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Louisiana Tech

2026 season

Sun Belt
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Louisiana Tech's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 60.5 across 8 systems; best 31, worst 74, so they disagree by 43 places.

Lab EPA
#32
Through week 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#57
up 72026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#74
up 102026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#72
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#74
up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#34
up 5 · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9 · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#64
up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#31
up 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-11-06T12:01:15.459089+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#36 of 138
Schedule strength
#66 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#106 of 138
Game control
#66 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#47 of 138
Offense
#54 of 138
Defense
#35 of 138
Special teams
#114 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Louisiana Tech · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

6-2 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.093 net EPA/play

#32

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 9. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

2.33 points

#57 · Up 7 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 9 · built 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +7.72 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -4.32, schedule #89 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -1.86. That is worth +3.40 on its own; the preseason prior of -1.38 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +2.33.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Louisiana Tech · 2026, through CFBD Week 9. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Northwestern State
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401869129
+74.00 → +35.00-2.500.73498.23%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.675-2.0580.617
Week 2 · LSU
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401867796
-31.00 → -31.00+2.500.76378.55%+18.38-2.4381.573-0.865
Week 3 · Baylor
away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401867804
-17.00 → -17.00+2.500.79378.89%+9.26-1.2890.823-0.466
Week 5 · Army
home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401869842
+2.00 → +2.00-2.500.85729.60%+0.99-0.0480.0950.047
Week 6 · Louisiana
home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401869965
+1.00 → +1.00-2.500.89099.98%+0.30-0.1500.030-0.120
Week 7 · UL Monroe
away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401871091
+24.00 → +24.00+2.500.925910.37%-18.522.748-1.9210.827
Week 8 · Old Dominion
home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401871093
+26.00 → +26.00-2.500.962210.78%-11.672.533-1.2581.275
Week 9 · South Alabama
away · 2026-10-31 · ID 401871097
+15.00 → +15.00+2.501.000011.20%-5.651.960-0.6331.327

Game terms +2.64 points; prior term -0.31 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +2.33 points. The preseason prior is -1.38 with 22.40% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 9; generated 2026-11-06T12:26:24.430328+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-1.0 SP+ points

#74 · Up 10 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 10 · captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 10; captured 2026-11-02T14:10:13.208713+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

9.70 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#34 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 0.98 on 428 plays; defense -8.71 on 415 plays.

2026, through regular Week 9; model core-v1; captured 2026-11-06T12:03:20.826325+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Louisiana Tech 25 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 9 and 10. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
6-2 · conf 4-0 · home 4-0 · away 2-2 · expected wins 5.6
Polls (Week 10)
unranked
CFP latest
unranked · 2026 regular Week 10 · captured 2026-11-06
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 7-1 ATS (+8.4 avg) · 2025: 8-5 ATS (+4.8 avg)
Head coach
Sonny Cumbie · hired 2021-11-30 · 16-22 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #113 (139 pts) · 2025 #111 (132 pts) · 2026 #99 (177 pts)
Returning
64% of production · 49% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing99%83%
Receiving44%39%
Rushing79%31%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-11-06. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back113.000.84289.27
Defensive Line73.000.84125.89
Linebacker103.000.84058.41
Offensive Line123.000.82939.95
Quarterback43.000.84193.37
Receiver113.000.84239.26
Running Back53.000.85154.26
Special Teams33.000.84552.54

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Blake Baker · QB

CFBD athlete 5150998. Louisiana Tech (2023–2026)

Passing WEPA0.42316145.4%
Pass 82.1% · Rush 17.6%

1st 38.2% · 2nd 45.5% · 3rd 59.8%

Standard downs 38.9% · Passing downs 60.4%

2023: 3★ · 0.8417
Andrew Burnette · RB

CFBD athlete 5296374. Louisiana Tech (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.0788719.6%
Pass 4.9% · Rush 33.3%

1st 22.6% · 2nd 20.9% · 3rd 13.9%

Standard downs 22.4% · Passing downs 13.4%

Not linked
Trey Kukuk · QB

CFBD athlete 5296376. Louisiana Tech (2025–2026)

Passing WEPA0.2537225.5%
Pass 37.5% · Rush 16.7%

1st 26.9% · 2nd 20.7% · 3rd 28.4%

Standard downs 25.9% · Passing downs 24.7%

2025: stars unavailable
Blake Baker · QB

CFBD athlete 5150998. Louisiana Tech (2023–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.0584545.4%
Pass 82.1% · Rush 17.6%

