0.658 | 22.383 | 12.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.749 | 8.239 | 4.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.061 | 0.794 | 7.2% |
| 3rd down | 1.335 | 13.350 | 8.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.477 | 10.020 | 5.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.951 | 12.364 | 7.4% |
Victor Snow · WRUsage 5.5% · Avg PPA 0.208 · Total 6.455
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.208 | 6.455 | 5.5% |
| Pass | 0.226 | 6.780 | 11.2% |
| Rush | -0.325 | -0.325 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | -0.010 | -0.103 | 4.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.252 | 2.772 | 6.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.680 | 5.444 | 6.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.183 | 2.008 | 2.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.222 | 4.447 | 11.4% |
Dylan McCoy · RBUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.287 · Total 2.874
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.287 | 2.874 | 5.1% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.287 | 2.874 | 9.9% |
| 1st down | -0.035 | -0.209 | 6.6% |
| 2nd down | 1.013 | 3.038 | 4.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.045 | 0.045 | 2.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.314 | 2.829 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.045 | 0.045 | 2.0% |
Isiah Jones · RBUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA 0.383 · Total 1.149
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.383 | 1.149 | 4.2% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.383 | 1.149 | 7.0% |
| 1st down | 0.106 | 0.106 | 2.7% |
| 2nd down | -0.614 | -0.614 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.658 | 1.658 | 8.3% |
| Standard downs | 0.383 | 1.149 | 5.3% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Chance Robinson · WRUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.530 · Total 10.599
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.530 | 10.599 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 0.530 | 10.599 | 8.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.073 | 0.658 | 3.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.100 | 0.597 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.869 | 9.343 | 4.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.420 | 5.040 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.695 | 5.558 | 5.1% |
Vander Ploog · TEUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 1.791 · Total 3.581
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.791 | 3.581 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 1.791 | 3.581 | 7.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.083 | -0.083 | 5.9% |
| 3rd down | 3.664 | 3.664 | 7.7% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 1.791 | 3.581 | 10.5% |
Deandre Desinor · RBUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA 0.924 · Total 11.086
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.924 | 11.086 | 3.8% |
| Pass | 1.320 | 10.562 | 5.1% |
| Rush | 0.131 | 0.523 | 2.6% |
| 1st down | 1.015 | 5.077 | 3.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.198 | -0.791 | 4.0% |
| 3rd down | 2.267 | 6.800 | 4.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.572 | 4.580 | 3.6% |
| Passing downs | 1.626 | 6.506 | 4.3% |
Darius Johnson · RBUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA 0.036 · Total 0.537
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.036 | 0.537 | 3.7% |
| Pass | 0.063 | 0.188 | 1.5% |
| Rush | 0.029 | 0.349 | 6.2% |
| 1st down | -0.125 | -0.872 | 3.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.156 | 0.936 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.236 | 0.473 | 2.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.020 | -0.277 | 5.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.814 | 0.814 | 0.8% |
Tyran Warren · WRUsage 3.4% · Avg PPA 0.045 · Total 0.773
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.045 | 0.773 | 3.4% |
| Pass | 0.045 | 0.773 | 7.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.500 | 3.502 | 3.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.068 | -0.540 | 4.9% |
| 3rd down | -1.094 | -2.189 | 1.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.093 | 1.026 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | -0.042 | -0.253 | 3.8% |
Davion Dozier · WRUsage 3.0% · Avg PPA -0.067 · Total -0.536
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.067 | -0.536 | 3.0% |
| Pass | -0.067 | -0.536 | 6.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.050 | -0.201 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | 1.477 | 1.477 | 1.2% |
| 3rd down | -0.604 | -1.813 | 5.3% |
| Standard downs | -0.050 | -0.201 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.084 | -0.336 | 5.2% |
Tex Vaughn · TEUsage 3.0% · Avg PPA -0.442 · Total -1.767
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.442 | -1.767 | 3.0% |
| Pass | -0.442 | -1.767 | 7.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.576 | -1.152 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.368 | 0.368 | 2.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.983 | -0.983 | 3.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.576 | -1.152 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | -0.308 | -0.615 | 6.7% |