1st 38.2% · 2nd 45.5% · 3rd 59.8%

Standard downs 38.9% · Passing downs 60.4%

2023: 3★ · 0.8417
Trey Kukuk · QB

CFBD athlete 5296376. Louisiana Tech (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1603925.5%
Pass 37.5% · Rush 16.7%

1st 26.9% · 2nd 20.7% · 3rd 28.4%

Standard downs 25.9% · Passing downs 24.7%

2025: stars unavailable
Hunter Rioux · PK

CFBD athlete 5161240. Louisiana Tech (2026–2026)

Kicker PAAR-3.0507—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Kaegan Kent · PK

CFBD athlete 5296391. Louisiana Tech (2025–2026)

Kicker PAAR-7.4506—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Brayden Bockler · TE

CFBD athlete 5296401. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.9%
Pass 7.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.4% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 2.2%

Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 1.6%

Not linked
David Pierro · WR

CFBD athlete 5296382. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.3%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 2.7%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 9.1%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 6.3%

Not linked
Dedrick Latulas · WR

CFBD athlete 5078549. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.4%
Pass 4.2% · Rush 1.4%

1st 1.8% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 4.0%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Dylone Brooks · RB

CFBD athlete 5296386. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.1%
Pass 6.9% · Rush 11.6%

1st 11.9% · 2nd 8.7% · 3rd 4.7%

Standard downs 9.1% · Passing downs 8.9%

Not linked
Eli Finley · TE

CFBD athlete 5121453. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——10.3%
Pass 22.2% · Rush 0.4%

1st 8.1% · 2nd 12.4% · 3rd 12.0%

Standard downs 8.9% · Passing downs 13.4%

Not linked
Jackson Bradley · QB

CFBD athlete 5184630. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.0%
Pass 9.5% · Rush 2.7%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 18.2%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 18.8%

Not linked
Jaden Miller · RB

CFBD athlete 5382987. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——10.9%
Pass 2.2% · Rush 19.6%

1st 9.1% · 2nd 15.8% · 3rd 7.3%

Standard downs 12.7% · Passing downs 7.5%

Not linked
Jalen Mickens · WR

CFBD athlete 5218381. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——12.5%
Pass 24.3% · Rush 2.9%

1st 9.8% · 2nd 10.7% · 3rd 22.2%

Standard downs 9.4% · Passing downs 19.5%

Not linked
Jay Wilkerson · WR

CFBD athlete 4431484. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.7%
Pass 3.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.5% · 2nd 1.8% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Johnnie Thiel IV · WR

CFBD athlete 5215238. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.8%
Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Josh Brantley · TE

CFBD athlete 5222150. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.7%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 6.3%

Not linked
Luke Watkins · WR

CFBD athlete 5265463. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.3%
Pass 4.4% · Rush 0.6%

1st 2.2% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 3.3%

Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 2.0%

Not linked
Marcus Calwise Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5224217. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.1%
Pass 11.7% · Rush 1.2%

1st 5.4% · 2nd 6.9% · 3rd 6.2%

Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 8.1%

Not linked
Rayshun Hurt · RB

CFBD athlete 5382992. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.8%
Pass 8.6% · Rush 11.2%

1st 9.6% · 2nd 10.0% · 3rd 10.9%

Standard downs 10.8% · Passing downs 7.6%

Not linked
Sergio Snider · RB

CFBD athlete 4919037. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.4%
Pass 1.0% · Rush 7.3%

1st 5.5% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 1.1%

Standard downs 5.6% · Passing downs 1.4%

Not linked
Talyn Shettron · WR

CFBD athlete 4685517. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.5%
Pass 12.2% · Rush 1.5%