Jonathan Paylor · RBUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA 1.012 · Total 2.023
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.012 | 2.023 | 2.8% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 1.012 | 2.023 | 4.7% |
| 1st down | 1.012 | 2.023 | 5.4% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 1.012 | 2.023 | 3.5% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Hunter Provience · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.580 · Total 7.545
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.580 | 7.545 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.580 | 7.545 | 5.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.580 | 2.321 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.201 | 1.208 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.339 | 4.016 | 2.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.429 | 3.434 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.822 | 4.111 | 3.3% |
Ashton Locklear · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.707 · Total -4.949
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.707 | -4.949 | 2.1% |
| Pass | -0.707 | -4.949 | 4.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.321 | -0.964 | 2.8% |
| 3rd down | 1.414 | 2.828 | 2.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.079 | -0.159 | 0.9% |
| Passing downs | -0.958 | -4.790 | 4.8% |
Amiri Acker · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 0.877 · Total 1.755
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.877 | 1.755 | 1.5% |
| Pass | 0.877 | 1.755 | 2.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -1.000 | -1.000 | 2.2% |
| 3rd down | 2.754 | 2.754 | 4.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.877 | 1.755 | 5.7% |
Noah Moss · RBUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.347 · Total 0.347
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.347 | 0.347 | 1.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.347 | 0.347 | 2.3% |
| 1st down | 0.347 | 0.347 | 2.7% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.347 | 0.347 | 1.8% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.197 | 72nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.459 | 73rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.213 | 41st138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.332 | 78th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.089 | 49th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.136 | 27th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.410 | 47th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.303 | 20th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.144 | 29th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-11-06. Offense: 99% of 260 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.9 yards (59th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.4 per completion. Completion 64.2%, 7.7 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.39.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 63.5% | 60.6% | +3.0 | 233 / 260 |
| Defense allowed | 66.8% | 60.7% | +6.2 | 226 / 256 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is NC State.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 260 | 99% | 8.9 | 5.4 | 64.2% | 0.39 | +3.0 pp | 233 |
| Passing defense | 256 | 99% | 9.0 | 4.2 | 62.9% | 0.31 | +6.2 pp | 226 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 294 | 4.4 | 47.1% | 0.15 | 3.00 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 14.5% | 78.7% |
| Defense allowed | 247 | 4.4 | 42.1% | 0.12 | 2.90 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 19.7% | 76.5% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 286 / 294 | 281 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 276 / 276 · 100.0% |
| Defense allowed | 244 / 247 | 237 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 227 / 228 · 99.6% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +3.0 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Virginia | 27 | 27 | 55.6% | 63.4% | -7.9 pp | 8.3 | -0.32 | 24 | 3.2 | -0.22 |
| W2 | Richmond | 25 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.2 | 0.93 | 45 | 9.7 | 0.74 |
| W3 | Vanderbilt | 38 | 38 | 68.4% | 58.8% | +9.7 pp | 9.8 | 0.16 | 40 | 4.2 | 0.14 |
| W4 | App State | 33 | 32 | 71.9% | 60.4% | +11.5 pp | 7.0 | 0.33 | 46 | 4.5 | 0.29 |
| W5 | Louisville | 41 | 41 | 61.0% | 57.6% | +3.4 pp | 10.5 | 0.78 | 43 | 2.8 | -0.10 |
| W6 | Wake Forest | 40 | 40 | 72.5% | 64.3% | +8.3 pp | 6.3 | 0.22 | 23 | 1.7 | -0.28 |
| W8 | Stanford | 31 | 30 | 56.7% | 60.7% | -4.0 pp | 9.1 | 0.67 | 33 | 3.8 | 0.15 |
| W9 | California | 25 | 25 | 52.0% | 59.4% | -7.4 pp | 10.8 | 0.34 | 40 | 3.4 | -0.00 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
32 punts · 42.8 gross yards/punt · 41.5 net yards/punt
12 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 32/32 punts. Known net yards: 32/32 punts.
Our punt returns
13 returns · 10.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
2 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 13/13 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · California | 6 | 46.3 | 44.3 | 6/6 |
| Week 8 · Stanford | 5 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 5/5 |
| Week 6 · Wake Forest | 4 | 45.0 | 43.0 | 4/4 |
| Week 5 · Louisville | 3 | 36.3 | 36.3 | 3/3 |
| Week 4 · App State | 3 | 42.7 | 42.7 | 3/3 |