1st 6.6% · 2nd 9.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 5.9% · Passing downs 8.0%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 11 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Ahkhari Johnson · CBArkansas2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Demario Bookhart · CBSouth Carolina State2026-01-203★ / 0.8500Immediate
Harrison Williams · RBHarding2026-01-293★ / 0.8200Immediate
Jaden Miller · RBNot reported2026-01-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Joshua Brantley · EDGETulane2026-01-163★ / 0.8600Immediate
Justice Williams · DLWest Florida2026-01-08— / —Immediate
MJ Moultrie II · SHampton2026-01-203★ / 0.8300Immediate
Marcus Calwise Jr. · WREastern Kentucky2026-02-023★ / 0.8500Immediate
Talyn Shettron · WROklahoma State2026-01-163★ / 0.8600Immediate
Ty Jones · SNorfolk State2026-01-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Tye Hylton · OTFlorida State2026-01-213★ / 0.8500Immediate
Outgoing · 24 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Amani Givens · RBNot reported2026-01-17— / —Immediate
Cam Hill · SNot reported2025-12-253★ / —Immediate
Christian Davis · DLSMU2026-01-043★ / 0.8500Immediate
Clay Thevenin · RBRutgers2026-01-123★ / 0.8500Immediate
Daejawn Smith · WRSouthern2026-02-043★ / —Immediate
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor · CBNot reported2026-01-093★ / —TBD
Evan Bullock · QBLamar2026-01-143★ / —Immediate
Fred Robertson · RBNot reported2026-01-023★ / —Immediate
Jacob Fields · STCU2026-01-053★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jay Simon · WRNot reported2025-12-253★ / —Immediate
JayT Jackson · CBBowling Green2026-06-30— / —Immediate
Jayden Madkins · DLTulsa2026-01-153★ / 0.8300Immediate
Jhamal Shelby Jr. · CBNicholls2026-04-023★ / 0.8300Immediate
John Hoyet Chance · PTCU2026-01-04— / —Immediate
Jordan Pierro · CBEastern Washington2026-02-043★ / —Immediate
Kolby Thomas · WRNot reported2026-01-033★ / —Immediate
Marlion Jackson · WRVirginia Tech2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Marquis Singleton Jr. · WRNot reported2026-01-01— / —Immediate
Mekhi Mason · LBKansas State2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Michael Richard · SMichigan State2026-01-053★ / 0.8500Immediate
Omiri Wiggins · RBMcNeese2026-02-043★ / 0.8300Immediate
Sentel Simpson · SNot reported2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Teddy Booras · QBNot reported2025-12-06— / —Immediate
Toby Mealer · IOLSouthern Miss2026-01-073★ / —Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Louisiana Tech. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Sonny Cumbie · career 21–34 across 6 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 11 appointments
  1. 2022–present · Sonny Cumbie · active at capture

    19–31 · 50 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Hired 2021-11-30. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2013–2021 · Skip Holtz

    64–50 · 114 attributed games · 9 seasons

    Hired 2012-12-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2010–2012 · Sonny Dykes

    22–15 · 37 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2010-01-20. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2007–2009 · Derek Dooley

    17–20 · 37 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2006-12-17. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 1999–2006 · Jack Bicknell

    43–52 · 95 attributed games · 8 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 1996–1998 · Gary Crowton

    21–13 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 1988–1995 · Joe Peace

    40–44–4 · 88 attributed games · 8 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 1980–1981 · Billy Brewer

    9–12–1 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  9. 1979–1979 · Pat Patterson

    1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  10. 1979–1979 · Larry Beightol

    1–9 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  11. 1975–1978 · Maxie Lambright

    29–13–2 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Sonny Cumbie · incomplete attribution0–0——-3.80.499—
2025 · Sonny Cumbie8–55–31–0-1.3-3.9111—
2024 · Sonny Cumbie5–84–40–1-11.6-12.6113—
2023 · Sonny Cumbie3–92–60–0-12.9-14.477—
2022 · Sonny Cumbie3–92–60–0-17.8-14.388—
2021 · Skip Holtz3–92–60–0-11.6-7.8121—
2020 · Skip Holtz5–54–20–1-7-11.575—
2019 · Skip Holtz10–36–21–00.2-2.683—
2018 · Skip Holtz8–55–31–0-6.9-7.977—
2017 · Skip Holtz7–64–41–0-5.5-5.3100—
2016 · Skip Holtz9–56–31–03.11.594—
2015 · Skip Holtz9–46–21–08.3-0.382—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-11-02 13:51:41.272114 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-11-01 14:10:03 UTC · calculated 2026-11-02 13:47:25 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-11-02 13:57:25 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play61 / 13856.216 / 13889.1
Success rate92 / 13833.627 / 13881.0
Explosiveness29 / 13879.6109 / 13821.2
Standard-down success118 / 13814.629 / 13879.6
Passing-down success35 / 13875.236 / 13874.5
Pass PPA29 / 13879.69 / 13894.2
Rush PPA110 / 13820.449 / 13865.0
Pass explosiveness65 / 13853.3115 / 13816.8
Rush explosiveness21 / 13885.4108 / 13821.9
Line yards129 / 1386.610 / 13893.4
Second-level yards124 / 13810.258 / 13858.4
Open-field yards73 / 13847.486 / 13838.0
Stuff rate117 / 13815.310 / 13893.4
Power successT133 / 1383.330 / 13878.8
HavocT79 / 13842.75 / 13897.1
Front-seven havocT96 / 13829.66 / 13896.4
DB havocT40 / 13870.1T18 / 13886.5
Points / opportunity61 / 13856.223 / 13883.9
Average field positionT9 / 13893.8T93 / 13832.1
Field-position expected points7 / 13895.697 / 13829.9

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Blake Baker · QBUsage 45.4% · Avg PPA 0.242 · Total 50.271
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.24250.27145.4%
Pass0.36259.70582.1%
Rush-0.219-9.43417.6%
1st down0.16712.67238.2%
2nd down0.24117.11745.5%
3rd down0.46025.30959.8%
Standard downs0.25631.75038.9%
Passing downs0.22018.52160.4%
Trey Kukuk · QBUsage 25.5% · Avg PPA 0.144 · Total 16.745
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.14416.74525.5%
Pass0.15111.35837.5%
Rush0.1315.38716.7%
1st down0.0753.97826.9%
2nd down0.2898.97120.7%
3rd down0.64517.40628.4%
Standard downs0.0665.25025.9%
Passing downs0.31911.49524.7%
Andrew Burnette · RBUsage 19.6% · Avg PPA -0.073 · Total -7.703
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.073-7.70319.6%
Pass-0.417-5.0044.9%
Rush-0.029-2.69933.3%
1st down-0.180-9.56222.6%
2nd down-0.090-3.34220.9%
3rd down0.3475.20113.9%
Standard downs-0.051-4.25222.4%
Passing downs-0.157-3.45113.4%
Jalen Mickens · WRUsage 12.5% · Avg PPA 0.646 · Total 43.268
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.64643.26812.5%
Pass0.67739.95024.3%
Rush0.4153.3182.9%
1st down0.60813.9759.8%
2nd down0.68212.96310.7%
3rd down0.83720.08722.2%
Standard downs0.66123.1199.4%
Passing downs0.63020.14819.5%
Jaden Miller · RBUsage 10.9% · Avg PPA -0.289 · Total -6.077
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.289-6.07710.9%
Pass0.0300.0592.2%
Rush-0.323-6.13619.6%
1st down0.1200.9639.1%
2nd down-0.454-4.08215.8%
3rd down0.4451.3347.3%
Standard downs-0.318-5.08212.7%
Passing downs-0.199-0.9957.5%
Eli Finley · TEUsage 10.3% · Avg PPA 0.511 · Total 28.117
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.51128.11710.3%
Pass0.59532.14022.2%
Rush-4.023-4.0230.4%
1st down0.4939.3678.1%
2nd down0.45510.00212.4%
3rd down0.96512.54212.0%
Standard downs0.62520.6268.9%
Passing downs0.3417.49113.4%
Rayshun Hurt · RBUsage 9.8% · Avg PPA 0.086 · Total 2.228
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0862.2289.8%
Pass0.2732.4568.6%
Rush-0.013-0.22811.2%
1st down0.1922.1129.6%
2nd down0.0310.27610.0%
3rd down-0.027-0.15910.9%
Standard downs0.0761.51310.8%
Passing downs0.1190.7157.6%
Dylone Brooks · RBUsage 9.1% · Avg PPA 0.473 · Total 14.196
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.47314.1969.1%
Pass0.4534.9876.9%
Rush0.4859.20911.6%
1st down0.57610.35911.9%
2nd down0.5745.1648.7%
3rd down-0.442-1.3274.7%
Standard downs0.48010.0719.1%
Passing downs0.4584.1258.9%
Talyn Shettron · WRUsage 6.5% · Avg PPA 0.512 · Total 13.816
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.51213.8166.5%
Pass0.42810.26512.2%
Rush1.1843.5521.5%
1st down0.4345.2056.6%
2nd down1.14713.7619.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.2353.9905.9%
Passing downs0.9839.8268.0%
Marcus Calwise Jr. · WRUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.821 · Total 23.819
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.82123.8196.1%
Pass0.82721.50111.7%
Rush0.7732.3191.2%
1st down1.12612.3825.4%
2nd down0.8719.5816.9%
3rd down0.0290.1756.2%
Standard downs1.22020.7385.2%
Passing downs0.2573.0828.1%
Jackson Bradley · QBUsage 5.0% · Avg PPA -0.815 · Total -2.445
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.815-2.4455.0%
Pass-0.724-1.4489.5%
Rush-0.998-0.9982.7%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-1.082-1.0825.9%
3rd down-0.682-1.36318.2%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.815-2.44518.8%
Sergio Snider · RBUsage 4.4% · Avg PPA -0.001 · Total -0.022
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.001-0.0224.4%
Pass-0.615-1.2291.0%
Rush0.0671.2087.3%
1st down-0.401-4.4095.5%
2nd down-0.264-1.8504.5%
3rd down2.5452.5451.1%
Standard downs0.0671.2085.6%
Passing downs-0.615-1.2291.4%
David Pierro · WRUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA -0.922 · Total -1.843
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.922-1.8433.3%
Pass-0.365-0.3654.8%
Rush-1.478-1.4782.7%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-1.478-1.4785.9%
3rd down-0.365-0.3659.1%
Standard downs-1.478-1.4782.3%
Passing downs-0.365-0.3656.3%
Brayden Bockler · TEUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.696 · Total 4.178
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.6964.1782.9%
Pass0.6964.1787.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.104-0.3113.4%
2nd down-0.295-0.2951.4%
3rd down2.5452.5452.2%
Standard downs0.3881.9393.4%
Passing downs2.2392.2391.6%
Dedrick Latulas · WRUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA 0.729 · Total 2.187
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.7292.1872.4%
Pass1.3282.6564.2%
Rush-0.469-0.4691.4%
1st down-0.167-0.1671.8%
2nd down-0.469-0.4692.4%
3rd down2.8242.8244.0%
Standard downs-0.318-0.6372.3%
Passing downs2.8242.8242.6%
Luke Watkins · WRUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.126 · Total 0.882
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1260.8822.3%
Pass0.4522.7124.4%
Rush-1.830-1.8300.6%
1st down0.4681.4032.2%
2nd down0.2520.5042.1%
3rd down-0.512-1.0243.3%
Standard downs0.6073.0342.4%
Passing downs-1.076-2.1522.0%
Johnnie Thiel IV · WRUsage 1.8% · Avg PPA 1.027 · Total 1.027
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.0271.0271.8%
Pass1.0271.0273.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.0271.0274.8%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.0271.0273.3%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Jay Wilkerson · WRUsage 1.7% · Avg PPA 0.118 · Total 0.707
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1180.7071.7%
Pass0.1180.7073.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.7062.8242.5%
2nd down-1.059-2.1171.8%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.1180.7072.3%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Josh Brantley · TEUsage 1.7% · Avg PPA 2.785 · Total 2.785
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall2.7852.7851.7%
Pass2.7852.7854.8%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down2.7852.7855.9%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs2.7852.7856.3%
Where Louisiana Tech sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 9. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.143 (56th percentile; 138 teams)56thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.407 (34th percentile; 138 teams)34thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.316 (80th percentile; 138 teams)80thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.334 (80th percentile; 138 teams)80thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.011 (20th percentile; 138 teams)20thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: -0.051 (89th percentile; 138 teams)89thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.369 (81st percentile; 138 teams)81stDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.298 (21st percentile; 138 teams)21stDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.220 (97th percentile; 138 teams)97th
Values and percentiles
Louisiana Tech metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.14356th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.40734th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.31680th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.33480th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.01120th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play-0.05189th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.36981st138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.29821st138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.22097th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-11-06. Offense: 97% of 232 attempts charted. Average depth of target 6.5 yards (3rd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.2 per completion. Completion 69.8%, 8.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.39.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense68.9%64.4%+4.5209 / 232
Defense allowed59.0%57.7%+1.4205 / 222

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.0, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 7.7, YAC 4.9Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Arizona: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8Arizona State: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.1Arkansas: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.5, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.1BYU: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Ball State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.4Baylor: ADOT 10.2, YAC 5.1Boise State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 5.0Boston College: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.6Bowling Green: ADOT 6.4, YAC 5.6Buffalo: ADOT 10.1, YAC 2.2California: ADOT 6.2, YAC 5.6Central Michigan: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.5Charlotte: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5Cincinnati: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.7Clemson: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.8Coastal Carolina: ADOT 10.6, YAC 5.8Colorado: ADOT 8.6, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.6, YAC 8.3Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.4Duke: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.6East Carolina: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.2, YAC 5.3Florida: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.7Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.5Florida International: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.4, YAC 8.1Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.0Georgia: ADOT 8.2, YAC 7.7Georgia Southern: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 4.7Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.3, YAC 4.9Iowa: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.3Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Kansas: ADOT 12.5, YAC 5.2Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.7, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.2Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.0Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisville: ADOT 9.1, YAC 7.1Marshall: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.3Maryland: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.0Massachusetts: ADOT 10.4, YAC 4.6Memphis: ADOT 10.3, YAC 5.6Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.7, YAC 6.2Michigan: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.8Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.1, YAC 6.1Mississippi State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.6Missouri: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.1Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.0Nebraska: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.9Nevada: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.1New Mexico: ADOT 9.9, YAC 6.1New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.4North Carolina: ADOT 7.4, YAC 6.4North Dakota State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Northwestern: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.9Ohio: ADOT 9.6, YAC 6.1Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 5.1Oklahoma: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.9, YAC 4.3Ole Miss: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.1Oregon: ADOT 7.6, YAC 6.5Oregon State: ADOT 8.8, YAC 7.7Penn State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 5.1Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 11.3, YAC 5.5SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.3Sacramento State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.2San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.7South Alabama: ADOT 10.7, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.3Southern Miss: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.1Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.9Syracuse: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.5TCU: ADOT 9.5, YAC 4.6Temple: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.9Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.3Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.8Texas Tech: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 9.1, YAC 6.1Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.2, YAC 4.9Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.4UCF: ADOT 7.0, YAC 5.4UCLA: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.8UConn: ADOT 11.2, YAC 6.3UL Monroe: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.8UNLV: ADOT 10.5, YAC 4.3USC: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.4UTEP: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.9UTSA: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.0Utah: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.8Utah State: ADOT 9.9, YAC 4.5Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.3Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.7, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.5Washington State: ADOT 7.1, YAC 4.0West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Wisconsin: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.9Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 6.2Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Louisiana Tech.

Target mix by zone, Louisiana Tech offense
Short left26% · 59Short middle27% · 61Short right37% · 82Deep left4% · 8Deep middle3% · 7Deep right3% · 6

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Louisiana Tech passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense23297%6.56.269.8%0.39+4.5 pp209
Passing defense222100%11.35.357.2%0.03+1.4 pp205

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense2953.938.3%0.072.800.901.2017.7%58.6%
Defense allowed3043.638.0%0.032.600.901.1023.3%64.5%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense291 / 29528114189110266 / 266 · 100.0%
Defense allowed298 / 3042941021240278 / 279 · 99.6%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +4.5 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-9.43.416.2W1W2W2 vs LSU: -9.4 ppW3W3 vs Baylor: -5.5 ppW5W5 vs Army: +6.2 ppW6W6 vs Louisiana: +10.9 ppW7W7 vs UL Monroe: +10.3 ppW8W8 vs Old Dominion: +16.2 ppW9W9 vs South Alabama: -0.6 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Northwestern State220———7.61.24376.30.35
W2LSU242458.3%67.7%-9.4 pp6.0-0.5831-0.2-0.39
W3Baylor444456.8%62.4%-5.5 pp7.70.05344.10.02
W5Army242369.6%63.3%+6.2 pp7.70.46337.40.45
W6Louisiana434376.7%65.8%+10.9 pp5.90.48344.30.12
W7UL Monroe232369.6%59.3%+10.3 pp7.70.47413.60.02
W8Old Dominion353582.9%66.7%+16.2 pp4.30.60453.0-0.05
W9South Alabama171764.7%65.3%-0.6 pp6.10.65402.6-0.01

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-11-06T12:25:52.746993+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

27 punts · 43.6 gross yards/punt · 39.2 net yards/punt

9 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 27/27 punts. Known net yards: 25/27 punts.

Our punt returns

11 returns · 12.3 yards/return · 1 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 11/11 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 9 · South Alabama542.440.05/5
Week 8 · Old Dominion339.029.02/3
Week 7 · UL Monroe341.039.33/3
Week 6 · Louisiana349.345.52/3
Week 5 · Army247.549.52/2
Team style
Rating history